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Posts Tagged ‘Sunday football picks’

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February 3rd, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Thirty other teams wish that they were in the spots of the New York Giants and the New England Patriots, as they are set to battle it out for the Lombardi Trophy for the second time in just four years. These two are set to battle on the NFL betting odds, and here at Cappers Info, we are handicapping the spread on the Super Bowl 46 betting lines.

Super Bowl 46 Matchup: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, February 5th, 6:30 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Super Bowl 46 Lines: New England -2.5
Over/Under 55
Super Bowl 46 TV Schedule: NBC

On one blush of this game, it seems easy to find plenty of ways to like the Giants. First off, it is clear that they are the team that has gotten the better of this series of late when these two teams have gotten it on. New York was able to beat the Brady Bunch on the road this year at Gillette Stadium, and four years ago, almost to the day, QB Eli Manning and company were able to beat the then 18-0 Patriots in one of the most unexpected upsets in the history of the league.

The two things that really held the Giants back this year were their running game and their pass defense. All of a sudden, those problems are starting to disappear and disappear in a hurry. RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are finding ways to poke some holes in the opposing defenses that they are facing, and thanks to the tremendous pass rush of DE Jason Pierre-Paul and the rest of his mates in the New York front seven, the DBs don’t have to spend as much time covering receivers, making their play more effective.

The Giants are also clearly playing their best ball right now, just as they did when they won the Super Bowl four years ago. No one really believed that New York was the better team in that game, as it was clear that that 18-1 New England team was clearly one of the best in the history of the league in spite of the fact that it didn’t win the Super Bowl.

And it is true that we have to admit that the Giants seem like a touched team. Plays that you see like the Hail Mary into the end zone in the NFC Divisional Round against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field and some of the ridiculous catches that WR Victor Cruz has made do make it feel a lot like we are going to see Eli Manning to David Tyree v2.0 at some point in this one as well.

Plus, it’s not like New England is playing all that well right now. The Patriots seemed to be very lucky just to be at this point, and the team’s win over the Baltimore Ravens, no matter how lucky it was in the AFC Championship Game, was actually the first game all season long in which they beat a team that finished the year above .500.

The game plan to beat the Patriots seems simple. Pass rushers have to get in the face of Brady, linebackers and safeties need to find ways to stick on the tight ends in the center of the field and in the flats, and on the other side of the ball, the receivers have to take advantage of a weak secondary.

All that being said, that’s why so many pundits think that the Giants are pulling off the “upset” in this one. However, any time that the mass media is suggesting that one side is the proper play to make in a game like this, we immediately run in the other direction. When that side is the underdog that Joe Public seems to be backing, it is really time to head for the hills.

We’ve heard all about how little brother Eli is going to try to win his second Super Bowl in his big brother’s house, but don’t you think that Tom Brady – the Tom Brady that struggled for years against Peyton Manning – is going to want to make a statement as well? New England is a soft team, and we have been the first to admit all season long that we hate this team for just how soft it is. Soft teams don’t usually win the Super Bowl. However, this time around, we are going to back the softness that is the Patriots. We just think that the New York hype has gone too far, and there is absolutely no way that we think that New England should be anything less than 6-7 point favorites in this game. We are only making the percentage play that we think will work out in the end.

Super Bowl 46 Spread Prediction: New England Patriots -2.5

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February 3rd, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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And it all comes down to this… There is just one more game to dissect this year in NFL betting action, and here at Cappers Info, we are taking aim at the Super Bowl ‘total’ odds in the clash between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants.

Super Bowl 46 Matchup: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, February 5th, 6:30 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Super Bowl Lines: New England -2.5
Over/Under 55
Super Bowl 46 TV Schedule: NBC

Sometimes the play that has to be made is the one that seems to be the most obvious. The ‘total’ in the Super Bowl immediately came down just a tad from the open of 56 (56.5 at some locations) due to some sharp bettors that likely remember the last time that these two teams met in the Super Bowl. There was a heck of a lot of defense in that game, and if not for 14 points scored in the final three minutes of the clash, it had the potential to be the lowest scoring Super Bowl ever.

However, these two teams were built a heck of a lot differently. This is the first time that we have had two defenses that have been this bad squaring off against one another. The Giants ranked just No. 27 in the game in total defense, while the Patriots were ranked No. 31. Both of those teams in Super Bowl 42 were able to run the football, and this was before QB Eli Manning was known as a truly elite signal caller. He definitely didn’t have a full playbook like he does now to work with, and though both RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are capable, neither one is going to do as much in this one as they did in the Super Bowl four years ago in all likelihood.

The Patriots have made a tremendous routine out of putting gobs of points on the board this year. Now, it is true that the games in which they failed to get into the 30s this year came against some of the best defenses in the league, though we also have to admit that these Giants were able to pull off the feat as well. However, look closer at that first game. The score was 0-0 at halftime. Unbelievable! There were still 44 points scored in the second half, and QB Tom Brady still threw for 342 yards and two TDs.

The Giants have played in some hardnosed playoff games this year, but this offense that they are running up against isn’t that of the Atlanta Falcons or the San Francisco 49ers. This is a lot more like the game that featured 57 points against the Green Bay Packers.

As for New England, it has just been business as usual in the playoffs. The team dropped 45 points on the Denver Broncos in its first playoff game this year, and it followed that up by scoring a very respectable 23 on the Baltimore Ravens. Of course, that was the first game that stayed ‘under’ the ‘total’ that the Patriots played since beating the Kansas City Chiefs 34-3 in the first game that QB Matt Cassel was out of the lineup for the Chiefs. In that stretch, the team has scored at least 31 points in all but one of those games.

This time around, we tend to think that there is a sense of desire there for the Brady Bunch. This is an offense that was told all season long that it was too much in a box. There are no deep threats for the unit. That being said, all that Brady and his band of receivers seem to do every single week is score 30 or more points! In the end, that will be the difference. The Patriots, come hell or high water, are going to get their points, and when they do, the Giants are going to have no choice but to keep up. This ‘total’ is just too low. Expect to see a lot more of the second half from the first time these two teams met, and nothing like the first Super Bowl meeting or the first half of the regular season duel this year.

Super Bowl ‘Total’ Prediction: New England/New York Over 55

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January 22nd, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The San Francisco 49ers and the New York Giants weren’t on the minds of a lot of NFL betting fans as contenders for the Super Bowl, but one of the two are going to be in the biggest game of the year for sure. These two meet for the second time this year, and we are set to make our NFC Championship free picks for the biggest duel of the season for both teams.

Year To Date Record: 61-65 ATS
Upset Record: 19-35, -$765

NFC Championship Matchup: New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, January 22nd, 6:30 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFC Championship Lines: San Francisco -3
Over/Under 45
NFC Championship TV Schedule: FOX

Giants Notes: Oh, the comparisons… It has been awfully trendy to just assume that these Giants are going to be able to pull out the Super Bowl just as they did in 2008 when they beat the “perfect” New England Patriots in one of the most memorable Super Bowls that we have seen in recent years. We do have to admit that the team is playing with the swagger that it had at that point, and that was demonstrated in the huge 37-20 win at Lambeau Field against the Green Bay Packers over the weekend. New York dominated on both sides of the ball, and it did everything that it could to win the game, including tossing a Hail Mary TD pass at the strike of halftime that truly changed the course of the game, and arguably the entire season. QB Eli Manning has proven that he is worthy of being called an elite quarterback, and he did a great job on Sunday to get his team to this point. Sure, he throws too many picks and doesn’t always look the best in the pocket, but Manning just wins games when he has to, and he is right on the verge of his second Super Bowl appearance in his career. He has a great set of receivers to throw to as well with Mario Manningham, Victor Cruz, and Hakeem Nicks, but the key to the offense is going to be getting the ground game going against one of the most stout rush defenses in the league. Remember that the Giants rank dead last in the league in rushing in spite of the fact that both RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are historically fantastic backs. Defensively, the pass rush has to ramp it up again, as men like DE Jason Pierre-Paul have to figure out how to get into the San Francisco backfield all game long to avoid this becoming a shootout.

49ers Notes: They’re not always pretty in how they do it, but the 49ers just keep finding ways to win games. On Saturday afternoon, they really had their backs against the wall against arguably the best offense in NFL history. Sure, the New Orleans Saints had nearly 500 yards of offense against this team, but San Francisco stood tall and forced five turnovers as well. Those turnovers gave the Niners a bit of a cushion that was held for most of the game, but when the going got tough, QB Alex Smith, much to the surprise of many, was able to get the job done, not just once, but twice. He ran in the go-ahead TD with just over two minutes left to give the 49ers a five-point lead that probably shouldn’t have been coughed up, but even though QB Drew Brees came right back down the field and scored to stretch the lead back out to a field goal, Smith wouldn’t be denied. He came up with two huge pass plays, the latter of which went to TE Vernon Davis in the middle of the end zone for the game-winning score. What he needed was a field goal to tie, but Smith got the full seven points to win the game instead of sending it to overtime or falling short. Perhaps in other years, this situation would have been different for this, a team that has historically struggled. However, this version of the 49ers believes that it is entitled to be playing in this game and is entitled to be playing at home. San Francisco has a mean streak about it that we like. Soft teams don’t win the Super Bowl, and though this clearly isn’t the most talented team in the league, it is definitely the toughest team that the conference has had all season long.

The Final Word: The 49ers won when these two teams met earlier this year in this venue. It was a fantastic game that was swayed on the back of two Manning INTs. Though he was able to survive against the Green Bay defense on Sunday, we just don’t know if Manning can get the job done again. If he starts turning the ball over, the 49ers are bound to capitalize, just as they did against the Saints. It seems very odd to say, but we tend to think that Head Coach Jim Harbaugh, in his first year on the job in the Bay Area, is going to have his team in the big game for all of the marbles in two weeks.

Divisional NFL Pick: San Francisco -3

NFL Football Prediction: San Francisco 30 – New York 23

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January 22nd, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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QB Tim Tebow and QB Tom Brady meet in a battle of one of the elite signal callers in the game and one of the most criticized ones. It should make for a great battle on the NFL betting lines when the Baltimore Ravens take on the New England Patriots for the second time this year.

Year To Date Record: 61-65 ATS
Upset Record: 19-35, -$765

AFC Championship Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 22nd, 3:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Divisional Lines: New England -7.5
Over/Under 50.5
AFC Championship TV Schedule: CBS

Ravens Notes: If there is one thing that we are absolutely sure of, it is that the Ravens aren’t going to be intimidating going into this game. They are a team that is tough as nails, and they have already beaten some of the best teams in the league both at home and on the road. Baltimore also survived a brutal test from the Houston Texans on Sunday, as they had to escape with a 20-13 victory. The defense played its heart out and held down the Texans to just 13 points, though the ground attack was successful with RB Arian Foster running the ball. Against the Patriots though, that shouldn’t be all that much of an issue. QB Joe Flacco really didn’t have a fantastic game last week, going just 14-of-27 for 176 yards with two TDs and no picks. The defense forced three turnovers and the special teams had another turnover that turned into 17 first quarter points. The team wasn’t able to really do much of anything else for the rest of the game, but the defense did the rest and guided the team to victory. Keep an eye on how this defense plays, especially if S Ed Reed really turns out to be seriously injured from the last play of the game when he had to get carried off the field by his teammates.

Patriots Notes: It is going to be an interesting week ahead for the Patriots. They are in the position where they are expected to win the AFC, but they have been in this spot before, and for the most part, over the course of the last half decade or so, they have failed. They were beaten by the New York Jets and these Ravens in back to back seasons, and they were handled in the Super Bowl by a New York Giants team that just shouldn’t have truly matched up. Yet they have remained the favorite in the conference quite a bit over the last year or so, and now, they are just one step away from getting back to the Super Bowl for the first time since they were 18-0 in the blustery winter months of 2008. That year, QB Tom Brady was breaking all sorts of offensive records along with WR Randy Moss. This year, it is Brady is getting the job done again, but he has a significantly different helper. TE Rob Gronkowski had 17 TD receptions in the regular season to go with one on the ground, setting all sorts of tight end marks along the way. He had 10 grabs, 144 yards, and an NFL playoff record three TDs against the Baltimore Ravens, without a doubt the best game that a tight end has ever had in the postseason in league history. Meanwhile, Brady was just Brady, throwing for 363 yards and a ho-hum six TDs. Five of those came in the first half, and he ended up breaking records for most TD passes in a game and most in a half in playoff history. It was a season in which he joined the 5,000 yard club in a single year, and though he broke QB Dan Marino’s record with over 5,200 passing yards, he didn’t beat out QB Drew Brees for the league lead. However, Brady can do something that Brees now cannot: Lift the Lombardi Trophy once again. Injuries are going to be worth watching throughout the week. DE Mark Anderson, who led the team with 10 sacks in the regular season, hurt his leg, while TE Aaron Hernandez, who had over 100 total yards of offense in his own right against Baltimore, might have suffered a concussion that could keep him out of the fold.

The Final Word: Soft teams don’t win the Super Bowl. Sometimes they play in the big game, but generally speaking, when they run up against their toughest test, they end up getting smashed. Baltimore is as tough as it could be, and considering the fact that the Patriots haven’t played a team this good this year, and when they did play against a smashmouth type of team, the Pittsburgh Steelers (whom Baltimore beat twice) beat the snot out of them. Don’t be all that surprised if this game gets ugly, and the uglier it gets, the better off the Ravens are.

AFC Championship Pick: Baltimore +7.5

AFC Championship Game Prediction: Baltimore 31 – New England 16

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January 14th, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Houston Texans survived their first game in the playoffs, but now, they are going to face a significantly tougher task on the NFL playoff odds when they have to go to M&T Bank Stadium to tango with the Baltimore Ravens.

Year To Date Record: 59-63 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Divisional NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, January 15th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Divisional Lines: Baltimore -9
Over/Under 38
Divisional NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Texans Notes: It wasn’t the prettiest win of all, but the Texans got the job done last week against the Bengals. They really had everything going in the victory, as the offense did its job and made some big plays, the defense came up with the play that changed the game, and the special teams really didn’t make a mistake. We were really impressed at the restraint shown by Houston after the game was over, as the team really celebrated a lot like it had been there already. There was no Gatorade bath for Head Coach Gary Kubiak either. It is clearly a sign that there is a lot more to do, and the Texans aren’t content with just saying that they finished this year with their first playoff berth and first playoff win in team history. Up next is its first win on the road in the playoffs in team history, and that is a significantly tougher challenge. QB TJ Yates didn’t make the big time mistake against Cincinnati last week, and he has to play a relatively perfect game to avoid getting wrecked by this Baltimore defense. He has to make some plays down the field, just as he did in what probably amounted to be the clinching TD pass to WR Andre Johnson. RB Arian Foster had over 150 yards on the ground, and he and RB Ben Tate combined for nearly 200 yards in total. The young defense didn’t allow a score in the final 27 minutes of the game, and after an opening TD drive, it didn’t allow the Bengals in the end zone. Rookie DE JJ Watt did score a TD just before halftime on an awesome INT return for a TD, and if he and the rest of his front seven mates can play like that on Sunday, Houston does have a shot.

Ravens Notes: Can you believe that of all of the playoff games that QB Joe Flacco has started and won, that this is the first time that he is going to be playing at home? This is a totally new experience for the Ravens, who really haven’t been expected to win in the AFC playoffs in quite some time, maybe even ever. This is going to be a game that supposedly comes against the worst team left in the playoffs (certainly in the AFC), and it is one that shouldn’t be close. Granted, the first time around this year, that was the case. QB Matt Schaub and the Houston offense were stymied all day long, and the defense had no answers for RB Ray Rice. Rice, who had 2,068 yards and a total of 15 TDs on the season, had a huge game with 161 total yards against Houston the first time around. He has the potential to be a beast again in this one, and if he is, look out! It could get ugly. WR Anquan Boldin should be back in the lineup after missing a few games with a knee injury, and the bye week really helped him out. The Ravens went 6-0 this year against playoff teams, and that is a number that we just can’t ignore.

The Final Word: The Ravens are legit. There is absolutely no doubt about that. It is going to take an absolutely perfect game for the Texans to win this one. With Schaub calling the shots and a healthy Johnson back in the fold, we could have seen Houston winning this game. We’ll take the Texans and the points, but in the end, we tend to think that the playoff experience for the Ravens will leave Houston at least one more year away from the Super Bowl.

Divisional NFL Pick: Houston +9

NFL Football Prediction: Baltimore 27 – Houston 20

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January 11th, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Green Bay Packers get set to take to the playoffs for the first time this year when they engage in NFL betting action against the streaking New York Giants.

Year To Date Record: 59-62 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Divisional NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Divisional Lines: Green Bay -9
Over/Under 51.5
Divisional NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Giants Notes: The Giants might only have 10 wins this year, including in the playoffs, but they have played one of the more impressive schedules. There were a lot of teams that would have been in the playoffs if they could have figured out how to beat New York this year, and that point really continued to be the case when the Atlanta Falcons came into the Meadowlands and got absolutely crushed by it last week. QB Eli Manning had a great season, throwing for just under 5,000 yards, but last week, it was a complete team effort. Manning had his three TDs, but the ground game came up with one of its better games of the season with 172 yards, most of which came from RBs Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. The defense essentially pitched a shutout, as the two points that were allowed were obviously the offense’s transgressions. The secondary, which has been much maligned this season, allowed just 199 passing yards and two plays of 20+ yards all game long against the Falcons. The Packers ripped the G-Men to shreds the first time around, but this is a unit that absolutely continues to get better as the season has worn out.

Packers Notes: Green Bay has absolutely been the best team in football over the course of the last 25 weeks or so of NFL betting action, and it only has one loss in its last 21 games, that coming against the Kansas City Chiefs. The offense had a tremendous season under likely soon-to-be MVP QB Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers had one of the best seasons a signal caller ever had, and he would have absolutely won the MVP if not for the year that QB Drew Brees had. Rodgers had 4,643 passing yards and 45 TDs against six picks, and he posted the league’s best quarterback rating in history of 122.7. WR Greg Jennings is expected to be back, and he missed the final three games of the regular season when the offense wasn’t quite at its best. Jennings came up just short of 1,000 yards this year, while WR Jordy Nelson had 1,263 yards and 15 scores. If there are knacks on this team, they are on the ground offensively and through the air defensively. Green Bay hasn’t really been able to run out the clock on the ground all that much this year, as neither RB James Starks nor RB Ryan Grant were all that great this year, and the pass defense often allowed teams to make big time plays to erase leads in games. It hasn’t really cost the Packers yet this year, but those are the types of problems that see teams knocked out of the playoffs.

The Final Word: The first time around, these two teams played a great game. Manning led the troops down the field at the end of the game to tie, but Rodgers got the last laugh by leading the Pack to a game winning field goal. We tend to think that this is going to be the same sort of way that this one plays out. These two both have road wins in the last decade in the other’s home stadium in the postseason, including in the final game that QB Brett Favre ever played for the Packers. It was also the continuation of the magical season that those Giants had when they won the Super Bowl and beat the 18-0 new England Patriots. Many have drawn similarities between this team and that Giants team in ’07. We think that New York is good enough to win this game, but we don’t think that it will ultimately have quite enough.

Divisional NFL Pick: New York +9

NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 31 – New York 30

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January 6th, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Teams with some offensive firepower duke it out in the Meadowlands on Sunday to start a double dip of games on the NFL playoffs schedule when the NFC East winning New York Giants host the Atlanta Falcons.

Year To Date Record: 59-61 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Wild Card NFL Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
Date: Sunday, January 7th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Wild Card Lines: New York -3
Over/Under 47.5
Wild Card NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Falcons Notes: It’s hard to believe that the Falcons didn’t have an offense ranked in the Top 5 in any major offensive category in the league this year outside of field goal kicking. QB Matt Ryan threw for over 4,000 yards, and his top three receivers, WR Roddy White, WR Julio Jones, and TE Tony Gonzalez combined for 234 receptions and at least 875 yards apiece. Jones averaged almost 18 yards per catch, and White had a second straight 100+ catch season and a fifth straight 80+ catch season. Gonzalez had the third most touchdowns that he has had in a season, which is really saying something for a man that has 95 career TDs and over 13,000 receiving yards. RB Michael Turner carried the ball a whopping 301 times, and he had 1,340 yards and 11 scores. Yet the Falcons still seem like a relatively average offensive squad by playoff standards, and no one thinks that they can stick with the best offenses in the league. Many don’t even think that they can stay with the offense on the other side of the field.

Giants Notes: New York had itself an interesting season this year. In a different year in which there weren’t three quarterbacks that threw for over 5,000 yards and four that threw for at least 39 TDs, QB Eli Manning might have been the league’s MVP. He threw for 4,933 yards and 29 TDs. Sure, he threw 16 picks, and sure he was amongst the league leaders in turnovers, but he took every single snap this year for his team, won the games that had to be won, and he even went on the road and beat the New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys with late, game-winning drives. Yes, it was a fine year for Manning, especially when you consider the fact that both RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs missed time this year, and the G-Men ranked dead last in the league in rushing. The Giants also got nothing this year out of WR Mario Manningham, who only had 523 yards on 39 receptions. WR Hakeem Nicks had 1,192 yards and seven trips to the end zone, but the two surprises were TE Jake Ballard and WR Victor Cruz. Ballard had 604 yards and four TDs this year, which isn’t shabby for a man who wasn’t known as a pass catching tight end before this season. Cruz, who started the year as the fourth best receiver on his team, ended the season with the third most receiving yards in the league with 1,536, and he had a team high in receptions with 82 and TDs with nine. In the end this year, only he and RB Danny Ware playing with Manning in all 16 games this season in terms of the skill players.

The Final Word: We’ve done a lot of promoting these two offenses, and for good reasons. Both defenses have had some games this year that just make us scratch our heads. Heck, the Giants allowed more points per game (25.0) than they scored (24.6). That being said, we do think that this one will get into the 50s, which will push the game past the ‘total’. We could see either team winning, though.

Wild Card NFL Pick: Atlanta/New York Over 47.5

NFL Football Prediction: Atlanta 31 – New York 27

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January 6th, 2012 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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QB Tim Tebow will take to the NFL playoffs for the first time in his career, and he will do so against arguably the most accomplished team in the NFL in the last decade, the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Year To Date Record: 59-61 ATS
Upset Record: 18-35, -$930

Wild Card NFL Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
Date: Sunday, January 8th, 4:30 ET
Location: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
NFL Wild Card Lines: Pittsburgh -8
Over/Under 34.5
Wild Card NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Steelers Notes: For anyone that thinks that the Steelers are just going to blow through an inferior team, just look back at the New Orleans Saints last year and ask them how they did when they had to fly across the country to take on the Seattle Seahawks on the road. This is definitely not a full strength team to say the least, and we tend to think that that factor is being overlooked. RB Rashard Mendenhall was put on IR last week, and that only came right on the heels of the team putting RB Jonathan Dwyer on IR. RB Mewelde Moore is hurt as well. That really just leaves RB Isaac Redman to get the job done on the ground, and if something happens to him, rookie RB John Clay, who didn’t suit until two weeks ago in his first NFL game and only has a total of 10 carries for his career, would be asked to step into this huge spot and carry the load. QB Ben Roethlisberger has been injured quite a bit over the last few weeks with an ankle injury, and we just aren’t all that sure that he is as healthy as “probable” suggests on the injury report. The defense is simply one of the best in the game year in and year out, and this is the unit that is going to have to get the job done, though it will be tested against a team that is going to present the type of offense that it has never seen before.

Broncos Notes: To say that this is a franchise defining game might be a bit of an understatement, but it isn’t an outrageous one by any means. QB Tim Tebow has played like garbage over the course of the last few weeks, and he was probably the reason that the team stumbled to a three game skid at the end of the year. That being said, there is also no one that can deny the fact that he was simply superhuman in the fourth quarter of games during a six game winning streak. It was Tebow magic, and it was the likes that we have never seen before and may never see again in the NFL. Should Tebow win this game, he will, without a shadow of a doubt, be the team’s starting quarterback next year, and probably in the future as well. However, if he fizzles and QB Brady Quinn has to come in to replace him, it could be a sign that the team is heading in a totally new direction next season. What can’t be underestimated is the fact that the defense has had a total renaissance over the course of the last two and a half months, and a unit that was one of the worst in the game over the course of the last few years is suddenly going to be capable of winning playoff games all by itself.

The Final Word: We just don’t see it for Pittsburgh. We haven’t thought that they were that good all season long, and we still don’t see it. There are too many injuries and too many excuses. Tebow isn’t the quarterback that is winning the Super Bowl this year, but in spite of his woeful completion percentage, lack of quality passes, and goofy looking delivery and the sorts, we just think that Tebow is going to find some way, whether by religion, motivation, or just sheer dumb luck, to get the job done and to get into the second round of the playoffs.

Wild Card NFL Pick: Denver +8

NFL Football Prediction: Denver 16 – Pittsburgh 12

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December 31st, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, January 1st!

Year To Date Record: 56-59 ATS
Upset Record: 16-29, -$820

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: Philadelphia -9
Over/Under 45.5
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Sorry, Philly. We’re just not all that convinced. The teams that have played against the Eagles of late, for the most part, have either had nothing to play for, or just haven’t been all that great. We know that the Redskins fall into this boat as well, but we may as well finish up this season the same way that it started. Everyone was convinced that the “Dream Team” would blow away teams like the Giants, the 49ers, and the Bills, only to get shocked with an outright upset by the road team here in the City of Brotherly Love. We’re still not convinced that the fans are going to really be on the side of the team this week with such bad sentiment going around in Philly over Head Coach Andy Reid, and that being said, we are going to take the nine points. Either RB Evan Royster or RB Roy Helu has had at least 100 rushing yards in four of the ‘Skins last five games. That’d be a great start towards a cover if it happened again on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Washington +9

Week 17 NFL Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
NFL Lines: San Francisco -10.5
Over/Under 35
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Nothing is easy this time of year no matter who you are. The Rams stink. They’re the worst team in football. And yet, this is still their last game of the season and their swan song, and they are going to be at home with a crowd on their side that really wants to see their team beat one of the best teams in the league. The Niners really have the deck stacked against them, as they are expected to win this game and win it going away, and the end result might be a game in which they keep it really close to the vest and just barely find a way out of town. Even without QB Sam Bradford, we think that St. Louis can keep this game a lot closer than this point spread suggests. Ignore the fact that the 49ers are one of the best ATS teams ever and that the Rams are one of the worst ATS teams ever. Roles reverse on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: St. Louis +10.5

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Lines: Minnesota -1
Over/Under 41
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Bears have absolutely packed it in, while the Vikings are still trying hard to win games. Again, it’s the swan song for the Vikes, and they are going to want to send out the Metrodome with a win, something that it has only done a handful of times over the course of the last two years. We just can’t picture Chicago having any desire to come on the road and win this game with all of the injuries and bad press that have surrounded this team for weeks. Minnesota is clearly in the better state at the moment, and it will show on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Minnesota -1

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Ever Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
NFL Lines: Jacksonville -3.5
Over/Under 37
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Colts have gotten their two cute, little wins over the course of the last two weeks, but that doesn’t mean that they are going to want to lose out on QB Andrew Luck! It would legitimately be a travesty for this franchise to win this game, and the Jags should be the beneficiaries. It is the last time that Wayne Weaver will own the team, and it will probably be the last that any of us have ever heard of Jacksonville interim coach Mel Tucker. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is going to be going for the rushing title this week, and we think that he will get the job done and eclipsed the 1,500 yard mark for the year in doing so. The Jags will shine on Sunday and at least go into the offseason with new ownership a little something to built upon.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Jacksonville -3.5

Week 17 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 1st, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -10.5
Over/Under 50
Week 17 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Don’t believe us that things aren’t easy this time of year? Just look at what the Dolphins nearly did to the Patriots last week! New England needs this game and needs it badly, or it runs the risk of having to play a road game in the playoffs. It has a lot of motivation to get the job done against a Buffalo team that beat it up in Orchard Park early this season, and QB Tom Brady has all of the motivation in the world to have a huge game. The Bills picked him off four times, and he is 190 yards short of QB Drew Brees for the most passing yards in a single season in the history of the NFL. However, the Bills finally got going again last week against the Broncos, and though that might have been their game in which they really got the job done for that offseason momentum, we do think that they are going to at least make things remotely interesting on the Pats on Sunday.

Week 17 NFL Pick: Buffalo +10.5
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December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Green Bay Packers can lock up the top seed in the NFC playoffs on Christmas night when they engage in NFL betting action against the Chicago Bears.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 25th, 8:25 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Week 16 Lines: Green Bay -12.5
Over/Under 43.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Bears Notes: A car dealership in the Windy City is willing to give away a million bucks in free cars if the Bears shut out the Packers. Yeah, and we believe in the Tooth Fairy, too. By all accounts, Chicago has been absolutely awful over the course of the last few weeks since losing QB Jay Cutler. Did you ever think that the Bears fans would be praying for Cutler back? QB Josh McCown is going to be taking snaps to start this game because QB Caleb Hanie has been terrible. That being said, the onus is going to be on the defense to at least remotely slow down the Packers’ potent offense. This unit is allowing 20.9 points per game this year, but last week’s 38-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks was a bad, bad sign for the rest of the season. If this unit can’t figure out how to stop the Seahawks at home, it’s a wonder how in the heck it is going to stop Green Bay at Lambeau Field in primetime.

Packers Notes: The Packers are clearly coming off of their worst game in over a calendar year, as they were surprisingly beaten down by the Kansas City Chiefs last week at Arrowhead Stadium. Sure, the perfect season is said and done with, but there is still absolutely a chance to finish up the season at 18-1 and be known as one of the best teams in the history of the league. QB Aaron Rodgers had the worst game that has had in quite some time, and he might have opened up the door for the rest of the league to win the MVP Award. The real concern is that this offense really did look terrible last week without WR Greg Jennings. Rodgers at one point was 8-of-22 passing against a poor Kansas City defense, and if that keeps up in this game, there could be some real problems to contend with.

The Final Word: We’re not really all that keen about laying a dozen points, nor are we wild about taking Chicago until it proves that it can stay out of its own way. This team was absolutely slaughtered by the Seahawks, who really aren’t all that great. That being said, we’ll look for a creative way to bet this game. Eight straight between these teams have failed to reach the ‘total’, and if Rodgers can’t figure out how to do better than he did last week against a suspect secondary, there is no way that this one is getting into the 40s.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Chicago/Green Bay Under 43.5

NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 24 – Chicago 13

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