I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Alamo Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Alamo Bowl picks for the clash between the Oregon State Beavers and the Texas Longhorns. The Texas vs. Oregon State kickoff is set for 6:45 p.m. ET at the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.
2012 Alamo Bowl
Texas Longhorns (8-4, 5-7 ATS) +3.5
Oregon State Beavers (9-3, 8-4 ATS) -3.5
I never like to back ‘overs’ on teams that don’t have solid starting quarterback situation. If there was a doubt about the situation for Head Coach Mack Brown, he ended his debate by suspending QB Case McCoy for this game. That’s one quarterback problem down, as QB David Ash is going to go from start to finish for the Longhorns barring injury. But the problem that I have is that Oregon State’s quarterback situation is extremely suspect. I expected to see that QB Sean Mannion was going to be the man under center, but in the end, Head Coach Mike Riley has chosen QB Cody Vaz instead. Vaz has the better numbers, but the team just doesn’t seem to respond to his time under center, and that worries me for sure.
The Texas defense also has a heck of a lot to prove. This is a unit that was trampled by the Oklahoma Sooners, the Baylor Bears, the Kansas State Wildcats, and the West Virginia Mountaineers also held the Iowa State Cyclones, Texas Tech Red Raiders, TCU Horned Frogs, and Kansas Jayhawks down. It is a unit that has a heck of a lot of potential and some real NFL talent on it, but thanks to the Big XII schedule, the numbers just aren’t all that great. Oregon State too, has some defenders that could ultimately make it to the next level, and it wasn’t a mistake that 10 of the 12 teams on the slate were held down to 27 points or fewer.
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In the end, this ‘total’ is just far too high. It’s tough to not notice the 72 combined points in the Civil War against the Oregon Ducks and the 76 combined points against the Cal Golden Bears in Oregon State games. It’s also tough to see how a Texas defense that was crushed for so many big time performances is going to step up to the task in this one against a Pac-12 opponent that has the ability to score so many points. But throw in a murky quarterback quandary for both teams and the fact that these defenses have some real talent, and the makings are right for the Alamo Bowl to be a bit of a low scoring bowl game that could go either way.
Texas vs. Oregon State Picks & Tips: Under 57.5