I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Fiesta Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Fiesta Bowl picks for the clash between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Oregon Ducks. The Oregon vs. Kansas State kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.
2013 Fiesta Bowl
Oregon Ducks (11-1, 7-5 ATS) -8
Kansas State Wildcats (11-1, 9-2-1 ATS) +8
The ‘total’ in the Fiesta Bowl has come down just a bit over the course of the last few weeks, and I wish that I had gotten in on this one prior to the drop. Every single year, I see the Ducks have these ‘totals’ in the 60s and the 70s, and almost every year, I seem to be disappointed. Last year in the Rose Bowl, there were 83 points, but the year before in the BCS Championship Game was 41 points, and the Rose Bowl in 2009 featured just 43 points. The difference this year is that there is a team on the other side of the field that is known for its offense with a Heisman Trophy finalist at quarterback and not teams like Auburn and Ohio State that were just as known for their defense as anything else.
Of course, I think the real key to this game is going to be the Kansas State defense. This unit really isn’t all that bad. The Cats allowed just 119.2 rushing yards and 21.1 points per game this year, and if you don’t believe just how good this team can be defensively, ask the Oklahoma Sooners (19 points), West Virginia Mountaineers (14 points), Texas Tech Red Raiders (24), TCU Horned Frogs (10), and Texas Longhorns (24). That doesn’t mean that the Ducks are going to be stuck in the 20s, but the truth of the matter is that even in the low 30s, this is still likely to be an ‘under’ game.
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I’ll also admit that I’m a bit wary over the idea that the Ducks scored at least 42 points in all but one game that they played this year. However, with a month and a half off since their last game played and all of the distraction with Head Coach Chip Kelly and the NFL teams that are interviewing him, but I really don’t think that that is helping put points on the board. I think that the defense is going to come up with a decent effort from the Ducks, knowing that this unit has been underrated for most of the year. I just don’t think that this one is going to get to such a big time number.
Oregon vs. Kansas State Picks & Tips: Under 73.5