Posts Tagged ‘Fiesta Bowl picks’

January 3rd, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the Fiesta Bowl odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Fiesta Bowl picks for the clash between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Oregon Ducks. The Oregon vs. Kansas State kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on college football to make your CFB pick on for this great game.

2013 Fiesta Bowl
Oregon Ducks (11-1, 7-5 ATS) -8
Kansas State Wildcats (11-1, 9-2-1 ATS) +8
Over/Under 73.5

The ‘total’ in the Fiesta Bowl has come down just a bit over the course of the last few weeks, and I wish that I had gotten in on this one prior to the drop. Every single year, I see the Ducks have these ‘totals’ in the 60s and the 70s, and almost every year, I seem to be disappointed. Last year in the Rose Bowl, there were 83 points, but the year before in the BCS Championship Game was 41 points, and the Rose Bowl in 2009 featured just 43 points. The difference this year is that there is a team on the other side of the field that is known for its offense with a Heisman Trophy finalist at quarterback and not teams like Auburn and Ohio State that were just as known for their defense as anything else.

Of course, I think the real key to this game is going to be the Kansas State defense. This unit really isn’t all that bad. The Cats allowed just 119.2 rushing yards and 21.1 points per game this year, and if you don’t believe just how good this team can be defensively, ask the Oklahoma Sooners (19 points), West Virginia Mountaineers (14 points), Texas Tech Red Raiders (24), TCU Horned Frogs (10), and Texas Longhorns (24). That doesn’t mean that the Ducks are going to be stuck in the 20s, but the truth of the matter is that even in the low 30s, this is still likely to be an ‘under’ game.

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I’ll also admit that I’m a bit wary over the idea that the Ducks scored at least 42 points in all but one game that they played this year. However, with a month and a half off since their last game played and all of the distraction with Head Coach Chip Kelly and the NFL teams that are interviewing him, but I really don’t think that that is helping put points on the board. I think that the defense is going to come up with a decent effort from the Ducks, knowing that this unit has been underrated for most of the year. I just don’t think that this one is going to get to such a big time number.

Oregon vs. Kansas State Picks & Tips: Under 73.5

 
January 3rd, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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The Oregon Ducks and the Kansas State Wildcats are going to square off on the Fiesta Bowl odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our Fiesta Bowl picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Thursday.

Fiesta Bowl Picks: Oregon Ducks vs. Kansas State Wildcats
Date: Thursday, January 3rd, 8:30 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Fiesta Bowl Betting Odds: Oregon -8
Oregon vs. Kansas State Live TV: ESPN

The Ducks and Wildcats were both in the driver’s seat just a few weeks ago to play in the BCS National Championship Game. Both of them choked though, losing to the Stanford Cardinal and Baylor Bears respectively within a matter of minutes, and now, both are relegated to the Fiesta Bowl. With rumors of Head Coach Bill Snyder retiring at the end of the game and Head Coach Chip Kelly going to the NFL within the next few days or weeks, there is the real question of motivation on both of these sides. That could make this a very suspect game to try to handicap for sure. Generally speaking, the rule of thumb is that you take the points in this situation, and that’s precisely what we’re going to do.

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There’s also the matter of the quarterback situation for both of these teams. QB Marcus Mariota was fantastic this year, but he is still a freshman, and one that played really poorly at the end of the year against the best teams in the land. When you really look back at what Oregon played this year, it only faced one Top 10 foe (Stanford), and the rest of the teams in the Pac-12 more or less tapered out at the end of the campaign. Mariota has some great stats, and he might evolve into a quarterback that can lead a team to the National Championship one day, and he very well could ultimately win this game. However, we really think that we would rather have QB Collin Klein, a Heisman Trophy finalist on our side in this one. The senior did everything for his team this year, and even in that loss to Baylor, it was really the defense that cost the team in its one loss this year. Klein went into Norman and pulled off the upset, and he has taken down a number of big time foes in his career. He definitely won’t be afraid in this one.

That’s why we think that Kansas State is the right side in this game. We tend to think that the Cats are winning outright, but if they don’t, we still have a healthy touchdown and more on our side. If Kansas State can figure out how to slow down this rushing attack with RB Kenjon Barner and WR De’Anthony Thomas just a bit, the Cats are going to be in fantastic shape. Remember that Kansas State ranked 17th in the country in rush defense at 119.2 rushing yards per game. That’s more than good enough for us.

Oregon vs. Kansas State Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +8
Fiesta Bowl Score Prediction: Kansas State 31 – Oregon 21

 
January 2nd, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The second BCS bowl game of the year might be the highest scoring of the bunch. The potential is certainly there for the Fiesta Bowl odds to get out of hand on January 2nd, as the Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Stanford Cardinal in a battle of two of the highest flying offenses in the country.

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Fiesta Bowl Matchup: Stanford Cardinal vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Fiesta Bowl Date/Time: Monday, January 2nd, 8:30 ET
Fiesta Bowl Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Fiesta Bowl Odds: Oklahoma State -3.5
Fiesta Bowl Total: 73.5
Fiesta Bowl TV Coverage: ESPN, ESPN3.com

The argument could have been made that both QB Brandon Weeden and QB Andrew Luck were shafted out of the Heisman Trophy this year. They were both fantastic in their own way this season, while both had their share of adversity and tough games to play on the schedule, but in the end, both proved to collapse at the wrong time with the eyes of the nation watching them, and the Heisman Trophy voters took it out on them that they weren’t able to finish off undefeated seasons.

Weeden at least won the Big XII and ended up here in the Fiesta Bowl for that reason. The last memory that we have of the Pokes this year was when they absolutely obliterated the Oklahoma Sooners in Bedlam, proving that they are a lot more than just a team that can run up and down the field and put a hell of a lot of points on the board. That defense just stymied one of the better offenses in the country of Oklahoma, and if that ‘D’ turns up in the Fiesta Bowl as well, this could become an ugly, ugly game. Weeden threw for 4,328 yards and 34 TDs this year, and when he and WR Justin Blackmon are on the same page, they are impossible to stop. Remember on the ground, that RB Joseph Randle can fly as well, and he didn’t score 25 total TDs this season on accident either. This is a complete OSU team that we would have loved see go up against that vaunted LSU Tigers team in the BCS National Championship Game.

When you really look back at the season that Luck had, you probably won’t be all that impressed. He was picked off three times against the Oregon Ducks in Stanford’s game of the year, and since that point, the team only put 31 on the Cal Golden Bears and 28 on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish to end the regular season. All three games were home games. Luck also only finished with 3,185 yards and 35 TDs on the season. They’re good numbers, but they aren’t the numbers that we were really expecting to see at the outset of the campaign when he was the runaway favorite for the Heisman. What we have to remember about Luck though, is that he really has been void of big time wide receivers this year, with WR Chris Owusu battling concussion symptoms, and he has also called all of the shots as well at the line of scrimmage, a la the man that he may be getting ready to replace, QB Peyton Manning in Indianapolis.

In the end, we just don’t know if Stanford has it in it. We found out a few weeks ago that Oklahoma State wasn’t giving up on the season even though it had lost its chances to win the BCS National Championship, and we think that it is in a lot better form and health than the Cardinal are. Take the Cowboys and expect to see them drop at least 40 on a Stanford defense that just couldn’t stop the only two offenses that it saw this year that looked anything like this one.

Free Fiesta Bowl Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5

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December 31st, 2010 By Andrew Ryan
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Each and every year, the Fiesta Bowl is one of the best bowl games in the country, and this year should be no exception. It'll be a real David vs. Goliath situation in college football betting action here in Glendale, AZ, as the Big XII champs, the Oklahoma Sooners, battle it out with the Big East champs, the Connecticut Huskies.

Fiesta Bowl Matchup: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Connecticut Huskies
Date: Saturday, January 1st, 8:30 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Fiesta Bowl Line: Oklahoma -16.5
Over/Under 55

Sooners Notes: Oklahoma is going to have to shake the demons from horrifying Fiesta Bowls of the past. It was shocked by the Boise State Broncos a few years ago in the game that really shook the very nature of college football betting action and gave a lot of credence to some of these mid major clubs. The Sooners were also beaten by the West Virginia Mountaineers just days after losing Head Coach Rich Rodriguez to the Michigan Wolverines. They do have a dynamic offense this year, as the trio of QB Landry Jones, WR Ryan Broyles and RB DeMarco Murray might be the best in America. This unit combined for 482.4 yards and 36.4 points per game this year. Jones, whom we have to remember is just a sophomore, threw for 4,289 yards and 35 TDs on the year, and he put the ball in the air a whopping 568 times. Broyles had 118 receptions, the most in the nation, accounting for 1,452 yards and 13 TDs. Murray does a little bit of everything. He rushed for 1,121 yards, caught 69 passes for 595 yards, and had 249 kick return yards on the year, accounting for a total of 19 trips to the end zone. The reason that the Sooners aren't playing for a National Championship though, is their defense. This unit just wasn't all that good this year, allowing 364.6 yards per game, something that was really unheard of by Head Coach Bob Stoops' standards.

Huskies Notes: Head Coach Randy Edsall is being rumored to go to virtually every single high end job in the country, but the tycoon that he is in the process of building here at Connecticut might be the start of something tremendous. The Huskies were once 2.5 games back in the Big East race, but the season really changed with a 16-13 OT win over the West Virginia Mountaineers. From that point forward, they went 5-0 SU and ATS, including winning four games outright as underdogs. The man that is going to be controlling this offense is RB Jordan Todman, who legitimately could have been a Heisman Trophy finalist this year. Todman carried the ball a whopping 302 times on the season, and he turned those carries into 1,574 rushing yards and 14 scores. The problem that he has is that there really isn't a passing game to speak of. Edsall has deployed three different signal callers this year, and none of the three have really been able to get the job done. QB Zach Frazer is going to be calling the shots, but completing 52.7 percent of his passes for just 1,202 yards and five TDs isn't anything that we are overly excited about. Defensively, the Huskies held teams to just 19.8 points per game this year, and only the Temple Owls put 30 points up on this squad.

The Final Word: Many think that the Huskies are going to pull off the upset here in Glendale, but the third time is the charm for the Sooners. If UConn falls behind in this game, it is dead, and this wasn't the case in Fiesta Bowls of the past against these guys. OU is going to get up early and put this one away from the get go, and even if the defense does end up getting plastered, the offense should always stay one step ahead. The Sooners are tired of hearing about the potential choke job. They flex their muscles on New Year's Day.

Fiesta Bowl Free Pick: Oklahoma -16.5
Fiesta Bowl Prediction: Oklahoma 37 – Connecticut 17