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Posts Tagged ‘Saturday NFL picks’

January 11th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The trendy NFL picks for the Super Bowl take on the upstart that few are giving a chance to in another NFL playoff betting battle on Saturday, as the New Orleans Saints take on the San Francisco 49ers at Candlestick Park.

Year To Date Record: 59-61 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Divisional NFL Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Saturday, January 14th, 4:30 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFL Divisional Lines: New Orleans -3.5
Over/Under 47.5
Divisional NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Saints Notes: The Saints just continue to pour it on teams, as their offense has started to roll like it did two seasons ago when they won the Super Bowl. A 45-28 romp over the Detroit Lions in the Wild Card round of the playoffs marked the fourth straight game in which New Orleans has dropped at least 42 points on a foe, and the seventh time in 17 games that it has put at least 40 on the board. QB Drew Brees now has nearly 6,000 passing yards in his 17 games this season, and he has 49 TDs to show for it as well. On Saturday, five different receivers had at least 55 yards through the air, and it seemed like just another day at the office for this offense. Thanks to a great ground game as well, the ‘O’ dropped a whopping 626 total yards of offense, against just the 412 for the Lions. This is going to be a severely different test though, against a stout San Francisco defense, and it is also going to ask questions of a team that only went 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road this season. If there is good news though, is it that the Saints have covered nine games in a row, and three of those nine have come on the road.

49ers Notes: This is the game that Head Coach Jim Harbaugh was brought here to San Fran for. The 49ers haven’t been in the playoffs since 2002, and they are back and ready to make a case that they really did have one of the best teams in the league this year. Sure, the NFC West wasn’t the best division in football, but a 5-1 record against some franchises that seem to be heading in the right direction is impressive to say the least. Sure, the 49ers didn’t have any semblance of an offense at times this season; after all, they ranked No. 26 overall at just 310.9 yards per game and are going against an ‘O’ that, including the playoffs is averaging over 480 yards per game. However, the defense really kept San Fran in a number of games this year, and QB Alex Smith was able to get just enough done to figure out how to win these close games late on. The ‘D’ only allowed a maximum of 27 points this year, and that includes games against the high flying Lions (19 points), Philadelphia Eagles (23 points), Dallas Cowboys (27 points in OT), and New York Giants (20 points). Over the course of the last month and a half of the season, San Fran held the Arizona Cardinals to seven, the Baltimore Ravens to 16, shut out the St. Louis Rams, and held the Pittsburgh Steelers to just three.

The Final Word: We will be the first ones to admit that the 49ers didn’t play the most impressive schedule in the world this year. They only played against five playoff teams, and one of those was against the Steelers with an ailing QB Ben Roethlisberger. They haven’t proven that they are that great. That being said, we just don’t know if the Saints are going to be able to come on the road, across the country and win this game. We expect a shootout, but we also expect in the end, to see an upset for a team that went 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS at home this season. Harbaugh gets the job done and puts the 49ers back on the map definitively this season.

Divisional NFL Pick: San Francisco (ml) +165

NFL Football Prediction: San Francisco 37 – New Orleans 31

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January 10th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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QB Tim Tebow and QB Tom Brady meet in a battle of one of the elite signal callers in the game and one of the most criticized ones. It should make for a great battle on the NFL betting lines when the Denver Broncos take on the New England Patriots for the second time this year.

Year To Date Record: 60-63 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Divisional NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots
Date: Saturday, January 14th, 8:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Divisional Lines: New England -13.5
Over/Under 50.5
Divisional NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Broncos Notes: We were on the Tebow bandwagon last week against the Steelers when we saw just how badly that the black and gold were beat up coming into the game. This week, we are wondering if we don’t see another problem to exploit. The Patriots in general, are just a rather soft team, and this Denver team is as rough and tumble as it gets. Obviously, Denver can’t afford to get into another track meet with the Patriots like it did a month ago, or it is going to become an ugly, ugly game. However, the Broncos offensive line was able to really hold down the fort to give Tebow time in the pocket to make up his mind about the option, running the ball, or throwing it against the Patriots in the first half of the first meeting. It obviously didn’t happen in the second half. The Broncos have to force some turnovers, just as they did last week against the Steelers, and if that’s the case, the ground game and the defense might be able to do enough to get the job done. This front seven had a great game against Big Ben, and the offensive line for New England is beat up just enough that it might be in a similar spot. LB Von Miller and DEs Robert Ayers and Elvis Dumervil are going to have to be big, just as they were last week when they combined for three sacks between them.

Patriots Notes: When you look at the numbers for the Patriots this year, you have to be amazed at what they were able to accomplish. They ranked No. 2 in the game in both passing offense (318.0 YPG) and total offense (428.2 YPG), and they were No. 3 in scoring at 32.1 points per game. They dropped at least 30 points on 12 different opponents this year, and at least 27 in all but three games. QB Tom Brady threw for 5,239 yards, which would have been an NFL record if not for the fact that QB Drew Brees obliterated him by 200 yards this year. TE Rob Gronkowski broke the record for the most yards by a tight end in a single season with 1,327, and he also broke the tight end scoring records for a single season with 17 receiving scores and one on the ground. WR Wes Welker caught 122 passes and had 1,573 yards and nine TDs, while both TE Aaron Hernandez (910 yards, 7 TDs) and WR Deion Branch (702 yards, 5 TDs) both had amazing seasons as well. Sure, the ground game was a bit all over the place, but that was really nothing to worry about when there was a passing game that was this good. The defense struggled, but the offense made up for it in virtually every instance. Then we look back at the schedule this year… New England only played three playoff teams, one of which was this Denver outfit. The other two games? A loss to the New York Giants, and a loss to the Steelers. Then you look back at the last four seasons. In New England’s last four playoff games, it has only averaged 17.5 points per game, and Brady has as many TD passes as he does picks (seven of each). By the way, the Pats have lost three playoff games in a row, and they have failed to cover the spread in six in a row.

The Final Word: So up comes the question on Sunday. What was worse, Denver’s schedule, or New England’s schedule? Here’s what we now know. The Broncos aren’t afraid. They are going to use their game plan whether it works or not, and they are going to be a physical team that tries to be the smarter of the two sides. If there’s a coach that can do it, John Fox is the man. We do think that the Brady Bunch will find a way to survive to go on to host the AFC Championship Game, but we also think that this will serve as a stern, stern warning about how much these Pats may struggle in the playoffs.

Divisional NFL Pick: Denver +13.5

NFL Football Prediction: New England 23 – Denver 20

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January 7th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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The Houston Texans will play their very first playoff game in team history on Saturday afternoon when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals. Check out our NFL betting picks for the first round of the playoffs!

Year To Date Record: 59-61 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Wild Card NFL Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
Date: Saturday, January 7th, 4:30 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Wild Card Lines: Houston -3
Over/Under 38.5
Wild Card NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Bengals Notes: The Bengals haven’t won a playoff game since 1991, and ironically, that win came against the Houston Oilers. This has been an interesting season for Cincinnati to say the least. Many pictured this being a two or a three win team this year with basically an entirely new offense, but we have to tip our cap to OC Jay Gruden and the rest of the staff for building a competitive offense with rookie QB Andy Dalton calling the shots. Sure, Dalton only threw for 3,300+ yards this year, and his TD/INT ratio of 20/13 wasn’t anything to really write home about, but in the end, this was a team that was able to win the games that it should have won. The problem though, is that the Bengals went 9-0 against teams that didn’t make the playoffs this year, and a stunning 0-7 (and just 1-5-1 ATS) against teams that are in the postseason.

Texans Notes: The city of Houston hasn’t won a playoff game since 1992, and for the first time, the Texans will be in the postseason. Again, it has been a tumultuous year to say the least. QBs Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart are on IR, and interestingly enough, rookie QB TJ Yates is going to become the answer to a great trivia question in a few years. The question? Who started at quarterback in the first playoff game in Texans history? RB Arian Foster missed basically three full games at the start of the season, but he still finished the season with over 1,800 total yards of offense. He and RB Ben Tate combined for over 2,100 rushing yards this year, leading this team to the second best rushing attack in football. The defense improved a ton under DC Wade Phillips in 2011. LBs Brooks Reed and Connor Barwin have stepped in well for the injured LB Mario Williams, and the MLBs in the 3-4 scheme, Brian Cushing and DeMeco Ryans have been monsters. Houston even has its first Pro Bowl member of the secondary in team history in the newly signed Johnathan Joseph, who has had a great first season in the Lone Star State.

The Final Word: Do either of these teams really have a shot to win the Super Bowl this year? No, not really. However, it would be important for both to get this win to give the team yet another shot at taking on a big boy next week. In the end, we just don’t like the way that the Texans closed out the season. They were able to steal a win in a game in which they probably weren’t the better team in the Queen City a month ago, and they haven’t won since that point. Take the points with the Bengals, but we are fully expecting to see an outright upset when push comes to shove.

Wild Card NFL Pick: Cincinnati +3

NFL Football Prediction: Cincinnati 24 – Houston 20

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January 6th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan

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We could be in for a good old fashioned shootout in the Bayou on Saturday, as the New Orleans Saints and Detroit Lions try to beat the NFL playoff odds in their second battle of the season at the Louisiana Superdome.

Year To Date Record: 59-61 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Wild Card NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Date: Saturday, January 7th, 8:00 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NFL Wild Card Lines: New Orleans -11
Over/Under 59
Wild Card NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Lions Notes: The Lions have officially returned from over a dozen years of hibernation. They haven’t played in a playoff game since 1999, and they haven’t won one since 1991, and they have a chance on Saturday to make a huge statement by beating the team that many think is the only one that has a shot of challenging the Green Bay Packers in the NFC. The year ended on a bit of a sour note, as Detroit wasn’t nearly as good down the stretch as it was at the start of the season, but the schedule got a heck of a lot tougher, and it showed. That being said, QB Matt Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson were both ridiculously good this year. Stafford threw for just over 5,000 yards, and though he finished third in the league in that category, he is only the fourth quarterback in the history of the league to throw for 5,000 yards in a single season. “Megatron” had over 1,600 receiving yards, including over 550 in his final three games of the season. He has proven that he is one of the most dangerous receivers in the league, and if the Saints aren’t careful, he could be the difference maker in this game no matter how many guys are responsible for guarding him. Detroit just has to avoid beating itself with dumb penalties. The team committed oodles of personal fouls all season long, especially when the going got tough, and in the first meeting of these two teams, there were 11 penalties for 107 yards, far too many to beat a team with an offense that is this good.

Saints Notes: Last year was a brutal one for the Saints, as they just missed out on the AFC South title and ended up having to go on the road in the playoffs. They were 11 point favorites against the Seattle Seahawks on the road, and just like they year, they were just expected to blow the inferior team out of the water, but instead, they were beaten outright and were considered the dud of the postseason. Now, QB Drew Brees and the gang are back, and they may even be better than they were when they won the Super Bowl two years ago. The key addition was that of RB Darren Sproles. Sproles broke the record for most all-purpose yards in a single season in league history, and he and TE Jimmy Graham were really the reasons that Brees threw for over 5,400 yards to smash the league record for most yards in a season Graham won’t go into the record books for his season, but he came up just shy of setting basically every single season tight end record this year. If there is a problem for Brees and the offense, it is that RB Mark Ingram won’t play in this one, and in all likelihood, neither will WR Lance Moore nor WR Devery Henderson.

The Final Word: We’ve done a lot of speaking about these two offense, but we have to look back at the first meeting of the year between these two teams. Sure, Detroit left a lot of points on the board, but it also gave up 31 points without DT Ndamukong Suh in the fold. Suh is back from his suspension, and he is surely going to wreak havoc in this game. Though there is no doubt that both of these teams will put some points on the board, there were only 48 that were scored the first time these two played. There’s no reason to think that they will combine for many more than that in this one. Remember that the ‘under’ has gone 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in this series.

Wild Card NFL Pick: Detroit/New Orleans Under 59

NFL Football Prediction: New Orleans 31 – Detroit 24

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December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, December 24th!

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
NFL Lines: Denver -2.5
Over/Under 41.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Broncos were beaten up badly by the Patriots last week, but we have learned not to count out QB Tim Tebow. The Bills have been terrible over the course of the last two months or so, and they can’t even figure out how to get out of their own way to win some games. There are a ton of NFL bettors out there that think that Buffalo is going to be able to pull off the upset, but we just don’t see anything that justifies that. For whatever reason, Tebow still doesn’t seem like he is liked by the NFL betting public, but we are going to take advantage of him. We tend to think that Denver locks up the AFC West on Saturday and puts some pressure on the Texans for the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Denver -2.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -9.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Patriots are expected to run away with this game and make a move towards being the No. 1 seed in the AFC. However, we just aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. This is the Super Bowl to the Dolphins, and they are playing as well as a lot of teams are in the conference. WR Brandon Marshall has dominated in this series over the last two years, and he is going to be a threat to upset the Patriots all by himself. New England is coming off of a great win in Denver, but we tend to think that it could be on the wrong side of a brutal upset. This isn’t the same Dolphins team that gave up over 500 passing yards to QB Tom Brady. Don’t say that we didn’t warn you…

Week 16 NFL Pick: Miami +9.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -12.5
Over/Under 38.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Browns were absolutely atrocious the first time that these two teams met, as they let RB Ray Rice rumble for over 200 yards and a TD on the ground, and then let RB Willis McGahee come up near the 100 yard mark as well. That game was in the Dawg Pound and this one is in the big crab cake, which would make you think that this one is going to be a blowout, but we aren’t all that sure that that is the case. This is still a divisional game, and just like the New England game is the Super Bowl for the Dolphins, winning just one of these two games for Cleveland against the Ravens and Steelers would be the exact same thing. QB Seneca Wallace looked alright last week, and we tend to think that he is at least going to keep this game relatively close. Baltimore will finish out its perfect season at home, though.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Cleveland +12.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -1
Over/Under 50.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Many think that the Eagles are just more or less destined to win the NFC East at this point, even if they are only going to finish up the year at 8-8. We just aren’t all that sold that Philly is going to get the job done. This schedule that the team has played of late has been a bit underwhelming to say the least, and this is a significantly different game. Dallas was absolutely whooped the first time that these two teams met in the City of Brotherly Love, and if nothing else, whether this game truly means anything to the Cowboys or not, they are going to want to get the job done in this one to ensure that Philly is going to finish up the year below .500. If the Eagles do, they really could end up losing Head Coach Andy Reid. This is far too short of a point spread.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Dallas -1

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December 17th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Dallas Cowboys have already watched this week, as the Atlanta Falcons have moved a step closer towards taking a playoff spot away from the rest of the field to get. They’ll really need to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to keep the pressure on the rest of the pack on Saturday night.

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Saturday, December 17th, 8:20 ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
NFL Lines: Dallas -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Cowboys Notes: It’s not the fact THAT the Cowboys have been losing games that is so bothersome. It is the WAY that they are losing them. They had both the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants dead to rights in the last two weeks, and winning those two games would have knocked both out of the playoff picture. Now all of a sudden, Dallas is in a position where it wouldn’t be in the playoffs if they started today, and a loss in this one, and just being alive in Week 17 is up in the air. QB Tony Romo is putting up the stats, but he just isn’t getting the job done when push comes to shove. Of course, over the course of the last two weeks, K Dan Bailey missed what would have been the game-winning field goal against Arizona and had what would’ve been the game-tying field goal against New York blocked.

Buccaneers Notes: Tampa Bay has some major, major defensive problems right now. The team has allowed 79 points in the last two weeks against two teams that aren’t going to be anywhere near the playoffs, and the end result is that Head Coach Raheem Morris might need to win this game to keep his job. Tampa Bay hasn’t won a game since going over to London to take on the Chicago Bears, and in that stretch, it is averaging being outscored by the score line of 32-17. That being said, the offense just looks pretty miserable right now, especially after turning the ball over seven times last week. QB Josh Freeman has been yanked in the fourth quarter in back to back weeks, and he has continually turned the ball over. He leads the NFL in picks, and he is killing Tampa Bay in his third year on the job.

The Final Word: These two teams both have played terrible defensive football of late, but we just don’t see how the offenses are going to combine for this many points. Too many drives get killed by stupid penalties and turnovers. We’re going to have a hard time picking out which team is going to cover the spread in this one, as we have no desire to back either team, but we have no problems taking the ‘under’, especially knowing that six of the eight meetings between these two over the last 20 years have resulted in ‘under’ contests.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Dallas/Tampa Bay Under 47.5

NFL Football Prediction: Dallas 23 – Tampa Bay 14

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