Posts Tagged ‘Week 14 NFL picks’

December 11th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, December 11th!

Year To Date Record: 45-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -16.5
Over/Under 41
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

A lot of folks are going to be on the bandwagon of the Colts this week, as they were able to not just beat the 20.5 point spread against the Patriots, but they darn near found a way to win the game outright with a ridiculous charge in the fourth quarter. That being said, we have to remember that that was a four TD game before the final stanza when the Pats clearly packed it in, and we know that Baltimore never stops bringing the boom. Last week, RB Ray Rice rushed for over 200 yards, and RB Ricky Williams came right behind him and had another 70+ and a score. And now, Baltimore comes home to play against a team that plays even worse defense! We’ve hit the bonanza in this one. The Ravens should be laying more than the Patriots were. We’ve got ourselves a steal to say the least.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Baltimore -16.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -10.5
Over/Under 36.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Over the course of the last three weeks with QB Tyler Palko calling the shots, the Chiefs have five field goals and a touchdown on a Hail Mary pass at the end of the first half to the smallest guy on the field. The Jets aren’t great, but they are definitely good enough to beat a team with that sort of offense. If QB Mark Sanchez doesn’t give up points, the New York defense should be able to hold Kansas City to, one would figure less than 17 for sure, and probably less than 13. At home this year, the Jets have been able to put points on the board, and we don’t think that that will be an exception on Sunday. One would like to think that the ‘under’ is going to cash, but we’d rather take our chances laying the points with the Jets at home just in case KC does find its way into the end zone more than once on accident.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New York -10.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: New England Patriots @ Washington Redskins
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 1:00 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
NFL Lines: New England -7.5
Over/Under 48
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

We absolutely hate laying points on the road in NFL betting action, but in this case, we think that New England is going to come out and lay the smack down on Washington. The Redskins haven’t really played all that many great games since the first few weeks of the year, and their secondary isn’t going to be able to hold up against QB Tom Brady and the gang. Last week, New England was all over the field in the first three quarters before basically giving up in the fourth and letting the Colts back in it. Head Coach Bill Belichick isn’t going to let his team give up this time around, especially knowing that the top seed in the AFC really could be lost if this game ends up going the wrong way. TE Rob Gronkowski gets his record setting touchdown for most scores by a tight end in a season, and Brady inches closer towards throwing for over 5,000 yards. This one is going to be all New England.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New England -7.5

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Buffalo Bills @ San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 4:15 ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
NFL Lines: San Diego -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Now wait just one darn moment before everyone gets on the San Diego bandwagon once again… This is the type of game that the Chargers lose and lose seemingly more often than they win. The Bolts have tricked us, with their huge romp of a bad Jacksonville team on Monday Night Football last week, that they are for real once again. This is a short week and a bad travel week at that for the Chargers, and though it is also a bad travel week for a Buffalo team that has to come across the country, at least the Bills had one more day to get accustomed to the travel plans. San Diego might win this one when push comes to shove, but we love the spunk that the Bills have shown for the most part over the last couple weeks even though they are basically down and out of the playoff race. Take the points in a game in which Buffalo very well could hit a backdoor and could pull off an upset as well.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Buffalo +7

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 4:15 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Lines: Green Bay -11.5
Over/Under 51.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

It’s always rough to go against the Packers, but this week, we are going to take our chances with the Raiders. They played an absolutely atrocious game last week against the Dolphins, and though they have to come all the way East for a second straight week, they are probably going to be a lot more focused against a Green Bay that is clearly the best in the league. On the road this year, the Raiders have scored 23, 35, 25, 24, and 27 points before last week’s stinker in Miami. Meanwhile, the Packers have been cutting it close a little bit of late. They have failed to cover two of their last three, and they haven’t comfortably put away a team that is going to have an impact on the playoff chase in several weeks. We’ll take the ‘over’ as a bit of a buffer, as we do think that Oakland is going to score its points, but our better play is clearly on the silver and black to keep this one within 10 or so.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Oakland +11.5 and Oakland/Green Bay Over 51.5

 
December 11th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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First place in the NFC East will be on the line on Sunday Night Football in Big D, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our NFL picks in the clash between the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants.

Year To Date Record: 45-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, December 11th, 8:25 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Week 14 Lines: Dallas -3.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Giants Notes: The Giants have had some major defensive problems these last couple of weeks, as they have allowed 38 to the Green Bay Packers and 49 to the New Orleans Saints. They haven’t really been all that bad aside from that this year though, so don’t let that No. 28 ranking in total defense at 387.2 yards per game and No. 28 ranking in scoring at 26.2 points per game scare you. QB Eli Manning does a great job with this offense for the most part, as the unit is consistently scoring in the 20s. In fact, there are only four games all season long in which New York hasn’t scored at least 24 points, though two of those four games have come in divisional tussles. RB Brandon Jacobs is hurt with a hamstring injury, and he is questionable in this game, which will only further hurt an offense that ranks dead last in the league in rushing and has struggled on the ground all season long.

Cowboys Notes: Dallas knows that a win in this game could pretty much put the division race away. The Boys would be two up with three to play, and they have games over the course of the next two weeks against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles, two teams which they should beat and beat handily. Then again, Dallas had no business losing last week to the Arizona Cardinals in overtime. This offense has looked questionable at best at times of late. The Cowboys are a team that you would figure would be putting up points in bunches this year, but the truth of the matter is that the squad has only topped 27 points once since October 23rd, and it has more games in the teens and below this year (four) than in the 30s and above (three). QB Tony Romo will get back the services of WR Miles Austin this week after he was out of the fold for the last few weeks with a hamstring injury, giving him one of the most lethal sets of receivers in the league with WR Laurent Robinson, WR Dez Bryant, and TE Jason Witten.

The Final Word: Though we know that the whole world is on the Cowboys and the ‘over’ in this one, we’re going to be the contrarians and go with the ‘under’. We just don’t like the way that Dallas’ offense has functioned over the last few weeks, and we don’t see this unit scoring in the 30s. If that’s the case, it’s going to be a difficult game to try to reach the ‘total’. We tend to think that Dallas just barely escapes this one.

Week 14 NFL Pick: New York/Dallas Under 48.5

NFL Football Prediction: Dallas 23 – New York 21

 
December 10th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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Our free NFL picks continue with Monday Night Football this week, as the Seattle Seahawks try to keep their slim playoff hopes alive against the hapless St. Louis Rams.

Year To Date Record: 45-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Date: Monday, December 12th, 8:30 ET
Location: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
NFL Week 14 Lines: Seattle -10
Over/Under 37
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Rams Notes: To say that there is no confidence that the Rams are going to score points in this game is a bit of an understatement since their team total is going to be around 13. They have only scored more than that 13 once since October 30th, and that is only one of the three times this year in which the team has scored more than 13 points in a game. Now to make matters worse, there is a decent chance that QB Tom Brandstater is going to have to make his NFL debut as a starter on the road on Monday Night Football. QB Sam Bradford sat out last week with an ankle sprain, while QB AJ Feeley was injured with a thumb fracture in his place last weekend. Now the team has to regroup with RB Steven Jackson pacing the offense, and he is coming off of his third straight game in which he averaged less than four yards per carry, numbers which aren’t going to cut it for an offense that is basically one-dimensional at this point.

Seahawks Notes: We weren’t counting Seattle out of the playoff chase a few weeks ago when we backed it at 2,500 to 1 to win the whole enchilada. That being said, we are probably out of the playoff push at this point, though with the right combination of wins and losses by other teams, this game could leave the Seahawks just one game back with three to play of at least the last Wild Card slot, if not both Wild Cards when the week is said and done with. QB Tarvaris Jackson continues to more or less just manage the offense, and though this seems like a unit that is just woeful, the truth of the matter is that it is averaging a relatively respectable 18.0 points per game (at least by NFC West standards, that’s respectable). RB Marshawn Lynch has found the end zone in eight straight games, and all nine of his scores have come in that stretch. He could be making his push at the Pro Bowl with a good game on Monday Night Football.

The Final Word: It seems as though we would have a hard time laying double digits with a team that is this poor at scoring. It seems as though Seattle could need to get in the 20s in this game in scoring to cover the spread, but we just aren’t so sure that that is the case, especially if Brandstater has to take snaps.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Seattle -10

NFL Football Prediction: Seattle 17 – St. Louis 6

 
December 7th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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You aren’t going to find two teams that hate each other more than these two that are going to meet on Thursday Night Football, as the Cleveland Browns take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field.

Year To Date Record: 44-47 ATS
Upset Record: 11-25, -$1,155

Week 14 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Thursday, December 8th, 8:20 ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
NFL Lines: Pittsburgh -14
Over/Under 38.5
Week 14 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Browns Notes: The season has really gone up in flames this year for the Browns. They really thought that they were going to compete with the big boys, but right from the very start of the season with a loss at home to the Cincinnati Bengals, things just weren’t going well. QB Colt McCoy has only completed 57.7 percent of his passes for 2,524 yards and 14 TDs against nine picks. Those aren’t the most awful numbers in the world, but when you consider the fact that no one has run the ball for even 400 yards over the course of the year on the team. The good news is that the ground game does have its best back, RB Peyton Hillis in the lineup again, and he had a relatively respectable game in last week’s loss against the Baltimore Ravens, accounting for 45 yards on 12 carries. Of course, that all pales in comparison to the 290 rushing yards that the team allowed, including 204 to RB Ray Rice a week ago, and if the Steelers can keep that up this week, it’ll be another long game as the 24-10 loss was last week to Baltimore.

Steelers Notes: The Steelers have their work cut out for them if they want to win the AFC North and contend for the top seed in the conference. However, first things first… clinching a playoff spot. With nine wins already, it’s really only going to take one more win to likely get the job done when the rest of the conference behind them has just seven wins. A victory and some help on Sunday will get the job done. Pittsburgh still has some major injury issues. LB LaMarr Woodley is already out of the lineup in this one with a hamstring injury, and DT Chris Hoke just underwent season ending surgery. WRs Arnaz Battle and Emmanuel Sanders are both likely going to be out of this game as well. That being said, the three losses that the Steelers have had have all come against fellow 9-3 teams in the conference, twice against the Ravens and once against the Houston Texans. There just doesn’t seem to be any way that the men in black and gold are going to lose this one with their goal, a return trip to the Super Bowl, being oh so close.

The Final Word: Still, the Steelers just have this knack of failing to cover these double digit point spreads. They have failed in all three of their efforts as double digit favorites this year in spite of the fact that they have won all three all of those games. Cleveland hasn’t been beaten by more than two TDs in a month, and we tend to think that it will find a way to stick inside that hefty number once again in this game.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Cleveland Browns +14

NFL Football Prediction: Pittsburgh 27 – Cleveland 17