I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the New Orleans Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my New Orleans Bowl picks for the clash between the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns and the East Carolina Pirates. The East Carolina vs. Louisiana Lafayette kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. ET at Mercedes Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.
2012 New Orleans Bowl
East Carolina Pirates (8-4, 6-6 ATS) +5
LA Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (8-4, 7-5 ATS) -5
The first thing that I notice when I look at these two teams is just how many points that these two have put up of late. The last time the Pirates were on the field, they combined for 124 points with the Marshall Thundering Herd. They also put up at least 41 points in four of their last six games. The Cajuns have been a more consistent offensive team all season long, but in their last three games, all of which were wins, they scored at least 31 and averaged 39.3 points per game.
Digging a bit deeper though, neither of these teams might be the best team to back for the ‘over’. East Carolina only averaged running 71.8 snaps per game. In comparison, the Oregon Ducks averaged 81.6 snaps per game, while the South Carolina Gamecocks averaged 66.4 snaps per game. ULL? Just 65.7 snaps per game. If these averages hold up, that means that there has to be a point basically every other snap to get this one to the ‘total’, and I just don’t see that happening with two teams that don’t have much in the way of star power and explosive play power.
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There are a couple of men that I’m afraid of. QB Terrance Broadway averaged 8.2 yards per offensive snap that he took this year, while WR Justin Hardy on the other side of the field for the Pirates averaged 6.9 receptions per game and was one of the top receivers in Conference USA this year. However, ECU also only barely had a 1,000-yard rusher in RB Vintavious Murray, and that came in a situation where the backfield really wasn’t split. QB Shane Carder didn’t even throw for 3,000 yards, and a 21/9 TD/INT ratio doesn’t scare me that much. So if you ask me, these two teams have been more lucky than good when it comes to scoring points this year, and as a result, this one probably isn’t going to ultimately get into the low-60s, let alone the high-60s to beat me.
East Carolina vs. Louisiana Lafayette Picks & Tips: Under 66