View Full Version : handicapping tips?
02-03-2012, 06:40 AM
I am fairly new to this thing and I look at it on an everyday basis though. I am curious where the best places are to get info to handicapp the games myself. I watch the sport a lot but don't really get to watch small colleges play that much. If anyone has some good insight to help me out I'd greatly appreciate it
02-03-2012, 05:05 PM
Everyone has different theories on this, but here are a few things I look for...
-Unranked teams at home vs ranked teams are usually modivated and hit at a good rate
-Revenge games, in conference play you usually play each team twice so look and see what happened the first time. If it was a close game, and you're getting a line you feel comfortable with college students especially are modivated to win the second time around.
-Pick a few conferences you know well and watch to bet on... whether they're big conferences or small it's much easier to narrow the 100+ NCAAB teams down to a managable 20-30 that you know backwards and forwards.
- Prep time. Some teams get 5 or 6 days off between games to prepare for their next opponent, while some play games on back-to-back nights, obviously the more time you have to prepare the better your chances of covering the spread.
02-03-2012, 06:32 PM
Appreciate it buddy thnx for responding :)
02-03-2012, 08:30 PM
One thing Ive done at times... Is find a capper that picks a lot of winners. Then break down the games they play to try and figure out what theyre seeing. Even if a pick doesn't win you can learn a lot that way. Look at stats but look at situations too.
Also, you can gleen a lot of insight into the less "ESPN" type tms by reading local and college newspaper articles that wont be apparent in stats. Blogs are good too. Listening to local broadcasts via internet yields a wealth of insights as well.
Theres also a lot of handicapping books out there. Many are worthless. Theres a couple by Larry Seidel that Ive read that have some merit.
02-04-2012, 01:05 AM
Test & Track some systems & then sse the the law of averages to profit from those systems.
Here's what I mean...
Find some solid systems that average anywhere from 50 to 60% on a season (after at least a season of testing). Then, track those same systems and bet with (or against) those systems when they are due to win (or lose).
For example; If a system you tracked for 2 seasons hits around 55%.
The next season it starts off at 40% for the first half of the season, bet the system plays for the second half (as it's due to catch up)
The next season, it starts of at 65% for the first half of the season, play against the system plays for the second half (as it's due to start losing some games).
02-04-2012, 04:39 AM
Unranked teams at home vs ranked teams are usually modivated and hit at a good rate
:agreed: ....especially unranked interconference home dogs
02-04-2012, 09:50 AM
I like to find a team that pressures the ball and is a dog. I like dogs generally anyway.
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