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Archive for the ‘Horse Racing’ Category

June 9th, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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Horse Racing Event: 2011 Belmont Stakes
Event Date: Saturday, June 11, 2011
Location: Belmont Park – Elmont, NY
Runners: 3 Year Olds
Race Number & Post Time: 12 go to the post at 6:35 PM EST RACE 11
Current Odds Favorite: #9 Animal Kingdom (2/1)
Racing Form: Click Here For The 2011 Belmont Stakes Racing Form

Free 2011 Belmont Picks & Analysis: The Belmont is the 3rd and last jewel in the Triple Crown series. It is the true test of a champion race horse to be able to make the mile and ½ distance in the Belmont which is one quarter of a mile longer then the Derby and 5/16th’s of a mile longer then the Preakness. In general thoroughbred horses are not bred to be able to run this long a distance, and considering how weak this year’s crop of 3 year old colts appears to be one has to assume that anything can happen in this year’s Belmont.

Both the Derby and Preakness winners will run in New York with the Derby winner and Preakness runner-up Animal Kingdom(#9) installed the 2/1 morning line favorite. Animal Kingdom may be one of the few horses in the race who really appears to want the added distance of the Belmont. In the Derby he made the other horses look like they were standing still when he made his move and in the Preakness he was closing late at Shackleford and probably would have passed him with the additional quarter of a mile distance the Belmont offers. Animal Kingdom won’t offer much value but he must be respected and used in all exotics.

The wire to wire winner of the Preakness #12 Shackleford is listed at 9/2 on the morning line as the third choice. His tactics are easy to figure out as he will most certainly be on the lead especially breaking from the outside #12 post. How long he lasts on the lead is anyone’s guess, I personally do not think he finishes on the board and will not be using him at all. The second choice in the race is #6 Nehro who is listed at 4/1. He finished a nice second in the Preakness and got a 102 beyer figure in the race. He also owns three straight ascending beyers figures which is a clear sign he is in great form and getting better with each race. He could be sitting on his best race yet in the Belmont. Nehro is another must use horse in all exotics and figures to be on the board for sure.

After those top three contenders you have a slew of possible long shots including #1 Master of Hounds who is trained by one of Europe’s best Aiden O’Brian. He is sitting on his third race back off a layoff and ran a nice race in the Derby finishing 5th and dealing with traffic problems. O’Brian keep Garrett Gomez as the jockey on his horse which I believe is a very smart move. #1 Master of Hounds is a live long shot and another horse to use in exotics. #4 Santiva is 15/1 morning line and also sitting on a third race back. He was not disgraced in the Derby running 6th losing by 5 ¼ lengths. He skipped the Preakness which could be a huge advantage and is trained by Eddie Kenneally who is a much underrated trainer. The colt is by Giant’s Causeway out of a Smarten mare which screams distance and stamina to me. Santiva is definitely another live long shot, but not my top selection.

I am picking once again #10 Mucho Macho Man. I am just not ready to give up on this tough to figure out colt. In two of his last three races including the Preakness and Louisiana Derby he threw a shoe. The trainer changed blacksmiths for the Belmont and his shoes will be glued on. Despite throwing a shoe in the Preakness Mucho Macho Man ran 6th beaten just 7 ½ lengths. He gets New York’s top jockey and one of the best jockey’s in the country Ramon Dominguez on for Rajiv Maragh. This is a major jockey upgrade and Dominguez has been on fire of late winning 6 races on a card just last week. At anything close to 10/1 #10 Mucho Macho Man is a must wager across the board. As far as exacta’s and triple’s go the horses I like the most are; #’s 1,4,5,6,9,10.

Free 2011 Belmont Picks: #10 Mucho Macho Man (10/1)
Free 2011 Belmont Plays: Bet #10 Win/Place/Show & Exacta Box: 10-9-6-4.

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May 20th, 2011 By Louie - Cappersinfo Admin

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Horse Racing Event: 2011 Preakness Stakes
Event Date: Saturday, May 21st, 2011
Location: Pimlico Racecourse – Baltimore, MD
Runners: 3 Year Old Fillies
Race Number & Post Time: 14 go to the post at 6:18 PM EST RACE 12
Current Odds Favorite: #11 Animal Kingdom (2/1)
Racing Form: Click Here For the 2011 Preakness Racing Form

Free 2011 Preakness Picks & Analysis: The second jewel of the ever elusive Triple Crown series the Preakness Stakes is run at 1 mile and 3/16ths at Pimlico racecourse in Baltimore, Maryland. It is the shortest of the three Triple Crown races and is the one race of the three that usually favors horses that sit on or near the lead. In this years edition of the Preakness there is a full field of 14 horses running.

Only 5 of the 14 ran in the Kentucky Derby and a few that didn’t run in the Derby only didn’t because they didn’t have the graded earnings to earn a spot in the field. This makes for a very contentious race that is wide open to a number of qualified runners. The Derby winner #11 Animal Kingdom was installed as the 2/1 morning line favorite. However it seems to me everything went his way on Derby day and the likelihood of that happening again is remote at best. At anywhere near 2/1 odds I’d say Animal Kingdom is a complete throw out.

#9 Mucho Macho Man ran a respectable 3rd in the Derby and has the chance to run better over the Pimlico strip. He is listed at 6/1 and is a very live horse in this race. Also coming out of the Derby is Nick Zito’s Derby favorite Dialed In(#10). He is a one dimensional closer who needs a lively pace up front to set up his late kick. He is listed at 9/2 on the morning line and may possibly get the pace scenario he needs to be a dangerous player in the stretch. #5 Shackleford who was the pace setter in the Derby is 12/1 on the morning line. He insures an honest pace up front but will not carry this field wire to wire. Bob Baffert also brings his Derby horse to Baltimore, #7 Midnight Interlude listed at 15/1 but is a serious long shot contender.

That covers all the Derby horses, but we also have 9 new shooters in the Preakness. The top of the new shooters contenders list is #8 Dance City, but both #3 King Congie and #6 Sway Away have a real chance as long shots. This crop of 3 year old colts is a very bad group as evidenced by the prep races leading up to the Derby and the outcome of the Derby itself. The likelihood of Animal Kingdom repeating is remote, and I don’t like Dialed In at all either.

#9 Mucho Macho Man is a horse I’d use in all exotics and I’m going for a price in this race with #6 Sway Away. This is a very interesting new shooter who has shown some real promise running second to The Factor only beaten ¾ of a length in the San Vicente ran at Santa Anita. In that race he finished 2 and ½ lengths ahead of Premier Pegasus. Off of that performance he was the $1.90 favorite in the Rebel run at Oaklawn but ran a disappointing 6th. From there he ran in the Arkansas Derby which many feel was a key prep race. He was a respectable 4th only beaten 3 and ¼ lengths and had the lead entering the stretch. His comments in the DRF are; Rank; Wide; lugged in. This means he was not able to be controlled by the jockey in the early part of the race, then was wide throughout the race lugging in coming down the stretch probably due to being tired from being rank early in the race. Sway Away is working well and looks to be sitting on a huge race today. He is by Empire Maker out of an AP Indy mare which that breeding screams out stamina. He is 15/1 on the morning line and should be every bit of that come post time.

Free 2011 Preakness Picks: #6 Stay Away (15 to 1) Win/Place/Show & Ex Box 6-3-9

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May 19th, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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We at Cappersinfo.com are always striving to bring you the very best in handicapping information including horce racing picks for popular events such as the Black Eyed Susan Stakes. Handicapper, blog contributor, and forum member, Andy Frank has a long horse racing resume that goes back over 30 years. Here is Andrew’s race analysis for Friday’s Black Eyed Susan Stakes which is being run at Pimlico on Friday at 4:45pm (EST).

Horse Racing Event: Black Eyed Susan Stakes
Event Date: Friday May 20th, 2011
Location: Pimlico Racecourse – Baltimore, MD
Runners: 3 Year Old Fillies
Race Number & Post Time: 6 go to the post at 4:46 PM EST RACE 10
Current Odds Favorite: #4 WYOMIA (9/5)

Race Analysis: A small but evenly matched field of 6 go post ward in the Black Eyed Susan Stakes being run on Friday as race 10 on the Pimlico card. Wyomia is the #4 and 9/5 morning line favorite. She is coming off a nice second place finish in the grade 1 Ashland Stakes run over the polytrack at Keeneland April 9th. She is third race back off a layoff and faced one of the other main contenders in this race in her first race back on March 12th in the Suncoast Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs. Wyomia won that race getting up in the final strides at just over 6/1. Also coming out of that same race is #1 Royal Delta who is listed as the third choice at 3/1 on the morning line. In the Suncoast Stakes Royal Delta was also first race off a long layoff and was bet down to the $1.60 favorite in the race. She ran second to last and never got a call, however in her second race back off the layoff she returned to her previous form winning convincingly by three lengths in a fast time. Now she sits on her third race back off the layoff and will not be the favorite this time around against Wyomia. Royal Delta however is the better horse and will turn the tables on Wyomia in this race. Second choice is #2 Hot Summer who figures to be the controlling speed and on the lead right out of the gate. Whether or not she can make the 1 mile and 1/8th distance is a big question mark. In fact of all 6 runners only #1 Royal Delta is not only bred to run all day by Empire Maker out of an AP Indy mare, but also is working like a horse sitting on a huge race. The last two works at Belmont were particularly impressive. She went 5 furlongs in 59 2/5 handily on May 8th which was the fastest of 29 works at that distance on the day. Then she worked a 4 furlong breeze in 48 flat on May 14th which was the 3rd fastest work at the distance of 80 different horses to work 4 furlongs that day. The rail has been good at Pimlico so far this meet winning at a 24% clip, and #1 Royal Delta has the breeding and current form to be the top contender and the horse you must wager on if 2/1 or more at the windows. Bet #1 Royal Delta across the board win, place and show. Also use her in exacta boxes with #4 Wyomia, and #2 Hot Summer.

Free Black Eyed Susan Picks: #1 Royal Delta Win/Place/Show, Ex Box 1-4, 1-2

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May 6th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Kentucky Derby is always one of the hardest races of the year to handicap, but here at Cappers Info, we have all of the ins and outs covered for the horses in the field and have our Kentucky Derby picks for our trifecta covered.

The first horse that we really have our eyes on is #11 Master of Hounds.This is a colt that came out of the UAE, making him the only one that made the trip from overseas to get here. Most Americans probably won’t recognize the names of most of the horses that Master of Hounds has been bred through, but over in Europe and Asia, some of these colts and mares had amazing careers. The beauty about these horses from overseas is that they generally run a lot longer distances that the preparatory races are here in the States, and this is no exception. In the UAE Derby, Master of Hounds had no problem making it 1 3/16 miles, just shy of the distance that he’ll be running on Saturday. He was nosed in that race by Pluck, but he was a favorite in the race and will certainly be one to watch. Speed out of the gate isn’t something that we are really seeing out of Master of Hounds, but he’ll be here at the wire when it matters the most, and he has had some great speed results, especially late in races on the other side of the pond.

If the weather ends up being rough as it potentially could, the horse that is going to benefit the most is #7 Pants On Fire. With Rosie Napravnik getting the mount, this colt could be in a position to take advantage of the track conditions with some good history on a sloppy track. There have only been six other female jockeys try their hand at the Run for the Roses, and none have found their way to the winner’s circle. Napravnik took over the jockey duties for Pants On Fire at the Louisiana Derby in March, a race in which she put her colt in a great position out of the gates and held out by a neck. This is a horse with some great spirit and a fantastic pedigree with AP Indy as his grandsire. At 20 to 1 morning line odds, Pants On Fire has an absolutely fantastic price. Look for him to come out of the blocks either in the lead or right near it, and he should be able to be right near the lead at the finish line.

The horse that we think is going to end up at the finish line first though, is #17 Soldat. The only reason why this horse isn’t one of the favorites in this race is because he had an absolutely awful ride at the Florida Derby in April. This is a sneaky little horse that finds his way around traffic on a regular basis, so we’re really not all that worried about the distance. He already has three races at 1 1/8 miles under his belt, and he really could be set for another great run at 1 1/4 on Saturday. The Beyer speed ratings for this colt have been all over the place, as he has shown that he can run in the 70s and in the 100s as well. Jockey Alan Garcia could have had his pick of a few different horses for this race, but he elected to stay on this one. Soldat has a great chance to head to the winner’s circle from on the pace right away, and if there is a wire to wire winner, this is going to be the one.

The only other horse that we are afraid of in this race is the favorite on the Kentucky Derby odds, #8 Dialed In. It’s going to be hard to leave this horse out of your exotics on this race, knowing that he has never finished an worse than second. He is the favorite with Uncle Mo out of the fold by a country mile. We don’t really believe all that much in #19 Nehro, and we aren’t buying into all of the hype around #1 Archarcharch either. That being said, we’re looking to key Soldat and wrap around Dialed In, Master of Hounds, and Pants On Fire with him. Or, if you will, you could just come up with a $2 trifecta box, which could have a comfortable four digit payout.

Free Kentucky Derby Picks: #17-#7-#11-#8

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June 3rd, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Belmont Racetrack will take center stage when the Belmont Stakes betting action goes to post on Saturday. Today, we'll make our Belmont Stakes free picks that will help you cash in against the Belmont Stakes odds.

Fly Down (+450 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Fly Down becomes a very interesting selection in the Belmont Stakes because of his most recent win at the Grade II Dwyer on this same racetrack. Horses that have had success in the Big Apple in lead up races to the final leg of the Triple Crown have historically had plenty of success in the Belmont Stakes as well. Look no further than Summer Bird in 2009 or Birdstone in 2004 to show that you don't have to run in the first two legs of the Triple Crown to win the third. However, Fly Down was the second favorite choice in that race and doesn't really have a superb resume behind him coming into the Belmont Stakes. A ninth place finish at the Louisiana Derby is probably what kept trainer Nick Zito from entering him in either the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness Stakes, but Fly Down is certainly ready to challenge at the Belmont.

Ice Box (+300 at BetUS Sportsbook) – The morning line favorite for this event, Ice Box finished second at the Kentucky Derby to Super Saver. Many think that Ice Box's run in the Run for the Roses was more impressive than Super Saver's win, because he faced a very difficult ride that saw him have to rally from 19th place to nearly nip the winner at the stretch run before falling a tad flat. Many also feel that the run at 1 1/4 miles in which he ran out of a tad bit of gas may be a sign that he won't be able to last the entire 1 1/2 miles. However, there are a lot of weak links in this field, and we think that Ice Box is going to ultimately end up sticking in the money in spite of the fact that we're not so sure that he has the legs for the distance either.

First Dude (+350 at BetUS Sportsbook) – My, what a difference a race makes! First Dude was a huge longshot in the Preakness Stakes, but he bounced out to the lead early and nearly beat Lookin At Lucky at the wire. No one is doubting the fact that this horse can run the distance here at the Belmont, but our Belmont Stakes picks are going to be on him to come in second once again. First Dude will inevitably get out to the front of the pack yet again and try to run wire-to-wire, but it is incredibly rare to see a horse pull off that feat for a mile, let alone for a mile and a half. The odds aren't great here, but we can't ignore First Dude after that run in the Preakness.

Drosselmeyer (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – This Belmont Stakes pick might surprise some, but Drosselmeyer was the odds on favorite to win the Dwyer over Fly Down for a good reason. He had a miserable run that day, slipping out of the gate and running into traffic that took him off of his game. Still, finishing second best was impressive against a reasonable crop of three year olds. If Drosselmeyer gets off to a clean start and ends up in a decent stalking lane, he should have the distance breeding in him to make his move at the wire. Last year, Summer Bird took down the Belmont Stakes after winning on this track the month before, and we expect Drosselmeyer to prove why he was odds on against the best of the three year olds that are running in horse racing's most grueling test.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #7 Drosselmeyer – #11 First Dude – #6 Ice Box – #5 Fly Down

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May 14th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Preakness Picks

If you're looking for early predictions for the colts that you should be throwing down on in the 135th Preakness Stakes, look no further than Cappers Info! We've got the race covered from wire to wire and have your winning superfecta all picked out!

#8 Super Saver (+200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – The favorite of the Preakness Stakes odds is once again the colt that won the Kentucky Derby. Jockey Calvin Borel has most famously come out and declared that his horse will win the Triple Crown, but the sledding is going to be very tough for him against this field of 12. Many are entered seemingly only to see to it that Super Saver doesn't win the second leg of the Triple Crown, as opposed to on Derby Day when it was every colt for himself. Don't be shocked if the man nicknamed Calvin "Bo-Rail" has a hard time getting inside position for his horse, which is going to make things difficult. In a longer race, we'd be picking Super Saver to come out on top. But we think there are too many landmines for him to really make a difference overall.

#6 Jackson Bend (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Jackson Bend is the longest shot on the board amongst horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby. Most famous for finishing second to Eskendereya in two prep races leading up to the Triple Crown, Jackson Bend isn't considered a tremendous threat to win this race, but perhaps horse racing betting fans should be paying more attention to him. This is a colt that didn't have a clean run at Churchill Downs, but still has a solid core of people working with him. Trainer Nick Zito thinks that this thoroughbred gives him the best shot at taking down a Triple Crown jewel, and jockey Mike Smith has been given the vote of confidence that he is the man that can take this horse to the winner's circle in spite of the fact that he had such a miserable 12th place finish in the Kentucky Derby.

#12 Dublin (+1000 at BetUS Sportsbook) – What a great price for a horse that may have some help in winning the race! If trainer D. Wayne Lukas has his way, his other entrant into this race, #4 Northern Giant will push the pace early on the rail. That would really serve two purposes. First would be to stretch out the stalkers in this field and make them run at a slightly more uncomfortable pace than perhaps they would be accustomed to. The second is to still right there on the rail and make Borel do something different to get past him. With the Dublin camp knowing this strategy, this could be the horse to come up right at the wire and get the job done.

#7 Lookin At Lucky (+300 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Many wondered whether or not Lookin At Lucky could successfully pull off the Kentucky Derby on the rail or not. Not. Running out of the #1 spot at Churchill Downs for a colt that isn't a speed horse is virtually impossible. It would've been quite the feat had Lookin At Lucky pulled it off, especially on a sloppy, and very unpredictable track. However, this colt is back, and he's very deserving of being called a favorite in this race. After all, he still has six wins under his belt already and, save Super Saver, he is the only other three year old horse that is running in any of the Triple Crown races that can say that he is already worth a million bucks! At post #7, things still aren't ideal for Lookin At Lucky, but he'll be in store for a significantly cleaner run on Saturday than he was two weeks ago, and the end result should make him the horse to beat.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #7 Lookin At Lucky – #12 Dublin – #6 Jackson Bend – #8 Super Saver

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April 30th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Kentucky Derby Picks

Confused with what to do with the 20 horse field in the Kentucky Derby this year? No worries! Cappers Info has you covered! Here is a look at the four horses that we are projecting out of this crop of three year olds to be the ones that are on the board at the end of Saturday afternoon's big race at Churchill Downs!

Paddy O'Prado (+1600 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – A little luck of the Irish, shall we? The big grey colt won't be one to miss on the track on Saturday afternoon, as he'll be the grey blur that is always just on the outside of your television screen that starts to inch up towards the front of the pack as a stalker for the duration of the race. Unfortunately, we'd love to make Paddy O'Prado the winner of this race, but we just don't believe that he has the tools to get all the way to the front. As a traditional Irish turf horse though, running the full 1 1/4 miles isn't going to be an issue whatsoever. It's going to be hard for us to take this horse off of the board.

Mission Impazible (+2000 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Every year it feels like there's a horse that comes out of nowhere in the closing furlong or so that finds his way onto the board that screws up all of the odds. Last year, Mine That Bird did just that and more, as he actually won the race from well off the pace and posted the second highest "To Win" price that the Derby has ever seen. Mission Impazible won't be a horse that does all of that damage, but he can make an impact from the parking lot in this one if the horses around him aren't careful.

Dublin (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Dublin has been a bridesmaid a number of times, but has never quite had the opportunity to be a bride. Champion trainer D. Wayne Lukas knows that he has a very dangerous horse in this race, as Dublin has never gone off at less than 9/2 in any race that he has run. That won't be the case at the Derby, as he'll probably be one of the mid-range choices. Dublin feels like he finishes on the board in every race that he runs, and this probably won't be an exception. Unlike some other colts who ran against weaker fields, Dublin has taken on all challengers. Though he has come up short every time to date, this could be his race.

Lookin At Lucky (+375 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Lookin At Lucky was always on the radar, but he was never considered the real favorite to win this race until previous favorite Eskendereya was scratched last week. Now all of a sudden, people are paying attention to the horse that won five stakes races in preparation for the Kentucky Derby. Lookin At Lucky is the only $1M horse in this field, which immediately gives him a ton of credibility. Now all that has to happen is that he has to find a way to do something that no horse has done since 1986: Win from the rail. If Lookin At Lucky can have a relatively clean ride, he is going to be the horse to beat on Saturday afternoon.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #1 Lookin At Lucky – #17 Dublin – #14 Mission Impazible – #10 Paddy O'Prado

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April 28th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Last year, Mine That Bird stole the Kentucky Derby with jockey Calvin Borel riding. No one saw the three year old colt sneak between horses to jolt to the front of the crowded pack of 20 horses, just like no one at the betting mutuels saw it coming either. Mine That Bird cashed in for his horse racing betting fans at a cool 50.60-1, making him the second longest shot to ever win the Run for the Roses.

Giacomo pulled off a very similar feat in 2005, running from the far outside for a late close on what was supposed to be an incredible field of three year olds. He went off at 50.30-1 for a similar payout.

We don't expect you to remember the longest shot ever to win the Derby, Donerail back in 1913 (91.45-1).

On the day that the posts are drawn for the 136th Kentucky Derby, we have to go back and ponder why these major upsets are occurring in the first leg of this Triple Crown.

We were given a sharp dose of reality once again when Eskendereya was scratched from this year's Derby. Many thought that he was going to go off as a supreme favorite to win the race. Instead, Lookin At Lucky, a horse that was nearly perfect as a two year old but didn't perform all that well in his prep races, will most likely take the honors as the horse to beat.

This year's field will probably include a real mish-mosh of horses, including a filly that had mixed results against her own breed (Devil May Care), a trio of horses that have only been one hit wonders (Endorsement at the Sunland Derby, Ice Box at the Florida Derby, and Line of David at the Arkansas Derby), a horse that made almost all of its money as a two year old and has been awful since turning three (Homeboykris), a horse that has been the favorite nearly every time out yet has underachieved (Dublin), and even a horse that only has one career race under his belt on dirt… and he lost by 34 lengths (Dean's Kitten).

Yes, it's becoming more and more apparent that the so-called "Sport of Kings" is evolving into a crapshoot where we go to the track and try our best to handicap out horses that have been the picture of inconsistency.

However, that doesn't mean that the oddsmakers aren't going to throw a few curveballs on the board that could be incredibly profitable on Saturday afternoon. Here at Cappers Info, we'll have our eyes glued to all of the odds and the racing ins and outs for Saturday's Run for the Roses, so be sure to check back to the Cappers Info blog as the weekend draws nearer!

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