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Posts Tagged ‘Week 16 NFL picks’

December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The NFC South title could be on the line in the final Monday Night Football betting battle of the season, as the New Orleans Saints take on the Atlanta Falcons at the Superdome.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Date: Monday, December 26th, 8:30 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NFL Week 16 Lines: New Orleans -7
Over/Under 52.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Falcons Notes: Atlanta really has to be kicking itself for the way that it played in the first meeting of the year between these two teams. The Falcons had to claw back from two scores down in the fourth quarter just to force overtime, and in the end, a very questionable call to go for it on 4th and inches from inside its own territory proved to backfire. The Saints went on to win the game, and Atlanta has been chasing the NFC South lead ever since that point. Now, it needs a win in this one, a win in Week 17, and a New Orleans loss in Week 17 to win the division title. The Falcons also still need a win to get into the playoffs, and losing this one would be very bad news for their chances in Week 17 with a bunch of teams trying to get their Wild Card slot. WR Julio Jones has really come on strong over the course of the last few weeks, proving to be the precise deep threat that Atlanta was hoping for when it traded a slew of picks to get his services. QB Matt Ryan, as a result, has put together some great games, and with his poise in the pocket, he can really take this team a long, long way.

Saints Notes: Many think that New Orleans is as good as it gets this year in the NFL betting world, as the team has only been beaten three times, one of which was a very excusable defeat at the Green Bay Packers on the first night of the season. QB Drew Brees could very well break the record for the most passing yards in a season, and if he does that, he will also become the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 5,000 yards in two different seasons in his career. Everything is going right at this point with this team, and there is no doubt that it is a dangerous squad, but as we have seen in recent weeks against the Tennessee Titans and against these Falcons, they definitely can be had, especially defensively, where they are allowing 21.9 points per game.

The Final Word: This one could be an epic battle when push comes to shove. The Saints are going to score their points, but we tend to think that the Falcons will as well. Laying the seven seems like the easy way out, but instead, we are going to take the points and hope that Atlanta can at least make this contest a lot closer than the many think. Remember that the Falcons came into the Superdome a year ago and posted a victory that ultimately propelled them to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Don’t be shocked if they can at least keep this one close yet again.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Atlanta +7

NFL Football Prediction: New Orleans 31 – Atlanta 30

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Posted in NFL Football |

 
December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Green Bay Packers can lock up the top seed in the NFC playoffs on Christmas night when they engage in NFL betting action against the Chicago Bears.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 25th, 8:25 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Week 16 Lines: Green Bay -12.5
Over/Under 43.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Bears Notes: A car dealership in the Windy City is willing to give away a million bucks in free cars if the Bears shut out the Packers. Yeah, and we believe in the Tooth Fairy, too. By all accounts, Chicago has been absolutely awful over the course of the last few weeks since losing QB Jay Cutler. Did you ever think that the Bears fans would be praying for Cutler back? QB Josh McCown is going to be taking snaps to start this game because QB Caleb Hanie has been terrible. That being said, the onus is going to be on the defense to at least remotely slow down the Packers’ potent offense. This unit is allowing 20.9 points per game this year, but last week’s 38-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks was a bad, bad sign for the rest of the season. If this unit can’t figure out how to stop the Seahawks at home, it’s a wonder how in the heck it is going to stop Green Bay at Lambeau Field in primetime.

Packers Notes: The Packers are clearly coming off of their worst game in over a calendar year, as they were surprisingly beaten down by the Kansas City Chiefs last week at Arrowhead Stadium. Sure, the perfect season is said and done with, but there is still absolutely a chance to finish up the season at 18-1 and be known as one of the best teams in the history of the league. QB Aaron Rodgers had the worst game that has had in quite some time, and he might have opened up the door for the rest of the league to win the MVP Award. The real concern is that this offense really did look terrible last week without WR Greg Jennings. Rodgers at one point was 8-of-22 passing against a poor Kansas City defense, and if that keeps up in this game, there could be some real problems to contend with.

The Final Word: We’re not really all that keen about laying a dozen points, nor are we wild about taking Chicago until it proves that it can stay out of its own way. This team was absolutely slaughtered by the Seahawks, who really aren’t all that great. That being said, we’ll look for a creative way to bet this game. Eight straight between these teams have failed to reach the ‘total’, and if Rodgers can’t figure out how to do better than he did last week against a suspect secondary, there is no way that this one is getting into the 40s.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Chicago/Green Bay Under 43.5

NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 24 – Chicago 13

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December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, December 24th!

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
NFL Lines: Denver -2.5
Over/Under 41.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Broncos were beaten up badly by the Patriots last week, but we have learned not to count out QB Tim Tebow. The Bills have been terrible over the course of the last two months or so, and they can’t even figure out how to get out of their own way to win some games. There are a ton of NFL bettors out there that think that Buffalo is going to be able to pull off the upset, but we just don’t see anything that justifies that. For whatever reason, Tebow still doesn’t seem like he is liked by the NFL betting public, but we are going to take advantage of him. We tend to think that Denver locks up the AFC West on Saturday and puts some pressure on the Texans for the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Denver -2.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -9.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Patriots are expected to run away with this game and make a move towards being the No. 1 seed in the AFC. However, we just aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. This is the Super Bowl to the Dolphins, and they are playing as well as a lot of teams are in the conference. WR Brandon Marshall has dominated in this series over the last two years, and he is going to be a threat to upset the Patriots all by himself. New England is coming off of a great win in Denver, but we tend to think that it could be on the wrong side of a brutal upset. This isn’t the same Dolphins team that gave up over 500 passing yards to QB Tom Brady. Don’t say that we didn’t warn you…

Week 16 NFL Pick: Miami +9.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -12.5
Over/Under 38.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Browns were absolutely atrocious the first time that these two teams met, as they let RB Ray Rice rumble for over 200 yards and a TD on the ground, and then let RB Willis McGahee come up near the 100 yard mark as well. That game was in the Dawg Pound and this one is in the big crab cake, which would make you think that this one is going to be a blowout, but we aren’t all that sure that that is the case. This is still a divisional game, and just like the New England game is the Super Bowl for the Dolphins, winning just one of these two games for Cleveland against the Ravens and Steelers would be the exact same thing. QB Seneca Wallace looked alright last week, and we tend to think that he is at least going to keep this game relatively close. Baltimore will finish out its perfect season at home, though.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Cleveland +12.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -1
Over/Under 50.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Many think that the Eagles are just more or less destined to win the NFC East at this point, even if they are only going to finish up the year at 8-8. We just aren’t all that sold that Philly is going to get the job done. This schedule that the team has played of late has been a bit underwhelming to say the least, and this is a significantly different game. Dallas was absolutely whooped the first time that these two teams met in the City of Brotherly Love, and if nothing else, whether this game truly means anything to the Cowboys or not, they are going to want to get the job done in this one to ensure that Philly is going to finish up the year below .500. If the Eagles do, they really could end up losing Head Coach Andy Reid. This is far too short of a point spread.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Dallas -1

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December 22nd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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For the time final time this season, the NFL Network will have on a fantastic Thursday Night Football encounter, and we are set to make our NFL picks in the duel between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts.

Year To Date Record: 54-54 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Thursday, December 22nd, 8:20 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
NFL Lines: Houston -6
Over/Under: 40
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Texans Notes: The Texans are still battling a slew of injuries right now, and they still really don’t look like a team that can almost control their own destiny for the top seed in the AFC. Houston had its chance last week, but it blew it against the Carolina Panthers. That being said, thanks to the rest of the carnage, the team is still two wins away from at least a first round bye in the AFC playoffs, and if the New England Patriots lose somewhere along the way as well, the Texans will be the top seed. WR Andre Johnson is sitting out yet another game with a hamstring injury, and he joins the likes of QB Matt Schaub, QB Matt Leinart, LB Mario Williams, and G Mike Brisiel that are all out of the fold for this one. QB TJ Yates had his worst game as a starter last week, getting picked apart by a Carolina secondary that, quite frankly, isn’t all that great. The good news though, is that the running game behind RBs Ben Tate and Arian Foster should have a field day against a defense that is as dreadful as it gets, especially against the run.

Colts Notes: We do give it up for the Colts last week for winning their first game of the year after 13 failed attempts. QB Dan Orlovsky, a former Houston backup, led the team to the victory, and he is at least putting in a good word to try to get a shot to at least compete for a job as a starting signal caller next year somewhere in the league. The running game really got going last week against the Tennessee Titans, which really helped as well, but the sledding is likely going to be a heck of a lot harder against a defense that ranks in the Top 5 in the league in a heck of a lot of categories. Of course, we have to wonder whether Jim Irsay and the entire Indianapolis contingent really wants to win this game. It is clear that the Colts have played better football of late, as they do have three straight covers under their belts. However, accidentally winning this one could send QB Andrew Luck elsewhere, as it doesn’t appear like either the St. Louis Rams or Minnesota Vikings are winning another game in these last two weeks, which could send Indy out of the top slot in the NFL Draft and cost it a ton in the future.

The Final Word: The world saw the Colts at their best and the Texans at their worst right at the same time on Sunday. However, it was a weird weekend in Week 14. The Texans, Ravens, Steelers, Broncos, Raiders, and Jets all lost, and that doesn’t mean that their seasons are all said and done with. For some reason, there is just some bias against this Houston team because of all of the injuries. No team in Houston has won a game in Indianapolis since 1992, and the Texans franchise is 0-9 all-time, whether at Lucas Oil Field or the RCA Dome. That all comes to a close on Thursday night, in what will also be the first win that Houston has ever had on a Thursday in team history.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Houston Texans -6

NFL Football Prediction: Houston 27 – Indianapolis 10

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