Posts Tagged ‘Week 16’

December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The NFC South title could be on the line in the final Monday Night Football betting battle of the season, as the New Orleans Saints take on the Atlanta Falcons at the Superdome.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Date: Monday, December 26th, 8:30 ET
Location: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NFL Week 16 Lines: New Orleans -7
Over/Under 52.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: ESPN

Falcons Notes: Atlanta really has to be kicking itself for the way that it played in the first meeting of the year between these two teams. The Falcons had to claw back from two scores down in the fourth quarter just to force overtime, and in the end, a very questionable call to go for it on 4th and inches from inside its own territory proved to backfire. The Saints went on to win the game, and Atlanta has been chasing the NFC South lead ever since that point. Now, it needs a win in this one, a win in Week 17, and a New Orleans loss in Week 17 to win the division title. The Falcons also still need a win to get into the playoffs, and losing this one would be very bad news for their chances in Week 17 with a bunch of teams trying to get their Wild Card slot. WR Julio Jones has really come on strong over the course of the last few weeks, proving to be the precise deep threat that Atlanta was hoping for when it traded a slew of picks to get his services. QB Matt Ryan, as a result, has put together some great games, and with his poise in the pocket, he can really take this team a long, long way.

Saints Notes: Many think that New Orleans is as good as it gets this year in the NFL betting world, as the team has only been beaten three times, one of which was a very excusable defeat at the Green Bay Packers on the first night of the season. QB Drew Brees could very well break the record for the most passing yards in a season, and if he does that, he will also become the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 5,000 yards in two different seasons in his career. Everything is going right at this point with this team, and there is no doubt that it is a dangerous squad, but as we have seen in recent weeks against the Tennessee Titans and against these Falcons, they definitely can be had, especially defensively, where they are allowing 21.9 points per game.

The Final Word: This one could be an epic battle when push comes to shove. The Saints are going to score their points, but we tend to think that the Falcons will as well. Laying the seven seems like the easy way out, but instead, we are going to take the points and hope that Atlanta can at least make this contest a lot closer than the many think. Remember that the Falcons came into the Superdome a year ago and posted a victory that ultimately propelled them to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Don’t be shocked if they can at least keep this one close yet again.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Atlanta +7

NFL Football Prediction: New Orleans 31 – Atlanta 30

 
December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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The Green Bay Packers can lock up the top seed in the NFC playoffs on Christmas night when they engage in NFL betting action against the Chicago Bears.

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, December 25th, 8:25 ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
NFL Week 16 Lines: Green Bay -12.5
Over/Under 43.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NBC

Bears Notes: A car dealership in the Windy City is willing to give away a million bucks in free cars if the Bears shut out the Packers. Yeah, and we believe in the Tooth Fairy, too. By all accounts, Chicago has been absolutely awful over the course of the last few weeks since losing QB Jay Cutler. Did you ever think that the Bears fans would be praying for Cutler back? QB Josh McCown is going to be taking snaps to start this game because QB Caleb Hanie has been terrible. That being said, the onus is going to be on the defense to at least remotely slow down the Packers’ potent offense. This unit is allowing 20.9 points per game this year, but last week’s 38-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks was a bad, bad sign for the rest of the season. If this unit can’t figure out how to stop the Seahawks at home, it’s a wonder how in the heck it is going to stop Green Bay at Lambeau Field in primetime.

Packers Notes: The Packers are clearly coming off of their worst game in over a calendar year, as they were surprisingly beaten down by the Kansas City Chiefs last week at Arrowhead Stadium. Sure, the perfect season is said and done with, but there is still absolutely a chance to finish up the season at 18-1 and be known as one of the best teams in the history of the league. QB Aaron Rodgers had the worst game that has had in quite some time, and he might have opened up the door for the rest of the league to win the MVP Award. The real concern is that this offense really did look terrible last week without WR Greg Jennings. Rodgers at one point was 8-of-22 passing against a poor Kansas City defense, and if that keeps up in this game, there could be some real problems to contend with.

The Final Word: We’re not really all that keen about laying a dozen points, nor are we wild about taking Chicago until it proves that it can stay out of its own way. This team was absolutely slaughtered by the Seahawks, who really aren’t all that great. That being said, we’ll look for a creative way to bet this game. Eight straight between these teams have failed to reach the ‘total’, and if Rodgers can’t figure out how to do better than he did last week against a suspect secondary, there is no way that this one is getting into the 40s.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Chicago/Green Bay Under 43.5

NFL Football Prediction: Green Bay 24 – Chicago 13

 
December 23rd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan
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NFL betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NFL picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, December 24th!

Year To Date Record: 54-55 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
NFL Lines: Denver -2.5
Over/Under 41.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Broncos were beaten up badly by the Patriots last week, but we have learned not to count out QB Tim Tebow. The Bills have been terrible over the course of the last two months or so, and they can’t even figure out how to get out of their own way to win some games. There are a ton of NFL bettors out there that think that Buffalo is going to be able to pull off the upset, but we just don’t see anything that justifies that. For whatever reason, Tebow still doesn’t seem like he is liked by the NFL betting public, but we are going to take advantage of him. We tend to think that Denver locks up the AFC West on Saturday and puts some pressure on the Texans for the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Denver -2.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
NFL Lines: New England -9.5
Over/Under 48.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Patriots are expected to run away with this game and make a move towards being the No. 1 seed in the AFC. However, we just aren’t all that sure that that is going to be the case. This is the Super Bowl to the Dolphins, and they are playing as well as a lot of teams are in the conference. WR Brandon Marshall has dominated in this series over the last two years, and he is going to be a threat to upset the Patriots all by himself. New England is coming off of a great win in Denver, but we tend to think that it could be on the wrong side of a brutal upset. This isn’t the same Dolphins team that gave up over 500 passing yards to QB Tom Brady. Don’t say that we didn’t warn you…

Week 16 NFL Pick: Miami +9.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 1:00 ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
NFL Lines: Baltimore -12.5
Over/Under 38.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: CBS

The Browns were absolutely atrocious the first time that these two teams met, as they let RB Ray Rice rumble for over 200 yards and a TD on the ground, and then let RB Willis McGahee come up near the 100 yard mark as well. That game was in the Dawg Pound and this one is in the big crab cake, which would make you think that this one is going to be a blowout, but we aren’t all that sure that that is the case. This is still a divisional game, and just like the New England game is the Super Bowl for the Dolphins, winning just one of these two games for Cleveland against the Ravens and Steelers would be the exact same thing. QB Seneca Wallace looked alright last week, and we tend to think that he is at least going to keep this game relatively close. Baltimore will finish out its perfect season at home, though.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Cleveland +12.5

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Saturday, December 24th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
NFL Lines: Dallas -1
Over/Under 50.5
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: FOX

Many think that the Eagles are just more or less destined to win the NFC East at this point, even if they are only going to finish up the year at 8-8. We just aren’t all that sold that Philly is going to get the job done. This schedule that the team has played of late has been a bit underwhelming to say the least, and this is a significantly different game. Dallas was absolutely whooped the first time that these two teams met in the City of Brotherly Love, and if nothing else, whether this game truly means anything to the Cowboys or not, they are going to want to get the job done in this one to ensure that Philly is going to finish up the year below .500. If the Eagles do, they really could end up losing Head Coach Andy Reid. This is far too short of a point spread.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Dallas -1

 
December 22nd, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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For the time final time this season, the NFL Network will have on a fantastic Thursday Night Football encounter, and we are set to make our NFL picks in the duel between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts.

Year To Date Record: 54-54 ATS
Upset Record: 15-28, -$770

Week 16 NFL Matchup: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Thursday, December 22nd, 8:20 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
NFL Lines: Houston -6
Over/Under: 40
Week 16 NFL TV Schedule: NFL Network

Texans Notes: The Texans are still battling a slew of injuries right now, and they still really don’t look like a team that can almost control their own destiny for the top seed in the AFC. Houston had its chance last week, but it blew it against the Carolina Panthers. That being said, thanks to the rest of the carnage, the team is still two wins away from at least a first round bye in the AFC playoffs, and if the New England Patriots lose somewhere along the way as well, the Texans will be the top seed. WR Andre Johnson is sitting out yet another game with a hamstring injury, and he joins the likes of QB Matt Schaub, QB Matt Leinart, LB Mario Williams, and G Mike Brisiel that are all out of the fold for this one. QB TJ Yates had his worst game as a starter last week, getting picked apart by a Carolina secondary that, quite frankly, isn’t all that great. The good news though, is that the running game behind RBs Ben Tate and Arian Foster should have a field day against a defense that is as dreadful as it gets, especially against the run.

Colts Notes: We do give it up for the Colts last week for winning their first game of the year after 13 failed attempts. QB Dan Orlovsky, a former Houston backup, led the team to the victory, and he is at least putting in a good word to try to get a shot to at least compete for a job as a starting signal caller next year somewhere in the league. The running game really got going last week against the Tennessee Titans, which really helped as well, but the sledding is likely going to be a heck of a lot harder against a defense that ranks in the Top 5 in the league in a heck of a lot of categories. Of course, we have to wonder whether Jim Irsay and the entire Indianapolis contingent really wants to win this game. It is clear that the Colts have played better football of late, as they do have three straight covers under their belts. However, accidentally winning this one could send QB Andrew Luck elsewhere, as it doesn’t appear like either the St. Louis Rams or Minnesota Vikings are winning another game in these last two weeks, which could send Indy out of the top slot in the NFL Draft and cost it a ton in the future.

The Final Word: The world saw the Colts at their best and the Texans at their worst right at the same time on Sunday. However, it was a weird weekend in Week 14. The Texans, Ravens, Steelers, Broncos, Raiders, and Jets all lost, and that doesn’t mean that their seasons are all said and done with. For some reason, there is just some bias against this Houston team because of all of the injuries. No team in Houston has won a game in Indianapolis since 1992, and the Texans franchise is 0-9 all-time, whether at Lucas Oil Field or the RCA Dome. That all comes to a close on Thursday night, in what will also be the first win that Houston has ever had on a Thursday in team history.

Week 16 NFL Pick: Houston Texans -6

NFL Football Prediction: Houston 27 – Indianapolis 10

 
October 14th, 2011 By Andrew Ryan

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We’re hanging right there at 25-31 ATS on the season after a rough 1-3 ATS week in which we took some tough beats, and this week presents yet another opportunity to inch our way back towards the .500 mark this year. Join us for our Week 16 CFL picks!

Calgary Stampeders @ Toronto Argonauts Picks
Week 16 CFL Odds: Calgary -6
CFL Week 16 Lines: Over/Under 52.5

Odds have it, the Argos have to stick in front of some number at some point over the course of the rest of the season… right? They looked stingy last week against the Alouettes on Thanksgiving Day for the better part of three quarters before finally succumbing. This week though, we tend to see some more fight in them. Calgary has been a great road team this year, and it’s true that this is as important of a game for it as it has had all season long. That being said, we just don’t like the feel of this team right now, especially defensively, as the Stamps have allowed a whopping 27.2 points per game this season, which is very unlike a Head Coach John Hufnagel squad. Free CFL Picks: Toronto +6

Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Edmonton Eskimos Picks
Week 16 CFL Odds: Edmonton -2.5
CFL Week 16 Lines: Over/Under 49

For the most part, this game has been accepted as a duel between two teams that are going to the playoffs on nothing but smoke and mirrors. These two teams are only combining to score 48.5 points per game between them, something that you don’t expect to see of clubs that could be winning their divisions in the regular season. Both have had their struggles in the single digits this year as well. The Bombers have a lot to look forward to next week in the clash against Montreal that will likely decide who will get home field advantage in the East Division playoffs, and we tend to think that this long road trip is going to end in disaster. Take the Eskies at home and lay the short 2.5 points. Free CFL Picks: Edmonton -2.5

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Montreal Alouettes Picks
Week 16 CFL Odds: Montreal -6.5
CFL Week 16 Lines: Over/Under 56

Hamilton is the only respectable team in the CFL that hasn’t clinched a postseason bid yet this year, but it can get the job done with a win and some help on Sunday. More importantly, a victory could possibly draw the Tabbies within a game of both the Blue Bombers and the Alouettes for the top spot in the East Division. Home field advantage isn’t out of the question. A loss in this one though, and the only thing that the black and gold will have left to play for is some conditioning for the playoffs (assuming that Saskatchewan doesn’t go on some insane run of games). Montreal’s eyes will be glued to next week’s big one with Winnipeg, but it won’t overlook this game, especially not after getting smacked hard on the road by these Ti-Cats in both games at Ivor Wynne Stadium this year. Free CFL Picks: Montreal -6.5

BC Lions @ Saskatchewan Roughriders Picks
Week 16 CFL Odds: BC -7.5
CFL Week 16 Lines: Over/Under 48

We’d love to keeping taking Saskatchewan, as we feel that this team is still more talented than most of the clubs that are going to be in the playoffs this year. However, it’s becoming painstakingly obvious that the men in green have tanked on the season. The team hasn’t found the end zone on offense in three and a half games, and in the last three weeks, there are only a total of nine points on the board. Who would have ever thought that this team would be scoring fewer than 20 points per game?!?!? Now, BC comes to town full of sound and fury with its seven game winning streak and its No. 1 defense at 21.7 points per game. As much as we hate to admit it, we have to lay the points. Free CFL Picks: BC -7.5

 
December 23rd, 2010 By GridironGreat

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There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 16 picks…

Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins (-3.5) – I know that every single person and their brother is going to think that the Lions are going to find a way to win yet another road game, while the floundering Fins just continue to be mired in their own sorrow, but I have to remember that this is just a case of the Lions being the Lions. Would you really want to back this team with QB Matt Stafford in this spot? What about with QB Shaun Hill? No? Then why are you doing it with QB Drew Stanton? Miami -3.5

Washington Redskins (+7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars – You might as well just flip a dang coin in this game. Who knows which Washington offense is going to show up in this one… The one where a quarterback didn't throw for two TDs in the same game for over two month of the season, or the bizarre one that saw QB Rex Grossman score four TDs. Sexy Rexy is coming back to the Sunshine State, and he really might be ready to shine when push comes to shove. So what the hell… Gimme Washington +7.

San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams (-1.5) – For the love of god, please let St. Louis win this game so we at least have a chance of the NFC West winner finishing at .500… St. Louis -1.5

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5) – This line makes absolutely no sense to me whatsoever. The Titans are only still technically in the playoff race because they have ran into teams that are more dysfunctional than they are right now. Have we forgotten that, contrary to popular belief, the Chiefs are a fully functional team? KC moves within one win of shocking the world and winning the AFC West. Kansas City -5

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (+3.5) – When I see 81% of the people on one side of a game and the line really hasn't moved all that much, you better believe that I'm playing the other side. Cleveland has been playing the last month of this season for the right to spoil the seasons of the Ravens and Steelers. The Browns will nip of these two teams in the butt and cost one of the them the division title. Baltimore is the team in my opinion. Cleveland +3.5

New York Jets @ Chicago Bears (-1) – Toughest game of the day, by far. New York is in a spot where it really isn't going to need this game if the chips fall properly around it, and though it is going to be trying to improve on the best road record in the league at 6-1, it isn't going to figure it out. I think the Bears are too tough… but then again, I just can't stand backing the Bears on a regular basis. This one could go either way, but I'll take Chicago -1 and curse myself later if QB Jay Cutler throws four picks in typical Jay Cutler fashion.

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (+9) – Yuck. If there is a team out there that I hate to back more than the Bears, it's the Bills. In fairness, these guys have been absolute gold to NFL bettors over the course of the last couple months, and that's because of the play of QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. This is the biggest game of the year in Buffalo, and the Bills would love nothing more than to pull the upset. New England knows that it is going to clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC at some point one way or the other. We know that the Pats are mortal, and it is encouraging to me that the Bills already hung around in this series once this year, before they got on a roll. Grab Buffalo +9.

San Diego Chargers (-9) @ Cincinnati Bengals – Who dey gonna stop dem Bengals? Everybody, apparently. The Bolts have kicked it into gear and look like an absolutely unbeatable team right now, but they know that they need to make a stand to have any chance of getting into the playoffs. A loss would be hilarious and would be well worth my money. However, I'll put my money where San Diego's mouth should be and back the Bolts -9.

Indianapolis Colts @ Oakland Raiders (+2) – The Raiders aren't in the greatest playoff positioning in the world right now, but they are in a position where they can really spoil the season for the Colts. Indy looks beatable and might be ready to fall from its throne atop the AFC South. Don't be shocked if Oakland +2 comes in for an outright upset.

Houston Texans (-2.5) @ Denver Broncos – Here's the biggest dog game of the day. The Texans look like a team just going through the motions right now, but just as they figured out how to beat the crap out of Rusty Smith and the Titans, they'll figure out how to beat QB Tim Tebow and his gimmick offense and the Broncos. Houston -2.5

New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers (-3) – QB Aaron Rodgers is back, but who really knows whether he is going to be able to play at the highest level this week after coming back from his second concussion of the season. The Pack still have revenge on their side in this one, as they know that they can really do some damage to the playoff lives of the G-Men with a victory here. New York might clinch a playoff berth with a win, but I'm still going with Green Bay -3.

Seattle Seahawks (+6) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Do I need to say anything else about the Seahawks aside from the fact that I clearly have a man crush on this team. Seattle +6

Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles (-14.5)Remember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! There really doesn't seem to be a tremendous desire for anyone to back the Vikes in this game, and there's good reason for it. QB Michael Vick is an MVP candidate. QB Joe Webb is surely to be an MVP candidate in the CFL sometime soon. There is just a discrepancy in this game so great that there really isn't a way that the Vikes hang in this one. There isn't a line high enough to keep me from taking Philadelphia -14.5.

Official Week 16 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins (-3.5)
Washington Redskins @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-7)
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams (-1.5)
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5)
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) @ Cleveland Browns
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears (-1)
New England Patriots (-9) @ Buffalo Bills
San Diego Chargers (-9) @ Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts (-2) @ Oakland Raiders
Houston Texans (-2.5) @ Denver Broncos
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers (-3)
Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6)
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles (-14.5)