The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Texas Tech Red Raiders are set to kick off the 2012 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas on Friday 12/28, and I’m set to make my Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas pick for the affair at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX. Kickoff is set for 9:00 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NCAA football pick for the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas.
2012 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas
Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-6, 7-5 ATS) +13
Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5, 6-6 ATS) -13
This is a sucker’s bet if we have ever seen one. Over 65% of the bets are on the ‘over’ in this game, yet the ‘total’ is dropping at a steady clip and is now down to 55.5 and might get lower by the time this one kicks off. My big thing here is that the implied final score of this game is basically 34-21. Any guesses as to how many times this whole season that the Golden Gophers scored more than 17 points in a game? Exactly four times, one of which came against the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, and one of which came against New Hampshire. There’s just no reason to think if Minnesota can’t score more than 13 on Northwestern of 17 on Illinois, that it can score more than that on Texas Tech.
Remember that the Red Raiders did put together quite a few decent defensive games this year. Though a number of these games did come against lousy teams, T-Tech did hold five clubs to 14 points or fewer this year. The college football “expert handicapper” that wants to back the ‘over’ in this one also thinks that the Texas Tech offense can get the job done and do whatever it wants against the Minnesota defense. What is forgotten is the fact that the Gophers ended the year ranked 11th in the country in pass defense at 178.5 yards per game, and their secondary is a heck of a lot more talented than one would think.
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Remember too, that Texas Tech only scored 24 points or fewer in three of its final five games of the season and was held to an average of just 32.6 points per game against bowl teams this year. If you take out the points scored in overtime, that brings that average down to just 30.1 points per game. If that’s all that Texas Tech plans on scoring against the Golden Gophers, I just don’t see a way how this game is going to reach this relatively average ‘total’.
Minnesota vs. Texas Tech Picks & Tips: Under 55.5