Bushwicks Theory

[Bushwick]

Season. +1.45 units

todays plays 7 games

903) Cincinnati Reds +135
(904) Florida Marlins -1½ (+140)

(905) Washington Nationals +120
(906) New York Mets -1½ (+165)

(909) Pittsburgh Pirates +165
(910) Chicago Cubs -1½ (+120)

(913) Milwaukee Brewers +133
(914) San Francisco Giants -1½ (+145) Sun@4:05p

(921) Baltimore Orioles +133
(922) Toronto Blue Jays -1½ (+145)

(927) Oakland Athletics +123
(928) Anaheim Angels -1½ (+160)

(929) Cleveland Indians +143
(930) Seattle Mariners -1½ (+130)

[kbiggz]

wait, i'm confused...this is why.

If you play 100$ each game for easy math it turns out like this.

Reds 100 to win 135
OR
Marlins 100 to win 140.

...is that right? you just played 200$ to win no more than 140?

this is why im confused.

[kbiggz]

wait nevermind i got it now.

You bet 200, to win 240...nevermind, so like CG said you put 200 on the line for 40$...RISKY but good luck man!!! i hope you win it all

[CanadianGuy]

It's risky but the percentages say that he should end up ahead everyday just like he did yesterday. It's a slow way to make money but it could equal a steady profit. Technically if you averaged around 1.3 or 1.5 units of profit per day you could make a grand per week doing this if you bet in unit sizes of 100. But it's still unclear if the 85% that you're banking on will be steady at 85%. If it dropped to only 75% win percentages than you'd be losing money.

[Bushwick]

Yeah.... the 85% win rate really needs to stick because on 1 bad day I could end up 10-14 units down... just trying to get that 1.5 units ahead... not good risk reward ratio. Believe me I am not betting huge units... i dropped way down to minimum. yesterday my first day of doing this.... today.. i bumped it up just a little bit. I will need to gain some confidence in this before I will go and make unitl plays of 100... and make a G a week like CG is mentioning. the most I could make if everything came in right today would be 3 units but most likely it will be the same 1.5 units I made yesterday

[Bushwick]

I did take 1 pick today in MLB

took the chi sox -130
and also took the run line at +120.

Figured One of best teams right now playing against one of the worst teams.... am hoping chi wins by alot.

[CanadianGuy]

Hmmm, taking the ML and the RL? You're giving me idea's for parlays lol, you think you're allowed to take a parlay on the ML and RL of the same team?

[Bushwick]

Well I broke even in the CHI Sox game so I will call that a win. There is only one game left in my baseball picks... so far all have come out in my favor....

[CanadianGuy]

Sounds good Bush, keep us updated

[kbiggz]

If you played 100$ on everygame today then you would have had to wager 1,400$ and you would have won 71$.

Hey you came out on top by 71$. Your only loss would be the Angels if they win by only 1. Other than that you won everyother game.

If you would have played all the games you would have lost one more and won the rest which would end up around 90% and made money. Still so much money on the line for not much....you definately cant be greedy to play like this.

[kbiggz]

no actually you would be down 29$$$$...i miss calculated. I thought you only lost 100$ on the Angels game but i forgot its a 100$ per team so thats actually a 200$ loss cuz they only won by 1 pt. Wow is that risky. Good Luck to ya though.

[Bushwick]

well of course i lose the last game...... so actually went -.29 units today.....

overall on this thing then is +1.16