The Military Bowl is one of the games on the college football bowl schedule this year, and today, I’m set to make my NCAA football pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this clash. The San Jose State Spartans and the Bowling Green Falcons are going to do battle at RFK Stadium in Washington DC. Join me for my Military Bowl tips for this 3:00 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on ESPN.
There have been just a ton of ‘over’ contests early here in the bowl season, and this is another one of these ‘totals’ where I think that matters are just too low. The first thing to note is that the Spartans have put up some great stats this year, but that has come against a lousy WAC. The only games this year that SJSU played against teams that were legit this year came against the Utah State Aggies (76 total points), the San Diego State Aztecs (72 points), and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (95 total points). And you’re going to tell me that this game should have a ‘total’ in the mid-40s?
2012 Military Bowl
San Jose State Spartans (10-2, 10-2 ATS) -7.5
Bowling Green Falcons (8-4, 8-4 ATS) +7.5
The Falcons have a fantastic defense, but their schedule too, was relatively weak this year. The Florida Gators, Virginia Tech Hokies, Ohio Bobcats, Kent State Golden Flashes, and Toledo Rockets were the five bowl eligible teams that they played against, and those teams averaged putting up 29.4 points per game against this “vaunted” defense. The numbers are great for Bowling Green, allowing 289.7 yards and 15.8 points per game on the season, but again, take out the cupcake games that really don’t count against teams like the Eastern Michigan Eagles (or worse), and I see a defense that just isn’t all that special.
So in the end, this is a game that I think is going to get into at least the mid-50s, if not more. The Falcons did put up at least 21 points in each of their last eight games on the campaign, and though they did end up playing just one ‘over’ game in that bunch, they should get there again in this one. If they do, there is no reason to think that San Jose State can’t get to at least 30, something that happened in all but one game down the stretch of the last month and a half of the season.
San Jose State vs. Bowling Green Picks & Tips: Over 44