One of my favorite plays on the Sunday NFL odds pits the Denver Broncos against the Kansas City Chiefs, and I’m going to tease that game with a play from the clash between the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers. These four teams are all going to be meeting at 4:25 p.m. ET, and I’m going to show you which sides to make your NFL pick on for these great game.
Kansas City Chiefs (2-13, 5-10 ATS) +16.5
Denver Broncos (12-3, 9-6 ATS) -16.5
When I take a look at the game between the Broncos and the Chiefs, I’m reminded about just how close this series has been over the course of the last several years. The last four meetings have all been decided by eight points or fewer, and that includes this year’s clash when Denver only ended up beating KC at Arrowhead Stadium 17-9 in a game that was always relatively close. It’s also worth mentioning that the last four games all featured 27 points or fewer, which gives even more credence to the idea of taking the points.
The Chiefs ultimately just seem to play better ball against the better teams that they run up against. Remember last year that the one loss the Green Bay Packers suffered last season was against KC at Arrowhead. This season against teams that are in the playoffs in the AFC, the Chiefs lost by seven to the Colts, eight to the Broncos, 22 to the Bengals, and three to the Ravens. For good measure, they also beat the Saints on the road as huge underdogs and forced the Steelers into overtime.
Arizona Cardinals (5-10, 6-8-1 ATS) +16.5
San Francisco 49ers (10-4, 9-6 ATS) -16.5
And then comes this game between the 49ers and the Cardinals. It would seem awfully easy to just take San Fran in this game and drop the number to just 9.5 points, knowing that QB Brian Hoyer shouldn’t really be able to get all that much going against this 49ers defense. That being said, Hoyer at least looked somewhat competent in his time on the field last week against the Bears, and he just can’t be any worse than what QB John Skelton and QB Ryan Lindley have put together.
Arizona’s defense has averaged allowing 22.0 points per game this year, and the team truthfully has played a heck of a lot better than that on this side of the ball. This is about the only thing that Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt can rest his laurels on this year, as his offense has been the biggest train wreck on the face of the earth. The Cardinals have a chance to hold the 49ers under 23 points in this game, and if that’s what turns out to be the case, the offense could get shut out and the team could still find a way to stay in front of the number.
Chiefs @ Broncos Tips: 7-point NFL Teaser – Kansas City +23.5 w/ Arizona +23.5