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January 23rd, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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Here at Cappers Info, we've got our thumb on all of the NFL props for the biggest games of the season. Today, we are looking at the NFC Championship Game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers, and we are making our NFL prop picks for the game. All NFL lines courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook.

James Starks Under 48.5 Rushing Yards: Pardon us for being a tad cynical, but we aren't believers that a man that all of a sudden just came onto the scene over the course of the last few weeks is going to have all that much success against one of the best ground defenses in the game, especially in a system in which he might be required to split some carries three ways. This is a tall task for a rookie to take in, and we know if Starks struggles, he might be replaced by either RB John Kuhn or RB Brandon Jackson on Sunday in the NFC Championship Game.

James Jones Under 3.5 Receptions: We know that Jones has become a more popular target of late for QB Aaron Rodgers, but we also know that there are three other receivers on this team that are grabbing all sorts of attention as well. Remember that Jones is often used as the deep threat for the Pack, and he often gets fewer looks than WR Donald Driver or WR Greg Jennings. This season, Jones only had eight games with at least four catches, and that includes the two playoff games as well. We'll take our chance that he doesn't snare four balls in this one.

Jay Cutler to Not Throw an Interception: You know, someone has to give Mr. Cutler a break one of these days, right? After all, he did have six games this season in which he didn't throw an INT, and though neither one of those came against the Packers, this prop only really needs to be victorious one out of just under three times for us to make money on it. The oddsmakers are certainly playing to the fact that you and everyone else out there hates Cutler and is convinced that he has a five pick game in him this week. He very well could, but as the Super Bowl odds have it, Cutler is more likely to not throw an INT than he is to be totally ruined by the Green Bay defense.

Devin Hester Under 60.5 Punt + Kick Return Yards: The equation for special teams this year has been really simple a good chunk of the time against the Bears. Kick the ball anywhere but to where Devin Hester is standing. The Packers didn't really do a great job listening to that this year, as Hester returned one of his three punts for a TD against the Pack in Week 3, and they did put the ball to him twice in Week 17. However, we know that there is very little chance for Hester to get his paws on a kick return, and we aren't so sure that he is going to have too many chances to bust a big one on a punt either. This one should stay under the number by a comfortable margin.

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January 23rd, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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Here at Cappers Info, we've got our thumb on all of the NFL props for the biggest games of the season. Today, we are looking at the AFC Championship Game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets, and we are making our NFL prop picks for the game. All NFL lines courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook.

Mark Sanchez Under 1.5 TD Passes: Let's be real here… Are the Jets really scoring two TDs in this game? Sanchez might be an improving signal caller, but this is a significantly different challenge against a Pittsburgh defense that doesn't surrender two TDs often, let alone two TDs that both come through the air. We also know that if something happens to Sanchez, this NFL prop pick is a winner.

Ben Roethlisberger Over 21 Completions: The Steelers really do trust Big Ben, and if you want to see an example of that, just check out the fact that he put the pigskin in the air a whopping 32 times last week against one of the most ferocious defenses in the gmae. Roethlisberger had at least 21 completions five times over the course of the last eight games of the season, and we are expecting him to do enough damage in this one to be able to get to this sort of a number as well, especially if the Steelers do end up really getting challenged, if not in a spot where they might lose this game.

Dustin Keller to Not Score a TD: We know that the Steelers really haven't done a great job this year beating up on tight ends, as these are usually the men that end up having no choice but to do a ton of the grunt work, as quarterbacks usually don't have the time to get the ball up the field to their streaking receivers. However, Keller hasn't scored a TD since October 3rd, a stretch of 13 straight games that he has played in without finding the end zone. There's no reason to think that, against one of the best defenses that the game has to offer, that all of a sudden, Keller is going to find his way to pay dirt.

Rashard Mendenhall Under 72.5 Rushing Yards: We know, we can already hear your screaming. The Jets gave up 100 yards to Mendenhall on just 19 carries a month ago when these two teams met here at Heinz Field, but this just feels like a totally different matchup against a team that is really playing its best ball right now. New York knows that it has one of the best rush defenses in the league, and even though Pittsburgh generally plays a smash mouth type of a game, it isn't going to make a huge difference. The Steelers won't have 100 yards on the ground as a team, and if that's the case, there's no hope to get Mendenhall into the 70s.

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January 20th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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We seem to think that it is pretty clear that the four teams left standing in the playoffs really aren't the best teams for NFL betting fans to back in 2010. However, with right combination of luck, skill, and timely plays, the Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, New York Jets, and Pittsburgh Steelers have made it to the NFL's version of the Final Four, and one of the four teams will be lifting the Lombardi Trophy in February. Which team is the best of the bunch? We make our Superbowl picks and break down the key facets to the four teams still alive in the postseason.

Ranking the Passing Games: It probably would've taken us being in a bit of a parallel universe to think that both Mark Sanchez and Jay Cutler would be in the AFC and NFC Championship Games respectively, but that's exactly what has happened. We believe that Cutler is clearly the worst of the bunch, as he really doesn't have any major targets that he can throw to on a regular basis, and he still has that problem with throwing interceptions that turns up every so often. Names like TE Greg Olsen, WR Johnny Knox, and the likes just don't scare us. Sanchez has all of a sudden won four playoff games, all on the road, in the last two seasons, and he now has double the playoff wins in his career that any Jet quarterback has in team history. There is no doubt that we would rather have the combination of WR Braylon Edwards, WR Jerricho Cotchery, WR Santonio Holmes, and TE Dustin Keller than any other group in the league, but it clearly isn't enough to make up for the fact that Sanchez isn't even a Top 15 quarterback in the NFL today. The Packers clearly have the QB du jour right now, and the reason that many are making their Super Bowl XLV picks on them is because of Aaron Rodgers. Sure, we know that there isn't a player in the league that has made more plays than Rodgers in the playoffs, as he has thrown six TDs and has yet to be picked off. He is putting on a run that is nothing like we have ever seen from a Green Bay quarterback before, something that we never thought we would saying knowing that No. 4 isn't in town anymore. Rodgers has a great crop of receivers as well, but this unit would have looked a lot better with TE Jermichael Finley in the fold. All four of Donald Driver, James Jones, Greg Jennings, and Jordy Nelson had at least 75 receiving yards last week against the Atlanta Falcons as well. Our choice though, is the Pittsburgh Steelers, and that's in spite of the fact that this offensive line looks like Swiss cheese and got Ben Roethlisberger sacked six times against the Baltimore Ravens. There is no doubt that Big Ben is the man that we want making plays for us down the stretch, and he has a fantastic crop of receivers to work with as well, most notably Hines Ward. There's no glitz and no glamour, but there are two rings for this offense to flash right now, and that's something that we cannot ignore. Super Bowl Preview for Passing Games: 1) Pittsburgh 2) Green Bay 3) New York 4) Chicago

Ranking the Running Games: There isn't much that is all that flashy about any of these four ground games on the road to Super Bowl betting action. The Packers are clearly the worst of the bunch in spite of the fact that James Starks really has come out of nowhere to put up some great numbers. However, if you fed us the football 25 times in a game, we'd be able to come up with 60 yards just like Starks did against the Falcons as well last week. Chicago is in terrible shape right now with its ground game as well, as we aren't so certain that Matt Forte really has the ability to carry a team to beat the Superbowl lines. The Jets know that Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson have all sorts of ways that they can get yards and score, and we have to remember that this is really the only team in the bunch that utilizes the Wildcat look with WR Brad Smith if he is healthy. We know that New York has the toughest matchup this week, but we tend to believe that the Jets get the nod over Rashard Mendenhall and the Steelers ground game. Don't get us wrong. We absolutely love Mendenhall and think that Pittsburgh might have had the steal of the entire NFL Draft when it got the former Illinois Fighting Illini runner late in the first round of the draft two years ago. Still, LT looks like he has found the fountain of youth, and there are just more options for Head Coach Rex Ryan and company to rely on. Superbowl XLV Preview for Rushing Games: 1) New York 2) Pittsburgh 3) Chicago 4) Green Bay

Ranking the Defenses: Now is when we're really splitting hairs, as the argument could really be made that any of these defenses could be the best in the league, or the worst of the four. One thing is for certain, and that's that we have four of the Top 5 or 6 defenses in the entire NFL here left in the second season, and this road to Super Bowl XLV betting action is going to be gritty. The Packers might be the most notable bunch on paper thanks to LB Clay Matthews and the fact that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers knows how to get after quarterbacks, but this is a unit that has really folded in close games at times this year. We know that DB Tramon Williams already has three picks, including the backbreaking pick six against the Falcons right before halftime, but there is just something about this unit that we don't like in the run to the Super Bowl. The Jets have had some stinker games as well, and we know that they can give up points in bunches at times. There isn't a more feared defense in the league than this one though, and it's really hard to argue with a unit that has kept QB Tom Brady and QB Peyton Manning, two future Hall of Famers and arguably the two best quarterbacks in the history of the NFL down to a total of 37 points in two games in the postseason. We know that Chicago has the most underrated unit in the bunch of these four, but we look at the job that these guys have done against Rodgers and the Packers this year and smile. There is a real argument that DE Julius Peppers could be the Defensive Player of the Year in spite of the fact that he only had eight sacks this year, but he is the most disruptive force in the league, bar none. LB Brian Urlacher and LB Lance Briggs know how to get this team to the Super Bowl, and they did it with QB Rex Grossman calling the shots. However, the staple of defenses in the NFL is that of the Steelers, and it isn't even close if Troy Polamalu is healthy. The former USC Trojan is all over the field 100% of the time, and there is no man that delivers more devastating blows that James Harrison. You can say that there were 22 points given up to the Jets earlier this season, but nine of those came via special teams or the offense, just as there were directly seven and indirectly three more points allowed to the Ravens last week thanks to poor play by the offense and the special teams. Preview for Super Bowl XLV Betting for Defenses: 1) Pittsburgh 2) Chicago 3) New York 4) Green Bay

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January 17th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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In 2005, the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets played an epic overtime battle in the playoffs that was separated by just a matter of inches here at Heinz Field. In that NFL betting affair, the Steelers came away with a slight three point win. Will the same be able to be said now that the stakes are even higher in the AFC Championship Game? Find out right here with our AFC Championship Game picks at Cappers Info!

Matchup: New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, January 23th, 6:30 ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Game Line: Pittsburgh -3.5
Over/Under 38

Jets Notes: If you're a fan of the Jets right now, you have to be pleased with the fact that your team is still kicking in the second season after going through the gauntlet of both QB Peyton Manning and QB Tom Brady. It is really notable that New York has held these two future Hall of Fame signal callers to just 37 points between them in two games, and seven of those points really came in garbage time at the end of the duel on Sunday against the New England Patriots. A team that was perceived to be all talk and no walk has really been proven otherwise, as for the second straight year, Head Coach Rex Ryan and company have had the game to back up their mouths. QB Mark Sanchez and his offense did a great job of taking care of the pigskin on Sunday against the Pats, not turning the ball over a single time on the afternoon. That's the type of play that got this team to the playoffs, and this is exactly what the formula was for reaching the AFC Championship Game last year. Also, in games in which New York has scored a TD this year, it only has been beaten one time, that wild loss to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. There aren't really anymore eye popping stats that stand out for the Jets offensively, but the defense is doing its job as well. Brady was sacked five times on Sunday, and he was constantly under pressure, especially on blitzes right up the middle. Against a Pittsburgh team that often struggles to protect its quarterback, this could be a tremendous key to the game. LB David Harris became the first man to pick off a pass from Brady since October, and you can bet that he and his defensive mates are ready to rock and roll against Big Ben and company on Sunday in Steeltown.

Steelers Notes: There are some positive signs for the Steelers to rest on coming into the AFC Championship Game, but there are a heck of a lot of negative ones as well. We've already mentioned the biggest downer, and that's that QB Ben Roethlisberger is virtually always under the gun. He was sacked six times and pressured seemingly a zillion others against the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday afternoon, and you know that the Jets are watching tape of that game and salivating right now. The ground game never really got its act together with RB Rashard Mendenhall either against the Ravens. This rushing defense is statistically stronger than that of the Ravens, though, as the Jets ranked No. 2 in the AFC and No. 3 overall in holding running backs down. In fact, the first time that they allowed a 100+ yard rusher in the Rex Ryan era was against this Pittsburgh team in Week 15. That's the brightest news that the Steelers have to look forward to in this one. Mendenhall had 19 carries for exactly 100 yards, and he gashed a ton of holes in this New York 'D' on that day, and this might set up to be another rock solid day for him as well. As always, the biggest thing that the Steelers have going for them is the fact that their defense is just downright nasty. They forced a few crucial turnovers against QB Joe Flacco and company over the weekend, and though allowing 24 points doesn't look like they had a phenomenal game, only 14 of it was the fault of the defense, as seven came directly from the offense, while another three came when Baltimore started a drive in field goal range thanks to special teams. We continue to preach how strong this team was this year against opposing ground attacks as well. Pittsburgh only allowed a miniscule 61.1 yards per game on the ground this year.

The Final Word: Hasn't this been a crazy year of NFL betting action? There is no doubt in our minds that these are not the four best teams left standing in the league this year, but these are the ones that are merely peaking at the right time. If that holds true, the Jets should be the winners in this one, as they are clearly in the best form right now in the AFC. Even if they don't walk out of the Steel City with a 'W', you'd like to think that these two are going to play a close enough game to bring that point spread into some consideration. We'll talk the Jets outright, but it wouldn't surprise us if this one came down to a last second kick or some OT, and if that's the case, we want all of the points that we can get.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York +3.5
Prediction: New York 16 – Pittsburgh 13

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January 16th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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After splitting the first two clashes of the year, the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears will be duking it out one final time this year at Soldier Field in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday afternoon. We have all of the action covered here at Cappers Info with our NFC Championship Game picks.

Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
Date: Sunday, January 23th, 3:00 ET
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Game Line: Green Bay -3
Over/Under 44

Packers Notes: You won't find a more trendy team in NFL betting action right now than the Packers, as they have posted back to back tremendous victories in the Wild Card and Divisional rounds of the playoffs and have stormed into the NFC Championship Game as favorites. They were the trendy choice at the start of the year to win it all as well, and it almost seems like a distant memory that they had to beat these Bears in Week 17 just to get into the second season. As it is though, QB Aaron Rodgers is the hottest signal caller in the league, as he is completing 77.8 percent of his passes in the playoffs and has six TDs without throwing a pick. All four of his top receivers, Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, Donald Driver, and James Jones had at least 75 receiving yards against the Falcons on Saturday night, while RB James Starks had a second straight respectable game on the ground after not being heard from in the entire regular season. However, the key really has been the defense. We've always known that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers in a genius on this side of the ball, and it is really showing this year. Capers' unit ranked No. 2 in the league in scoring at 15.0 points per game this year, and it was No. 5 overall in yardage at 309.1 yards per game. Those numbers have vastly improved in the second season. Green Bay allowed just 16 points to the Philadelphia Eagles, who had one of the best offenses in the league this year when QB Michael Vick was healthy, and it turned around just six days later and kept QB Matt Ryan, WR Roddy White, RB Michael Turner and company to just 194 total yards. The real impact play of the game was a 70 yard INT return for a TD by DB Tramon Williams. A game ball also went to LB Clay Matthews, who was arguably the best defensive player of the entire season this year. Matthews had four tackles, two sacks, and a fumble recovery as a part of the great effort against Atlanta.

Bears Notes: Are they really that lucky, or are they really that good? That's the question that has been surrounding the Bears all season long, and it is amazing that we are in the fourth weekend of January and still don't have an answer to that question. Beating up the Seattle Seahawks was nice in the Divisional round of the playoffs, but there isn't a person alive that didn't know that Head Coach Pete Carroll's men had the weakest side in the entire postseason from the get go. This was a game that was expected to be won by double digits, and that's exactly what happened. Chicago came out and dropped the first 28 points on the board before letting its foot up off the gas pedal just a tad. Though nothing was really proven, the confidence for QB Jay Cutler really has to be soaring after this one on Sunday. He threw for 274 yards and two long TDs, and he rushed for a pair of scores as well. The key though, was not turning the ball over. Chicago only had one turnover, and that was on a bad play call and poor execution on a halfback pass by RB Matt Forte. Cutler didn't play well in two games against the Packers this year, throwing for just 389 yards and one TD against two picks, and you can bet that the buzzards will once again be swarming in the Windy City about whether this is a man that can really bring this team to the Super Bowl if he doesn't have a good game against the Pack on Sunday.

The Final Word: For a good chunk of the season, we've been preaching that the Bears are a victim in NFL betting action. There really isn't a home team that should be an underdog at this juncture of the playoffs, particularly in a rivalry game like this. All you're going to hear all week long is that the Bears are a product of a weak schedule and a weak division, and that Cutler is only good enough to beat up the bad teams. Everyone will talk about how he is going to implode and throw three picks against the Packers, and how Forte won't be able to get anything going on the ground. Look, Green Bay is great. We know that. However, our first inclination in this one is that the Bears really do have the better defense. This unit really proved it this year when it held the Packers to just 27 points in two games. If Chicago flexes its muscles in this one, there is no reason that it can't go back to the Super Bowl for the second time in the tenure of Head Coach Lovie Smith.

Free NFC Championship Picks: Chicago Bears +3
NFC Championship Prediction: Chicago 20 – Green Bay 17

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January 9th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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There has been a ton of talking between the New York Jets and the rest of the NFL, and this week, you know that there is going to be a lot of jabber going back and forth with their divisional rivals, the New England Patriots. These two teams split the NFL betting proceedings in the regular season, and today, we are taking aim at our NFL picks for the final game of the weekend.

Matchup: New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Game Line: New England +9
Over/Under 45.5

Jets Notes: It should be interesting to see whether the Jets are going to stick to their run first attack or not this weekend. Head Coach Rex Ryan knows that New England's pass defense can be porous (more on that in a moment), but its ground game was devastated a few times this year as well. RBs LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene probably didn't get enough carries this season, as the two only just barely exceeded 400 carries and didn't come anywhere near 500 total touches as expected. However, in that first playoff game, they had 35 carries and 39 total touches for 152 yards combined (169 if you include Tomlinson's 17 receiving yards), and LT ended up with two TDs, both of which came in the second half of the win against the Indianapolis Colts. The confidence level for QB Mark Sanchez really could have been shattered in the first half of that game, as he was picked off in the end zone to ensure that New York would be shut out in the first 30 minutes. However, when all of the marbles were really on the line in the fourth quarter with less than a minute to play, Ryan called Sanchez's number, letting him throw the ball to WR Braylon Edwards on the final offensive play of the game. The ball was complete, and K Nick Folk ended up with a significantly easier job to win the game. The Jets know that they did a fantastic job keeping Indy down to just 16 first downs and 312 total yards on the day, but their defense is going to have to put forth an even better effort to hold the Pats to such numbers on Saturday.

Patriots Notes: New England has confidence coming into this one, knowing that it scored 45 points in a complete romp when these two teams met up at Gillette Stadium earlier this year. It knows that it has an offense that is, without a shadow of a doubt, the best in the NFL. For the last eight weeks of the season, there were definitely some shades of the undefeated regular season, as the Pats scored at least 31 points in all of their games to bump up their scoring average for the year beyond 32 points per game. QB Tom Brady is, without a shadow of a doubt, the league's MVP this year, as he threw for 36 TDs against just four picks and threw for 3,900 yards. Though his numbers don't necessarily suggest it, Brady probably had just as good of a season this year as in that perfect season in which he threw 50 TD passes and broke virtually every record in the books. He could be hampered if TE Aaron Hernandez is kept out of the lineup in this one, as Hernandez was one of the top pass catchers on this team and made a great sidekick for fellow rookie TE Rob Gronkowski. The two had almost 90 catches this year and had 16 TDs. The difference between this year and in 2007 is that RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis is a legitimate superstar on the ground. He had 1,008 yards and 13 TDs this year, and he had a great complement in RB Danny Woodhead. The problem, if there is one, is that aforementioned defense, which ranked just No. 25 in the league at 366.5 yards per game and was third to last in the league in pass defense at 258.5 yards per game. Still, New England overcame that all season this year and only had two losses, though one of the two did come against these Jets.

The Final Word: Be very, very careful, New England. The layoff might not be what the doctor ordered for the perceived best team in the NFL. New York is the real deal, and there is a reason that this team won two more games in the regular season this year than it did last season. Eleven wins teams don't go down without a fight in the playoffs, and you can bet that this is going to be no exception. The Jets could pull off the tremendous upset in this game as well, just like they did last year against the San Diego Chargers in this exact same spot.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York Jets +9
Prediction: New York 20 – New England 19

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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The Philadelphia Eagles and the Green Bay Packers have already met once this year here in the City of Brotherly Love, and on that day, the visitors scored a 27-20 victory. However, the Eagles made a huge stand that day and nearly erased a three score deficit. The two are going to have at it again this Sunday to wrap up the first round of NFL betting action in Wild Card Weekend.

Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 4:30 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Game Line: Philadelphia -2.5
Over/Under 46.5

Packers Notes: About the only thing that has really changed for the Packers since Week 1 is that RB Ryan Grant hasn't been in the lineup. He suffered his season ending injury in that game against the Eagles and has not been heard from since. RB Brandon Jackson really didn't cut it as his replacement, rushing for just over 700 yards on the year. The argument could be made that QB Aaron Rodgers was the league's MVP this year, as he really put this team on his back and carried it to the postseason in the face of adversity. Rodgers threw for 3,922 yards and 28 TDs this year against just 11 picks, and he was the man responsible for winning these last two must win games of the year to get the Pack into the playoffs. He turned WR Greg Jennings into a Pro Bowler this year, as he caught 76 passes for 1,265 yards and 12 TDs. WRs James Jones and Jordy Nelson both replaced a struggling and aging Donald Driver, though all three had at least 565 yards and 45 receptions this year. The real key to this team is the defense, which was one of the best in the NFL this year. LB Clay Matthews might be the Defensive Player of the Year after he picked up 13.5 sacks on the season. Green Bay ranked No. 5 in the land in total 'D' at 309.1 yards per game and No. 2 in scoring at 15.0 points per game. Though there were some shoddy games, there were some absolutely fantastic ones as well. The Packers held a whopping six foes to seven points or fewer this year, and the only team to score more than 26 points on this unit all season long was the New England Patriots, and QB Matt Flynn was forced to start in that game.

Eagles Notes: The difference between this NFL betting affair and the one in Week 1 for the Eagles is that the signal caller starting the day will not be QB Kevin Kolb. Instead, QB Michael Vick has turned himself into an MVP candidate, and a surefire Comeback Player of the Year winner. Vick, who was only in prison just two years ago at this time, came back this year to throw for 3,018 yards and rush for 676 more. Had you prorated his numbers over a full 16 game season, Vick would have thrown for 4,024 yards and 28 TDs and rushed for 901 yards and 12 scores on the ground, and he surely would be the owner of the league's most illustrious individual award. Alas, injuries and some shoddy coaching at times by Head Coach Andy Reid kept him on the bench for far too long. When Vick was in the lineup, this team averaged over 400 yards per game, and the unit would have averaged 33.8 points per game, both numbers of which would have been No. 1 in the league. Watch out for WR DeSean Jackson, as he led the NFL in yards per reception with 22.5. He had 47 catches for 1,056 yards and six TDs, and he also had 104 yards and a TD on the ground and 231 yards and a TD while returning punts. WR Jeremy Maclin had 70 catches for 964 yards and 10 TDs. On the ground, RB LeSean McCoy was one of the most underrated backs in the league. he had 1,080 yards and seven TDs as a runner, and he led the team with 78 receptions, accounting for 592 yards and two more TDs as a receiver. The Philly defense is suspect in spite of the fact that DB Asante Samuel ranked No. 2 in the NFL with seven picks. This unit allowed 326.8 yards and 23.6 points per game.

The Final Word: The Packers are a trendy selection both here and for the right to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl this year, but we tend to disagree. Beating the same team twice in the same season on the road both times has to be one of the hardest things to do in the NFL. The Eagles have learned their lesson, and Vick and company are sure to be pulling out the 'W' in front of their hometown crowd.

Free Pro Football Picks: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Prediction: Philadelphia 27 – Green Bay 20

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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There might not have been a more improbable team in the playoffs this year than the Kansas City Chiefs. They were one of the longest shots on the board to win their division regardless of what division you were talking about in football, but they are laughing last. KC beat the NFL odds all year long, and now it has to overcome some awfully long Super Bowl odds this week to take care of the Baltimore Ravens, who have become known as killers to home teams in the AFC playoffs.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 1:00 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Game Line: Baltimore -3
Over/Under 40.5

Ravens Notes: Over the course of the last two seasons, the Ravens have really done well in the playoffs, taking care of a number of teams en route to the AFC Divisional round of the playoffs and the AFC Championship Game in back to back years. This is the third year in a row that they are going to have to win three road games if they want to play for the Lombardi Trophy. The argument could be made that this is the best team that the Ravens have put together in a number of seasons, and that might even include the Super Bowl squad. QB Joe Flacco is one of the best up and coming signal callers in the league, and he proved it this year by throwing for 3,622 yards and 25 TDs against just 10 picks on the season. He has a great crop of receivers to work with as well, as WR Derrick Mason, WR Anquan Boldin, WR TJ Houshmanzadeh, and the always dependable TE Todd Heap were all great this year. RB Ray Rice was also used as a pass catching option quite a bit, 63 times to be exact. Rice had 556 yards through the air and 1,223 more on the ground, and though he only had six scores for the season, we know that he can go off for a tremendous game at the drop of a hat. Boldin, Mason, and Heap all also hit the 600 yard barrier this year. Boldin and Mason had nearly identical numbers, as the two combined for 125 receptions, 1,639 yards, and 14 trips to the end zone. Defensively, things really changed when S Ed Reed came back into the lineup. He has eight picks this year, which led the league, and he missed the first six weeks of the year on the PUP list. As always, LB Ray Lewis is one of the best in the biz as well, as he had a pair of picks, a pair of sacks, a pair of fumble recoveries, and a team high 102 tackles on the year. Needless to say, he and several of his teammates on this side of the ball will be playing in the Pro Bowl this year.

Chiefs Notes: Arrowhead Stadium has become a real house of horrors for the opposition this year, as the only team to come in here and pull out a victory was the Oakland Raiders. However, what we have to remember is that there was only one team that this team beat all season long that finished above .500, and the 'W' against the San Diego Chargers came way back in Week 1. In fact, there was only one other team that even finished this year above .500 on this entire slate, and the Chiefs lost to the Indianapolis Colts by 10. The good news for KC is that it has a great mold for winning games. Run the ball, and play great defense. The 'D' has some real stars on it this year, and the addition of S Eric Berry has clearly made a big difference. DE Tamba Hali is headed to the Pro Bowl as well after he picked up 14.5 sacks on the campaign. Offensively, the team averaged 164.2 yards per game on the ground this year, led by RB Jamaal Charles. The former University of Texas standout averaged a league high 6.4 yards per carry this year, and he had 1,467 yards and five TDs this year. Don't forget about RB Thomas Jones either, who had 896 yards and six TDs. When QB Matt Cassel has to put the ball in the air, he generally does well, though he is coming off of the worst game of his career against the Oakland Raiders. Cassel threw for 3,116 yards and 27 TDs against seven picks this year, one of the best TD/INT ratios in the league. WR Dwayne Bowe led the NFL in receiving TDs with 15, and he had 72 catches for 1,162 yards in 2010.

The Final Word: Kansas City has been a nice story this year, but this team is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. The Chiefs really haven't done anything but beat the teams that they were supposed to beat this year, and unfortunately for them, this isn't a team that they are supposed to beat. Going on the road isn't going to intimidate the Ravens, and unfortunately for the hosts, they are going to be the next team in line that had no business getting in their way. Quoth the Ravens: Never score. Don't be shocked if this one gets very, very ugly.

Free Pro Football Picks: Baltimore -3
Prediction: Baltimore 17 – Kansas City 6

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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If you listen to Head Coach Rex Ryan, the New York Jets think that this battle against the Indianapolis Colts is one that is personal on Saturday night. These two behemoths will square off at Lucas Oil Field, where they are going to be slugging it out with one another in the 3/6 battle in the AFC side of the playoffs. Check out our NFL playoff picks for this one!

Matchup: New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Saturday, January 8th, 8:00 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Game Line: Indianapolis -2.5
Over/Under 44.5

Jets Notes: This was supposed to be a season for the Jets in which they won the AFC East, earned a first round bye in the playoffs, played two home playoff games, and captured the Super Bowl. The media hype in the Big Apple is tremendous here, and there will be a lot of pressure on Ryan's shoulders to perform next season if New York doesn't at least get out of the first round of the playoffs. QB Mark Sanchez has improved, but we are still questioning whether he really has the ability to win as a quarterback in this league without a ton of help. He only completed 54.8 percent of his passes this year for 3,278 yards, and though his TD/INT ratio improved, 17/13 in that category is really nothing to write home about. He does have a great crop of backs and receivers, and a stellar offensive line around him, though. The combo of WR Santonio Holmes, WR Braylon Edwards, and TE Dustin Keller is one of the most talented trios in the league, and all three had averaged over 750 yards and 54 receptions apiece. On the ground, we tend to think that New York upgraded by trading in last year's rushing duo of RB Thomas Jones and RB Leon Washington for RB LaDainian Tomlinson and RB Shonn Greene. Greene was probably a bit disappointing with just 766 yards and two TDs this year, but LT proved that he still has some legs, rushing for 906 yards and catching 52 passes for 355 yards, totaling six scores. Defensively, this team can still cause opponents fits, as New York comes into the postseason ranking No. 3 against the rush at just 90.9 yards per game allowed and No. 3 overall at 291.4 yards per game allowed. Giving up 19.0 points per game shows that there have been some chinks in the armor, but when push came to shove this year, the Jets held seven foes to 14 points or fewer.

Colts Notes: QB Peyton Manning certainly wasn't the league's MVP this year, but if he is going to win the Super Bowl this season, he is going to have to put on a fantastic face and put this team on his back to do so. We know that this defense has improved just a tad this year, but there is still no excuse for a playoff team that is hoping to really win the Super Bowl to allow 341.6 yards and 24.2 points per game. The ground game is one of the worst in the league as well at just 92.7 yards per game, though we know that the combination of RB Joseph Addai and RB Dominic Rhodes has played relatively well in recent weeks. It's all up to Peyton though, and he knows it. He led the No. 1 ranked passing attack in the game this year at 288.1 yards per game, and he broke the single season record for most completions in a season with 450. Manning won't have either WR Austin Collie or TE Dallas Clark to work with, but there is still something to be said about how good TE Jacob Tamme, WR Pierre Garcon, and particularly WR Reggie Wayne have been this year. Wayne led the AFC in receptions with 111, and he had 1,355 yards and six scores to show for his work. He was also the only other skill position player, outside of Manning, that played in more than 14 games this year. Garcon had 67 catches and 786 yards in 14 games, while Tamme, who only took over as a starter seven games into the year, had 67 receptions for 631 yards and four TDs. Manning ended the year with 33 scores on the campaign, but he had 17 picks as well that proved to be real eyesores.

The Final Word: Though this sort of feels like the same type of mountain for the Jets to climb this year, the results aren't quite going to be the same. New York clearly has a better team than it did last year, and though it doesn't look this way statistically, it does reflect in the wins and losses. Don't be surprised if the Jets put their money where their head coach's mouth is and come away with an upset to avenge last season's loss in the AFC Championship Game.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York Jets +2.5
Prediction: New York 26 – Indianapolis 21

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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It might be one of the great mismatches of our time in the NFL playoffs, and it might be one of the most sterling upsets in the history of the league. We clearly have a David vs. Goliath situation on our hands on Saturday afternoon at Qwest Field in NFL betting action, as the defending Super Bowl champs, the New Orleans Saints, take on the only team in major sports to win a division and get into the playoffs with a sub-.500 record, the Seattle Seahawks.

Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks
Date: Saturday, January 8th, 4:30 ET
Location: Qwest Field, Seattle, WA
Game Line: New Orleans -10.5
Over/Under 44.5

Saints Notes: Pretty much everything here is in the favor of the Saints in this one, as they are really in a great spot. They were a great road team this year at 6-2, and they know that they can beat some of the best teams in the land; a road win over the Atlanta Falcons, the top seed in the NFC playoffs proved that from a few weeks ago. Still, there are questions surrounding the running game, which is essentially going to be a cut and paste mish mosh between RB Julius Jones and RB Reggie Bush. The two only had about 300 rushing yards on the year between them, but the rest of the running backs in this core are all on IR. That means that the pressure is on the lap of QB Drew Brees, who really does have the chance to be a hero for the city of New Orleans for the second straight year. He threw for 4,620 yards and 31 TDs this year, and his only bugaboo is 22 INTs. The trio of wide outs on this squad, Marques Colston, Lance Moore, and Robert Meachem is one of the best in the land, as these three combined for almost 200 receptions, over 2,400 yards, and 20 TDs between them. Where New Orleans has really improved from last season is defensively. This unit is no longer a liability, as it ranked No. 4 in the league in total 'D' at 306.2 yards per game and No. 7 in scoring at 19.2 points per game. We also know that without the terrible efforts of the special teams and the overabundance of turnovers by Brees, this unit could have allowed even as few as 14 or so points per night.

Seahawks Notes: Short of some fantastic prayers, great special teams play, and the resurgence of either an offense or a defense that really hasn't been around all season long, the Seahawks certainly look like they are going to have a very short stay in the second season this year. It isn't often that you see a team rank No. 28 overall in offense and No. 27 overall in defense and still make the playoffs, but then again, you don't normally see a team that is 6-9 controlling its own destiny for the postseason going into the last week of the regular season. The good news is that QB Matt Hasselbeck is back, and he already knows what it takes to bring his team to the Super Bowl. He threw for 3,001 yards and 12 TDs against 17 picks this season, one which will surely be one of the last of his career. Hasselbeck loves looking for WR Mike Williams, a former USC Trojan just like Head Coach Pete Carroll. Williams really has revived his career this year, catching 65 passes for 751 yards and a pair of scores. The problem is that there isn't another receiver with even 40 catches or even 500 yards on the season, and no one had more than four TDs as a receiver. To make matters worse, the rushing game ranked dead last in the conference and second to last in the NFL. RB Marshawn Lynch came over to Seattle early in the year, but he only averaged 3.5 yards per carry and had just 573 yards and six TDs to show for his work. RB Justin Forsett had just 523 yards and two TDs.

The Final Word: Though it would be a great story to see Seattle spring the upset, we just don't see any way that the Saints are doing anything but winning this game by at least three TDs. This is the big time right now, and there aren't going to be any letdowns from New Orleans' perspective. Brees knows that he just has to be good and doesn't have to force things. If that's the case, this should be an easy romp through Qwest Field in what could be another run to the Super Bowl for the fantastic Saints.

Free Pro Football Picks: New Orleans -10.5
Prediction: New Orleans 38 – Seattle 10

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan

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The BCS National Championship is one of the oldest bowl games that we, the college football betting nation, has a chance to catch on an annual basis. This year, two old division rivals meet up in Arlington, as the Auburn Tigers try to tame the Oregon Ducks.

BCS National Championship Game Matchup: Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigers
Date: Monday, January 10th, 8:30 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
BCS National Championship Line: Auburn -2.5
Over/Under 74

Ducks Notes: There is no doubting the fact that the Quack Attack was absolutely fantastic this year, blowing through the Pac-10 with very few problems. The only real snafu came in a brutal 15-13 win over the Cal Golden Bears back on November 13th. Aside from that, there wasn't a win that came by fewer than 11 points this year, and there was never a game that was in any sort of doubt in the fourth quarter. It's going to take an absolutely boatload of points to make happen, but the U of O has a chance to become the top scoring offense by average in the history of college football. This team ranks No. 1 in the country both in total yardage at 542.1 yards per game and No. 1 in scoring at 49.3 points per game. The Ducks hold up those fancy play cards with faces, numbers, colors, etc. on them, they get the play, and they go. They played 12 games this year and ran a total of 935 plays, an average of nearly 78 per game. QB Darron Thomas gets all the credit in the world for coming in and leading this offense in spite of the fact that he was No. 3 on the depth chart at the start of the Spring last year. He hopped over QB Nathan Costa and took over for QB Jeremiah Masoli, who was booted off of the team. Thomas threw for 2,500 yards and 28 TDs and had 492 yards and five scores on the ground as well. Speaking of the ground game, there might not be a better running back tandem in the land than that of Heisman Trophy runner up RB LaMichael James and RB Kenjon Barner. James had 1,702 yards and 21 TDs this year in just 11 starts, while Barner had just 81 carries, but picked up 537 yards and six TDs to boot. WR Jeffrey Maehl is inevitably going to be a part of the action as well on the outside. He had 68 receptions for 943 yards and 12 TDs this year.

Tigers Notes: Then there is Auburn, which many perceive to be a one man band with QB Cam Newton. There's no denying that this man is one of the scariest players to try to defend in college football. He threw for 2,589 yards and 28 scores on the year, and he rushed for 1,409 yards and 20 more TDs. Granted, he had an extra game to do all of this damage in, but unlike Oregon, the Tigers played in the rough and tumble SEC and were challenged quite a bit at the beginning of the season. There are two fantastic backs to work with at Auburn as well this year. RB Michael Dyer needs just 50 yards to become a 1,000 yard back on the year, and he has found the end zone five times, while RB Onterio McCalebb had 763 yards and nine TDs, and he averaged 8.6 yards per carry on the campaign. The last time we saw WR Darvin Adams, he was breaking all of the SEC Championship Game records in just one half of football, as he had seven catches for 217 yards and two scores, all of which came in the first half against the South Carolina Gamecocks. What we need to remember is that Auburn isn't just an offensive club either. This defense was the real deal in the SEC, led by DL Nick Fairley, who is sure to be a Top 10 pick in the NFL Draft if he elects to come out of school early. This unit allowed just 354.5 yards per game this year and ranked No. 7 in the country against the rush at 104.0 yards per game. Opponents only averaged 24.5 points per game, a far cry from the 42.7 points per game that the Tigers averaged on offense. If you like a fast paced game, Offensive Coordinator Gus Malzahn will do the trick for you. He had Auburn snap the ball 856 times this year, an average of nearly 66 times per game.

The Final Word: Offense very well could ultimately be the word for these two teams in the title game, but we aren't so sure that either team is going to be in the swing of things after having over six weeks off at the outset. Auburn has the better defense in this game, and it appears to really be a touched team this season. Allegations about Newton or not, the Tigers just keep beating the odds and beating every single team on their schedule. They'll wrap up a fantastic bowl season for the SEC by winning the BCS Championship Game with relative ease against the Ducks.

BCS National Championship Free Pick: Auburn -2.5
BCS National Championship Prediction: Auburn 34 – Oregon 23

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January 7th, 2011 - Written by Andrew Ryan
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One of the top offenses in the country takes on one of the top defenses that the land has to offer out in San Francisco, where Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl betting action will ensue on Sunday night after all of the NFL playoff betting festivities for the first round are said and done. The Nevada Wolf Pack will look to send QB Colin Kaepernick and company out of Reno as winners against the youthful Boston College Eagles, who have a lot to prove down the stretch.

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Matchup: Boston College Eagles vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 9:00 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Line: Nevada -7.5
Over/Under 55

Eagles Notes: It's clear that the key to winning this game for Head Coach Frank Spaziani and company is going to be contain the Nevada offense. The good news is that there has been a full month and a half to prepare for this Pistol look, something that really should play into BC's hands. Though this unit never saw an offense like this in 2010, the Eagles can rest assured that they have now allowed more than 16 points in a game since a 24-21 loss to the Maryland Terrapins at home on October 23rd. They also only gave up more than 31 points in a game once this year, a brutal 44-17 beat down at the hands of the NC State Wolfpack on October 9th. In totality, Boston College only surrendered 302.5 yards per game this year and were No. 1 in the land against the rush at 72.7 yards per game. Offensively, it's all about the running game for the young Eagles, who are going to be using this game as a bit of a springboard for the 2011 season in which the mass majority of the skill players are back. RB Montel Harris has had a great three year career thus far in Chestnut Hill, rushing for a total of 3,599 yards and 27 TDs in his career. He has six straight games with at least 100 yards on the ground, and has rumbled for an average of over 130 yards per game in that stretch. The play of QB Chase Rettig is going to be key, though. Rettig isn't going to be asked to put the ball in the air even 30 times in this game in all likelihood, but when he does throw the pigskin, he has to do it without turning the ball over. He is just a freshman playing in his first ever bowl game, but Rettig has to stay calm. He threw for 1,117 yards and six scores against seven picks in roughly half of a season's worth of action this year.

Wolf Pack Notes: Some of the numbers that you are going to see here for the Wolf Pack might shock and amaze you, as Head Coach Chris Ault deserves all the credit in the world for designing this Pistol attack and utilizing the pieces to the puzzle that he has to the fullest. If not for a 27-21 at the Hawaii Warriors, Nevada probably would have been playing in a BCS bowl game this year, as they surely would have been ranked in the Top 10 in the nation and would have had a significantly better argument to be in the Sugar Bowl than the Arkansas Razorbacks with two losses had. This is an offense that was held under 34 points just twice all season long, and was a team that put at least 49 on the board six times, including in each of the first three games of the season. The defense allowed just 22.1 points per game this year, and it was a unit that was sneakily good at times during the campaign. Nevada ranked No. 2 in the nation in total yardage at 536.1 yards per game and dropped 42.6 points per game to boot, No. 5 in the land. We've already mentioned the name of QB Colin Kaepernick. He has done a ton for this program in his four years as a starter, and Ault would love to send him out with a victory. He threw for 2,830 yards and 20 TDs this year and ran for 1,181 yards and 20 scores, making him just the third man in the history of college football to both throw for and rush for 20+ scores in the same season. RB Vai Taua will inevitably touch the ball at least 20 times on the day. He had 262 carries and 15 more receptions this year, accounting for a total of 1,750 yards and 22 TDs, one of the top marks in the country.

The Final Word: The real problem that Nevada has, we have already made mention of. It's going to be very, very hard to put new wrinkles in this rather simplistic offense. The Eagles have spent so much time analyzing this tape on this team, and you know that the squad is going to be pumped up to prove it can stop a great offensive assault. Sure, Nevada will get its points on the board, but it won't get as many as it is used to. We tend to think that Kaepernick and company will come out of San Fran with a win, but it won't be by more than a TD.

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Free Pick: Boston College +7.5
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Prediction: Nevada 30 – Boston College 24

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