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Archive for December 24th, 2012

December 24th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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The 2012 Hawaii Bowl picks are set to go here at Cappers Info, and we are ready to make our free bowl picks for all of the games on the schedule. Check out the Fresno State vs. SMU picks and predictions for what should be a remarkable game.

Hawaii Bowl Picks: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs
Date: Monday, December 24th, 8:00 ET
Location: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, HI
Hawaii Bowl Betting Odds: Fresno State -12.5
Fresno State vs. SMU Live TV Coverage: ESPN

There is no doubt whatsoever that the Bulldogs are the better team in this game, but the better team doesn’t always prove to be the one that wins when push comes to shove. QB Derek Carr has 36 TDs on the campaign, and he is clearly going to be making a run at the NFL just like his older brother, QB David Carr did out of Fresno State as well. RB Robbie Rouse is one of the best all-around backs in the nation, as he has rushed for 1,468 yards and 12 TDs and caught 58 passes for 406 yards and two trips to the end zone. This is a team that has picked up a lot of great wins this year thanks to both the offense and the defense, and it is one of the rare teams that ranked in the Top 25 in a ton of categories on both sides of the football.

It’s not like SMU is a slacking team, though. The club did post some big time wins this past season, including a victory over the Houston Cougars on national television in which the squad put up 72 points. QB Garrett Gilbert clearly has some talent, as he was recruited and attended the University of Texas before transferring to SMU. He hasn’t had the greatest year in the world, throwing for just 2,720 yards with 14 TDs and 13 picks, but he has the ability to do some remarkable things. RB Zach Line is a veteran in this offense, and he posted another 1,000+ yard campaign with 1,207 yards and 12 TDs.

Here’s what we really like about the Mustangs in this one, though. They always seem to be prepared for bowl games. Last year, they really took advantage of the Pitt Panthers in the BBVA Compass Bowl, blowing them away 28-6 when everything point towards U-Pitt winning that game. Head Coach June Jones is comfortable on the Island, and we expect that his team is at least going to come up with a gamely effort to stick around with a superior Fresno State outfit. It won’t be an upset, but it’ll be an interesting encounter on Christmas Eve night.

Fresno State vs. SMU Pick: Hawaii Warriors +12.5
Hawaii Bowl Score Prediction: Fresno State 31 – SMU 27

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Posted in College Football |

 
December 24th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

BovadaThe Fresno State Bulldogs and the SMU Mustangs are set to kick off the 2012 Hawaii Bowl on Monday 12/24, and I’m set to make my Hawaii Bowl pick for the affair at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Hawaii Bowl.

2012 Hawaii Bowl
Fresno State Bulldogs (9-3, 11-1 ATS) -12.5
SMU Mustangs (6-6, 7-5 ATS) +12.5
Over/Under 59.5

Fresno State was one of the best ATS teams in the country this year, but they were all over the place with ‘totals’. On one hand, the team put up 40.2 points per game and ranked 14th in the nation in total yardage at 489.2 yards per game. That seems like a surefire over, but when I look at the defensive stats for Fresno, I can’t help but be equally impressed. The team allowed just 335.8 yards and 22.2 points per game. There’s a reason that this team was just 5-6 towards the ‘over’ on the season, and there were some games that both ended up way past the number and nowhere near the number either.

SMU was largely in the same boat when you really think about it. This is a team that put up 72 against the Houston Cougars and 44 against the Memphis Tigers, but it is also the same club that scored 17 points or fewer five times on the season. What I do know about this team though, is that it has a secondary that just flat out stinks. Part of the problem for Head Coach June Jones and the gang is that the offense tries to run up to the line of scrimmage as quickly as possible with a no huddle attack, and that leaves the defense vulnerable, especially with the number of very short drives that the team has on offense. As a result, 271.2 yards per game were put up through the air against this defense.

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And that to me, is the tiebreaker of the bunch. The Bulldogs are going to get their yards, as QB Derek Carr is going to be gunning the ball all over the place. Expect Carr to have a good shot to get the four scores necessary to get to 40 for the season, and WR Davante Adams should end up with a huge game when push comes to shove against a secondary that has allowed some big time passing games. Still, I need QB Garrett Gilbert and SMU offense to do some damage as well. I just hope that I see the good SMU offense that put tons of points on the board in certain games this year, or at least not the one that was so dreadful in so many games on the campaign.

Fresno State vs. SMU Picks & Tips: Over 59.5

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Posted in College Football Tips, Football Tipster |