Horse Racing Event: 2012 Belmont Stakes
Date: Saturday, June 9th, 2012
Location: Belmont Park – Elmont, NY
Runners: 3 Year Olds
Belmont Stakes Post Time: Approximately 6:30 PM ET
Current Belmont Stakes Favorite: Dullahan (+190)
Racing Form: Click Here
Free 2012 Belmont Picks & Analysis: The 2012 Belmont Stakes field is expected to have 11 horses in it now that some of the colts have dropped out of the fold. We are set to look at the horses that are going to be running against the Belmont Stakes odds, and checking in on all of the horses now that I’ll Have Another has retired, ending his quest for the 2012 Triple Crown.
The Belmont Stakes list of horses is really starting to dwindle, as some of the top horses in the world right now like Hansen, Gemologist, Alpha, Bodemeister, and now most notably, I’ll Have Another are not going to be taking the 1 1/2 mile challenge at Belmont Park. That means that the new favorite to win this race is Dullahan, who is a comfortable +190 favorite on the Belmont Stakes betting lines at 5Dimes Sportsbook. We really like what Dullahan is bringing to the table in this race, especially with I’ll Have Another out of the fold, as we expect to see him be able to get the job done without all that much of a challenge from a crowded field like he had to deal with at the Kentucky Derby. Closers should be few and far between, especially after running for a mile and change before that last kick, and with a good post draw in the middle of the field, Dullahan should be able to stay out of trouble and make his way back towards the front of the field in the dying furlongs.
2012 Belmont Stakes Post Positions/Post Draws with Belmont Stakes Morning Lines
1: Street Life (12/1)
2: Unstoppable U (30/1)
3: Union Rags (6/1)
4: Atigun (30/1)
5: Dullahan (5/1)
6: Ravelo’s Boy (50/1)
7: Five Sixteen (50/1)
8: Guyana Star Dweej (50/1)
9: Paynter (8/1)
10: Optimizer (20/1)
11: I’ll Have Another (4/5, SCRATCHED)
12: My Adonis (20/1)
If not Dullahan, the question is whether or not Union Rags can get the job done. He is the only other horse that is going to be expected to challenge, and he is the +235 second choice on the board. He isn’t necessarily going to be the only one that might be able to finish strong in the stretch. We just don’t know if Union Rags is as good of a horse as some of the others in this field, and we wonder whether his Kentucky Derby odds were overblown.
And this is where things get interesting to say the least. Even a horse like Mark Valeski, who won the Peter Pan, or Right to Vote, who finished second in that race, are going to be sitting this race out. That being said, the only horse that ran in the Peter Pan finished third in the race in between the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes right here in Elmont, and that is Street Life. Again, this is another horse that is going to try to close at the end of the race, and that really could become problematic with Dullahan and some of the other closers. This is a horse that didn’t race as a two-year old, and he only has a total of five races under his belt in his career. It’s scary to say the least.
The only other horse that is really being considered as one of the surprise horses in this field is Paynter. We definitely are concerned about Paynter, though. Trainer Bob Baffert didn’t bring this horse to any of the other Triple Crown races, and now, he is taking this horse up against I’ll Have Another instead of Bodemeister, who has already been beaten by the potential Triple Crown winner twice before. Paynter has had some fast, fast races, running a 100 and a 106 Beyer Speed Rating in his last two runs. However, this is once again, a bit of an inexperienced horse, as he never ran as a two-year old either. In the end though, those speed ratings are definitely notable, and that’s why Paynter is the fourth favorite on the board on the odds to win the Belmont Stakes.
The rest of these horses in the field just don’t do it for us. We have seen Optimizer run twice before in the Triple Crown races, and he wasn’t a factor in either of the runs. Unstoppable U has raced just twice in his career. Yes, he won both races, but that just doesn’t do it for us, knowing that he hasn’t ever sniffed a graded race before. And then there is Atigun, who might have a great name, but he has finished fifth or worse in all three of his graded stakes races in his career. The field rounds out with Five Sixteen, Guyana Star Dweej, and Ravelo’s Boy, all of which are going to likely be at least 30 to 1 or worse when the Belmont Stakes odds go off the board. Between them all, they have just three career wins in a ton of races and a grand total of zero races with speed ratings higher than 85.
The last horse to enter the 2012 Belmont Stakes field might be a sneaky horse to back. My Adonis might end up being a 30 to 1 horse when it is all said and done with, but the one thing that he has going for him is some speed. He is the colt that is going to be out in front right away assuming that he can get to the inside from all the way on the far post at the outset of the race, and with the breeding to make it the distance, we think that My Adonis could be a wire-to-wire type of horse.
Current Belmont Stakes Race Odds & Betting Lines (As Of 6/9/12)
Street Life +850
My Adonis +2000
Unstoppable U +2100
Ravelo’s Boy +4300
Five Sixteen +5000
Guyana Star Dweej +6600