Posts Tagged ‘odds to win Stanley Cup’

June 14th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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There’s nothing like playoff hockey, and there’s really nothing like a Game 7, especially when the winner is going to end up lifting the Stanley Cup after playing over 100 games on the season. The Vancouver Canucks are going to try to hoist their first Cup in team history, but not if the Boston Bruins have anything to say about it on Wednesday night.

Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 7 Preview: Boston Bruins @ Vancouver Canucks
Date: Wednesday, June 15th, 8:00 ET
Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Game Line: Vancouver -145
Over/Under 5

Boston knows that it hasn’t gotten any offense going in this series in three games up in Vancouver, but it hopes that the momentum that it has gotten from these three games in Beantown can help get it over the hump in this most pivotal of games. The Bruins in fact, only have two goals in the Great White North in this series, both of which came within three minutes of one another in Game 2. Milan Lucic and Mark Recchi were the ones that did the deed. Instead, we really have to focus in on the play of Tim Thomas in net. It’s not often that we are confident that a player on a losing team is going to end up winning the MVP award for the postseason, but we know that Thomas is going to have some sort of hardware barring someone coming up with a truly remarkable performance in Game 7 for Vancouver. The 37 year old net minder has had a great story through his career. He has had surgeries, procedures, and other medical problems that have not only threatened his playing career, but his life as well, and he came into this season facing the prospects of being the backup goaltender for a second straight year to Tuukka Rask. Instead, Thomas won the starting job, set the record for the best save percentage in a season at .938, and has played every single minute of the playoffs. He’s sure to win the Vezina Trophy as the league’s top net minder, and the truth of the matter is that regardless of which way Game 7 goes, he should be the Conn Smythe Award winner to boot. Thomas has allowed just eight goals in this series, which is saying something considering the fact that Vancouver had the best offensive team in the league this year.

History just doesn’t feel like it is on the side of the Canucks in this series. In fact, it never really seems to matter who Vancouver is running up against, it always feels like it is coming so close, yet is so far away. The Canucks have only gotten this close to the Stanley Cup one time in team history, and as quickly as they reached the three win plateau in 1994 in the Finals against the New York Rangers, a 3-2 loss at Madison Square Garden took it all away and left the team without a championship. This is the first time since that point in which Vancouver had even made it to the Western Conference Finals, let alone to the Stanley Cup Finals. We know that there are some obvious problems that need to be worked out for Vancouver to win this game. The first is in net. We know that Roberto Luongo has had all sorts of great play here at Rogers Arena over the course of the last two seasons. He won a gold medal here for a great performance in a 2-1 win over the United States for Team Canada in the Winter Olympics, and now, he has a .979 save percentage, including two shutouts in three games here in the Stanley Cup Finals this year. Of course, at the TD Garden, he stopped less than 80 percent of his shots and was run out of two of the three games, allowing 15 goals in that time frame. However, it would really help if his offense were to show up just a bit. The Canucks only have eight goals scored in this series, one of which came from Henrik Sedin in Game 6 after things were already out of hand, and one of which came from Daniel Sedin in that devastatingly bad 8-1 loss in Beantown. Ryan Kesler only has one assist for the series and no goals after scoring 41 in the regular season.

We just don’t know if the Canucks really have the goods in them to be able to wrap up the Stanley Cup. The whole city of Vancouver and the entire country of Canada is resting on this one game, and there is a tremendous difference between winning and losing. Unfortunately for Vancouver, Luongo and company just don’t look like the better side in this matchup even though they had the best team in the league all season long. There’s just nowhere else that we can go with our Game 7 Stanley Cup Predictions than to take the Boston Bruins +125.

 
May 29th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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Stanley Cup Finals Matchup: #1 Vancouver Canucks vs. #3 Boston Bruins
Stanley Cup Finals Dates: June 1st – June 15th
Vancouver Canucks Stanley Cup Odds: -200 @ SportBet Sportsbook
Boston Bruins Stanley Cup Odds: +175 @ SportBet Sportsbook

The Canucks and Bruins both seem like they have had some rich histories in their time. Unfortunately for both teams though, it has been quite awhile since Lord Stanley has paid a visit. Even though Vancouver has the famous Stanley Park just minutes away from Rogers Arena, the team has never actually hoisted the Stanley Cup. This is only the third time in team history in which the Canucks have been to the Stanley Cup Finals. For the Bruins, they do have their share of Cups, but they are also deficient of a championship since 1972.

The battle in goal between these two red hot goaltenders is going to be one for the ages, as it truly is one of the best contests between goaltenders that we have seen in quite some time in this league. Roberto Luongo has definitely had his share of challenges in the postseason. He was benched in Game 4 and in Game 5 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals against the Chicago Blackhawks, and he ended up not starting Game 6. Since that point though, he has been absolutely on fire, accounting for eight game with two or fewer goals allowed. The man that is going to be on the other side of the ice is also playing in his first Stanley Cup Finals of his career. Tim Thomas is likely going to win the Vezina Trophy this year, as he broke the NHL record for best save percentage in a season at .938.Thomas shut out the Tampa Bay Lightning twice in the Eastern Conference Finals, including in a nervy 1-0 Game 7 win on Wednesday night.

Offensively, it is clear which team is going to be strong. However, we perhaps shouldn’t be all that surprised, as the Bruins were not the better offensive club either in the second round of the postseason against the Philadelphia Flyers, or in the Eastern Conference Finals against the Lightning. Still, they were able to get the job done in spite of the fact that the phenomenal offensive performances were few and far between. Boston did get a hat trick out of David Krejci in a Game 6 loss against the Lightning. He is tied with Nathan Horton for the team lead in points with 17. There are only four more players with at least double digits in points, and surprisingly, Milan Lucic isn’t one of them, nor is Zdeno Chara. Boston only has five goals on the power play in the entire postseason, which is shockingly bad. Maybe we shouldn’t be so surprised, though. After all, the Bruins did rank No. 21 in the league in the regular season with the man advantage.

Meanwhile, the Canucks have absolutely been dominating the postseason thanks to their power play. Daniel Sedin has five of his eight goals on the man advantage in these playoffs, while Ryan Kesler already has four of his seven goals in the playoffs on the power play. Sami Salo has three power play goals as well, and as a whole, the team has 17 strikes with the man advantage. Henrik Sedin is always a man to keep an eye on because of his cohesion with the rest of his line mates, particularly his brother, Daniel. Henrik though, leads the league in assists in the playoffs with 19, and he is going to probably be the top point scorer in the playoffs when it’s all said and done since he has 21 points now, and no one on either his own team, nor the Bruins is likely to catch him.

In the end, especially knowing that the Canucks have home ice advantage, we have to back the Western Conference champs and the President’s Trophy holders. Sure, Vancouver doesn’t have much of a playoff history, and sure, it hasn’t been to this juncture of the playoffs since 1994, but we know that this is a team that has overcome just about everything else this year. This is the destiny for the Canucks.
NHL Playoffs Picks: Vancouver Canucks in 5 (-200 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

 
May 14th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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#1 Vancouver Canucks vs. #2 San Jose Sharks – It’s truly amazing how these two teams got to this point, as their roads really look like they were sort of parallel. The Canucks are the one that nearly blew the 3-0 series lead in the first round of the playoffs. San Jose was the one that nearly did it in the second round. Both were able to survive in Game 7s on their home ice. Though San Jose really came on strong at the end of the season, we really just don’t see how it is going to win this series. Vancouver has the better net minder for certain in Roberto Luongo, and Ryan Kesler is playing better hockey than anyone on the ice. We have more confidence in the line with both Henrik Sedin and Daniel Sedin on it than we do in the line Patrick Marleau and Dany Heatley line. The Sharks just aren’t all that great with Antti Niemi in the pipes, and he has certainly looked shaky at times. Normally speaking, we would be awfully concerned about how badly the Canucks have played in the playoffs in their history. However, the Sharks have just as bad of a history. Vancouver hasn’t been to the Stanley Cup Finals since 1994. San Jose has never been. This is the year that the Canucks get the job done and get to hockey’s grandest stage. NHL Playoffs Picks: Vancouver Canucks in 6 (-165 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

#3 Boston Bruins vs. #5 Tampa Bay Lightning – Speaking of teams that took parallel paths to get here to the conference finals… The Bruins and Lightning were both in big time holes in their first round series, as the Bolts were down 3-1, while the B’s went behind 2-0 at home. Both teams were able to claw back and win their series. Both were underdogs in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Both posted sweeps. Both have been off for well over a week. On Saturday night, they’ll be back at it once again, and we definitely expect a doozy. The health of Patrice Bergeron is going to be key, as if this concussion that he suffered in Game 4 against the Philadelphia Flyers ends up hindering him, the Bruins are going to be in some trouble. Tampa Bay remembers a few of these losses, some of which were very ugly in the regular season. These two teams hate each other. There are no two ways around that. Still, in the end, Dwayne Roloson, all 41 years of him, will be able to find a way to help out the Bolts, as they have just been getting all sorts of contributions from players that you never would have expected making impacts in the playoffs. It’ll be an ugly series, and it’ll go the distance, but in the end, the boys from the Sunshine State will prevail. NHL Playoffs Picks: Tampa Bay Lightning in 6 (+125 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

 
April 28th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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#1 Vancouver Canucks vs. #5 Nashville Predators – We’re getting a really nice price here going against the top seed in the Western Conference, as we’re really not sold that Roberto Luongo has the confidence to be able to take down anyone right now in a seven game series. The problem for Nashville though, is that it has no clue how to win a series like this because it has never been involved with a series beyond the first round of the postseason. Pekka Rinne really didn’t play up to his abilities in the first round against the Anaheim Ducks, and if the Quack Attack was giving Rinne problems, we can’t even imagine what Vancouver is going to bring to the table. The offense alone for Vancouver should manage to take down this series. NHL Playoffs Picks: Vancouver Canucks in 5 (-255 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

#2 San Jose Sharks vs. #3 Detroit Red Wings – There are a heck of a lot of Stanley Cup betting fans that think the Red Wings are going to run away with this series, but we’re really not all that sure that that is the case. Last season, it was San Jose that was able to really issue a beat down to Detroit, winning the series four games to one, with really just one even remotely iffy game in the bunch. Both of these teams have fantastic offensive weapons, as there are a ton of players on both sides that were good enough to be playing on their respective national teams in the Winter Olympics a year ago. Heck, the Sharks had their own All-Canadian line out there. The difference in this series, aside from home ice advantage, is the fact that Antti Niemi knows what he is doing to win a Cup. Niemi wasn’t always pretty last year, but he got the job done. Jimmy Howard really wasn’t all that great in the first series against the Phoenix Coyotes, but the offense was outstanding. If Howard struggles like that again, the Sharks will take this series. NHL Playoffs Picks: San Jose Sharks in 6 (+100 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

#1 Washington Capitals vs. #5 Tampa Bay Lightning – Grit and tenacity won’t be enough for the Bolts in this series. Sure, Tampa Bay was basically able to outmuscle and outwork the Pittsburgh Penguins in the first round of the playoffs, but the stars really just don’t look aligned right now for them. Steven Stamkos was nowhere to be found during the majority of the series, and Martin St. Louis has fallen off just a bit. How much longer before Dwayne Roloson finally has a bad game? There are just too many questions here. The Caps look great, and unlike Pittsburgh, they have their stars in order. Alexander Ovechkin should have a mammoth series against a suspect Tampa Bay defense, which has allowed just a slew of shots thus far in the playoffs. Too much offense here for the ‘Ning to keep up. NHL Playoffs Picks: Washington Capitals in 5 (-175 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

#3 Boston Bruins vs. #2 Philadelphia Flyers – The Bruins and Flyers really are only considered right near each other due to the fact that the Flyers have home ice advantage in this series. You see how much that really meant to either one of these teams in their first series. Both lost two games at home, but were able to win Game 7 on their home ice. Boston is just the better team from top to bottom. We don’t see Daniel Briere scoring six goals in this series as he did against the Buffalo Sabres, and we certainly don’t think that Philly has any chance whatsoever of surviving if it needs to use three different goalies. The confidence that Boston has shown in Tim Thomas through thick and thin is finally going to pay off in this series. NHL Playoffs Picks: Boston Bruins in 6 (+100 @ SportBet Sportsbook)

 
April 12th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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Washington Capitals (-210 at SportsBet) vs. New York Rangers – The Rangers limped into the playoffs and needed some help from Tampa Bay to get into the Stanley Cup playoffs, while the Capitals finished the season as one of the hottest teams in hockey, winning 16 of their last 20. If New York hopes to advance, it will be on the shoulders of G Henrik Lundqvist who has been one of the top goaltenders during the regular season. However, Alex Ovechkin and the Caps will probably just be too much for the Rangers and Lundqvist to handle. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Capitals in 5

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres (+140 at SportsBet) – Philadelphia was one of the best teams in hockey before the loss of D Chris Pronger. Since Pronger went down, the Flyers have been reeling and went from being a lock to win the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference to barely holding on to the Atlantic Division crown. Without Pronger, the Flyers are vulnerable and at risk of an early exit from the NHL playoffs at the hands of the Sabres. Buffalo is led by Team USA goaltender Ryan Miller who is one of the most talented in the game. Miller has the ability to shut the door on any team and will keep this one close. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Sabres in 7

Boston Bruins (-200 at SportsBet) vs. Montreal Canadiens – The combination of Tim Thomas and Zdeno Chara and can beat anyone in hockey when those two are on top of their games. Thomas and Chara are both prime candidates for postseason awards after fantastic regular seasons and make the Bruins one of the favorites to make it through the East. Don’t count out the Canadiens just yet though. Montreal went 4-2 against Boston this year in their six meetings and is very familiar with their division rival. This should be a tight series, but our hockey picks have the Bruins ultimately prevailing. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Bruins in 6

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (+133 at SportsBet) – Without Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, many thought that the Penguins would sputter down the stretch. Head Coach Dan Bylsma pulled all the right strings though and the Pens responded by almost catching Philadelphia for the No. 2 seed. Pittsburgh will rely on Jordan Staal, Kris Letang, and Marc-Andre Fleury to get past the Lightning. Tampa Bay has plans of their own though thanks to the young Steven Stamkos. Stamkos is already drawing parallels to Crosby and is one of the best finishers in the NHL. Most NHL playoff picks have the Pens advancing, but don’t count out the Lightning. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Lightning in 7

Vancouver Canucks (-210 at SportsBet) vs. Chicago Blackhawks – Vancouver is the overwhelming favorite on the odds to win the Stanley Cup and their NHL Championship odds are a scant 3 to 1 at most sportsbooks. The Canucks were the most dominant team in the regular season and finished first in both goals scored and goals allowed. The twins Henrik and Daniel Sedin combine with Roberto Luongo to form one of the most balanced teams in the league, but it has its hands full with the Blackhawks. Chicago won the Stanley Cup last year and knocked off the Canucks in the Western Conference Finals but haven’t looked the same as last year’s juggernaut. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Canucks in 5

San Jose Sharks (-260 at SportsBet) vs. Los Angeles Kings – If Anze Kopitar was healthy, San Jose would be a popular pick from NHL betting fans not to advance past the first round. However, Kopitar going down doesn’t give the Kings much of a chance against the powerful Sharks, despite the reputation San Jose has to choke in the postseason. San Jose is led by Jumbo Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau and will be looking to finally reach the Holy Grail after years of postseason failures. The Sharks should be able to cruise past the Kings and reach the conference semi-finals. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Sharks in 4

Detroit Red Wings (-185 at SportsBet) vs. Phoenix Coyotes – It’s hard to find a match-up with bigger polar opposites than the Coyotes and the Red Wings. Phoenix has only made the playoffs a handful of times and has never gotten out of the first round, whereas Detroit is the most decorated team in hockey over the last two decades with four Stanley Cups and playoff appearances every season. Phoenix has gotten it this far thanks in large part to veteran Shane Doan, while Detroit has used their veterans to again win the division and reach the postseason. Detroit is a -185 series favorite per the NHL playoff odds and should advance to the next round, and it’s very much so justified. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Red Wings in 5

Anaheim Ducks vs. Nashville Predators (+117 at SportsBet) – Anaheim has been one of the hottest teams in the West over the past month thanks to Corey Perry, who has been electrifying in the Ducks’ pursuit of a playoff spot. Perry was the NHL’s only 50 goal scorer this season and is one of the most dangerous threats in the playoffs. As for Nashville, the Predators are paced by goalie Pekka Rinne, who has been lights out between the pipes despite having one of the weakest offenses in all of hockey. The Predators dominated the regular season series and they should handle the Ducks. Stanley Cup Playoff Picks: Predators in 5