I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Little Caesars Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Little Caesars Bowl picks for the clash between the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Ford Field in Detroit, MI, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.
2012 Little Caesars Bowl
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5, 8-4 ATS) -5.5
Central Michigan Chippewas (6-6, 5-7 ATS) +5.5
It shouldn’t be considered all that surprising that the early bowl games have seemingly all gone past the ‘total’. As a result, some of the bowl games are featuring rising ‘totals’. This is one of these games that has gotten just a bit too high in my eyes, and I think that this is a game that is just inflated too high.
The Hilltoppers only averaged 28.8 points per game this year, and down the stretch, they didn’t score more than 29 points in a game over the course of their last five outings. They probably shouldn’t be in a bowl game, but in fairness, Central Michigan really shouldn’t either. The Chippewas averaged 29.2 points per game this year, but they had a woeful defense that really cost them against some of the best teams in the MAC. There is some talent on this team for sure, knowing that QB Ryan Radcliff is a three-year starting quarterback and RB Zurlon Tipton accounted for 20 TDs on the campaign. Western Kentucky is going to be playing under a lot of stress with Head Coach Bobby Petrino watching from the stands, ready to take over the team after this one is said and done with.
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I really just don’t think much of the Chippewas in this game. They averaged just 21.8 points per game against bowl teams this year, while Western Kentucky averaged just 23.8 points per game against bowl games in 2012. Granted, we probably should take out the game against the Alabama Crimson Tide in which WKU was shut out. They averaged 31.7 points per game in the other three outings, but even if you add these two numbers together, I just don’t see this one getting to the number. I expect to see this game getting into the low-50s or so.
Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan Picks & Tips: Under 57.5