mfischer1
12-19-2007, 05:01 PM
I really like this pick..
Utah -7.5
Here's why.
In the last 10 games Navy has played three against teams that are playing in bowl games: Ball St (L 31-34), Air Force (W 31-20), and Wake (L 24-44). Against those teams they averaged 28.6, 11 less then there season average. The win against Air force was a fluke. Air Force failed to score 3 times inside the 20. You won't see that happen again with a better, more diverse Utah option. Stop Kaheaku-Enhada stop Navy.
Utah should be prepared to be ready to the Triple-Option. The most difficult part of getting ready for a time like Navy during the season is only having a couple days to practice. A good defense with a couple weeks to prepare for Navy will be able to stop them.
Also, Navy has a new coach, and he's made it clear that they aren't going to change anything offensively.
Key stat:
Navy Non Bowl team point Average: 46.13 Bowl Team Average: 27.5
They've only played a handful of good teams and who knows how they will respond to losing Paul Johnson. On the other hand, Utah will have good motivation, wanting to keep an impressive bowl win streak going.
The public is betting heavy behind Navy, but I think they are going on some skewed statistics, Ones that don't represent Navy vs. better teams like Utah.
Good luck all...
I finished at about 60% for the season. I hope everyone wins big this post season!
Bowl Season record 0-0 $0
Utah -7.5
Here's why.
In the last 10 games Navy has played three against teams that are playing in bowl games: Ball St (L 31-34), Air Force (W 31-20), and Wake (L 24-44). Against those teams they averaged 28.6, 11 less then there season average. The win against Air force was a fluke. Air Force failed to score 3 times inside the 20. You won't see that happen again with a better, more diverse Utah option. Stop Kaheaku-Enhada stop Navy.
Utah should be prepared to be ready to the Triple-Option. The most difficult part of getting ready for a time like Navy during the season is only having a couple days to practice. A good defense with a couple weeks to prepare for Navy will be able to stop them.
Also, Navy has a new coach, and he's made it clear that they aren't going to change anything offensively.
Key stat:
Navy Non Bowl team point Average: 46.13 Bowl Team Average: 27.5
They've only played a handful of good teams and who knows how they will respond to losing Paul Johnson. On the other hand, Utah will have good motivation, wanting to keep an impressive bowl win streak going.
The public is betting heavy behind Navy, but I think they are going on some skewed statistics, Ones that don't represent Navy vs. better teams like Utah.
Good luck all...
I finished at about 60% for the season. I hope everyone wins big this post season!
Bowl Season record 0-0 $0