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Archive for December 28th, 2012

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December 28th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

5Dimes SportsbookMy 2012 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl picks between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Navy Midshipmen are all set and ready to go here at Cappers Info. The Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl kickoff starts at 4:00 p.m. ET at AT&T Park in San Francisco, CA, and I’m going to be your expert college football handicapper that points you towards the winning bet for the Arizona State vs. Navy game.

2012 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
Navy Midshipmen (8-4, 4-8 ATS) +14
Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5, 7-5 ATS) -14
Over/Under 53

If you just look at what the Midshipmen have been doing lately, you would think that this would be an automatic ‘under’ game. The team has put up just 38 points over the course of its last two games, and the defense has held three out of four teams to 17 points or fewer. However, I’m not really all that sure that this is the route to go with this game on Saturday afternoon in the Golden State.

Though the Middies have scored some fewer points in these last few weeks, the offense has been a heck of a lot more dynamic and efficient with QB Keenan Reynolds calling the shots. Reynolds does a great job taking care of the football, and he is just a better passer than QB Trey Miller. The Naval Academy also has some dynamic rushers in RB Noah Copeland and RB Gee Gee Greene, who combined for over 1,400 rushing yards on the campaign. Greene was also the team’s leading receiver with 303 yards and two trips to the end zone, albeit on just 17 receptions. The Midshipmen also haven’t been very good when it comes to defense this year, allowing 388.9 yards per game. The club allowed 50 to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and 41 to the Troy Trojans in two of the worst games of the year, though a 34-7 loss to the Penn State Nittany Lions was right up there as well amongst the worst defensive showings of the year.

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Arizona State has been all over the place this year. The team has six games with at least 41 points scored, but a few games with 21 points or fewer as well. Obviously, if this turns out to be one of those games with 40+ points scored, this one will get beyond the ‘total’. If not, it could be problematic, but it definitely isn’t an impossible happening to get to the number. Against teams with relatively quirky, high octane offenses, the Sun Devils allowed 43 to the Oregon Ducks, 45 to the UCLA Bruins, and 34 to the Arizona Wildcats. That’s more along the lines of what I’m expecting on Saturday afternoon, and in the end, I expect to see both of these teams get into the 30s.

Navy vs. Arizona State Picks & Tips: Over 53

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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To beat the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl odds, you have to put a heck of a lot of work into the game. Our college football expert handicappers have done just that here at Cappers Info, and we think that we have the winning edge for the clash between the Navy Midshipmen vs. Arizona State Sun Devils.

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Picks: Navy Midshipmen vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Date: Saturday, December 29th, 4:00 ET
Location: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Betting Odds: Arizona State -14
Navy vs. Arizona State Live TV Coverage: ESPN2

The Midshipmen ended the season with the better record of these two teams with eight wins as opposed to seven, but in the end, there is a clear divide between which one of these teams has the more talent and the more potential. More talent and more potential doesn’t always mean more points though, and that might be what Arizona State finds out when it takes on the triple option. Making Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl picks might be more difficult than you would initially think.

We’re really not all that sold on what Arizona State is bringing to the table. Yes, we were most certainly impressed with the 41-34 win on the road at the Arizona Wildcats in the instate rivalry game to end the regular season, but in the end, it just wasn’t the type of victory that really makes us that impressed. The 21-point loss to the USC Trojans looked worse and worse as the season went on, and that was just the final defeat in a string of four straight losses to end the regular season. Looking back at it, QB Taylor Sharp and the gang only did beat one bowl team in the campaign, that being Arizona. Aside from that, there were some losses to teams that the Sun Devils should have lost to, and some like the one at the Missouri Tigers that at the end of the year, really didn’t look all that great.

The Sun Devils are up against a Navy offense that requires attention to detail, something that wasn’t had in games against the likes of Oregon, USC, and UCLA, all clubs which put at least 38 on the board against them. QB Keenan Reynolds has clearly been the best choice for the Middies to use at quarterback, as he has gotten the ball moving both through the air and on the ground. He threw for 884 yards with eight scores and a pick and rushed for 628 yards and 10 scores in basically eight games this year, and he has two other great rushers in RB Gee Gee Greene and RB Noah Copeland that can both go off for 100+ yards if given the opportunity. In the end, for us, this is a matter of preparation. You’re never going to catch the Midshipmen unprepared. There’s a decent chance that the Sun Devils could be. We certainly want the point on our side.

Navy vs. Arizona State Pick: Navy Midshipmen +14
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Score Prediction: Navy 27 – Arizona State 20

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December 28th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe West Virginia Mountaineers and the Syracuse Orange are set to kick off the 2012 Pinstripe Bowl on Saturday 12/29, and I’m set to make my Pinstripe Bowl pick for the affair at New Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, NY. Kickoff is set for 3:15 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Pinstripe Bowl.

2012 Pinstripe Bowl
West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5, 5-7 ATS) -3.5
Syracuse Orange (7-5, 6-5-1 ATS) +3.5
Over/Under 72.5

As bad as it is to take the ‘over’ in a game like this one, where seemingly everyone is betting the ‘over’, I still feel like I really don’t have all that much of a hope if I bet the ‘under’. Mother Nature is going to be featuring some snow in this one, but aside from the snow, the rest of the weather conditions really aren’t going to be all that bad. The temperatures are low, but wind shouldn’t be a factor, and it’s not like we’re going to see a mix of wind and rain that could really mess up the quarterbacks and the receivers.

The West Virginia offense is just flat out awesome. QB Geno Smith threw for 4,001 yards with 40 TDs on the season, and he added in some mobility as well. He has two of the top receivers in the entire country in WR Stedman Bailey and WR Tavon Austin. Austin even had a game where he rushed for over 200 yards this year, but in his main trade as a wide out, he caught 109 passes for 1,266 yards and 12 TDs. Bailey is the man at the head of the class though, as he caught 106 balls for 1,501 yards and an NCAA leading 23 TDs. RB Andrew Buie can get the ball moving on the ground, and WR J.D. Woods would be as good as a No. 2 receiver on most teams in the nation in spite of the fact that he is a third option here in Morgantown. On top of this, the West Virginia defense stopped virtually no one all season long, allowing 38.1 ponts and 469.6 yards per game.

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It’s not like Syracuse isn’t going to be able to take advantage of this. QB Ryan Nassib is an NFL caliber quarterback, and he almost quietly threw for 3,607 yards and 24 scores against nine INTs on the season. He and Smith are really largely the same quarterback. It’s not like Syracuse doesn’t have its share of receivers as well. WR Alec Lemon is incredibly talented, and WR Marcus Sales is an up and comer as well. These two men combined for 132 catches, 1,914 yards, and 15 scores this year. RB Jerome Smith and RB Prince-Tyson Gulley had 1,636 rushing yards and 10 scores as well between them. The bottom line here for me is that West Virginia is going to do its scoring, and Syracuse should be able to keep up. I think that this has the potential to be the highest scoring bowl game of the year, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this one tops 100 total points.

West Virginia vs. Syracuse Picks & Tips: Over 72.5

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The Pinstripe Bowl is one of the great games of the season on the 2012 bowl schedule, and today, we are making our West Virginia vs. Syracuse picks and predictions and trying to beat the Pinstripe Bowl odds here at Cappers Info.

Pinstripe Bowl Picks: West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Syracuse Orange
Date: Saturday, December 29th, 3:15 ET
Location: New Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Pinstripe Bowl Betting Odds: West Virginia -3.5
West Virginia vs. Syracuse Live TV Coverage: ESPN

This is one of our favorite games to handicap this year, as this is a game that features two teams out of the old Big East. Of course, Syracuse isn’t going to be in the Big East for all that much longer either, but the sense of rivalry for the time being should still be there, knowing that these two clubs faced off just last year. These two teams both went 7-5 this year, but it is clear that there is more credence to the 7-5 for WVU out of the Big East than there is for the 7-5 for the Orange out of the Big East.

West Virginia’s offense is going to be playing against a Syracuse defense that allowed just a slew of points both at the beginning of the season and the end of the season. In the first two and last five games of the campaign, the team allowed a whopping 32.6 points per game. The Orange did win their final three games of the season, and they needed two of those three games just to make it to a bowl game this year, but they got the job done and made it here. This is also one of the rare teams in America that had a 1,000-yard rusher (RB Jerome Smith), a 1,000-yard receiver (WR Alec Lemon), and a 3,000-yard passer (QB Ryan Nassib).

In the end, QB Geno Smith is going to be the man in this game, though. The home field advantage from playing in the Bronx aside, West Virginia is certainly the better of these two teams. Sure, the ‘Neers really didn’t do well down the stretch of the season, losing five games in a row at one point, but they did take their final two games and averaged 50.0 points per game in victories this year. The top two receivers for the Mountaineers just won’t be challenged. WR Tavon Austin accounted for 1,864 yards from scrimmage with a total of 15 TDs, while WR Stedman Bailey had 106 catches, 1,501 yards, and 23 TDs and was one of the best wide outs in the land all season long. Too much Bailey. Too much Austin. Too much WVU offense. West Virginia should win a barnburner.

West Virginia vs. Syracuse Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5
Pinstripe Bowl Score Prediction: West Virginia 48 – Syracuse 40

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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CappersInfo is back with its Baylor Bears vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs picks and predictions, as we look to give you all of the college basketball advice and tips that you need to beat your online sportsbook for this crucial Friday night tilt.

College Basketball Picks: Baylor Bears @ Gonzaga Bulldogs
Date: Friday, December 28th, 10:00 ET
Location: McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokane, WA
Baylor vs. Gonzaga Live TV: ESPN2

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The Bears have been all over the place this year, as they have some fantastic wins (i.e. @ Kentucky) and some horrid losses (i.e. vs. Charleston). They have had games where they have scored 97 points (St. John’s) and games in which they have scored 59 (Charleston). They’ve allowed as many as 78 (St. John’s) or as few in a reasonable game as 55 (Kentucky). Meanwhile, the Zags have been a heck of a lot more consistent, really only falling over one bump in the road over the course of the season. They were beaten by Illinois in the last major game played here at the Kennel 85-74, but since that point, they have fired back with easy blowouts over Kansas State and Campbell. The club is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games as well, and that’s more than good enough for us to want to back a team that we really think could legitimately be in the Final Four this year when push comes to shove. Gonzaga is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS in two games against the Bears in school history, and this is the time to add to those marks.

Baylor vs. Gonzaga Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs
Baylor vs. Gonzaga Prediction: Gonzaga 81 – Baylor 68

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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To beat the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas odds, you have to put a heck of a lot of work into the game. Our college football expert handicappers have done just that here at Cappers Info, and we think that we have the winning edge for the clash between the Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas Picks: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Date: Friday, December 28th, 9:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas Betting Odds: Texas Tech -13
Minnesota vs. Texas Tech Live TV Coverage: ESPN

By all rights, these two teams shouldn’t be on the same field together. Minnesota is one of the worst bowl teams in the land this year after going 6-6 and beating up on teams that were really just all bad this year, while Texas Tech went a sturdy 7-5 in the rough and tumble Big XII, where short of a game against Kansas, there were no de facto bye weeks on a regular basis like the Gophers got the chance to play. Texas Tech’s offense is also on a totally different level to that of Minnesota, as the Red Raiders are going to sling the ball all over the field with all sorts of gusto, while the Gophers more or less have to matriculate the ball down the field to have any chance of scoring.

At the outset of the year, WR AJ Barker and QB Max Shortell were the two main cogs in this offense. Shortell stunk. Barker got annoyed with Head Coach Jerry Kill and left the team. And now, there really isn’t a heck of a lot left for the Minnesota offense to choose from. RB Donnell Kirkwood did rush for 848 yards and five scores this year, but he is the only player on the team that had more than 331 rushing yards or more than 267 receiving yards. No receiver that is going to be playing had more than 19 receptions either.

Compare that to the play of men like QB Seth Doege, WR Eric Ward, WR Darrin Moore… the list goes on and on of the Red Raiders that you know. It seems like this should be a slam dunk, right? Maybe not so much. Texas Tech might struggle with a Minnesota secondary that is a lot more talented than you would think. This unit did hold teams down to just 178.5 passing yards per game this year, though we know that the Red Raiders will end up with more than that when push comes to shove. Also remember that the last time these two met was the 2006 Insight Bowl, a game in which T-Tech was supposed to roll. Instead, the Red Raiders needed overtime to put the guns up once and for all, winning that game 44-41. We wouldn’t be overly surprised if there is a similar result in the end in this one.

Minnesota vs. Texas Tech Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +13
Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas Score Prediction: Texas Tech 28 – Minnesota 24

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December 28th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Independence Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Independence Bowl picks for the clash between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Ohio Bobcats. The Ohio vs. UL Monroe kickoff is set for 2:00 p.m. ET at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, LA, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2012 Independence Bowl
Ohio Bobcats (8-4, 4-8 ATS) +7
UL Monroe Warhawks (8-4, 8-4 ATS) -7
Over/Under 60.5

Looking only at the average offensive numbers for these two teams this year suggests that this could be a higher scoring bowl game, as these two have combined for right around 66 points per game. Both of these teams did what they were supposed to do this year, beating up on the bad teams and falling short against the better ones in their respective conference. That being said, I do believe that what we are going to see is a game where two teams go at it from start to finish and end up putting up a ton of points on the board.

The Bobcats are going to be a healthier team on the offensive side of the ball here in the Independence Bowl, and it is going to show. The team only averaged 15.7 points per game in its final three games of the season when the offensive line was so banged up, but with a few weeks to get ready for this one and get some healthier bodies back in the mix, I do expect to see this team get back to its ways. Remember that the Bobcats scored at least 24 points in each of their first seven games of the season, and they had averaged 36.4 points per game in that stretch. RB Beau Blankenship did rush for 1,500 yards this year, and QB Tyler Tettleton is a dual threat and accounted for 2,513 yards as a passer and 210 more as a rusher on the campaign with a total of 20 TDs. The potential is definitely there for Ohio to have a big time offensive game.

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I’m a little afraid of the fact that this is the first time that the Warhawks have ever played in a bowl game, as the moment might get the better of them. However, QB Kolton Browning has played in some big time spots in his career. His numbers aren’t the prettiest, but he has figured out how to get the job done. Without a 3,000+ yard quarterback or a 500+ yard rusher, it is easy to dismiss this ULM team. However, when I really look back at it, there is no doubt that this club can put up some points; just look at the 442.7 total yards and 35.5 points per game that the team managed to put up on the season. This is a game that should get past the number, though do keep a close eye on the weather report, as it could be cold, windy, and rainy when this one kicks off.

Ohio vs. UL Monroe Picks & Tips: Over 60.5

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December 28th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

The Russell Athletic Bowl is one of the games on the college football bowl schedule this year, and today, I’m set to make my NCAA football pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this clash. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Virginia Tech Hokies are going to do battle at the Florida Citrus Bowl in Orlando, FL. Join me for my Russell Athletic Bowl tips for this 5:30 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on ESPN.

The Russell Athletic Bowl isn’t a game that is going to be for the faint of heart, as there aren’t two teams that I hate more in this bowl season than these two playing against each other. Virginia Tech is a team that had Top 10 talent this year but underachieved and had to win its final two games of the season just to make it to a bowl game, while Rutgers overachieved but ultimately screwed the pooch with its multiple opportunities to lock up the Big East crown. This is the punishment for both of these clubs.

2012 Russell Athletic Bowl
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (9-3, 7-5 ATS) +2
Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6, 3-9 ATS) -2
Over/Under 41

Both of these offenses flat out stink. QB Logan Thomas and QB Gary Nova both only succeeded this year in figuring out how to screw up the big time moments, though both did at least come up with a total of over 20 touchdowns on the campaign between their arm and their legs. Rutgers ranked 102nd in the country in total offense at 341.1 yards per game, while the team also came in at just 96th in scoring at 22.4 points per game. Virginia Tech wasn’t all that much better at 391.8 YPG (71st) and 26.1 PPG (81st). The two teams combined for exactly zero games with more than 37 points scored in it against FBS opponents out of 22 combined games.

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It’s not all that often that you see me liking an ‘under’ in a bowl game like this one where the weather will be good and the ‘total’ is so low, but this is an exception to the rule. I’m just not 100% certain that either Virginia Tech or Rutgers is going to be all that thrilled to be here in the Sunshine State for the Russell Athletic Bowl, and as a result, I expect to see a sloppy game with more turnovers than touchdowns and plenty of gaffes along the way.

Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Picks & Tips: Under 41

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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The 2012 Russell Athletic Bowl picks are set to go here at Cappers Info, and we are ready to make our free bowl picks for all of the games on the schedule. Check out the Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech picks and predictions for what should be a remarkable game.

Russell Athletic Bowl Picks: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Date: Friday, December 28th, 5:30 ET
Location: Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, FL
Russell Athletic Bowl Betting Odds: Virginia Tech -2
Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Live TV Coverage: ESPN

What a disgusting bowl game this has the potential to be! The question that we have to ask ourselves in this one is whether we think that a middling, underachieving team out of the ACC is really better than a solid team out of the Big East. It’s a tough question to ask ourselves, but it is one that we are going to get the answer to as the bowl season goes on, especially in the Belk Bowl, where the ACC’s Duke Blue Devils will take on the comparable Big East’s Cincinnati Bearcats. These two teams used to call each other conference foes, but it’s not like there was ever much of a series here when they were both in the Big East. The Hokies were favored by at least 28 points in the last six meetings, and Rutgers has only won three games in this series, the most recent one that came in 1992.

The Scarlet Knights were the better of the two teams this year, but there has to be a real question that asks whether or not the team is really going to care to be playing in this game or not after losing the de facto Big East Championship Game against the Louisville Cardinals at home the last time out. QB Gary Nova has a history of choking in the biggest games, and he threw the pick that cost the team the chance to win the Big East. Nova only threw for 2,566 yards with 22 TDs and 15 picks on the campaign, which is bad news considering the fact that the team only had a total of six rushing touchdowns for the year as well.

The problem though, is that Virginia Tech really has slacked all year long. The team did push Florida State to the wire, and it did beat down a Bowling Green outfit that proved to be a heck of a lot better than most thought. Still, the defense underachieved all year long, allowing 23.9 points per game, and outside of QB Logan Thomas, who accounted for 26 of the team’s 35 offensive TDs on the season, there wasn’t much to write home about. In the end, there isn’t a featured running back that can get the job done for the Hokies, and we think that Rutgers is going to ultimately put a good foot forward to knock off V-Tech in Orlando.

Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +2
Russell Athletic Bowl Score Prediction: Rutgers 27 – Virginia Tech 17

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The Ohio Bobcats and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks are going to square off on the Independence Bowl odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our Independence Bowl picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Friday.

Independence Bowl Picks: Ohio Bobcats vs. Louisiana Monroe Warhawks
Date: Friday, December 28th, 2:00 ET
Location: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, LA
Independence Bowl Betting Odds: Louisiana Monroe -7
Ohio vs. Louisiana Monroe Live TV: ESPN

Louisiana Monroe has everything going for it in this game, and it is probably one of the squarer teams to back on the bowl game betting lines this year. The club is basically playing at home, and it is doing so against a team that lost its final three games of the season and four of its last five. Heck, the Bobcats were probably ultimately one of the last teams in a bowl game this year, knowing that this was the game that the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs were probably supposed to play in. It also doesn’t help the Warhawks’ causes that they won their biggest game of the year against the Arkansas Razorbacks (who ultimately didn’t go bowling) and nearly beat the Auburn Tigers (who proved to be one of the worst two teams in the SEC this year).

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So then there’s the question that begs to be asked: Is ULM really even a remotely good team? The club was blown out of the water by both the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns down the stretch, and the only win against a bowl eligible team all season long came against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in overtime on the road. This is also the first time that the Cajuns have played in a bowl game, and there has to be a lot of pressure riding on the shoulders of QB Kolton Browning, who not only leads the team in passing with 2,830 yards, but he also leads the team in rushing as well with 441 yards and seven TDs.

Ohio’s season really started to fall apart when its offensive line was crushed. There are a whopping five offensive linemen that are all on the injury report for this game, and that is making QB Tyler Tettleton’s life miserable. What we will say about the Bobcats though, is that they are a well-coached team that has figured out how to win some big games this year. Remember the road win at Penn State way back in Week 1? That win was mocked for a few weeks, but in the end, the victory doesn’t look all that bad. Ohio also played in a significantly better conference in the MAC than UL Monroe did in the Sun Belt, and though there weren’t a ton of fantastic victories to show for their work and some brutal defeats, we still think that the Bobcats have the ability to win this game.

Ohio vs. Louisiana Monroe Pick: Ohio Bobcats +7
Independence Bowl Score Prediction: Ohio 29 – Louisiana Monroe 23

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December 28th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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NBA betting action continues on Friday night from AT&T Center, where the San Antonio Spurs will host the Houston Rockets in a battle on the NBA betting odds. Don’t miss out on this one, which should be a great clash. The NBA television schedule shows this 8:30 ET tip happening on FOX Sports.

Free Basketball Picks: Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Date: Friday, December 28th, 8:30 ET
Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Betting Odds: San Antonio -3.5
Rockets vs. Spurs Live TV: FOX Sports

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The Spurs have already taken two games this month from the Rockets both from an SU and an ATS perspective, and there really isn’t a reason to believe that this game will go any differently either. Houston has won and covered five games in a row, but it is going to be overrated in this one. The 87-84 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves was an ugly game on Wednesday night, and another performance like that one, and the Rockets are going to get laughed off of the court in San Antonio. The Spurs are winners of three in a row SU and have covered back to back games, and they’ll be well rested for this one, having played just one game in a span of just five days. F Patrick Patterson is still out of the lineup for Houston, and we think that that is going to come back to bite the team in the backside at some point in a hard way. The Spurs just feel a heck of a lot more whole right now, and with the way that Houston is playing, San Antonio is going to be paying attention. It’ll be a hefty NBA point spread, but it is worth laying for sure.

Rockets @ Spurs Pick: San Antonio Spurs
Rockets @ Spurs Prediction: Spurs 122 – Rockets 110

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December 28th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Texas Tech Red Raiders are set to kick off the 2012 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas on Friday 12/28, and I’m set to make my Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas pick for the affair at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX. Kickoff is set for 9:00 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas.

2012 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas
Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6, 7-5 ATS) +13
Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5, 6-6 ATS) -13
Over/Under 55.5

This is a sucker’s bet if we have ever seen one. Over 65% of the bets are on the ‘over’ in this game, yet the ‘total’ is dropping at a steady clip and is now down to 55.5 and might get lower by the time this one kicks off. My big thing here is that the implied final score of this game is basically 34-21. Any guesses as to how many times this whole season that the Golden Gophers scored more than 17 points in a game? Exactly four times, one of which came against the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, and one of which came against New Hampshire. There’s just no reason to think if Minnesota can’t score more than 13 on Northwestern of 17 on Illinois, that it can score more than that on Texas Tech.

Remember that the Red Raiders did put together quite a few decent defensive games this year. Though a number of these games did come against lousy teams, T-Tech did hold five clubs to 14 points or fewer this year. The college football “expert handicapper” that wants to back the ‘over’ in this one also thinks that the Texas Tech offense can get the job done and do whatever it wants against the Minnesota defense. What is forgotten is the fact that the Gophers ended the year ranked 11th in the country in pass defense at 178.5 yards per game, and their secondary is a heck of a lot more talented than one would think.

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Remember too, that Texas Tech only scored 24 points or fewer in three of its final five games of the season and was held to an average of just 32.6 points per game against bowl teams this year. If you take out the points scored in overtime, that brings that average down to just 30.1 points per game. If that’s all that Texas Tech plans on scoring against the Golden Gophers, I just don’t see a way how this game is going to reach this relatively average ‘total’.

Minnesota vs. Texas Tech Picks & Tips: Under 55.5

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