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January 4th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

The Cotton Bowl is one of the games on the college football bowl schedule this year, and today, I’m set to make my NCAA football pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this clash. The Texas A&M Aggies and the Oklahoma Cowboys are going to do battle at Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, TX. Join me for my Cotton Bowl tips for this 8:00 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on FOX.

Last night in the Fiesta Bowl, we got ourselves a heck of a lesson in what happens when teams have this much time off to prepare for games. Sometimes, you do get the games like Arizona/Nevada where there are darn near 100 points scored, and sometimes you do end up with some odd results like when Louisville beat Florida. However, as the bowl season wears on, what tends to get lost in the shuffle is that these teams that are playing this time of year that won 10-11 or even more games in the regular season is that they just couldn’t do that all without a defense. Offense is still sexy. Defense still wins games consistently. There’s a reason that the SEC continues to win National Championship after National Championship and why this year won’t be an exception whatsoever when push comes to shove.

2013 Cotton Bowl
Texas A&M Aggies (10-2, 7-5 ATS) -3.5
Oklahoma Cowboys (10-2, 6-6 ATS) +3.5
Over/Under 72.5

What I think tends to be forgotten in this one is that these two defenses were pretty darn good. Most get caught up in the 57 points that the Aggies allowed to the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and forget that when push comes to shove, the unit still ended up allowing just 389.3 yards and 22.5 points per game, numbers that were both respectable, especially by SEC West standards. The LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide both scored just 24 against this defense, and that certainly isn’t half bad when you really think about it. Oklahoma’s defense did have a few suspect games there in the middle of the Big XII campaign, but again, in the end, 378.8 yards and 24.2 points per game isn’t terrible, especially when you consider the fact that this was one of the toughest schedules in America this year.

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So I implore you to forget about the fact that QB Landry Jones might be an NFL quarterback and forget about the fact that Johnny Football won the Heisman. Oh, both of them will get their moments. It’s not like I’m saying that this will be a 14-10 game by any stretch of the imagination. It doesn’t have to be, though. Even getting both of these teams in the low-30s doesn’t ultimately get this one to the ‘total’, nor does it really come all that close, and that’s precisely what I think we’re going to ultimately see in the Cotton Bowl when push comes to shove.

Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma Picks & Tips: Under 72.5

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Posted in College Football Tips, Football Tipster |

 
January 3rd, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Fiesta Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Fiesta Bowl picks for the clash between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Oregon Ducks. The Oregon vs. Kansas State kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2013 Fiesta Bowl
Oregon Ducks (11-1, 7-5 ATS) -8
Kansas State Wildcats (11-1, 9-2-1 ATS) +8
Over/Under 73.5

The ‘total’ in the Fiesta Bowl has come down just a bit over the course of the last few weeks, and I wish that I had gotten in on this one prior to the drop. Every single year, I see the Ducks have these ‘totals’ in the 60s and the 70s, and almost every year, I seem to be disappointed. Last year in the Rose Bowl, there were 83 points, but the year before in the BCS Championship Game was 41 points, and the Rose Bowl in 2009 featured just 43 points. The difference this year is that there is a team on the other side of the field that is known for its offense with a Heisman Trophy finalist at quarterback and not teams like Auburn and Ohio State that were just as known for their defense as anything else.

Of course, I think the real key to this game is going to be the Kansas State defense. This unit really isn’t all that bad. The Cats allowed just 119.2 rushing yards and 21.1 points per game this year, and if you don’t believe just how good this team can be defensively, ask the Oklahoma Sooners (19 points), West Virginia Mountaineers (14 points), Texas Tech Red Raiders (24), TCU Horned Frogs (10), and Texas Longhorns (24). That doesn’t mean that the Ducks are going to be stuck in the 20s, but the truth of the matter is that even in the low 30s, this is still likely to be an ‘under’ game.

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I’ll also admit that I’m a bit wary over the idea that the Ducks scored at least 42 points in all but one game that they played this year. However, with a month and a half off since their last game played and all of the distraction with Head Coach Chip Kelly and the NFL teams that are interviewing him, but I really don’t think that that is helping put points on the board. I think that the defense is going to come up with a decent effort from the Ducks, knowing that this unit has been underrated for most of the year. I just don’t think that this one is going to get to such a big time number.

Oregon vs. Kansas State Picks & Tips: Under 73.5

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January 3rd, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

5Dimes SportsbookMy 2013 BBVA Compass Bowl picks between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Pittsburgh Panthers are all set and ready to go here at Cappers Info. The BBVA Compass Bowl kickoff starts at 1:00 p.m. ET at Legion Field in Birmingham, AL, and I’m going to be your expert college football handicapper that points you towards the winning bet for the Ole Miss vs. Pittsburgh game.

2013 BBVA Compass Bowl
Pittsburgh Panthers (6-6, 7-4-1 ATS) +3.5
Ole Miss Rebels (6-6, 9-3 ATS) -3.5
Over/Under 54

It’s interesting to think that all of the action has been on the ‘under’ in this game publically, as that’s generally a sign that offenses are being underrated. That makes matters especially unclear when the ‘total’ continues to rise. This is as sharp of an ‘over’ play as you’ll find in a bowl game, and I’m here to take the fullest advantage of it in a game that many think is going to be nothing but a snoozer that you’ll want to sleep through before getting ready for the NFL playoff games.

The Panthers aren’t as god awful of an offensive team as you would figure. The club did put up 400.4 yards per game and 27.4 points per game this year, and for as much as the team hates to be in Birmingham for the Compass Bowl for the third straight season, it does have to be out for some payback after scoring just six last year in this game against a significantly lesser SMU Mustangs outfit. Remember that the Panthers did score 26 on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, something that hardly anyone has been able to do this year, and there were 27 put up on both the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the South Florida Bulls to end the campaign. It’s not a hapless team by any stretch of the imagination.

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But what really pushes this one past the number for me is the exuberance that the Rebels are going to be playing with. This isn’t your average 6-6 team this year. This is a team that went through the wars together and clearly improved against a brutally tough schedule as the campaign went on. QB Bo Wallace dropped 41 on the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 35 on the LSU Tigers, and 26 on the Vanderbilt Commodores down the stretch, and there is no reason to think that there won’t be at least 30 put up in this game, especially with as well as Wallace has played at the end of his sophomore season. It wasn’t a mistake this year that the Rebs scored 30.9 points per game, and this offense, against the tough SEC, did average 426.8 total yards per game. That’s enough for me to think that this is an ‘over’ game waiting to happen in spite of the perceived notion that the Panthers can’t score.

Pittsburgh vs. Ole Miss Picks & Tips: Over 54

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Posted in Football Tipster, NFL Football Tips |

 
January 2nd, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe Louisville Cardinals and the Florida Gators are set to kick off the 2013 Sugar Bowl on Wednesday 1/2, and I’m set to make my Sugar Bowl pick for the affair at the Mercedes Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is set for 8:30 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Sugar Bowl.

2013 Sugar Bowl
Louisville Cardinals (10-2, 5-7 ATS) +14
Florida Gators (11-1, 7-5 ATS) -14
Over/Under 47

All that I have to know about this year is just how bad the Florida offense truly is. Without the defense and the special teams, which provided either directly or indirectly several points per game this year, the Gators would have been a joke that averaged right around 20 points per game on the campaign, including crappy games against teams like Louisiana Lafayette and Jacksonville State down the stretch of the season. Simply put, the Florida offense is just terrible, and there aren’t many circumstances where I can see QB Jeff Driskel doing all that much damage against a defense that, for the majority of the season was pretty darn good.

There’s also a level of disrespect here for the Cardinals that I can’t overlook. Head Coach Charlie Strong knows what it takes to be the defensive coordinator of an SEC team, knowing that he did it at Florida for all those years before coming up to “The Ville.” Take away a shockingly bad 45 points that the Syracuse Orange put up against this unit, and the rest of the numbers don’t look so bad for the year. If you just count what happened in regulation of games this year, the Cards allowed less than 21 points per game, and seven of the 12 teams were held to 21 points or fewer. Again, this unit isn’t a joke, and I’m not afraid to stack it up against a sub-par SEC offense led by Driskel. The only potential problem that I see is the fact that teams have opened up some holes in the running back this year against the Cards. They have allowed 151.1 yards per game this year, ranking a modest 51st in the nation, and RB Mike Gillislee is a monster in the UF backfield that rumbled for well over 1,000 yards this year.

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Still, is QB Teddy Bridgewater going to score anything against this defense? Sure, the Florida State Seminoles were able to score some points against this team, but there wasn’t another offense that scored more than 20 against this unit all season long, and some of those points were the problem of the offense, not the defense. The truly fair numbers for this team might have made the Gators the top defense in the nation this year, and it’s only a wonder what this unit could have done with even a somewhat legitimate offense. If either side gets deep into the 20s in this game, it would prove to be a shock to me. I just don’t see it happening.

Louisville vs. Florida Picks & Tips: Under 47

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

The Orange Bowl is one of the games on the college football bowl schedule this year, and today, I’m set to make my NCAA football pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this clash. The Northern Illinois Huskies and the Florida State Cowboys are going to do battle at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. Join me for my Orange Bowl tips for this 8:30 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on ESPN.

The question that I have to ask myself about the Orange Bowl this year is whether the Seminoles are going to play defensively. If they do, there really should be no way that these Huskies should do all that much against this unit. If they don’t, this could end up being a dogfight that results in 40 points a side, because the one thing that I do have the utmost confidence in is the fact that QB EJ Manuel is going to put some points on the board against a defense that got some fat and impressive stats off of some awfully weak teams that had no business competing against a BCS team this year.

2013 Orange Bowl
Northern Illinois Huskies (12-1, 9-2-2 ATS) +13.5
Florida State Cowboys (11-2, 3-9 ATS) -13.5
Over/Under 58.5

Many are going to point to the fact that both DE Tank Carradine and DE Brandon Jenkins are out of the lineup for the Noles as a big time problem, but I just don’t see it that way. DE Bjorn Werner is going to want to prove that he should be a Top 10 pick in the NFL Draft, and a good game in the Orange Bowl could do just that for him. This is still a very deep defense with a lot to prove, especially after the unit was trampled at times by the Florida Gators. As we saw against the triple option of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, the gimmicks aren’t going to work against Florida State, and that will remain true against the Huskies as well.

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Take all of the yards and all of the points that QB Jordan Lynch put up this year and throw them out the window in this one. Remember that the Iowa Hawkeyes held Lynch and the gang down to just 17 points, and the Kansas Jayhawks kept NIU down to just 23. If that’s what two bad AQ conference schools were able to do to the Huskies, what are the Seminoles going to do to them with a full month to prepare for the game? Though in the end, the disappointing Seminoles might not show up to play and get run over, I have to think that they are really going to care about this one and get the job done. If that’s the case, this could be a shutout.

Northern Illinois vs. Florida State Picks & Tips: Under 58.5

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Rose Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Rose Bowl picks for the clash between the Stanford Cardinal and the Wisconsin Badgers. The Wisconsin vs. Stanford kickoff is set for 5:00 p.m. ET at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, CA, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2013 Rose Bowl
Wisconsin Badgers (8-5, 6-7 ATS) +5.5
Stanford Cardinal (11-2, 8-5 ATS) -5.5
Over/Under 47

It’s really difficult to think that I want to play an ‘over’ in a game where one team plays outstanding defense and has a suspect offense and the other has no passing game to work with whatsoever, but I still think that the Granddaddy of them All has the potential to have at least 50-55 points scored in it. Don’t let that 5-8 over/under record of Stanford jade you in this one. In spite of the fact that Wisky had a terrible offense for the mass majority of the season that really didn’t bust out once and for all until the last game of the year in the Big Ten Championship Game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, ‘over’ bettors still went 8-4 on the campaign in Badgers games.

Head Coach Barry Alvarez knows what he is doing with the Badgers in spite of the fact that he hasn’t coached a game in quite some time. He knows that he is going to turn around and hand the ball to RB Montee Ball, RB James White, and RB Melvin Gordon at least 35-40 times between the three of them in the Rose Bowl, regardless of what the score is. This is a man that has a great knack for coaching up big, huge offensive linemen, and the four weeks to prepare for this game has been more than enough to get the big uglies motivated to take on a Stanford team that allows just a svelte 88.0 yards per game on the ground in the high octane Pac-12.

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It’s not like the Stanford offense is totally inept. The offense has done a better job of finding its way into the end zone with QB Kevin Hogan calling the shots. RB Stepfan Taylor is doing more damage on the ground, and Hogan is keeping the chains moving with a 72.9 percent completion percentage. The Badgers have been known to give up some points at times this year, especially against mobile quarterbacks. Again, I really don’t think that this is going to be a ridiculous shootout, but it doesn’t really have to be one either. If both of these teams can find the end zone three times apiece, that should be more than enough to get it into the 50s and past the ‘total’.

Wisconsin vs. Stanford Picks & Tips: Over 47

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

5Dimes SportsbookMy 2013 Outback Bowl picks between the Michigan Wolverines and the South Carolina Gamecocks are all set and ready to go here at Cappers Info. The Outback Bowl kickoff starts at 1:00 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, FL, and I’m going to be your expert college football handicapper that points you towards the winning bet for the Michigan vs. South Carolina game.

2013 Outback Bowl
South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2, 8-4 ATS) -4.5
Michigan Wolverines (8-4, 5-7 ATS) +4.5
Over/Under 47.5

There are only two words that you need to know about this game if you are a Michigan fan: Jadeveon. Clowney. The freshman defensive end is clearly a force to be reckoned with. He single handedly blew apart the Clemson Tigers this year, and he finished up the campaign with 13 total sacks. This is a man that literally does everything, and he has the speed to chase down QB Denard Robinson and QB Devin Gardner, both of which try to use their legs to get themselves out of all sorts of trouble. The truth of the matter is that the Michigan offense really hasn’t done much to impress me this year, as it has averaged just 13.3 points per game against teams ranked in the Top 25 in total defense this year. That just isn’t going to cut it to get this game to the ‘total’ in all likelihood.

It’s not like South Carolina’s offense has been all that impressive either. The team only put up 24 against the Wofford Terriers, and it really only put up 27 against the Clemson Tigers thanks to the fact that the defense had such a remarkable game that forced Clemson into a ton of terrible spots. This is an offense that ranks 66th in the country passing and 85th in rushing, and matters are made worse by the fact that RB Marcus Lattimore’s time with the Gamecocks is over thanks to the injuries and the fact that he is going to the NFL after this year is over with. QB Connor Shaw has the potential to be great, but like QB Stephen Garcia before him, he just isn’t living up to his potential. Shaw and the South Carolina QBs have combined this year for 24 TD passes against just nine picks, but combined, they don’t have 3,000 yards through the air.

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It’s just not a pretty game in my eyes. Michigan did its job in the first half against the Buckeyes on the road, but it really just had nothing going in the second half of that one, which is why the game was ultimately lost. South Carolina isn’t going to do anything to overwhelm Big Blue, but in the end, it will do enough to get a victory and little more. Don’t be surprised if neither of these teams end up getting even in the 20s, let alone in the high-20s or 30s, and I think that it’ll take at least 28 South Carolina points to have a chance to beat us. I just don’t see it happening.

South Carolina vs. Michigan Picks & Tips: Under 47.5

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Georgia Bulldogs are set to kick off the 2013 Capital One Bowl on Tuesday 1/1, and I’m set to make my Capital One Bowl pick for the affair at the Florida Citrus Bowl. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Capital One Bowl.

2013 Capital One Bowl
Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-3, 6-6-1 ATS) +8.5
Georgia Bulldogs (11-2, 7-6 ATS) -8.5
Over/Under 60.5

One of the little known facts that you won’t find about the bowl season this year that I dug up is that the Cornhuskers have actually played eight of their 12 games beyond the ‘total’ this year. This is a team that is always billed to be one of the best defensive teams in the land. It’s true that this secondary is out of this world, but when you get to the front seven, the Black Shirts just aren’t as strong as they normally are. The end result is that the team has been trampled by the Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin Badgers in a pair of brutal losses against teams that just drilled the ball right down their throats.

Enter: Georgia. The Bulldogs actually found a way to run on the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship Game, as RB Todd Gurley had a remarkable game for a freshman on such a big stage. He nearly won the game all by himself against what is perceived to be the best team in America and likely the national champs. Yes, the Bulldogs were beaten by the South Carolina Gamecocks, but every team is allowed a mulligan. In the SEC, going 11-1 in the regular season and then losing by a matter of a few yards to the Crimson Tide still makes you one of the best teams in America. Remember too, that not only can UGA run it, but QB Aaron Murray has a cannon of an arm, and he has had a great year in which he has thrown for nearly 3,500 yards in the SEC.

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I just can’t help but wonder if the Cornhuskers are going to get tattooed in this game and totally run off of the tracks by the Georgia offense. The Bulldogs averaged 37.2 points per game this year, and I’ve got to think that they are at least going to get to that mark in this one as well. As long as QB Taylor Martinez doesn’t ultimately screw me over, this should be an ‘over’ contest on New Year’s Day to kick off 2013.

Nebraska vs. Georgia Picks & Tips: Over 60.5

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

The Heart of Dallas Bowl is one of the games on the college football bowl schedule this year, and today, I’m set to make my NCAA football pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this clash. The Purdue Boilermakers and the Oklahoma State Cowboys are going to do battle at Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, TX. Join me for my Heart of Dallas Bowl tips for this 12:00 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on ESPNU.

When I look at the Heart of Dallas Bowl, I immediately think about the bowl game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Minnesota Golden Gophers. I was one of the many that really thought that the Gophers would have to win a low scoring game if they were to do it, but instead, they were able to stand toe to toe with one of the top offenses in the country. They came up short, but there was really never a doubt that the Gophers were going to stay in front of the college football bowl game odds. This really looks like the exact same game to me.

2013 Heart of Dallas Bowl
Purdue Boilermakers (6-6, 6-6 ATS) +17
Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-5, 6-5 ATS) -17
Over/Under 70

There’s nothing that isn’t below average about the Boilermakers. Their offense was shaky, their defense was shaky, they don’t have a quarterback that can light it up, they don’t have any big time receivers that you know can put up 100 yards at the drop of a hat, and they don’t have a rusher that averaged even 75 yards per game this year. That all really doesn’t bode well. What I do see though, is that QB Robert Marve really did a nice job hanging onto the football this year. He only threw three picks, and he and QB Caleb TerBush did a great job competing with some of the best teams on Purdue’s schedule this year.

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And of course, there are the Cowboys, who just fly up and down the field with ease every single drive. They have put up 41 and 36 points over the course of their last two bowl games, and there is no reason to think that they aren’t going to score at least 40 again in this one after averaging over 44 points per game on the season. The big question though, is whether the Boilers are going to be able to keep up. If the answer to that question is yes, just as I suspect it is, this is a game that should ultimately go flying past the ‘total’ when push comes to shove.

Purdue vs. Oklahoma State Picks & Tips: Over 70

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Gator Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Gator Bowl picks for the clash between the Northwestern Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Mississippi State vs. Northwestern kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET at EverBank Field in Jacksonville, FL, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2013 Gator Bowl
Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4, 6-6 ATS) +1.5
Northwestern Wildcats (9-3, 11-1 ATS) -1.5
Over/Under 53.5

The Wildcats were one of the best ATS teams in the country this year at 11-1, and the common thought is that they should be the team to back in this game. This is about the ‘total’ though, and I know that I have a tough time justifying taking the ‘over’ in this one. The Wildcats are going to try to run the heck out of the football, and though they to operate at a breakneck pace when they can and do all sorts of goofy things with two quarterbacks and a slew of men rushing the ball, the Bulldogs have the defense to string things out and use speed to get to the football.

This is an MSU team that I think is severely underrated this year. The club allowed just 22.4 points per game this year, and if you take out the four losses, that average comes scream down into the low-teens. It was a defense that just didn’t relent this year, and hindsight 20/20, even holding QB Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies’ offense down 38 points this year is quite the accomplishment. Head Coach Dan Mullen is going to want to run the heck out of the football, and he is going to do so even though his reserve back, RB Nick Griffin tore his ACL in preparation for this game. I expect to see a lot out of RB LaDarius Perkins on Tuesday afternoon, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he touched the ball 20-25 times.

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Northwestern played some scary good defense this year as well, and most probably didn’t even realize it. The 38 points allowed to the Michigan Wolverines was aided by overtime, and the 39 points allowed to the Penn State Nittany Lions seemed to be a bit of an anomaly. The rest of the season since Week 1, the club was holding teams all over the place in the teens and the low 20s, and that’s what I expect to see once again in this one. I don’t think that neither club touches 30, and if that’s the case, it should be a game that stays beneath the number.

Mississippi State vs. Northwestern Picks & Tips: Under 53.5

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Music City Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Music City Bowl picks for the clash between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the NC State Wolfpack. The NC State vs. Vanderbilt kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET at LP Field, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2012 Music City Bowl
NC State Wolfpack (7-5, 5-6-1 ATS) +7
Vanderbilt Commodores (8-4, 8-4 ATS) -7
Over/Under 51.5

There are a few factors that I’m going to point out in this one that you probably aren’t going to see in most handicapping reports. The first is that this is going to be the second straight day that a game is played on the surface at LP Field. The Tennessee Titans and the Jacksonville Jaguars, two teams that love to grind it out in hardnosed games are going to be battling here on Sunday, and the turnaround time for the grounds crew isn’t all that long for a 12:00 kickoff one day later. The other factor is that it is going to be darn right cold for this game, as the sun is expected to stay in, and temperatures are going to likely be the high-30s or so in what should amount to be a dreary day. These two teams aren’t used to playing in these conditions, though at least it won’t be windy and rainy as well.

The matchup that I’ll be watching closely is the one between the NC State passing attack and the Vandy secondary. It is no secret that QB Mike Glennon has to put the ball in the air, as he had a rushing game that ranked just 108th in the nation at 116.9 yards per game. Glennon did throw for over 3,600 yards on the season, but the Commodores, facing SEC offenses, allowed just 175.8 yards per game and were stellar all year long. Glennon also gets flustered at times when he has to play out of his comfort zone, and when it rains, it tends to pour. The senior threw seven of his 14 INTs this year in just two games.

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On top of that, the Commodores make no bones about the fact that they want to run the ball. This team averaged running the ball just over 39 times per game, as opposed to throwing it 26.8 times per game. In case you’re counting, that’s not even 70 snaps per game offensively either in totality, and that’s because the Commodores prefer to just run the clock and keep games short. It is a formula that has worked all year long, and there is no reason that it won’t work like this again. This should be a low scorer of a bowl game in Nashville.

NC State vs. Vanderbilt Picks & Tips: Under 51.5

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December 31st, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

5Dimes SportsbookMy 2012 Chick-Fil-A Bowl picks between the Clemson Tigers and the LSU Tigers are all set and ready to go here at Cappers Info. The Chick-Fil-A Bowl kickoff starts at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA, and I’m going to be your expert college football handicapper that points you towards the winning bet for the Clemson vs. LSU game.

2012 Chick-Fil-A Bowl
LSU Tigers (10-2, 5-7 ATS) -6
Clemson Tigers (10-2, 8-4 ATS) +6
Over/Under 59

If you just blindly look at the Bayou Bengals, you have to think that this game should easily stay beneath a ‘total’ of 59. The last time that a ‘total’ was this high in an LSU game was back in 2008 against the North Texas Mean Green, and that came in a game where the Tigers were favored by 42 points against a team with an exciting offense. However, there are definitely some things that I really don’t like about LSU right now. I don’t like the fact that P Brad Wing has been suspended for this one, and that really could give the Clemson offense the upper hand in certain situations.

Of course, one look at Clemson, and this is a game that should get beyond the number quite easily. The Tigers played to 110 points against the NC State Wolfpack, and they put up an average of 46.5 points per game this year against teams outside of the SEC. Of course, the team also only put up a total of 43 points in two games against SEC teams. QB Tajh Boyd threw for 3,550 yards and 34 TDs, and he rushed for 492 yards and nine scores. RB Andre Ellington was one of the top rushers in the ACC with 1,034 yards and eight trips to the end zone, while the team’s top two receivers, WR DeAndre Hopkins and WR Sammy Watkins, totaled just under 2,000 yards. Hopkins, the ACC all-time leader in receiving yards in a career, had 16 touchdowns as well.

5Dimes

And then there’s the tiebreaker: Last year’s bowl game. Clemson gave up 70 points to the West Virginia Mountaineers in the Orange Bowl, and it was blown out of the water. LSU is clearly going to be smarting after getting shut out last year in the BCS National Championship Game, and it is going to want to prove to the rest of the world that it has a team that can contend for all of the marbles once again next year. I think that QB Zach Mettenberger can put up some respectable numbers in this game, and the end result is going to push this one beyond the number.

LSU vs. Clemson Picks & Tips: Over 59

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