Making sports betting picks is one of my specialties, and today, I’m making my Friday Football Tipster pick based upon the football trends and Week 14 college football odds for the UCLA Bruins vs. Stanford Cardinal game on Friday, November 30th at 8:00 p.m. ET.
UCLA Bruins (9-3, 7-5 ATS) +8.5
Stanford Cardinal (10-2, 8-4 ATS) -8.5
The second meeting of two teams is generally one where there is a bit more offense played, knowing that the two teams have felt each other out. Of course, the argument that the oddsmakers are using is that the Stanford defense has now figured out QB Brett Hundley after really shutting he and the Bruins down in the second half of last week’s game, and that’s why this ‘total’ has come down almost a touchdown in spite of the fact that last week’s game eked ‘over’ the ‘total’.
It just doesn’t make any sense to me whatsoever. Stanford has moved the ball quite a bit in these last four games under the direction of QB Kevin Hogan, and the club has averaged 26.3 points per game in its last three (we’ll take out the 48-0 win over a lowly Colorado outfit). Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball, UCLA has been dropping points left and right on just about everyone. Hundley had a fantastic freshman campaign, and RB Johnathan Franklin remains as one of the best backs in the Pac-12 and the nation as a whole.
The Bruins have scored at least 36 points eight times this year, and in the other four games, it still scored at least 17. What the oddsmakers are telling us with this set of college football point spreads is that UCLA won’t get there this time around. That just seems absurd to me. Take the ‘over’, knowing that there should be at least 50 put up in this one for the second straight week.
UCLA @ Stanford Tips: Over 44.5