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Hot Bets from the Football Tipster: Dolphins @ Patriots Pick 12/30/12
December 30th, 2012 - Written by Jack Wilshire

Of all of the games on the Sunday 12/30 Week 17 NFL betting schedule, one of my favorite is the clash between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots. Join me for my tips for this 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on CBS.

Miami Dolphins (7-8, 8-7 ATS) +10.5
New England Patriots (11-4, 8-7 ATS) -10.5
Over/Under 46

I just don’t trust Head Coach Bill Belichick in this game. I don’t trust that he is going to play this one full bore, and I don’t trust that he is going to ultimately want to show the Dolphins anything, knowing that he probably has to contend with the Bengals next week or the Broncos or Texans the week after that here at this stadium.

Miami has a team that really has overachieved this year at 7-8, and there is a chance to get the job done and finish up at a very respectable .500 with a win in the cold at Gillette Stadium. QB Ryan Tannehill and the crew have a few very respectable results this year, including beating the Bengals on the road, beating the Rams at home, beating the Seahawks at home, and sticking around with both the Patriots and the 49ers down the stretch.

Regardless as to whether QB Tom Brady plays the full game or not in this one, I still like keeping the points on my side. It’s just that much more of a bonus to ultimately know that Brady and the starters could be spending the fourth quarter on the bench. If that turns out to be the case, Miami will win this game outright in all likelihood. This one probably ultimately means a lot more to the Dolphins than it does to the Patriots in spite of the fact that it is New England that is playing to move up (or avoid moving down) the playoff ladder in the AFC.

Dolphins @ Patriots Tips: Miami Dolphins +10.5

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