Preakness Speed Figures

[trick1205]

Beyer Speed Figures
The Beyer Speed Figure is a rating assigned to every race by every horse in the United States and is incorporated in the Daily Racing Form past performances. It takes into account the time of a horse's performance and the inherent speed of the racing surface. The average winning figure for the Preakness is 110, but all of the entrants in this year's field fall far below that benchmark. Animal Kingdom, the best of the group from the speed-figure standpoint, won the Kentucky Derby with a 103, the second-lowest winning number for the race in the two decades that the figures have been published. Winning figures for the Preakness since 1991:

Year Horse BSF
1991 Hansel 116
1992 Pine Bluff 104
1993 Prairie Bayou 98
1994 Tabasco Cat 112
1995 Timber Country 106
1996 Louis Quatorze 112
1997 Silver Charm 118
1998 Real Quiet 111
1999 Charismatic 107
2000 Red Bullet 109
2001 Point Given 111
2002 War Emblem 109
2003 Funny Cide 114
2004 Smarty Jones 118
2005 Afleet Alex 112
2006 Bernardini 113
2007 Curlin 111
2008 Big Brown 100
2009 Rachel Alexandra 108
2010 Lookin at Lucky 102

This Years Horses:
Astrology 93
Norman Asbjornson 87
King Congie 93
Flashpoint 102
Shackleford 97
Sway Away 101
Midnight Interlude 97
Dance City 95
Mucho Macho Man 99
Dialed In 97
Animal Kingdom 103
Isn't He Perfect 84
Concealed Identity 86
Mr. Commons 93

My conclusion:
History speaks for itself here with these Beyer Speed Figures. 19 of the last 20 winners have had ratings of 100+ (With the 1993 winner with a rating of 98 being the only sub-100 horse to win). We have 3 horses this year running in the Preakness with 100+ (Flashpoint 102, Sway Away 101, and Animal Kingdom 103).

For what its worth. Interesting numbers here though. Maybe a trifecta box on 4-6-11 is necessary.

[Archstudio247]

Great article Trick!! Thanks for the info!!

[trick1205]

Friday Morning Odds:

No. 1 Astrology 15-1
No. 2 Norman Asborjson 20-1
No. 3 King Congie 20-1
No. 4 Flashpoint 20-1
No. 5 Shackleford 12-1
No. 6 Sway Away 15-1
No. 7 Midnight Interlude 15-1
No. 8 Dance City 12-1
No. 9 Mucho Macho Man 6-1
No. 10 Dialed In 9-2
No. 11 Animal Kingdom 2-1
No. 12 Isn’t He Perfect 30-1
No. 13 Concealed Identity 30-1
No. 14 Mr. Commons 20-1

[DrewRyan]

I still really think and hope that Animal Kingdom is an effin' joke.

[Archstudio247]

I do not see Animal Kingdom winning today...........don't think he is for real. I hope he is a joke also Drew

[DrewRyan]

My old man thinks that he's winning this race. He's normally pretty damn good with this stuff, and he thinks that the track is setting up well for Animal Kingdom if it runs like it did yesterday with the Black Eyed Susan.

[trick1205]

I see him making a run down the stretch again. Don't see him winning though. Good horse to box in your plays though for sure though.