Posts Tagged ‘Atlanta Falcons’

January 17th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the NFL Playoffs odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my NFC Championship Game picks for the clash between the Atlanta Falcons and the San Francisco 49ers. The San Francisco vs. Atlanta kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. ET at the Georgia Dome, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on the NFL playoffs to make your NFL pick on for this great game.

NFC Championship Game Picks
San Francisco 49ers (12-4-1, 10-7 ATS) -4
Atlanta Falcons (14-3, 9-7-1 ATS) +4
Over/Under 49

For the sharp bettors like me (and hopefully all of you), it was a rough week. Square teams did a lot of covering, and all of the ‘overs’ came in. And now, the oddsmakers have had no choice but to adjust and compensate by making these numbers a heck of a lot higher than it should be, especially here in the NFC Championship Game. The 49ers averaged just 41.9 points per game this year in the regular season, while the Falcons were at just 44.9. And they think that this is a game that is going to get to 50 points? Earlier this season, this would have been a game lined around 43 or 44, and this is a huge overcompensation.

I know that the Falcons are going to try their best to get the job done on the ground, but they just aren’t going to be able to do it. Last week in the first half against Seattle, they ran for 133 yards. The rest of the game? Just 34. That forced QB Matt Ryan into throwing the ball more. Many felt encouraged by the fact that he threw for just over 200 yards in the first three quarters of the game. His next meaningful yards? They didn’t come until the final two passing plays that set up the game-winning field goal. It’s just not an offense that is going to really get the job done all that often against this defense, I feel.

Get A 100% Sportsbook Bonus @ JustBet Sportsbook!

On top of that, the 49ers really aren’t as great of an offensive teams as they showed last week in Green Bay. Yes, they’re good, but we have to remember that they also scored just 13 points against the St. Louis Rams and 13 against the Seahawks with QB Colin Kaepernick at quarterback. This is a second straight week (and it really should be a third straight week including the bye, knowing that either QB Russell Wilson or QB Robert Griffin III should have been coming to Atlanta in the first round of the playoffs) that the Falcons have been looking at mobile quarterbacks on tape. I think that they’ll at least somewhat slow down Kaepernick, and the end result is going to have this one failing to reach the number when push comes to shove by a relatively healthy margin.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Picks & Tips: Under 49

 
January 17th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

Huge 50% Exclusive Sportsbook Bonus For Cappersinfo Visitors
Exclusive 50% Free Bet (up to $250) at 5Dimes Sportsbook!
(Must Use This Link )

The San Francisco 49ers and the Atlanta Falcons are going to square off on the NFL Playoffs odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our 49ers @ Falcons picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Sunday.

NFC Championship Game Picks: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, January 20th, 3:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome
NFL Playoffs Betting Odds: San Francisco -4
San Francisco vs. Atlanta Live TV: FOX

For as well as the Falcons played over the course of their first 16.5 games of the season, it’s what happened in the second half of the 17th game that really makes us think that they are in for a heck of a beating at the hands of the 49ers on Sunday afternoon in the NFC Championship Game. Atlanta did find a way to win the game, but the truth of the matter is that the Seattle Seahawks proved that they were the better of the two sides and probably should have survived. QB Russell Wilson ended up throwing for 385 yards and rushing for 60 more, accounting for three touchdowns against the Falcons. The mass majority of those stats and all of those points came in just 30 total minutes of game play. In the second half of that game, Atlanta was totally exposed for all of its problems that it had all season long. It didn’t run the ball well, and it didn’t play any defense whatsoever.

5Dimes

And here come the 49ers, who do everything well that the Falcons don’t do well. San Francisco can run the ball and can run it as well as any team in the league. QB Colin Kaepernick just had the best game as a rusher that any quarterback has ever had in the NFL with 181 yards, and RB Frank Gore ended up over 100 yards against the Green Bay Packers, too. Defensively, this is one of the most intense defenses in the league. DE Justin Smith has had another week of working towards 100% health, and LB Aldon Smith is one of the most ferocious pass rushers that the NFL has to offer. The secondary rarely gives up huge plays, and the defensive line is impossible to run upon at times. On top of that, Kaepernick can make the throws down the field to really make him one of the biggest threats in the league.

And then of course, come all of the intangibles. The 49ers have been here, and they’ve done that. They had the NFC Championship Game in a position that they could have won last year, and they literally coughed up a chance at playing for the Super Bowl. This version of the Falcons hasn’t been there and hasn’t done anything like it. QB Matt Ryan just won his first playoff game, and he really played horribly in the second half against the Seahawks. Atlanta is fortunate to be here. San Francisco has earned its way here. This is a game that is going to be a one-sided romp from the start, and this time, the Falcons aren’t going to get bailed out to get off of the mat.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Pick: San Francisco 49ers -4
49ers @ Falcons Score Prediction: San Francisco 38 – Atlanta 13

 
January 13th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

The NFL playoff schedule is out for this week, and today, I’m set to make my NFL playoffs pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this crucial clash. The Seattle Seahawks and the Atlanta Falcons are going to do battle at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA. Join me for my Divisional Round playoffs tips for this 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on FOX.

The Seahawks had played five straight ‘over’ contests before a Week 17 win over the St. Louis Rams, and now, they have played back to back ‘under’ games after beating the Washington Redskins 24-14 and shutting them out in the final three quarters of the Wild Card round last week. The Falcons meanwhile, have played ‘under’ contests in three straight and six out of seven, yet the oddsmakers have still lined this ‘total’ far too high at 46. I’m most certainly taking full advantage of this one.

Wild Card Playoff Picks
Seattle Seahawks (12-5, 12-5 ATS) +2.5
Atlanta Falcons (13-3, 9-6-1 ATS) -2.5
Over/Under 46

The Falcons were a bad defensive team this year, but they were still able to hold teams down to just 18.7 points per game in spite of the fact that they were ranked 24th in the league in total defense. That means that the oddsmakers are thinking with the NFL betting odds in this one, that QB Matt Ryan is going to have a great game through the air. There are just a few problems with that. The first is that Matty Ice has never thrown for even 200 yards in a game here in the playoffs in three tries, and he has just three TDs against five picks in those games. Heck, last year, his defense at least scored two points against the New York Giants. He wasn’t able to get a single point on the board. The second problem is that this is a very nasty Seattle defense that is going to take tremendous advantage of the fact that the Falcons only have a passing game. DB Brandon Browner is back, and he has done a remarkable job all season long helping shut down opposing passing games. With the pressure that is sure to be coming on Ryan, it’s a wonder how he is going to get anything going in this one.

Click Here to get a Massive 200% Bonus @ WagerWeb

When you look back at it this year, the Seahawks really did a great job defensively against playoff teams. They kept the Packers to 12 points, the Patriots to 23, the 49ers to 13 (twice), the Vikings to 20, and most recently, the Redskins to just 14. It wasn’t a mistake that they had the No. 1 scoring defense in the league this year at just 15.3 points per game allowed, and I really think that this unit is going to shine on Sunday afternoon. Don’t be all that shocked if this one turns out to be a mild upset, but in the end, the ‘under’ is the far better play to make.

Seattle vs. Atlanta Picks & Tips: Under 46

 
January 13th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

JustBet is giving an exclusive sportsbook bonus to CappersInfo Readers
Click Here To Get A Free $500 w/ A Top Online Sportsbook @ JustBet
(100% Sportsbook Bonus from $100 – $500 – Use Promo Code “CAPPERSINFO”)

The 2013 NFL playoffs schedule is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the Divisional Round odds for the NFL. Join us on Sunday, as we make our Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

Divisional NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, January 12th, 1:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Seahawks @ Falcons Odds: Atlanta -2.5
Seahawks @ Falcons On TV: FOX

It’s really tough to justify wanting to back the Falcons on Saturday afternoon at the Georgia Dome, but that’s exactly what we are going to try to do over the course of these next 500 or so words. The Seahawks are the sexy Super Bowl pick right now, knowing that they are thought to be the better of these two teams according to the oddsmakers, and they might ultimately be in the same type of spot next week if the make it to the game against the San Francisco 49ers or the Green Bay Packers. And why not? Seattle has won six games in a row, all but one of which have come by double digits, and the team hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game since November 25th.

On top of that, we all know just how bad the Falcons have been in the playoffs. It’s not that they were beaten as the No. 1 seed in the NFC two years ago. It’s that they were mauled in that game by the Packers, who eventually went on to win the Super Bowl that year. Last year’s loss to the New York Giants, a 24-2 defeat, was another brutal one as well, and it was the game that really got QB Matt Ryan tabbed as the man that is never going to be able to win the big game in the playoffs. Atlanta is 0-3 SU and ATS in three playoff games since Ryan was drafted and Head Coach Mike Smith took over as the head coach of the team. Now, though the Falcons are 13-3, many think that they have the worst of the eight teams left in the playoffs, knowing that their defense ranked 24th in the league overall, and they only ranked 29th in rushing without much of a threat on the ground.

Here’s the bottom line, though. This Atlanta team just doesn’t lose in the Georgia Dome all that often. It isn’t always pretty, but the club went 7-1 this year, 6-2 in 2011, 7-1 in 2010, 6-2 in 2009, and 7-1 in 2008. Even if you throw in that one playoff loss to the Packers, Matty Ice is still a whopping 33-8 in his 41 career home games. Now add into that the fact that the Seahawks are going to have to travel from Seattle to DC to Seattle to Atlanta in a span of right around 16 days, and prepare for a totally different offense this week as opposed to what it was seeing against QB Robert Griffin III and the Redskins. It just doesn’t look like a good matchup for the Seahawks. They might be the better of these two teams, and we wouldn’t be all that surprised if they did ultimately win this game, but we still think that more often than not, Atlanta is the right play to make.

Seattle at Atlanta Pick: Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Seahawks @ Falcons Score Prediction: Atlanta 23 – Seattle 17

 
January 13th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan
Reputable & Very Trustworthy Sportsbook Offering Cappersinfo Visitors an Amazing VIP Bonus
Click Here For Details On The VIP 170% Bonus Bomb From UcaBet
VIP Offer! Use This Link (or Links Above) To Join & Must Use PromoCode: Cappersinfo
Click Here To Signup! Deposits By Visa Are Also Accepted @ UcaBet Sportsbook!
170% Sportsbook Bonus

The NFL playoffs are about to get underway, as a dozen teams try to reach the Mecca known as Super Bowl 47. However, only one will claim the Lombardi Trophy! Check out our NFL playoff bracket and check out all of our NFL playoff previews for all 11 games left between now and the end of the season!

Current Super Bowl 47 Odds (As Of 1/17/13)

New England Patriots +100
San Francisco 49ers +190
Atlanta Falcons +600
Baltimore Ravens +880

Cincinnati Bengals
#6 Cincinnati Bengals
(10-6, 9-6-1 ATS)
+4

Sat, January 5th
4:30 ET
Houston Texans
#3 Houston Texans
(12-4, 9-7 ATS)
42.5

Final Score: Houston 19 – Cincinnati 13

Click Here For Drew’s Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans Free Total Pick

Indianapolis Colts
#5 Indianapolis Colts
(11-5, 11-5 ATS)
+7.5

Sun, January 6th
1:00 ET
Baltimore Ravens
#4 Baltimore Ravens
(10-6, 6-9-1 ATS)
47.5

Final Score: Baltimore 24 – Indianapols 9

Click Here For Drew’s Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens Free Total Pick

Baltimore Ravens
#4 Baltimore Ravens
(11-6, 7-9-1 ATS)
+9.5

Sat, January 12th
4:30 ET
Denver Broncos
#1 Denver Broncos
(13-3, 10-6 ATS)
44

Final Score: Baltimore 38 – Denver 35 (OT)

Click Here For Drew’s Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Free Total Pick

Houston Texans
#3 Houston Texans
(13-4, 10-7 ATS)
+9.5

Sun, January 13th
4:30 ET
New England Patriots
#2 New England Patriots
(12-4, 9-7 ATS)
50.5

Final Score: New England 41 – Houston 28

Click Here For Drew’s Houston Texans at New England Patriots Free Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Houston Texans @ New England Patriots Free Total Pick

Baltimore Ravens
#4 Baltimore Ravens
(12-6, 8-9-1 ATS)
+8.5

Sun, January 20th
6:30 ET
New England Patriots
#2 New England Patriots
(13-4, 10-7 ATS)
51

Click Here For Drew’s AFC Championship Game Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s AFC Championship Game Free Total Pick

AFC Logo
AFC Winners
OTB
Super Bowl 47
Sun, February 3rd
6:30 ET
NFC Logo
NFC Winners
OTB
San Francisco 49ers
#2 San Francisco 49ers
(12-4-1, 10-7 ATS)
-3.5

TBD
Atlanta Falcons
#1 Atlanta Falcons
(14-3, 9-7-1 ATS)
48

Click Here For Drew’s NFC Championship Game Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s NFC Championship Game Free Total Pick

Green Bay Packers
#3 Green Bay Packers
(12-5, 10-7 ATS)
+3

Sat, January 12th
8:00 ET
San Francisco 49ers
#2 San Francisco 49ers
(11-4-1, 9-7 ATS)
45

Final Score: San Francisco 45 – Green Bay 31

Click Here For Drew’s Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Free Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Free Pick

Seattle Seahawks
#5 Seattle Seahawks
(12-5, 12-5 ATS)
+2.5

Sun, January 13th
1:00 ET
Atlanta Falcons
#1 Atlanta Falcons
(13-3, 9-6-1 ATS)
46

Final Score: Atlanta 30 – Seattle 28

Click Here For Drew’s Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons Free Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons Free Pick

Seattle Seahawks
#5 Seattle Seahawks
(11-5, 11-5 ATS)
-3

Sun, January 6th
4:30 ET
Washington Redskins
#4 Washington Redskins
(10-6, 11-5 ATS)
46

Click Here For Drew’s Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins Total Pick

Minnesota Vikings
#6 Minnesota Vikings
(10-6, 8-7-1 ATS)
+10.5

Sat, January 5th
8:00 ET
Green Bay Packers
#3 Green Bay Packers
(11-5, 9-7 ATS)
44

Final Score: Green Bay 24 – Minnesota 10

Click Here For Drew’s Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Free Spread Pick

Click Here For Jack’s Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Free Total Pick

 
December 30th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

JustBet is giving an exclusive sportsbook bonus to CappersInfo Readers
Click Here To Get A Free $500 w/ A Top Online Sportsbook @ JustBet
(100% Sportsbook Bonus from $100 – $500 – Use Promo Code “CAPPERSINFO”)
JustBet Sportsbook Bonus

The 2012 NFL schedule is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the Week 17 odds for the NFL. Join us on Sunday, as we make our Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

Week 17 NFL Picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, December 30th, 1:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
NFL Betting Odds: Atlanta -5
Buccaneers @ Falcons On TV: FOX

The Falcons have absolutely nothing to play for in the regular season finale, just like they did last year when they jumped out to a 42-0 lead and coasted to a 45-24 romp on the final day of the season against these same Bucs in this same venue. It is anyone’s guess how hard Atlanta is going to play in this one, but if we even get a half out of QB Matt Ryan and the gang, we have to think that that is going to be enough to win this game. The Bucs really don’t feel like they have “it” right now since losing to the Falcons back on November 25th. They have since gone 0-5 SU and 1-3-1 ATS, and that just doesn’t cut it at this level. It’s not quite the same epic fall that Tampa Bay had at the end of last season, but it is the same trend for sure. Perhaps this one won’t quite be so bad, but a win by a touchdown is every bit as good as a win by three scores or more.

Buccaneers @ Falcons Pick: Atlanta Falcons -5
Buccaneers @ Falcons Score Prediction: Atlanta 27 – Tampa Bay 21

 
December 17th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

Exclusive NFL Betting Promo & Bonus Offer
150% Bonus on ALL College Football and NFL Bets @ BetDSI!
(Use This Link or Link Above For Promo – Valid For New Customers)

NFL betting fans are running to their online sportsbooks to place their Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions bets and predictions, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our Saturday football picks for this encounter.

Week 16 Football Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions
Date: Saturday, December 22nd, 8:30 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
NFL Betting Lines: Atlanta -3.5
Falcons vs. Lions On TV: ESPN

Tricky oddsmakers! They have set a line in this one that is as square as could be, and we are going to take the utmost advantage of it. The truth of the matter is that the Lions would have probably been +1 or +2 had they beaten the Arizona Cardinals last week. Instead, what happened is that they came out, laid an ugly egg, and now, everyone thinks that they have given up. The Falcons played the game of their lives last week against the Giants, and they are just not going to have the energy for this one. Remember that over the course of their last three road games, the Dirty Birds were clipped by both the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints, and they should have lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to boot. That’s just not good enough for us. WR Calvin Johnson will have a big time day, and the offense for Atlanta will end up taking the night off, and in the end, the Lions get back on track and finally beat one of these top level teams after losing to three in a row at home by a combined nine points.

Falcons @ Lions Pick: Detroit Lions +3.5
Atlanta @ Detroit Score Prediction: Detroit 27 – Atlanta 17

 
December 17th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

Making sports betting picks is one of my specialties, and today at Cappers Info, I’m making my Saturday Football Tipster pick based upon the football trends and NFL odds for the Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions game on Saturday, December 22nd at Ford Field at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Falcons (12-2, 8-5-1 ATS) -3.5
Detroit Lions (4-10, 5-9 ATS) +3.5
Over/Under 50.5

What a predictable matchup this is going to ultimately be! I just know that the Lions have nothing left to play for this year, and anything less than literally 20 targets headed to WR Calvin Johnson would shock the heck out of me. Normally speaking, I’d be one to say that a team that has a single-minded game plan is in a lot of trouble, but with the all-time single season receiving record just 181 yards away, there is no doubt that this could ultimately be the answer to getting just a slew of points up on the board.

The Lions have no defense whatsoever. Don’t believe me? They just gave up 38 freaking points to the Arizona Cardinals. This unit has given up on the campaign, and I have zero doubt that the dead minimum the Falcons put up on the board in this one is 27points. (And it wouldn’t shock me if it were 47 points.) Atlanta pitched a shutout last week, but it gave up 30 the week before to the Carolina Panthers.

In the end, this is simple math for me. The Falcons need to score 30. The Lions need to score 21. Just as we saw the Atlanta defense bounce back last week after getting embarrassed by the Panthers to shut out the New York Giants, we will see the offense for the Lions bounce back after getting embarrassed by the Cardinals to put a respectable number of points on the board. It’s just really difficult, in spite of the relatively high number, to not see this one getting there when push comes to shove.

Falcons @ Lions Tips: Over 50.5

 
December 16th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
Make NFL Picks With Cappers Info Top Sponsor
Click Here For An 50% Bonus @ Bovada
(Bonus Exclusive For Cappersinfo Visitors – Must Use Above Link)

The New York Giants and the Atlanta Falcons are going to square off in Week 15 of the NFL betting campaign. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our predictions for football for what should be a great game on Sunday.

Week 15 NFL Picks: New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, December 16th, 1:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Week 15 Betting Odds: Atlanta -1.5
Giants vs. Falcons Live TV: FOX

The Falcons have been hearing all week long that they just don’t have the potential to beat the best teams in the league. They’re going to finish out the year with somewhere between 12 and 14 wins in all likelihood, and they’re probably going to be the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but few really believe that this team can get the job done against the big boys across the NFL. The Giants are one of those big boys, and they’re actually getting right around 60% of the betting action on their side in spite of the fact that the line is creeping in the other direction. We think that the Falcons are sharp, and that now is the time that QB Matt Ryan steps it up and gets the job done against one of these truly elite teams. Look for Atlanta to get some revenge for last year’s 24-2 playoff loss by putting up a solid number on the Giants on Sunday to potentially wrap up the top spot in the NFC.

Giants @ Falcons Pick: Atlanta Falcons -1.5
Giants @ Falcons Score Prediction: Atlanta 27 – New York 21

 
December 8th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
Attention Cappers Info Sports Bettors! Get a 100% Deposit Bonus!
Click Here to get a Massive 100% Bonus @ Bookmaker
Note: Exclusive Bonus Offer: Must Use This Link & Promocode: CAPPERS100

The 2012 NFL season is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the NFL odds for the week. Join us on Sunday, as we make our Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

Week 14 NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Date: Sunday, December 3rd, 1:00 ET
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NFL Betting Odds: Atlanta -3.5
Falcons vs. Panthers On TV: FOX

We hate siding with Joe Public in this game, but we really think that we have very little choice but to do just that. Carolina really looks like a team that gave up on the season last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, losing at Arrowhead Stadium to a team that really is the worst in the league. QB Cam Newton might have himself another good day as he did the first time that these two teams met, but then again, he might be in some trouble as well, knowing that he hasn’t put more than 22 on the board in a game but once since losing 30-28 at the Georgia Dome back on September 30th. Atlanta just keeps finding ways to win games, though those ways haven’t always been the prettiest. Go with the Falcons and lay the 3.5, as they really should be at least 6 point favorites in this game in all likelihood against a team that they are clearly superior to.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Pick: Atlanta Falcons -3.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Score Prediction: Atlanta 28 – Carolina 21

 
November 29th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

Exclusive NFL Betting Promo & Bonus Offer
25% Bonus on ALL College Football and NFL Bets @ BetDSI!
(Use This Link or Link Above For Promo – Valid For New Customers)

NFL betting fans are running to their online sportsbooks to place their New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons bets and predictions, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our Thursday football picks for this encounter.

Week 13 Football Picks: New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Thursday, November 29th, 8:20 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
NFL Betting Lines: Atlanta -3.5
Saints vs. Falcons On TV: NFL Network

The last time that the Saints and the Falcons showed up on the same field together, points were flying all over the place. QB Matt Ryan threw for over 400 yards and three TDs, but for the first time in his career, he actually lost when he threw for at least three scores, as QB Drew Brees and company were able to fend off a late charge to come up with what, at the time, looked like a season defining ‘W’. This one just means a whole heck of a lot more to the Saints than it does to the Falcons, and it really looks like Atlanta is set to get clipped one of these days. The team hasn’t scored more than 23 points in a home game since September 30th, and the offense has really struggled at times over the course of the last two weeks. This is a game that is there for the taking for the Saints, who are hoping to get back to .500 and back in a position where they can get into the playoffs, perhaps to set up a third and decisive showdown between these arch rivals.

Saints @ Falcons Pick: New Orleans Saints +3.5
New Orleans @ Atlanta Score Prediction: New Orleans 28 – Atlanta 20

 
November 29th, 2012 By Jack Wilshire

BovadaThe New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons are set to kick off their Week 13 NFL betting clash on Thursday 11/29, and I’m set to make my football pick for the affair at the Georgia Dome. Kickoff is set for 8:20 ET, and I’ve got the perfect NFL pick for this outstanding duel on the gridiron.

New Orleans Saints (5-6, 6-5 ATS) +3.5
Atlanta Falcons (10-1, 6-4-1 ATS) -3.5
Over/Under 55.5

It’s really easy to look at this matchup and just immediately think that this is a game that is going to ultimately get into the 60s or the 70s in scoring. And, I’ll be the first one to admit that it wouldn’t be all that surprising to see that that’s how this one ultimately plays out. However, taking a closer look at it, the fair ‘total’ really appears to be about 51 or so, not 55.5.

I know that these two teams combined to account for almost 900 yards the first time around, and last year’s meetings both had just a slew of yards and points in them as well. However, if you take a look at what the Falcons have been doing of late, you’ll notice a bit of a disturbing trend. They have played two straight games beneath the ‘total’, and they have played three straight here at the Georgia Dome as ‘under’ games as well. The offense actually hasn’t scored more than 23 in a home game since September 30th.

On top of that, New Orleans has at least started to figure a few things out defensively. The ‘D’ wasn’t to blame for 14 of the 31 points that the squad allowed last week to the San Francisco 49ers, and the truth of the matter is that the unit really has been able to come up with some big plays when push comes to shove. Don’t be all that shocked if this turns out to be a game that features a lot of points, but not enough to get past this clearly overinflated ‘total’.

Saints @ Falcons Tips: Under 55.5