Steve O
07-17-2003, 12:44 PM
Handicapper Michael Dempsy here are his picks for today.
Race 5 Belmont, Alw $44,000N1X (3:05 edt)
#7 Routine Panic 5/1
#1 Raffie's Dream 3/1
#6 Ruby Essence 10/1
#4 Amaretto 7/2
Race rating: $
#7 Routine Panic made a mild late rally to finish fourth last out while traveling over a racing strip that was favoring inside speed when shipped here from MD. Low profile connections claimed the filly three back for $12.5K out of a maiden race and brought her right back to beat $25K non winners of two in first start for new connections. Should get some pace to run at today and MD connections are sure to get overlooked on the tote. #1 Raffie's Dream was done after dueling through a 45.4 opening half mile in stakes company last out and is back at proper condition today. Owns a solid pace profile throughout with the top mid and late pace numbers. The 3/1 ML looks more than fair but expecting that price to be shorter here.
The play: #7 to win at 9/2 or better. Exacta key of #1,#7 over #1,#4,#6,#7.
Race 2 Ellis Park, Clm $40,000 (1:10 cdt)
#4 Cloud City 3/1
#3 Society Dame 5/1
#6 Gracious Assault 8/5
#7 Thehoneymoonsover 8/1
Race rating: $
#4 Cloud City did not break well last out in first go of the claim for high % connections, a race that turned out key as the winner and third place finisher were both next out winners. mare goes back on the grass today where she has earned her best numbers. Mare should get a solid pace in front of her today. #3 Society Dame is making her first start since 2/17 when she was outrun on the main track. Filly has won 2 of 4 on the grass, including a win at MNR going seven furlongs. barn is showing a 1 for 9 mark with horses coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
The play: #4 to win at 5/2 or better. Exacta key of #3,#4 over #3,#4,#6,#7.
Race 5 Belmont, Alw $44,000N1X (3:05 edt)
#7 Routine Panic 5/1
#1 Raffie's Dream 3/1
#6 Ruby Essence 10/1
#4 Amaretto 7/2
Race rating: $
#7 Routine Panic made a mild late rally to finish fourth last out while traveling over a racing strip that was favoring inside speed when shipped here from MD. Low profile connections claimed the filly three back for $12.5K out of a maiden race and brought her right back to beat $25K non winners of two in first start for new connections. Should get some pace to run at today and MD connections are sure to get overlooked on the tote. #1 Raffie's Dream was done after dueling through a 45.4 opening half mile in stakes company last out and is back at proper condition today. Owns a solid pace profile throughout with the top mid and late pace numbers. The 3/1 ML looks more than fair but expecting that price to be shorter here.
The play: #7 to win at 9/2 or better. Exacta key of #1,#7 over #1,#4,#6,#7.
Race 2 Ellis Park, Clm $40,000 (1:10 cdt)
#4 Cloud City 3/1
#3 Society Dame 5/1
#6 Gracious Assault 8/5
#7 Thehoneymoonsover 8/1
Race rating: $
#4 Cloud City did not break well last out in first go of the claim for high % connections, a race that turned out key as the winner and third place finisher were both next out winners. mare goes back on the grass today where she has earned her best numbers. Mare should get a solid pace in front of her today. #3 Society Dame is making her first start since 2/17 when she was outrun on the main track. Filly has won 2 of 4 on the grass, including a win at MNR going seven furlongs. barn is showing a 1 for 9 mark with horses coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
The play: #4 to win at 5/2 or better. Exacta key of #3,#4 over #3,#4,#6,#7.