Posts Tagged ‘football picks’

February 3rd, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

The Super Bowl 47 odds are finally posted, and today, I’m set to make my Super Bowl pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in the biggest game of the season. The Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers are going to do battle at the Mercedes Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Join me for my free Super Bowl tips for this 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on CBS.

Over the course of the last several seasons, the 49ers have really struggled and struggled mightily against this vaunted Baltimore defense. The team has scored just 19 points in three games, including just six when these two met up last season at M&T Bank Stadium. However, the Niners definitely have some talent offensively that they have showcased over the course of the last several weeks. QB Colin Kaepernick has proven that he is one of the best in the biz at the moment, and he can do just about anything that he is asked to do. I love the way that he runs that read option, and though I know that he isn’t going to run for anywhere near 181 yards like he did against the Packers a few weeks back, the Ravens have to always be aware of his running abilities.

Super Bowl Picks
Baltimore Ravens (13-6, 9-9-1 ATS) +4
New England Patriots (13-4-1, 11-7 ATS) -4
Over/Under 47.5

The Ravens, too, have flexed their offensive muscles over the course of the last few weeks. They have scored at least 24 in four straight meaningful games (forget about that Week 17 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, as that game really didn’t mean anything and most of the starters didn’t play nearly the full game). QB Joe Flacco now has the buzz of being an elite quarterback after outdueling QB Peyton Manning and QB Tom Brady in back to back games. The former Delaware Blue Hen has done well, throwing for eight TDs. Most importantly to me, though? Not a single interception! RB Ray Rice is averaging over 80 yards per game on the ground in the playoffs, and those are big time numbers against defenses that have been pretty darn stout for the most part over the course of the season. WR Anquan Boldin is catching everything that is coming his way, and he and WR Torrey Smith each have a two-TD game under their belt here in the postseason.

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Notice that I’m talking a lot about these two offenses? I think that this ‘total’ has already dropped too far. The Baltimore defense has played better ball than it probably ever could have been expected to play here in the second season, but I have to take those emotions out of it. This is the same unit that allowed 43 to the Houston Texans and 31 to the Washington Redskins, 34 to the Denver Broncos the first time around, and 30 against the New England Patriots back in Week 3. The 49ers, on the other hand, should be a lot better than they have been here in the second season as well. However, they really haven’t looked great against the best competition that they have run up against all season long, and that is definitely worrisome to me, as it should be to the San Fran nation. In the end, asking for 48 points isn’t all that much in relation to what we’ve seen over the course of the last few weeks. It has been one of the highest postseasons in NFL history, both on average points per game and total points scored, and this could be another one of these games that gets into the 50s when push comes to shove.

Super Bowl Picks & Tips: Over 47.5

 
February 3rd, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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Super Bowl 47 is officially here! Here at Cappers Info, we’re not just giving you information about how to bet the side and total for the game, but we’re also taking a look at some of the great Super Bowl props that are on the board. Don’t miss out on the other ways that we are going to make money on the Super Bowl, as we make our Superbowl prop picks for the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens.

Ray Rice Rushing Attempts Over 17.5 (+115): It’s a nice percentage play here, knowing that we are getting +115 on the prop. John Harbaugh is going to want to run the heck out of the football and try to establish the ground game against a San Francisco defense that is incredibly difficult to run against. Rice carried the ball at least 18 times nine times this year in 18 games (throw out the Week 17 game against the Bengals), and that in itself is good enough for us. To make it sweeter though, Rice also had seven games with at least 18 carries since the team’s bye week in Week 8.

Frank Gore Rushing Attempts Over 19.5 (-105): Again, we’ve got a pretty good idea that Head Coach Jim Harbaugh is going to be just like his brother, trying to establish the running game. The difference is that the Ravens have proven to be a suspect team against the rush this year, and Gore has been waiting all year long to be unleashed in a game like this one. He had 21 and 23 carries in his two playoff games this year, and he now has at least 20 carries in five of his last seven games. There’s no reason to think that he won’t get to at least 20 in this one as well.

San Francisco Uses First Timeout (-110): It can happen to anyone. The play clock is inevitably going to be running down on one of these two quarterbacks, and someone, probably in the first quarter, is going to blow a timeout. With all that there is going on in the San Francisco offense before the snap, it seems more likely that QB Colin Kaepernick is going to be the one signaling for the timeout, as opposed to QB Joe Flacco. This seems like a 50/50 prop that truthfully might be anything but.

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Joe Flacco Longest Completion Under 41.5 Yards (-120): Flacco takes a lot of deep shots down the field, but this San Francisco secondary is going to have him under wraps when he tries to take those deep balls. Remember that in Flacco’s last five games of the regular season, he only had two completed passes that went beyond 42 yards. This is the toughest matchup he has had in terms of a secondary here in the second season, and quite possibly all year long.

Total First Downs Made Under 40.5 (-120): We have seen a ridiculously high scoring postseason this year, and we think that that is going to stop in this one. These two teams combined to average over 46 first downs per game here in the playoffs, but when you look back at the regular season stats, you’ll find a different tale. San Fran averaged 20.1 first downs per game. Baltimore was at just 19.6. Defensively, the Ravens conceded 20.4 first downs per game. The Niners just 17.8, best in the NFC. This one just doesn’t feel like it is exceeding 40 first downs.

Baltimore Ravens Have a Scoreless Quarter (-325): The Ravens have done a lot of scoring here in the postseason, but that has to come to a close in this one. The 49ers have a fantastic defense with the ability to do a heck of a lot of damage, and they are going to ultimately keep Baltimore scoreless in at least one quarter at least four out of five times.

No Score in First 14:30 (+708): Two Super Bowls in the last 10 years featured scoreless first quarters, and it was very rare that the first quarter featured more than one touchdown. We think that it’s worth a shot that basically the whole first quarter goes by the boards with a single point being scored. We also like no score in the first 10 minutes at +298 as well.

San Francisco Rushing Yards Under 154.5 (-110): Sure, we know that QB Colin Kaepernick is going to add to the rushing total for the team, but this is still a whole boatload of yards for a team to account for. The Ravens averaged allowing just 122.8 yards per game this year. That was bad as it is, ranking 20th in the league. Remember that the Niners picked up fewer than 150 rushing yards as a team in three of their last four games.

Total Rushing Yards Under 255.5 (-115): Even better. The 49ers are overrated on the ground. They also have an out of this world rush defense that isn’t going to be obliterated by RB Ray Rice and the gang. This is a great prop in our eyes. Under 729.5 total yards Is a great play, too.

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Colin Kaepernick Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (+140): The Ravens have spent the past two weeks trying to figure out how to keep Kaepernick in the pocket and make him a pocket passer. Forget about that huge game against the Packers; that was an insane statistical anomaly. Instead, look at the two carries for 21 yards that he had against the Falcons in the NFC Championship Game. A much, much better representation of what we might see on Super Bowl Sunday.

Vernon Davis Longest Reception Under 20.5 Yards/No Reception (-110): Davis was a big part of the passing game two weeks ago versus Green Bay, but he only had seven receptions in his previous seven games prior to that. We have to think that there is a chance that he is going to have no catches in this game, and that being said, it’s going to be tough to get one beyond 20 yards regardless of that fact.

Michael Crabtree Scores a Touchdown (+100): Crabtree has didn’t score in the NFC Championship Game, but he did find the end zone twice in three of his previous four games. We have to think that there is at least a 50/50 chance that he is going to score in this one as well, as he has a great rapport with Kaepernick.

Vernon Davis Doesn’t Score a TD (-195): Davis had just one touchdown grab with Kaepernick calling the shots until the NFC Championship Game. There’s no way that he is scoring in more than one out of three games in a spot like this.

Ray Rice Pass Receptions Over Vernon Davis (+105): Again, how many receptions could Davis possibly have in this game? Three or four at the absolute most? Rice is the constant in the passing game for Baltimore, and he did catch 61 passes in the regular season and another four here in the playoffs. If Rice gets to three, we like our chances of winning this prop at least half the time and not losing it more than half of the time.

 
February 3rd, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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And it all comes down to this! The Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers are going to square off for all of the marbles at Super Bowl 47. The AFC winners and NFC winners have come a long way to get to this point, but only one team can beat the Super Bowl odds and ultimately lift the Lombardi Trophy. Check out our NFL free picks and Super Bowl predictions for the biggest game of the season.

Super Bowl Picks: Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl Date/Time: Sunday, February 3rd, 6:30 ET
Super Bowl Location: Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Superbowl Odds: San Francisco -4
Super Bowl On TV: CBS

On first glance, we have to wonder if the drop on the odds to win the Super Bowl are right or not. The Ravens opened up at +5.5 and quickly dipped all the way down to +3.5 before stabilizing at +4. As of Monday night, almost two thirds of the betting public is backing the men in purple and black after Baltimore’s strong performances against what was perceived to be the top two teams in the league, the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots. In both of those games, QB Joe Flacco came to play, and he now has eight touchdowns without throwing a pick here in the second season. Flacco has done a nice job getting the ball down the field to WR Torrey Smith, and into tight spots with some help from WR Anquan Boldin. RB Ray Rice continues to pound the ball, while the defense has suddenly renewed some of its life from yesteryear. LB Ray Lewis is going to be playing in his very last game on Super Bowl Sunday, and that should add even more intensity for what should already be a tremendously amped up defense.

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The 49ers have slouched just a bit at times on the defensive side of the ball here in the playoffs, but we know that they is the exception, not the rule with what we have gotten used to seeing with this team. San Francisco did have a Top 5 ranked defense both against the run and the pass this year, and though the team has allowed a ton of points, we do have to remember that it absolutely shut down the Atlanta Falcons after falling behind 17-0 early on, and the ‘D’ only truly allowed 17 meaningful points to the Green Bay Packers the week before. QB Colin Kaepernick is going to do a lot in OC Greg Romans’ offense, and he is going to have to be smart with the football, as a passer, and as a pivot for the offense. Even on those plays when Kaepernick either calls his own number and runs, or has to make a read option whether to keep it or put the ball in the gut of RB Frank Gore or one of the other backs, every decision is crucial. To this point, no one can argue the fact that Kaepernick has been the best quarterback, at least on the NFC side of the playoffs.

In the end, we truthfully believe that this is one of the toughest Super Bowl point spreads to handicap in quite some time. If this were any other game, we would truthfully want to stay away from this one, knowing that this could legitimately end up going either way. That being said, we think that the magic of the Ravens is going to at least keep this one close from start to finish. This could very easily be the very first Super Bowl to go to overtime, and it could be another one of these games that is decided with a kick right at the very end. If for no other reason than that, with K Justin Tucker full of confidence for the Ravens, and K David Akers struggling for the 49ers to the point that he might not even be the place kicker come Super Bowl Sunday, we’ll take the points. We think that Lewis is going to go out on top with the Lombardi Trophy in tote, making for a storybook ending to a magical season for the Ravens.

Free Super Bowl Pick: Baltimore Ravens +4
Superbowl Score Prediction: Baltimore 24 – San Francisco 21

 
January 17th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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The 2013 NFL playoffs schedule is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the AFC Championship Game odds for the NFL. Join us on Sunday, as we make our Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

AFC Championship Game Picks: Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 20th, 6:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Ravens @ Patriots Odds: New England -8
Ravens @ Patriots On TV: CBS

This is really all setting up perfectly for us to make a big time bet in a very unusual spot. The common thought is that the AFC Championship Game – the last step before the Super Bowl – is going to be a close game. It almost has to be, right? After all, these are theoretically the best two teams in the AFC that are going to be warring with one another. After all, these two teams have played three straight games that have been decided by three points or fewer. And the Patriots haven’t won a game in this series by more than six points since 2004. And the Ravens have played remarkable ball in the playoffs thus far. On top of that, every sports talk media jock thinks that this is going to be a close game, because after all, Baltimore was able to go on the road and beat the supposedly unbeatable Denver Broncos last week.

Unfortunately for the Ravens, matters aren’t going to be this easy by any stretch of the imagination. Baltimore wasn’t good down the stretch of the season, and we think that that was a lot better representation of what we are going to see on Sunday in the AFC Championship Game. QB Joe Flacco tends to press in games like this one, and we just can’t figure that he is really ready to step up and win in the AFC Championship Game in spite of the fact that he made the throw last year that should have won this very same fixture in this very same stadium. Meanwhile, QB Tom Brady has been there and done that, and he has already won 17 playoff games in his career, the most all-time in NFL history. With one more win, he’ll be the first to start in six Super Bowls at the QB position.

In the end, we think that New England is just clearly the better of these two teams. We just don’t see how Baltimore is going to slow down this offense, and we don’t think that Flacco and the gang are going to be able to keep up. The magical retirement trail of LB Ray Lewis is finally going to come to an end. There are only so many times that a team can catch lightning in a bottle. We saw it come to an end for the Seahawks last week, but now, an even more touched team is going to get what’s coming to it. Just like the Broncos came to Foxboro last year and were smacked down, we think that this New England team is one on a mission. The Patriots want to win this game, and they want to get back to the Super Bowl, where they will hope to avenge a home loss against the 49ers and more importantly, last year’s loss to the Giants in the big one. This one will be over by halftime.

Baltimore at New England Pick: New England Patriots -8
Ravens @ Patriots Score Prediction: New England 38 – Baltimore 17

 
January 17th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

The NFL playoff schedule is out for this week, and today, I’m set to make my NFL playoffs pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this crucial clash. The Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots are going to do battle at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA. Join me for my AFC Championship Game tips for this 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on CBS.

Earlier this year, the Ravens and the Patriots combined to put up 61 points on the board. On top of that, all four games in the Divisional Round of the playoffs exceeded the ‘total’. It’s really setting up for an inflated ‘total’, and that’s exactly what I think has happened in this game between two teams that have fairly good defenses.

AFC Championship Game Picks
Baltimore Ravens (12-6, 8-9-1 ATS) +8
New England Patriots (13-4, 10-7 ATS) -8
Over/Under 51.5

It goes without saying that the New England offense is out of this world. The team runs all over the place, right up to the line of scrimmage quite often, and it is rare to see a defense shut this unit down. The implication is that the Pats are going to be scoring over 30 points in this game with QB Tom Brady at the helm. And why not? New England has scored at least 30 11 times in 17 games this year, including putting up at least 40 in six games, including four times since the team’s Week 9 bye. The club finished the year ranked first in the NFL in total yards at 427.9 yards per game and in scoring at 34.8 points per game. I’m still just not quite buying 51.5, though.

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Remember that, against a relatively comparable Denver offense last week, the Ravens only allowed 21 defensive points, and that came in over five quarters of play, not four. Yes, there were a lot of yards conceded, but there were a lot of yards conceded the week before against the Indianapolis Colts, too. The end result in that game? Nine points allowed, all field goals. Before this past year, the previous seven meetings of these two teams since 2000 all featured 51 points or fewer, and that includes a pair of 23-20 games from the 2012 playoffs and the 2010 regular season, both of which were played here in Foxboro. It’s just all too much. I love how over 60% of the bets are on the ‘over’ in this game, yet the line really isn’t moving all that much (just a half point). I think there are going to be some big time bets on the ‘under’ when it’s all said and done, and mine is going to be one of them.

Baltimore vs. New England Picks & Tips: Under 51.5

 
January 17th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the NFL Playoffs odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my NFC Championship Game picks for the clash between the Atlanta Falcons and the San Francisco 49ers. The San Francisco vs. Atlanta kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. ET at the Georgia Dome, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on the NFL playoffs to make your NFL pick on for this great game.

NFC Championship Game Picks
San Francisco 49ers (12-4-1, 10-7 ATS) -4
Atlanta Falcons (14-3, 9-7-1 ATS) +4
Over/Under 49

For the sharp bettors like me (and hopefully all of you), it was a rough week. Square teams did a lot of covering, and all of the ‘overs’ came in. And now, the oddsmakers have had no choice but to adjust and compensate by making these numbers a heck of a lot higher than it should be, especially here in the NFC Championship Game. The 49ers averaged just 41.9 points per game this year in the regular season, while the Falcons were at just 44.9. And they think that this is a game that is going to get to 50 points? Earlier this season, this would have been a game lined around 43 or 44, and this is a huge overcompensation.

I know that the Falcons are going to try their best to get the job done on the ground, but they just aren’t going to be able to do it. Last week in the first half against Seattle, they ran for 133 yards. The rest of the game? Just 34. That forced QB Matt Ryan into throwing the ball more. Many felt encouraged by the fact that he threw for just over 200 yards in the first three quarters of the game. His next meaningful yards? They didn’t come until the final two passing plays that set up the game-winning field goal. It’s just not an offense that is going to really get the job done all that often against this defense, I feel.

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On top of that, the 49ers really aren’t as great of an offensive teams as they showed last week in Green Bay. Yes, they’re good, but we have to remember that they also scored just 13 points against the St. Louis Rams and 13 against the Seahawks with QB Colin Kaepernick at quarterback. This is a second straight week (and it really should be a third straight week including the bye, knowing that either QB Russell Wilson or QB Robert Griffin III should have been coming to Atlanta in the first round of the playoffs) that the Falcons have been looking at mobile quarterbacks on tape. I think that they’ll at least somewhat slow down Kaepernick, and the end result is going to have this one failing to reach the number when push comes to shove by a relatively healthy margin.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Picks & Tips: Under 49

 
January 17th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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The San Francisco 49ers and the Atlanta Falcons are going to square off on the NFL Playoffs odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our 49ers @ Falcons picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Sunday.

NFC Championship Game Picks: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, January 20th, 3:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome
NFL Playoffs Betting Odds: San Francisco -4
San Francisco vs. Atlanta Live TV: FOX

For as well as the Falcons played over the course of their first 16.5 games of the season, it’s what happened in the second half of the 17th game that really makes us think that they are in for a heck of a beating at the hands of the 49ers on Sunday afternoon in the NFC Championship Game. Atlanta did find a way to win the game, but the truth of the matter is that the Seattle Seahawks proved that they were the better of the two sides and probably should have survived. QB Russell Wilson ended up throwing for 385 yards and rushing for 60 more, accounting for three touchdowns against the Falcons. The mass majority of those stats and all of those points came in just 30 total minutes of game play. In the second half of that game, Atlanta was totally exposed for all of its problems that it had all season long. It didn’t run the ball well, and it didn’t play any defense whatsoever.

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And here come the 49ers, who do everything well that the Falcons don’t do well. San Francisco can run the ball and can run it as well as any team in the league. QB Colin Kaepernick just had the best game as a rusher that any quarterback has ever had in the NFL with 181 yards, and RB Frank Gore ended up over 100 yards against the Green Bay Packers, too. Defensively, this is one of the most intense defenses in the league. DE Justin Smith has had another week of working towards 100% health, and LB Aldon Smith is one of the most ferocious pass rushers that the NFL has to offer. The secondary rarely gives up huge plays, and the defensive line is impossible to run upon at times. On top of that, Kaepernick can make the throws down the field to really make him one of the biggest threats in the league.

And then of course, come all of the intangibles. The 49ers have been here, and they’ve done that. They had the NFC Championship Game in a position that they could have won last year, and they literally coughed up a chance at playing for the Super Bowl. This version of the Falcons hasn’t been there and hasn’t done anything like it. QB Matt Ryan just won his first playoff game, and he really played horribly in the second half against the Seahawks. Atlanta is fortunate to be here. San Francisco has earned its way here. This is a game that is going to be a one-sided romp from the start, and this time, the Falcons aren’t going to get bailed out to get off of the mat.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta Pick: San Francisco 49ers -4
49ers @ Falcons Score Prediction: San Francisco 38 – Atlanta 13

 
January 13th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

The NFL playoff schedule is out for this week, and today, I’m set to make my NFL playoffs pointspread picks for the ‘total’ in this crucial clash. The Seattle Seahawks and the Atlanta Falcons are going to do battle at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA. Join me for my Divisional Round playoffs tips for this 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff that can be seen on FOX.

The Seahawks had played five straight ‘over’ contests before a Week 17 win over the St. Louis Rams, and now, they have played back to back ‘under’ games after beating the Washington Redskins 24-14 and shutting them out in the final three quarters of the Wild Card round last week. The Falcons meanwhile, have played ‘under’ contests in three straight and six out of seven, yet the oddsmakers have still lined this ‘total’ far too high at 46. I’m most certainly taking full advantage of this one.

Wild Card Playoff Picks
Seattle Seahawks (12-5, 12-5 ATS) +2.5
Atlanta Falcons (13-3, 9-6-1 ATS) -2.5
Over/Under 46

The Falcons were a bad defensive team this year, but they were still able to hold teams down to just 18.7 points per game in spite of the fact that they were ranked 24th in the league in total defense. That means that the oddsmakers are thinking with the NFL betting odds in this one, that QB Matt Ryan is going to have a great game through the air. There are just a few problems with that. The first is that Matty Ice has never thrown for even 200 yards in a game here in the playoffs in three tries, and he has just three TDs against five picks in those games. Heck, last year, his defense at least scored two points against the New York Giants. He wasn’t able to get a single point on the board. The second problem is that this is a very nasty Seattle defense that is going to take tremendous advantage of the fact that the Falcons only have a passing game. DB Brandon Browner is back, and he has done a remarkable job all season long helping shut down opposing passing games. With the pressure that is sure to be coming on Ryan, it’s a wonder how he is going to get anything going in this one.

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When you look back at it this year, the Seahawks really did a great job defensively against playoff teams. They kept the Packers to 12 points, the Patriots to 23, the 49ers to 13 (twice), the Vikings to 20, and most recently, the Redskins to just 14. It wasn’t a mistake that they had the No. 1 scoring defense in the league this year at just 15.3 points per game allowed, and I really think that this unit is going to shine on Sunday afternoon. Don’t be all that shocked if this one turns out to be a mild upset, but in the end, the ‘under’ is the far better play to make.

Seattle vs. Atlanta Picks & Tips: Under 46

 
January 13th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the NFL Playoffs odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Divisional Round picks for the clash between the New England Patriots and the Houston Texans. The Houston vs. New England kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on the NFL playoffs to make your NFL pick on for this great game.

Divisional Round Playoff Picks
Houston Texans (13-4, 10-7 ATS) +9.5
New England Patriots (12-4, 9-7 ATS) -9.5
Over/Under 48.5

The good news for the Texans is that the weather is expected to be relatively nice in Foxboro on Sunday, though it is obviously going to be a heck of a lot colder than what the team is used to when it is playing under the dome at Reliant Stadium. That doesn’t mean that this is an automatic ‘over’ game though, even though there were 56 points scored when these two teams met the first time around. In fact, I’m just about certain that this game is going to be mired in the 30s, much like how the first round game was for the Texans and the Cincinnati Bengals.

For whatever reason, the Texans just can’t get into the end zone at this point. QB Matt Schaub only threw one touchdown last week against Cincinnati, and that TD went the wrong direction. He has just one touchdown pass (going the right direction, anyway) in the last five games, and he has thrown four picks in that stretch, too. Meanwhile, the team only has two total touchdowns in its last 14 quarters of football, and that just doesn’t cut it when push comes to shove. RB Arian Foster is going to be getting the ball quite a bit in this game as well, and we wouldn’t be surprised if this is the second straight game in which he ends up getting the ball 30+ times on the ground and 40+ times in totality. The Houston defense has also had three really big games in the playoffs all-time, as the unit has allowed just an average of 14.3 points per game over the course of the last two years. Of course, this will be a game where there will be more than that allowed this year, but that doesn’t mean that there will be so many allowed to push this one past the ‘total’.

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New England has had a great history in the playoffs, but when you really look at it, a lot of these games just didn’t get to the ‘total’. Last year, both the AFC Championship Game and the Super Bowl both failed to reach the number in spite of the fact that QB Tom Brady and the gang had a great offense, and in the previous five playoff games, four times, the club was kept to 21 points or fewer. Now add into the fact that Houston’s defense has a score to settle after allowing six TDs to the Pats in the first meeting just a month ago. It all adds up to what should be an ‘under’ game to me.

Houston vs. New England Picks & Tips: Under 48.5

 
January 13th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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The Houston Texans and the New England Patriots are going to square off on the NFL Playoffs odds and betting lines. Join us here at Cappers Info, as we make our Texans @ Patriots picks & predictions for football for what should be a great game on Sunday.

NFL Playoffs Picks: Houston Texans at New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 13th, 4:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Playoffs Betting Odds: New England -9.5
Houston vs. New England Live TV: CBS

The ink is barely dry and the tickets have barely been paid for Houston bettors that beat the spread against the Cincinnati Bengals, and there are already a ton of rumblings out there that the Texans are going to get slaughtered against the Patriots in this game. It’s easy to think that that will be the case, knowing that the first time these teams met, New England pummeled Houston 42-14 in a game that truly wasn’t all that close. We’re just not all that sure that that is the case, knowing that this is the biggest moment in the history of the Texans franchise.

5Dimes

The key to keep this game close is the play of QB Matt Schaub. Of the quarterbacks that are left in the playoffs at this point, there probably isn’t one that you would have less confidence in than Schaub. He has thrown just one touchdown pass in his last five games, and he has led the team on just two touchdown drives in the last four games. Needless to say, that isn’t going to cut it no matter how well the defense plays against QB Tom Brady and the Pats. Brady knows what he is doing in the postseason, as he is one of the best playoff quarterbacks and one of the most clutch players all-time in NFL history. Both men have great receivers to work with. WR Andre Johnson and TE Owen Daniels both had big games last week, and they are the top two receivers on this team. WR Wes Welker and TE Rob Gronkowski are fantastic options, and they are both sure to have solid games against a secondary that has been toasted at times, especially down the middle of the field.

Still, this is a heck of a lot of points to be giving the Texans. They were punished the first time around when they came to Foxboro, but they are going to be ready this time around. They’re not the better of these two teams, and they won’t win this game, but they should get a much better game out of this stout defense and RB Arian Foster should be able to do a lot more work on the ground than he did when these teams met the first time. Just like last year when Houston, playing with a third string quarterback in QB TJ Yates, went into M&T Bank Stadium and stuck around with the Baltimore Ravens, this could be the same type of game, just with some more points on the board on both sides.

Houston vs. New England Pick: Houston Texans +9.5
Texans @ Patriots Score Prediction: New England 27 – Houston 20

 
January 13th, 2013 By Andrew Ryan

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The 2013 NFL playoffs schedule is back, and here at Cappers Info, we’ll be looking at some of the best games on the docket each and every week, as we try to make the most money possible off of the Divisional Round odds for the NFL. Join us on Sunday, as we make our Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the gridiron.

Divisional NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, January 12th, 1:00 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Seahawks @ Falcons Odds: Atlanta -2.5
Seahawks @ Falcons On TV: FOX

It’s really tough to justify wanting to back the Falcons on Saturday afternoon at the Georgia Dome, but that’s exactly what we are going to try to do over the course of these next 500 or so words. The Seahawks are the sexy Super Bowl pick right now, knowing that they are thought to be the better of these two teams according to the oddsmakers, and they might ultimately be in the same type of spot next week if the make it to the game against the San Francisco 49ers or the Green Bay Packers. And why not? Seattle has won six games in a row, all but one of which have come by double digits, and the team hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game since November 25th.

On top of that, we all know just how bad the Falcons have been in the playoffs. It’s not that they were beaten as the No. 1 seed in the NFC two years ago. It’s that they were mauled in that game by the Packers, who eventually went on to win the Super Bowl that year. Last year’s loss to the New York Giants, a 24-2 defeat, was another brutal one as well, and it was the game that really got QB Matt Ryan tabbed as the man that is never going to be able to win the big game in the playoffs. Atlanta is 0-3 SU and ATS in three playoff games since Ryan was drafted and Head Coach Mike Smith took over as the head coach of the team. Now, though the Falcons are 13-3, many think that they have the worst of the eight teams left in the playoffs, knowing that their defense ranked 24th in the league overall, and they only ranked 29th in rushing without much of a threat on the ground.

Here’s the bottom line, though. This Atlanta team just doesn’t lose in the Georgia Dome all that often. It isn’t always pretty, but the club went 7-1 this year, 6-2 in 2011, 7-1 in 2010, 6-2 in 2009, and 7-1 in 2008. Even if you throw in that one playoff loss to the Packers, Matty Ice is still a whopping 33-8 in his 41 career home games. Now add into that the fact that the Seahawks are going to have to travel from Seattle to DC to Seattle to Atlanta in a span of right around 16 days, and prepare for a totally different offense this week as opposed to what it was seeing against QB Robert Griffin III and the Redskins. It just doesn’t look like a good matchup for the Seahawks. They might be the better of these two teams, and we wouldn’t be all that surprised if they did ultimately win this game, but we still think that more often than not, Atlanta is the right play to make.

Seattle at Atlanta Pick: Atlanta Falcons -2.5
Seahawks @ Falcons Score Prediction: Atlanta 23 – Seattle 17

 
January 12th, 2013 By Jack Wilshire

I’ve been studying the ‘total’ for the NFL Playoffs odds for quite some time, and I’m ready to make my Divisional Round picks for the clash between the Denver Broncos and the Baltimore Ravens. The Baltimore vs. Denver kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET at Sports Authority Field at Mile High, and I’m going to show you which way to bet on the NFL playoffs to make your NFL pick on for this great game.

Divisional Round Playoff Picks
Baltimore Ravens (11-6, 7-9-1 ATS) +9
Denver Broncos (13-3, 10-6 ATS) -9
Over/Under 45.5

When the Ravens and the Broncos met the first time around a month ago, the end result really wasn’t all that pretty for Baltimore. The only reason this game exceeded the ‘total’ was because QB Joe Flacco hooked up with TE Dennis Pitta for two touchdowns in the fourth quarter. However, there are definitely some reasons to believe that this could be a high scoring game. There were four touchdowns that covered at least 30 yards and three of those went for at least 50 yards. Yet for some reason, the oddsmakers have dropped the ‘total’ in this game from the 48 that it was listed at four weeks ago to 45.5 in this one at Mile High.

I know that the Broncos have a great defense, and I know all about Baltimore’s offense has had some problems here in the playoffs historically. I also know that last week, the Ravens defense held the Indianapolis Colts to just three field goals. However, the Colts did end up putting up 25 first downs and 419 total yards from scrimmage, and that doesn’t bode well against a significantly better team on the road. QB Peyton Manning has been out of this world this year, and if you take away his very first two games playing with the Broncos and prorated that over the course of the rest of the season, he would have thrown for 4,760 yards and 39 TDs against nine picks. He threw for at least three touchdown passes nine times this year, and he threw for at least 300 yards nine times as well. Not surprisingly, there were at least 34 points scored in each of the last three games this year, and in 11 games this year, Manning led his team to at least 30 points.

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The Broncos went 6-2-1 for ‘over’ bettors in their last nine games, and both of their games in the playoffs last year eclipsed the ‘total’ with relative ease as well. Baltimore should have allowed just a ton more points last week against the Colts, and it isn’t going to get away with that on Saturday at Mile High. As long as QB Joe Flacco and the gang find a way to put at least 14 on the board, I’ve got confidence that this game is going to get past the ‘total’.

Baltimore vs. Denver Picks & Tips: Over 45.5