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Archive for December 29th, 2012

December 29th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe TCU Horned Frogs and the Michigan State Spartans are set to kick off the 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl on Saturday 12/29, and I’m set to make my Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl pick for the affair at Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is set for 10:15 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.

2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
TCU Horned Frogs (7-5, 5-7 ATS) -2
Michigan State Spartans (6-6, 4-8 ATS) +2
Over/Under 40.5

I’m going to start off by saying that teasing anything in this game is probably a great idea, though I think that I would stick with Michigan State with either side of this ‘total’. The ‘over’ is probably the safer call, as it is tough to envision most any bowl game not getting to at least 34 points, but in the end, I think that a straight play for the game is better suited playing the ‘under’ than anything else, as these two defenses are just flat out nasty.

The Horned Frogs have had some problems this year, but those problems have come against teams with some truly elite offenses in the Big XII. Throw out middle of the season games against Baylor, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, and West Virginia, all of which have out of this world offenses, and what’s left are eight games with just 15.8 points per game allowed. The club ranked 18th in the land in total defense at 332.0 yards per game, a number that was well under 280 yards when you take away those four previously mentioned outings, and was 10th in the land in rush defense at 103.9 yards per game. I also want to point out that QB Trevone Boykin, in spite of his respectable year, is still nothing more than a backup quarterback that really isn’t ready to play at this level in my eyes on a regular basis.

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I’m going to call QB Andrew Maxwell for what he truly was this year: Terrible. He had a ton of pomp and circumstance for his arrival as a starter with QB Kirk Cousins now playing in the NFL, but he completed just 52.9 percent of his passes, averaged 6.0 yards per pass attempt, and had almost as many picks (9) as he did TDs (13). That just doesn’t cut it when push comes to shove. The only thing that kept MSU in games this year was its defense, which held every single team to 28 points or fewer on the campaign. Odds have it, TCU is going to be another one of these teams that gets stuck in the low- to mid-teens when push comes to shove, and if that turns out to be the case, it’s tough to see the Buffalo Wild Wings spread reaching the ‘total’.

TCU vs. Michigan State Picks & Tips: Under 40.5

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Posted in College Football Tips, Football Tipster |

 
December 29th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The TCU Horned Frogs and the Michigan State Spartans are going to square off on the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Saturday.

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Picks: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Michigan State Spartans
Date: Saturday, December 29th, 10:15 ET
Location: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Betting Odds: TCU -2
TCU vs. Michigan State Live TV: ESPN

When we look at the Buffalo Wild Wings odds, we have to take quick notice that over 60% of the betting action is on the Horned Frogs, yet the line is moving in the wrong direction. All in all, this seems like a bit of a shaky spread to say the least. The Horned Frogs really came on strong at the end of the season, especially with a road win at the Texas Longhorns on Thanksgiving night. The squad won seven games in the Big XII, arguably the toughest conference to play in that the country had to offer, and five of those wins came on the road. Michigan State meanwhile, slumped to a 6-6 mark and really didn’t have much in the way of quality victories in the suspect Big Ten this entire season.

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It’s been awhile since Head Coach Gary Patterson has lost a bowl game to a team not named Boise State. TCU is always incredibly well prepared for whatever challenge comes its way this time of year. QB Trevone Boykin has really stepped in despite all of the adversity that he has faced this year with the departure of QB Casey Pachall from the club, and all of the running backs have stepped it up and gotten the job done in spite of all of the injuries that befell the backfield. The defense struggled at times, but it made the big time plays as well, something that has to tremendously concern QB Andrew Maxwell and the Spartans.

It’s the Michigan State defense that we think is going to make the difference, though. You don’t think of this unit as a bunch that rank in the Top 10 nationally in every major category, but that’s exactly what has turned out to happen when push came to shove. No one scored more than 28 against this team all year long, and save for the 27 points allowed to the Indiana Hoosiers, there wasn’t a truly surprising defensive result from a negative standpoint all year long. Remember that MSU already has a win over the Boise State Broncos, and it was unlucky not to claim games against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, Michigan Wolverines, and Ohio State Buckeyes as well. The only team that beat the Spartans by more than four was the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and hindsight 20/20, there was no shame in losing by 17 to the No. 1 team in the land. Take the points and know that you won’t need them with Sparty.

TCU vs. Michigan State Pick: Michigan State Spartans +2
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Score Prediction: Michigan State 20 – TCU 14

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Posted in College Football |

 
December 29th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Alamo Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Alamo Bowl picks for the clash between the Oregon State Beavers and the Texas Longhorns. The Texas vs. Oregon State kickoff is set for 6:45 p.m. ET at the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2012 Alamo Bowl
Texas Longhorns (8-4, 5-7 ATS) +3.5
Oregon State Beavers (9-3, 8-4 ATS) -3.5
Over/Under 57.5

I never like to back ‘overs’ on teams that don’t have solid starting quarterback situation. If there was a doubt about the situation for Head Coach Mack Brown, he ended his debate by suspending QB Case McCoy for this game. That’s one quarterback problem down, as QB David Ash is going to go from start to finish for the Longhorns barring injury. But the problem that I have is that Oregon State’s quarterback situation is extremely suspect. I expected to see that QB Sean Mannion was going to be the man under center, but in the end, Head Coach Mike Riley has chosen QB Cody Vaz instead. Vaz has the better numbers, but the team just doesn’t seem to respond to his time under center, and that worries me for sure.

The Texas defense also has a heck of a lot to prove. This is a unit that was trampled by the Oklahoma Sooners, the Baylor Bears, the Kansas State Wildcats, and the West Virginia Mountaineers also held the Iowa State Cyclones, Texas Tech Red Raiders, TCU Horned Frogs, and Kansas Jayhawks down. It is a unit that has a heck of a lot of potential and some real NFL talent on it, but thanks to the Big XII schedule, the numbers just aren’t all that great. Oregon State too, has some defenders that could ultimately make it to the next level, and it wasn’t a mistake that 10 of the 12 teams on the slate were held down to 27 points or fewer.

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In the end, this ‘total’ is just far too high. It’s tough to not notice the 72 combined points in the Civil War against the Oregon Ducks and the 76 combined points against the Cal Golden Bears in Oregon State games. It’s also tough to see how a Texas defense that was crushed for so many big time performances is going to step up to the task in this one against a Pac-12 opponent that has the ability to score so many points. But throw in a murky quarterback quandary for both teams and the fact that these defenses have some real talent, and the makings are right for the Alamo Bowl to be a bit of a low scoring bowl game that could go either way.

Texas vs. Oregon State Picks & Tips: Under 57.5

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December 29th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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The 2012 Alamo Bowl picks are set to go here at Cappers Info, and we are ready to make our free bowl picks for all of the games on the schedule. Check out the Texas vs. Oregon State picks and predictions for what should be a remarkable game.

Alamo Bowl Picks: Texas Longhorns vs. Oregon State Beavers
Date: Saturday, December 29th, 6:45 ET
Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Alamo Bowl Betting Odds: Oregon State -3.5
Texas vs. Oregon State Live TV Coverage: ESPN

The Longhorns and the Beavers both started this year in different directions. Texas was ranked 15th in the nation in both of the polls, while Oregon State didn’t get a single vote in either poll until Week 4. In the end though, this has been a great year for the Beavs, who won nine of their 12 outings, and a questionable year for the Horns, who went 8-4. There isn’t much of a difference here between these two records, but Oregon State clearly overachieved, while at least in the eyes of the fans in Austin, UT underachieved to the point that Head Coach Mack Brown might be on a bit of a hot season going into next year.

Both of these teams went through a pair of quarterbacks this year. The Longhorns have no quarterback controversy left, as QB Case McCoy has been sent home after violating team rules during the bowl week. That means that QB David Ash is going to have the ball from start to finish, and that might ultimately help out the Horns in what should be a de facto home game playing in the Lone Star State. Ash was an embattled quarterback all season long, but he did complete 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,458 yards with 17 TDs against seven picks. QB Cody Vaz is going to get the start in the Alamo Bowl for the Beavers. He might have completed a slightly smaller percent of his passes than QB Sean Mannion, but he also had an 11/1 TD/INT ratio, as opposed to a 15/13 TD/INT ratio that Mannion had.

The move for Head Coach Mike Riley to go with Vaz as opposed to Mannion might ultimately come back to bite the team on the backside. Oregon State lost three of its last five games played against FBS foes this year, and it really has more or less come back to earth after beating up on a bunch of suspect teams at the start of the season. Texas lost its last two games, but it also had some big wins against some big teams in the Big XII. This isn’t a game against a solid team like the Oklahoma Sooners, nor is it a game against a team with a ridiculous high octane offense like the West Virginia Mountaineers. In a de facto home game right up the road in San Antonio, it feels like Texas is going to win this game.

Texas vs. Oregon State Pick: Texas Longhorns +3.5
Alamo Bowl Score Prediction: Texas 24 – Oregon State 20

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December 29th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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The time is here for more of our sparkling CBB picks, as we look at the schedule for basketball for Saturday night. The Louisville Cardinals and Kentucky Wildcats will have it in a nationally televised game, which can be seen on the college basketball TV schedule on CBS.

Free College Hoops Picks: Kentucky Wildcats @ Louisville Cardinals
Date: Saturday, December 29th, 4:00 ET
Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
Kentucky vs. Louisville Live TV: CBS

This is always one of the biggest games of the year, and this year’s clash between Louisville and Kentucky is no different. These two teams are both contenders for the National Championship this year, though UK’s 23rd national ranking doesn’t exactly suggest that. So far what we have seen out of the Cats is that they have the ability to beat up the bad teams on sheer talent alone, but when it comes to beating some of the best in America, there are some real problems. The loss to the Baylor Bears is long since in the past though, and we think that four more games against suspect teams that have all ended in blowouts have gotten the confidence back in this outfit. This is legitimately still one of the most talented teams in America, and though we do know that C Gorgui Dieng is going to be back for the Cards, we don’t think that it is going to be enough. This one really seems like it is going to be an upset for the Big Blue Nation to us.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +8.5
Kentucky vs. Louisville Prediction: Kentucky 76 – Louisville 71

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