Posts Tagged ‘Week 15 NFL picks’

December 18th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Sunday, December 18th!

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
NFL Lines: New York -6
Over/Under 46
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

The Giants have played in quite a few very interesting games of late, including a ton of games with a ton of points. Washington’s defense has been nothing special, and its offense is looking more and more competent as the weeks go by now that the unit is relatively healthy. QB Eli Manning will get his yards once again, as he inches closer to the 5,000 yard mark on the year, but in the end, we do think that both of these teams are going to get their points. Don’t be shocked if both are in the mid-20s or even the low-30s when this one is said and done with. We like Washington for the upset, but we also like the ‘over’.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Washington/New York Over 46

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
NFL Lines: Green Bay -13.5
Over/Under 46
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We’re going to hedge our bets with this one. It’s really, really hard to see how the Green Bay offense is being kept out of at least the high-20s in this game, as there hasn’t been a team of late that has been able to even remotely slow down this unit. Kansas City’s offense has exactly one touchdown since QB Tyler Palko has taken over. We know that laying points on the road, especially two TDs of them is a recipe that is normally a disaster, but we trust the Pack. We just don’t have any feeling for the Chiefs, as we know that they aren’t going to score. If this one goes ‘over’ the ‘total’, we definitely think that the Packers are going to be scoring at least 35.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Green Bay -13.5 and Under 46

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 1:00 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Lines: Houston -6
Over/Under 45
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

*Sniff, Sniff* You smell that? Smells like a bit of a trap to us… The oddsmakers are seemingly baiting you into taking Houston in this one, as the Texans are the toast of the town right now. They’re the top seed in the AFC playoffs at the moment, and they are going to have the easiest road to the top seed in the conference when push comes to shove even though none of the teams control their own destiny. Mobile quarterbacks have a history of really ruining this defense, and that could be the case again in this one. QB Cam Newton is going against a defense that really has proven that it is that good, but without DC Wade Phillips on the sidelines and in another week without WR Andre Johnson, we just don’t see it happening for Houston. Sure, the Texans might win this game on emotion, but we think that this is a bad letdown spot for the team after clinching the AFC South last week in dramatic fashion. In the end, it’s still QB TJ Yates, a fifth round pick against Newton, the first pick in the NFL Draft.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Carolina +6

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:05 ET
Location: O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA
NFL Lines: Detroit -1
Over/Under 47.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

We might be totally off base with this one, but we really want to give the Raiders a heck of a lot of slack. They ran into a Miami team on a roll two weeks ago and into the mighty Packers last week on the road. Now, they’re back at home, where, save for a dud game while the team was in transition over its quarterbacks, they have played quite well. Detroit was very, very lucky to survive last week at home against a bad Minnesota outfit, and now, it has to go on the road, across the country, against a team that really does have some potential. It just seems silly to us that Oakland is getting a point in this game, and we have every intention to take that point all the way to the bank.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Oakland +1

Week 15 NFL Matchup: New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:15 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Lines: Philadelphia -3
Over/Under 44
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

This is another one of these games that smells kinda fishy. The Jets have played poorly on the road this year, but there aren’t many games that they have been totally out of. Philly has lost seemingly every time it has been favored at home, but this is a team that at least seems like it is renewed after going on the road with a healthy QB Michael Vick, crushing the Dolphins as short underdogs. The season might be on the line (but then again, it might already be over as well depending on what else happens over the course of the week) for the Eagles, while the Jets know that they are going to have to win this one to keep up with their playoff spot. We just don’t trust the oddsmakers, or New York on the road.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Philadelphia -3

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 4:15 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NFL Lines: Arizona -6.5
Over/Under 37.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

Should the Cardinals REALLY be laying 6.5 against anyone in the NFL at this point? We think that the whole world is going to jump on Arizona’s back in this one, knowing that it is going to need to win this game to A) get back to .500 and B) stay in the playoff picture. Cleveland’s season is over with, and it is going to be on the shoulders of QB Seneca Wallace to get the job done with QB Colt McCoy out. For as bad as this offense has been with McCoy, at least there are some fast legs that are involved with Wallace. Getting the ball in his hands often yields great results, so at least the Browns can perhaps stick inside of a touchdown defeat in this game.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Cleveland +6.5

 
December 18th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Baltimore Ravens and San Diego Chargers duke it out on Sunday Night Football this week, and we are set to make our NFL picks for the big time clash at Qualcomm Stadium.

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, December 18th, 8:25 ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
NFL Week 15 Lines: Baltimore -2.5
Over/Under 44
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Ravens Notes: The Ravens may be looking at this game in totally the wrong light, and the way that you might find out about that is if LB Ray Lewis plays or not. He has basically been on the sidelines for the last month and change with an ankle injury, and it is anyone’s guess whether he is healthy enough to come back into the fold or not. Baltimore is probably looking at the injury to QB Ben Roethlisberger and thinking that there is at least a game to spare before Pittsburgh can run it down for the top spot in the AFC, especially with the Steelers going cross-country to San Francisco this week. That being said, the Ravens have a chance to finally deliver the lethal blow to San Diego’s season, and it really should be looking forward to doing just that. QB Joe Flacco just passed the 3,000-passing yard mark this week, while RB Ray Rice reached the 1,000-rushing yard mark in the win over Indy, the team’s fourth straight win.

Chargers Notes: The Bolts are definitely out of time. They need to win, they need to win a lot, and they need to get lucky quite a bit to get into the playoffs. Getting losses earlier in the day from the Denver Broncos and New York Jets would help, but one way or the other, the season is over if this one is lost on Sunday night. QB Philip Rivers has had two good games in a row, and all of a sudden, the fact that he has 22 TDs against 17 INTs looks a bit more manageable, and his QB rating of 87.5 is no longer laughable. He’ll probably get to the 4,000 yard mark in this one and at least challenge the idea of getting to 4,500 by the end of this season, assuming that he stays healthy. The defense has played a lot better over these last three weeks, but against playoff caliber teams this year, the Chargers have allowed an average of 31.0 points per game over six games. For what it is worth, the team is 1-5 SU and ATS in those games.

The Final Word: That being said, it really does feel like the time of year that the Chargers just flip the switch and send the electricity to the top. San Diego knows that it needs this one, while the Ravens may be just a tad lax, as they have been on the road quite a bit this season. We could be in store for a mild upset.

Week 15 NFL Pick: San Diego +2.5

NFL Football Prediction: San Diego 31 – Baltimore 23

 
December 17th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Dallas Cowboys have already watched this week, as the Atlanta Falcons have moved a step closer towards taking a playoff spot away from the rest of the field to get. They’ll really need to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to keep the pressure on the rest of the pack on Saturday night.

Year To Date Record: 48-52 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Saturday, December 17th, 8:20 ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
NFL Lines: Dallas -7
Over/Under 47.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Cowboys Notes: It’s not the fact THAT the Cowboys have been losing games that is so bothersome. It is the WAY that they are losing them. They had both the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants dead to rights in the last two weeks, and winning those two games would have knocked both out of the playoff picture. Now all of a sudden, Dallas is in a position where it wouldn’t be in the playoffs if they started today, and a loss in this one, and just being alive in Week 17 is up in the air. QB Tony Romo is putting up the stats, but he just isn’t getting the job done when push comes to shove. Of course, over the course of the last two weeks, K Dan Bailey missed what would have been the game-winning field goal against Arizona and had what would’ve been the game-tying field goal against New York blocked.

Buccaneers Notes: Tampa Bay has some major, major defensive problems right now. The team has allowed 79 points in the last two weeks against two teams that aren’t going to be anywhere near the playoffs, and the end result is that Head Coach Raheem Morris might need to win this game to keep his job. Tampa Bay hasn’t won a game since going over to London to take on the Chicago Bears, and in that stretch, it is averaging being outscored by the score line of 32-17. That being said, the offense just looks pretty miserable right now, especially after turning the ball over seven times last week. QB Josh Freeman has been yanked in the fourth quarter in back to back weeks, and he has continually turned the ball over. He leads the NFL in picks, and he is killing Tampa Bay in his third year on the job.

The Final Word: These two teams both have played terrible defensive football of late, but we just don’t see how the offenses are going to combine for this many points. Too many drives get killed by stupid penalties and turnovers. We’re going to have a hard time picking out which team is going to cover the spread in this one, as we have no desire to back either team, but we have no problems taking the ‘under’, especially knowing that six of the eight meetings between these two over the last 20 years have resulted in ‘under’ contests.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Dallas/Tampa Bay Under 47.5

NFL Football Prediction: Dallas 23 – Tampa Bay 14

 
December 14th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Jacksonville Jaguars are going to try to play the role of spoilers on the NFL Network’s Thursday Night Football betting action, as they travel to take on the Atlanta Falcons.

Year To Date Record: 48-51 ATS
Upset Record: 12-27, -$1,330

Week 15 NFL Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Thursday, December 15th, 8:20 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
NFL Lines: Atlanta -12.5
Over/Under 42.5
Week 15 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Jaguars Notes: The Jags did something in Week 14 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that they hadn’t done all season long: They scored more than 20 points in game. There were some awfully impressive stats out of that game. On defense, the team picked up seven turnovers to lead to a slew of points. There were 28 points scored in the second quarter alone, and RB Maurice Jones-Drew had 24 points all by himself thanks to four TDs as well. It was the best game in the career of QB Blaine Gabbert, and it was the first win for interim coach Mel Tucker, who is hoping to get the full-time job with the Jags next year. This week though, things are going to be a lot different. The team is on the road, where it has struggled all season long, and it is playing in its third game in the last 11 days, something that no team should have to do, especially with a day lost due to travel.

Falcons Notes: The Falcons have finally gotten back on the right side of the playoff picture in the NFC. They are holding the No. 5 seed in the playoffs, and though they could still snare the NFC South title by winning out and getting some help, in all likelihood, this is as high as they can go. The schedule, has two easy games on it (home against Jacksonville and home against Tampa Bay) sandwiched between the most difficult game of the year at the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta can’t afford to slip in this one, or its shots at the division title are said and done, and it would probably take the team back out of the playoffs. Last week’s win over the Carolina Panthers was a great one considering the fact that the team was down by three scores. QB Matt Ryan had a great game, throwing four TD passes, two of which were caught by WR Julio Jones.

The Final Word: The Jags had their dud game against the San Diego Chargers two weeks ago, but they certainly showed some heart last week against the Bucs. We tend to think that they will at least keep this one relatively close for awhile, and though fatigue will make it that they can’t win this one outright, we do think that the Jaguars will stick inside the number on Thursday.

Week 15 NFL Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +14

NFL Football Prediction: Atlanta 28 – Jacksonville 20