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Posts Tagged ‘Week 11’

May 18th, 2012 By Andrew Ryan
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Week 11 of the 2012 AFL season is upon us, and here at Cappers Info, we are taking a look at all of the games that are on the AFL betting lines and making our Arena Football predictions for the week ahead!

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Orlando Predators @ New Orleans VooDoo
Date: Friday, May 18th, 8:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: New Orleans -7.5 (94)


The Predators have been one of the worst teams in the AFL all season long, but we think that they are going to find their way into the win column on Friday night on the NFL Network. The VooDoo have just been finding ways to lose games these last four weeks or so, and they are lucky to be 1-3 in that stretch. Orlando is debuting QB Chris Leak under center this week, and he is the best quarterback that the team has had all season long. Go with the Preds for the upset on the road.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Orlando Predators +7.5

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Georgia Force @ Milwaukee Mustangs
Date: Friday, May 18th, 8:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Milwaukee -8 (103)


This point spread bothers us. Georgia has won two games in a row, and now it has to come on the road to Milwaukee, where the Mustangs were just trounced a week ago by a very suspect Cleveland team. The Force clearly aren’t the better of these two teams though, and we think that the AFL point spread is justified. Milwaukee is our pick, but we are still wary of this game for sure.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Milwaukee Mustangs -8

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Philadelphia Soul @ Spokane Shock
Date: Friday, May 18th, 11:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Philadelphia -8.5 (125)


The Shock are back in contention in the Western Division thanks to the emergence of QB Kyle Rowley under center. The problem that we have with Spokane though, is that a ton of players have been leaving for the CFL in recent weeks. Rowley might be by himself in this one, and if that’s the case, he isn’t beating the Soul, even if the game is played in Spokane, one of the loudest venues in the league. This is going to be a one-sided romp in favor of the Soul.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Philadelphia Soul -8.5

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Iowa Barnstormers @ Jacksonville Sharks
Date: Saturday, May 19th, 7:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Jacksonville -1 (110)


The oddsmakers have lined this game as a tossup, and at least on paper, it seems relatively justified. The Barnstormers and Sharks have comparable records, and they are both struggling to find their ways into the win column. That being said, Iowa has played a tremendously tough schedule. Jacksonville… not so much. We prefer taking QB JJ Raterink on the road against the Sharks, who could be debuting their fourth starting quarterback of the season already in just Week 11.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Iowa Barnstormers +1

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Tampa Bay Storm @ Cleveland Gladiators
Date: Saturday, May 19th, 7:30 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Cleveland -7 (102)


The Gladiators and Storm met a month ago in Tampa Bay, and the outcome was a severely one-sided game in which the hosts romped. Of course, what we have to remember about the Storm is that they are 5-0 SU and ATS at home and 0-4 SU and ATS on the road. That being said, we think that the Glads are being tremendous overrated in this game thanks to a road win at Milwaukee last week. QB John Dutton will be good for his two or three picks once again, and if that’s the case, the Tampa Bay offense should be able to generate enough offense to at least keep this game within a score.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Tampa Bay Storm +7

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Kansas City Command @ Pittsburgh Power
Date: Saturday, May 19th, 7:30 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Pittsburgh -7 (95)


This will be the worst game of the season for sure. The Power and the Command are the two worst teams in the league, and in our opinion, this is the only shot that KC has of getting a win for the rest of the season unless it just totally sneaks up on somebody. QB Bryan Randall is the better of these two signal callers in our opinion, and if all else is equal on two lousy teams, the Power should be able to pull off the victory by double digits, just like everyone else has been able to do against the Command this year.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Pittsburgh Power -7

Week 11 AFL Matchup: San Jose SaberCats @ San Antonio Talons
Date: Saturday, May 19th, 8:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: San Jose -6.5 (116)


The SaberCats are clearly one of the best teams in the league this year, and they are going against a San Antonio team that has a lot of wins, but not a lot of quality results. A lot of these victories have come by close margins against iffy teams, and a lot of duels could have gone the other way. These two teams have already played once this year, a game that ended in a blowout for the SaberCats. There is bad blood aplenty here in this game, knowing that these two teams fought in the preseason to the point that the game had to be cancelled in the third quarter. The visitors are the better side though, and asking them to win by a touchdown, even on the road, isn’t too much to ask.

AFL Week 11 Pick: San Jose SaberCats -6.5

Week 11 AFL Matchup: Arizona Rattlers @ Utah Blaze
Date: Saturday, May 19th, 9:00 ET
Arena Football Week 11 Odds: Arizona -4 (127)


The best game of the weekend for sure. This is going to be the third straight week that we have seen San Jose, Arizona, and Utah involved in games against one another, and this is the last chance for the Rattlers and Blaze to get a win against any of the other teams in the Western Division. Utah stood toe-to-toe with San Jose for almost three full quarters before one stop caused the floodgates to open. The Blaze, in our opinion, are the better of these two teams. Arizona is only favored because of the fact that many think that this was the same team that was in the ArenaBowl last year. We just don’t see it like that. Go with Utah at home for the mild upset to put the Rattlers in a world of hurt.

AFL Week 11 Pick: Utah Blaze +4

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Posted in Arena Football |

 
November 18th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, November 20th!

Year To Date Record: 30-35 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
NFL Lines: Miami -2.5
Over/Under 43
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

It really feels like the wheels have fallen off of the Buffalo bandwagon after back to back brutal losses against the Cowboys and the Jets. Now they have to come on the road again to Miami, where they traditionally really don’t play that well. The Dolphins are “hot,” having won two in a row, and a win in this game may actually bring Head Coach Tony Sparano back into the potential mix for a head coaching job somewhere next year (because we know that it won’t be in Miami with the new stadium opening up). We just like the mojo that is surrounding the Dolphins, as they have played some good games of late, and we think that they are justifiably short favorites in this game.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Miami -2.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
NFL Lines: Cleveland -1
Over/Under 34.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

McCoy! Gabbert! It’s the NFL on CBS! Alright, we’ve heard better introductions for women’s volleyball games than that, but it’s true. These two offenses, for lack of better terms, suck. The weather is going to be nasty in Cleveland as well, and if the Colts and Jaguars could only combine for 24 points in a dome, it’s a wonder how on earth the Jags and Browns could get to 35. It’s the lowest ‘total’ of the season, but it’s not nearly low enough. We’d actually put this game in the high 20s.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Cleveland/Jacksonville Under 34.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
NFL Lines: Detroit -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

It’s high time that the Lions wake up and put together a strong performance going into Thanksgiving. Sure, it’s clear that the Panthers are more talented than your average 2-7 team, but QB Cam Newton can’t do it all. The mean streak of this Lions defense should make the difference in this one. QB Matt Stafford will get back on track and get back in the end zone without throwing a plethora of picks, and we are convinced that this is the game in which WR Calvin Johnson breaks out again. The Panthers were blown to bits on their home turf last week by a worse Tennessee team, and the timing is right for a bounce back for Detroit. It’s time for a double digit victory once again for the hosts on the eve of the biggest game that the franchise has had in decades against the Pack next week.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Detroit -7

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 1:00 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
NFL Lines: Dallas -7.5
Over/Under 42
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

It really doesn’t make a heck of a lot of sense to us as to why we think that the Redskins will compete with the Cowboys on Sunday, but this is another one of those rivalry games that just doesn’t make a ton of sense. These two teams played to a defensive struggle of an 18-16 game when they met up in Dallas earlier in the year, and we don’t think that all that much has really changed with either team. WR Miles Austin is out once again, just with a problem with the other hamstring this time, and the Redskins are back in the command of QB Rex Grossman, as they should be. No, we don’t think that Washington is pulling off the upset, but laying more than a TD on the road usually isn’t good in the NFL.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Washington +7.5

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 4:05 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
NFL Lines: San Francisco -9.5
Over/Under 41
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Okay, we’re not exactly in, “Fade ‘Em until they fail to cover a game” mode, but we do think that the 49ers are due for a game in which they just don’t come out and play all that well. Sure, they’ve got the talent and the right mindset to get through that and to post the victory, but this is still a divisional game against an Arizona team that has played two just flat out awesome road games this year. QB John Skelton, believe it or not, looks better than QB Kevin Kolb does running this offense, as he has been smart enough to get the ball in the hands of WR Larry Fitzgerald, arguably one of the most talented receivers in football. The 49ers had better be careful, or they could reasonably get picked off in this game.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Arizona +9.5

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Posted in NFL Football |

 
November 18th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The first place New York Giants could have their NFC East lead put on the line against the Philadelphia Eagles on NBC’s Sunday Night Football, and we are set to make our NFL picks for the biggest clash of the year for these two teams to date.

Year To Date Record: 30-35 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants
Date: Sunday, November 20th, 8:25 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Week 11 Lines: New York -4
Over/Under 46.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Eagles Notes: This team is just a mess right now, as the Eagles have officially been exposed as total frauds. QB Michael Vick has broken ribs, and who knows whether he is going to play on Sunday night or not, and if he doesn’t, no one is really all that sure whether it is going to be QB Mike Kafka or QB Vince Young running the offense. There is a big question as to how hard WR DeSean Jackson is going to play for the rest of the year for Head Coach Andy Reid after being suspended last week for missing a team meeting, and WR Jeremy Maclin is hurt as well. Reid is just too stubborn to put the ball in the hands of his RB LeSean McCoy 30 times every single game, and even if he did in this one, the Giants excel a heck of a lot better against ground games than passing games.

Giants Notes: The Giants haven’t exactly proven to us that they are legitimate yet, but they are at least going to contend for a playoff spot, something that we weren’t all that sure about a few weeks ago when the team took off for a game at New England. However, they knocked off the Pats, and they were good enough to play with the 49ers. QB Eli Manning is taking care of the football for the most part, and he is making great decisions. He’s got his full complement of wide receivers at his disposal again, and WR Victor Cruz is making all of the difference in the world as a slot receiver. No receiver in the game has more yardage in the fourth quarter of games this year than Cruz does, a very telling stat both about him and about Manning’s ability to get the ball in the right spot to him when it really counts.

The Final Word: The oddsmakers have yet to really learn, we suppose. The Eagles stink. They’re just as good as Arizona or Seattle or Tampa Bay, and none of those teams would only be +4 on the road in the Meadowlands. Add in the fact that the G-Men can bury the 2011 Eagles right next to Jimmy Hoffa with one good game on Sunday, and the makings are there for this one to be a brutal, brutal game for the visitors.

Week 11 NFL Pick: New York -4

NFL Football Prediction: New York 38 – Philadelphia 17

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Posted in NFL Football |

 
November 18th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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Two teams that know all about each other and have a slew of ties to one another meet up on Monday Night Football this week, and we are set to make our pro football picks in the duel between the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Year To Date Record: 30-35 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots
Date: Monday, November 21st, 8:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Week 11 Lines: New England -14.5
Over/Under 46.5
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Chiefs Notes: The quantity of injuries that this Kansas City team has endured this year should be outlawed by federal law. First it was S Eric Berry, then it was RB Jamaal Charles, and now it’s QB Matt Cassel. Poor Cassel broke a bone in his hand last week, which will keep him out of his first game back at Gillette Stadium since playing for the Patriots. Instead, QB Tyler Palko will be making his first career start on the road on Monday Night Football against the most storied franchise in the last 15 years in the NFL. Yikes. RB Jackie Battle and RB Dexter McCluster had both better run the heck out of the football to have any chance in this one, or the defense had better bring its best game of the season, or the Chiefs could get run right out of the building.

Patriots Notes: Still, New England looks soft, and it still has all of the same problems now that the Jets couldn’t figure out how to expose last week on Sunday Night Football. Here’s the worse news, though. If there is a man out there that can figure out this offense more efficiently than anyone else in the game, it is probably Kansas City DC Romeo Crennel, who worked his defense against the Brady offense every day in practice for years before he left to become the head coach of the Cleveland Browns. QB Tom Brady needs just under 300 passing yards to become the league’s leading passer this year, which shouldn’t be a problem for a man who is averaging over 330 yards per game through the air. There are still questions on the ground, especially after RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis had just eight yards on eight carries last week.

The Final Word: Just like last week when no one was convinced that the Vikings could hang with the Packers and we sided (incorrectly, mind you) with Minnesota, we’re going to do the same thing this week with KC. The Chiefs, even with Palko at quarterback, do have a good enough offense to at least remotely control the clock in this game, and when push comes to shove, that might be enough to keep them within two TDs or so at the death.

Week 11 NFL Pick: Kansas City +14.5

NFL Football Prediction: New England 27 – Kansas City 17

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November 16th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The New York Jets and Denver Broncos are just a game back from being in the playoff picture once again in the AFC. One will take a huge step in the right direction on Thursday, and we are here to make our NFL picks for the first game on the Week 11 schedule.

Year To Date Record: 30-34 ATS
Upset Record: 10-18, -$720

Week 11 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
Date: Thursday, November 17th, 8:20 ET
Location: Sports Authority Stadium, Denver, CO
NFL Lines: Jets -6
Over/Under 41
Week 11 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Jets Notes: Things for the Jets had gone great at home and terribly on the road over the course of the first month and change of the season. That was until two weeks ago when the team won its first road game at Buffalo and then followed that up by losing its first home game against New England. This is such a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde team, it isn’t even funny. This defense, in all of its glory, is only ranked No. 8 in the league in total defense, and it has a very average run defense, and there is nothing particularly special at all about QB Mark Sanchez. RB LaDainian Tomlinson is out of this one, which leaves the onus on RB Shonn Greene, another player that has had a less than flattering season for sure.

Broncos Notes: Head Coach John Fox knows that his Broncos stand no chance of throwing the football with QB Tim Tebow out there, so he decided to take matters into his own hands last week against Kansas City and throw the ball exactly eight times against 55 rushes. Tebow only went 2-of-8, but one of the completions went 56 yards to WR Eric Decker for a touchdown. The Denver defense was helped out dramatically by the fact that the Chiefs have just shown very little ability to get up and down the field all season long, and we are still wondering whether this team really has a shot to compete on this type of a stage or not. To make matters worse, RB Willis McGahee has a hamstring injury that could keep him out of the fold, and RB Knowshon Moreno is out for the season with an ACL injury suffered last week.

The Final Word: In the end, we don’t really think so. New York is clearly the more well-rounded of these two teams even though it has struggled on the road this year. Head Coach Rex Ryan has had a short week, but the game plan can’t be that hard to devise against an offense that is totally one-dimensional and is probably going to be without its two best running backs. Though we hate the Jets, we don’t see Tebow living to tell about this one if he is going to just try to run basically an entirely run-oriented offense.

Week 11 NFL Pick: New York Jets -6

NFL Football Prediction: New York 20 – Denver 6

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November 11th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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College football betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NCAA football picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, November 12th!

Year To Date Record: 61-62 ATS
Upset Record: 16-25 +$615

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Clemson Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 12:00 ET
Location: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
College Football Lines: Clemson -16.5
Over/Under 60.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

This game is probably going to be for the ACC Atlantic Division title, and if the Tigers win it, they’ll have their ticket punched to the game regardless of what else goes down in these last few weeks. Clemson is certainly the better team in this game, but we have this sneaking suspicion that the Deacs are going to hang. QB Tanner Price has been a heck of a lot better than people realize this year, and the Tigers have, especially of late, looked beatable. We expect this to stay as no more than a two score game the whole way.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Wake Forest +16.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Marshall Thundering Herd @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 12:00 ET
Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK
College Football Lines: Tulsa -19.5
Over/Under 53
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS College Sports

QB GJ Kinne and the Golden Hurricane are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall, but we have a feeling that all of that comes to an end this week. The Herd have done a nice job staying relatively close in games this year, and we don’t foresee another total romp like we saw a few weeks ago against Houston. Remember, in spite of the fact that the Cougs put up 63 against it, Marshall is still allowing under 30 points per game this year. It’s going to be tough to cover nearly three full touchdowns for the Golden Hurricane, especially knowing that the Thundering Herd badly need to pull an upset like this to have a shot at bowling.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Marshall +19.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Miami Hurricanes @ Florida State Seminoles
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 3:30 ET
Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
College Football Lines: Florida State -9
Over/Under 50.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

While the Noles are hot, we aren’t about to get off of the train. Miami has really played some dud games this year on the road, and heading to Tallahassee surely isn’t going to be fun. In games that Florida State has played with QB EJ Manuel playing the full game, it has won by 31, 34, 25, 25, 52, and 34 points. The other three games were all lost. Somehow, we don’t think that beating a nine point spread is going to be all that difficult against a team that has already been beaten by Maryland, Kansas State, and Virginia this year.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Florida State -9

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 6:00 ET
Location: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
College Football Lines: Arkansas -14.5
Over/Under 54.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

Very few things have been easy for Arkansas this year, and we think that this is going to be one of the many games that don’t go as easily as they probably should. The Volunteers have remained stingy all season long in spite of the fact that it has been awhile since QB Tyler Bray has touched a football. If UT wants to go bowling, this would be a game that it would probably want to pull off the upset. We don’t think it’ll happen, especially with Arkansas quite possibly holding its keys to the National Championship Game when push comes to shove, but we do think that it’ll be closer than this spread suggests.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Tennessee +14.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Auburn Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 3:30 ET
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
College Football Lines: Georgia -12.5
Over/Under 53.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS

The Tigers are good enough to win this game. Remember that before QB Stephen Garcia was kicked off the team and before RB Marcus Lattimore tore his ACL, Auburn went into South Carolina and beat it. Georgia isn’t all that much better than South Carolina is in all likelihood. Give the Dawgs their due, as they were able to get back in front of the SEC East race by winning seven in a row. They’ll probably finish off the conference title either this week or next, but this one could be a lot more difficult than it seems. At some point, something is going at least try to bump this train off of the tracks.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Auburn +12.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 8:00 ET
Location: Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA
College Football Lines: Stanford -3
Over/Under 68
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

There are going to be a ton of points scored in this game, and we just don’t see how these two clubs, which are good for over 90 points per game as it is, will be stopping one another. Neither one really had a fantastic answer for the other last year when the two met in Eugene, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see 40 on the board by the half… easily. QB Andrew Luck and RB LaMichael James are going to play like Heisman Trophy candidates, and unlike in last week’s so called “Game of the Century,” this one is going to have all of the pomp, circumstance, and touchdowns that we are expecting.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Oregon/Stanford Over 68

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 7:45 ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
College Football Lines: Alabama -18
Over/Under 42.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

Mississippi State isn’t just going to lie down and die in this game like the rest of the world probably thinks. Sure, the Crimson Tide are angry that they were beaten by LSU last week at home, but the season isn’t over with, and it isn’t a given that they are going to finish the year out at 11-1 with a shot to play in the National Championship Game. We tend to think that this one is going to be really close, but the one trend that we keep continuing to follow is how good Alabama’s defense is. How the Bulldogs are going to score more than maybe 14 in this game is beyond us. This should be a battle of field goals and field position, and in the end, we just don’t see the ball crossing the end zone more than maybe four times in total, which should keep this one comfortably below the number.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Alabama/Mississippi State Under 42.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ LSU Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 7:00 ET
Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
College Football Lines: LSU -42
Over/Under 48.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

Oh c’mon, oddsmakers. Give us a break. We would take any team in the FBS at +42 against the Tigers in this game even though it is at night in Baton Rouge. There is no way that the Bayou Bengals are going to be up for this one the same way that they were last week against Alabama, and unlike in years past, Western Kentucky has a team that has some pride and can at least remotely hang around for awhile. RB Bobby Rainey is going to be the key, and if he can gash even just a few tiny, little holes in this defense, it’ll be really hard to see how LSU can cover this number. Getting to seven should do it for WKU, easily.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Western Kentucky +42

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November 10th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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It’s the 11th day in the 11th month in 2011, and in Week 11 of the season, it will be a lucky day either for the South Florida Bulls or the Syracuse Orange. Check out our NCAA football picks for the big game!

Year To Date Record: 60-60 ATS
Upset Record: 16-25, +$615

Week 11 College Football Matchup: South Florida Bulls @ Syracuse Orange
Date: Friday, November 11th, 8:00 ET
Location: Carrier Dome, Syracuse, NY
College Football Lines: South Florida -4
Over/Under 51.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

The Bulls and the Orange have had a rough start over the course of the Big East campaign, but both of them are still hoping to be able to latch onto a bowl game. Syracuse is only a game away, but the Bulls still need two victories with a relatively hard schedule left.

This matchup probably isn’t going to be all that pretty, as both offenses have a tendency of bogging down. Here’s the thing, though. Both QB BJ Daniels and QB Ryan Nassib have a lot of experience and have some good stats, and these two teams do average over 58 points per game between them. The Bulls have a good history in this series, but if we take away that 13-9 ugly matchup last year, it has taken at least 34 points to win the last three games dating back to 2007. We’re going to take a shot at a relatively low ‘total’.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: South Florida/Syracuse Over 51.5

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November 10th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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Three big time duels with a total of three ranked teams are in action on Thursday night, and we are set to make our college football picks for the three pack of games.

Year To Date Record: 60-60 ATS
Upset Record: 16-25, +$615

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Ohio Bobcats @ Central Michigan Chippewas
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 7:30 ET
Location: Kelly Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI
College Football Lines: Ohio -6.5
Over/Under 60
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

As we have said time and time again in these crazy MAC midweek games, if you’re a fan of defense, you’re going to be better served watching hockey than this one. The Chippewas have been awful defensive this season, allowing 31.3 points per game this season. Now, they have to take on an Ohio offense that has scored at least 35 points three times in the last four weeks, including doing so against the Temple Owls, the team with clearly the top defense in the conference. That being said, CMU has played in some more competitive, lower scoring games over these past few weeks, playing to 45 points against both the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Akron Zips and 58 to the Ball State Cardinals. We tend to think that 60 is a tad too high in this one, especially if the Chippewas are going to hang around. QB Ryan Radcliff would have to have just an awesome game to beat us, something that we just don’t see happening when push comes to shove.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Ohio/Central Michigan Under 60

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Houston Cougars @ Tulane Green Wave
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 8:00 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
College Football Lines: Houston -34.5
Over/Under 73.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS College Sports

There is no truth to the rumors that the Superdome had to install a third digit for its scoreboard on the visitors side in this one. We can take one look at the offensive numbers for the Cougars and just be amazed. The team has scored 56, 73, 63, 56, 49, and 56 in its last six games, and QB Case Keenum has 3,626 passing yards and 34 TDs this year. If he plays in the Conference USA title game and stays healthy, he’s on a clip to throw for a stunning 5,640 yards and 53 touchdowns. Wow. That being said, Tulane has really gotten killed in games like this one quite often, and losing seven in a row doesn’t really have to give you that warm, fuzzy feeling about backing the Wave on Thursday night. However, we may be glutton for punishment, but that’s exactly what we’re going to do. Houston has covered eight in a row in this series, but only one of the eight featured a final margin of victory bigger than five touchdowns. The Green Wave are averaging 22.7 points per game. If they can put three TDs on the board in this one, we feel at least marginally safe about our chances. And goodness help us for this pick…

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Tulane +34.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Date: Thursday, November 10th, 8:00 ET
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
College Football Lines: Virginia Tech -1
Over/Under 49.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

We’ll start by saying that these two teams are both probably amongst the best 15-20 teams in America regardless of what any ranking says or what they will say when the season is said and done with. Both teams had one tremendous mental block this season, and for the Hokies it cost one game, while it cost the Ramblin’ Wreck two games. We could make arguments for either side in this one, but we are going to argue for Virginia Tech in this game. The triple option is a very fundamental offense to try to stop. It’s all about speed and assignment football. over the past two years, the Yellow Jackets have only put a total of seven touchdowns on the board in games against the Hokies, a number which is considered relatively low when you’re talking about going against Head Coach Paul Johnson and his high octane option. Sure, in the past, the Hokies were laying bigger numbers than this, and they ended up falling short of those numbers, and they were even beaten here in 2009. But, the failure on that day belonged to the offense, not to the defense, which held the Jackets to just 360 total yards for the day. In the end, the offense for V-Tech should be good enough to make up for the deficiencies of the defense, and it should yield a close, close win for the visitors. We wouldn’t be shocked to see the opposite result though, so tread lightly.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Virginia Tech -1

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Posted in College Football |

 
September 7th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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We’re down to 15-21 ATS on the season after a bad 1-3 ATS week, but we think that we have a good idea of what we’re looking at now that these teams are all facing one another again for a second straight week. Join us for our Week 11 CFL picks!
Calgary Stampeders @ Edmonton Eskimos Picks
Week 11 CFL Odds: Calgary -3
CFL Week 11 Lines: Over/Under 51.5

Payback, anyone? The Stampeders were absolutely laughed off of their home field in Week 11, getting stomped on Labour Day by these Eskies 35-7 in a game that really no one saw coming. The struggle for this offense was immense, and we couldn’t believe it ourselves. That being said, Edmonton really played a great game. The likelihood of two in a row isn’t all that great. This was a squad that was picked to miss the playoffs this season, and though that won’t be the case, we definitely don’t see the Eskimos sticking around to win the regular season West Division title. That’ll still be a crown that belongs to Calgary, and the Stamps will prove it by rebounding in the second version of the Battle of Alberta in as many weeks. Free CFL Picks: Calgary -3

Toronto Argonauts @ BC Lions Picks
Week 11 CFL Odds: BC -8
CFL Week 11 Lines: Over/Under 49

The Lions might have dismantled the Boatmen last week at Rogers Centre, but the trip across the country to get back to Vancouver has changed these two teams. BC should have back RB Jamel Robertson to bolster the running game, but the most important change comes at quarterback for Toronto. The Argos have cut QB Cleo Lemon after he was yanked at halftime of last week’s loss, and he will be replaced by QB Steven Jyles. Jyles was on the nine game injured list after offseason shoulder surgery, and now, he is going to be thrown right into the mix on just a week and a half of practice and no live game time to take on the Lions. Still, this is a nice spot for Jyles to be in, as there isn’t much time for the Leos to prepare for a totally different game plan that will come their way. Don’t be shocked if there is an upset in the cards on Saturday. Free CFL Picks: Toronto +8

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Montreal Alouettes Picks
Week 11 CFL Odds: Montreal -5
CFL Week 11 Lines: Over/Under 57

We backed Montreal last week to no avail, and we are going to go back to the well again this week. The problems that the Alouettes have had this year have mostly come on the road, though there is one unsightly home loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the mix. QB Anthony Calvillo got hurt in that game though, and aside from that, this has been a dominating team at Percival Molson Stadium. Sure, Hamilton has won three in a row in this series, but the last four have all been played at Ivor Wynne Stadium. It’s payback time in Quebec this weekend. Free CFL Picks: Montreal -5

Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers Picks
Week 11 CFL Odds: Winnipeg -5.5
CFL Week 11 Lines: Over/Under 47.5

This is probably the most intriguing game on the slate this week due to the fact that we aren’t so sure who the better team in the game is. Sure, Saskatchewan is 2-7 and Winnipeg is 7-2, but that doesn’t necessarily mean anything. Neither team is as good (or bad) as their record suggests. The Riders really dominated this game last week, winning 27-7, and they kept the Blue Bombers out of the end zone the entire night. Will that be the case again? It might be. QB Buck Pierce’s numbers are slipping just a bit, and he just doesn’t have the weapons to take advantage of a sometimes suspect Saskatchewan secondary (say THAT four times fast!). That being said, QB Darian Durant is on the upswing right now, and he should really do a number again on Head Coach Paul LaPolice’s defense. Free CFL Picks: Saskatchewan +5.5

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Posted in Canadian Football |

 
November 18th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 11 picks…

Oakland Raiders (+7) @ Pittsburgh Steelers – Plenty of interesting NFL lines this week, and I'm one who is a believer in the dogs having their day. Oakland is a team that is good enough to come into Pittsburgh and win this game. The Steelers could be in for a long decent again this year as they were in '09, and if they even have the slightest trip up, they are going to be in a lot of trouble in the AFC South race. The Raiders have control of first place in the AFC West right now for a reason. QB Jason Campbell should at least be able to keep this game tight. I'm going with Oakland +7.

Houston Texans (+7) @ New York Jets – Though I know that the moneyline price really justifies itself, I'm not so sure that the spread really does. Assuming that Houston's QB Matt Schaub does actually suit up, the Texans have the gunslinger that can pick apart this New York defense. The Jets aren't really built to blow you out, and they are in a position where they are going to have to throw the ball all over the field to do the most damage on Houston's porous secondary. This is the one truly contending team in the AFC that the Texans really could have their way with, even on the road, and I'm taking the points. Houston +7

Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Carolina Panthers – The Ravens are in the spotlight here, as they are in a position where they really should be posting an impressive victory. I was burned by QB Colt McCoy in his first career start for the Cleveland Browns against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but I have no problems going back to the well again going against QB Tony Pike. Carolina barely has 100 points scored this season. It probably isn't putting much distance between itself and that 100 point mark on Sunday. If Baltimore can get to 21, not only does it have blackjack, but it has a cover as well. Quoth the Ravens -10.

Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans (-7) – The Skins are a train wreck right now, as they have no confidence in their offense and their defense was just absolutely destroyed by QB Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles in front of a national TV audience. Perception on this team isn't good, and I don't like betting against teams like that, but I know that this is a situation where the team was overhyped beforehand anyway. Don't be surprised to see Tennessee walk away with this in a romp as long as one of its QBs proves to be healthy. Tennessee -7.

Detroit Lions (+6.5) @ Dallas Cowboys – So Dallas beats the snot out of the New York Giants, and all of a sudden, it can be a world beater again? Remember what happened after the Cowboys beat the Houston Texans on the road? That's right. Nothing did. The Lions know that they need to win a road game one of these days, as 25 straight road losses is an NFL record. This might not be the game in which that streak stops, but let's be real about something: Dallas keeps finding ways to lose. The Lions keep finding ways to lose… but they also keep finding ways to cover spreads. Detroit +6.5

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings – Bye-bye Love Boat! You had better believe that the Packers would love nothing more than to pick off QB Brett Favre six times and get him yanked from what could be his final game as well. At some point, HC Brad Childress really has to bench Favre, and if that happens, it would be awfully poetic justice, considering the fact that his last pass as a Packer was picked off. You know what they say about karma, Brett. It'll bite you in the seat of your Wrangler jeans. I'm not letting this one bite me where the sun don't shine either. Green Bay -3

Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) – The Bills are going to be trendy underdog selections in this game due to the fact that they have finally notched their first win, but I'm not buying it. The Bengals have a team that hasn't looked to have given up this year in spite of their 2-7 record, and as long as they keep up that mentality, this game should prove to be a victory. QB Carson Palmer could go absolutely bananas against this secondary, and if he does, Cincinnati -5.5 is the right NFL pick to make.

Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) – Something just doesn't seem right here. The Browns are implied to be the better team in this matchup, as they would theoretically be -1.5 on a neutral field against Jacksonville. Am I missing something here? The Jags might not be that good, but they are a 5-3 team with QB David Garrard in the sling, and they just appear to be a blessed team after finding a way to put down the Houston Texans with that ridiculous Hail Mary last weekend. I'm not one to buck the trends of karma. HC Jack Del Rio knows that he's going to need some luck and that this won't be the easiest game in the world, but you've got to figure that Jacksonville wins this sucker at least 60% of the time, right? Jacksonville -1.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8) – Someone please come and gouge my eyes out with a rusty fork. It might be less painful than trying to make a pick in this game. Toss a coin in the air… that's good enough. The Cards have no offense, but the Chiefs have no confidence, especially after getting totally blasted by the Denver Broncos last weekend. The hosts have a better all around resume and it isn't even close, so I guess I'll go with Kansas City -8 for the heck of it.

Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints (-12) – This is a heck of a lot of points to be laying in a game, especially with a team that already has an outright defeat at home to the Cleveland Browns on its resume this year. This is a legitimate playoff team that is coming to town, but I know that the Seahawks wouldn't finish in better than third place in any other division in football outside of the AFC West (and that's not a guarantee either). New Orleans is finally getting a running game back, as RB Reggie Bush expects to play after the team's bye week. That's a huge key that cannot be forgotten about, as QB Drew Brees has been turning around and handing the ball to a bunch of guys that were on the streets the week before of late. I just have a gut feeling that the Saints are going to start this second half of their season with fury and absolutely manhandle the Seahawks. Thus, the play is New Orleans -12 for yours truly.

Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams (+3) – The Falcons look like a tremendously better team than do the Rams on paper, but a closer inspection doesn't tell me that. Atlanta has made it because of the way that it has played at home this year. After all, QB Matt Ryan has only lost once at the Georgia Dome in his career, and that defeat didn't come this season. However, this is a 2-2 team on the road that really hasn't proven it can go much of anywhere to win games outside of the Peach State. The Rams are below .500, but they have a win against the San Diego Chargers at home and know that they are 4-1 while playing at the Edward Jones Dome. This would be one of those statement wins for a franchise that is turning around, and QB Sam Bradford might be in for a great day against a secondary that really hasn't been all that great. Don't be shocked to see the upset here, so I'm going with St. Louis +3.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers (-3) – The ghosts of trips to San Francisco are going to haunt the Bucs in this one. You know that they haven't won a game here since 1980?!?!?! Tampa Bay has beaten everyone that it was supposed to, but it hasn't done a darn thing against the teams it was supposed to lose to. This game is one of those that is sort of in the middle, and it is definitely a swing game for a team that is probably going to get the you know what beat out of it next week at the Baltimore Ravens. I just like the way that QB Troy Smith looks right now for the Niners, and I have confidence that he can win this game against a defense that really isn't all that great. I'm going with San Fran -3.

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) @ New England Patriots – Again, this is going to be one of these games that more of you are on the Pats than are only the Colts, and that doesn't surprise me. After all, Indy looks like a mortal team right now and can't beat the pants off of anybody, while New England has beaten some of the best teams in the NFL and is about to come home after its destruction of the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. However, there's something about "The Sheriff," QB Peyton Manning in a game like this. New England's defense just isn't that good, and everyone has seen it. Can the Colts take advantage? Many of you are going to bet against Manning. No way in the world will I do the same. Indy +3.5

New York Giants (+3) @ Philadelphia Eagles – Remember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! Philly is hot. There's no doubt about that. However, we just love the matchup of putting this speedy defense against QB Michael Vick. New York's offense won't flounder like it did for most of last week against the Dallas Cowboys, and you can bet that the deep ball that worked so well for the Boys won't work again this week. Last week was simply a look ahead spot for the G-Men, and they aren't going to be caught napping again. All will be forgotten when they pull off the mild upset in the City of Brotherly Love and work towards the NFC East title once again. I'm closing out my Sunday with a big play on the Giants +3.

Official Week 11 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Houston Texans @ New York Jets (-7)
Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Carolina Panthers
Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans (-7)
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)
Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints (-12)
Atlanta Falcons (-3) @ St. Louis Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots (-3.5)
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

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Posted in NFL Football |