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06-23-2005, 07:19 PM
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Thursday MLB
Atlanta/Florida OVER 8 (1 Unit)
Like this one. Public is on the under because of Willis as usual but Wilis has a great record for overs on the road. Also strong trends for an over after Florida is shutout 2 games in a row and good over numbers after they lose by 8 runs or more. Ump numbers also favor an over. Reason for it only being a 1 unit play is because really I haven't had a good week this week and when you're not on a hot streak its best to lay off a bit. I'm 0-2-1 this week as I've only been making one MLB play per day due to my slump, otherwise I'd make this a 2 unit pick, but I'll leave it at 1 unit
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The only sure thing is that there is no sure thing. 
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06-23-2005, 07:24 PM
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Oh, the other red flag is that 70+% are on the under but the juice on the over is sticking at -125
Thanks phen, Willis has 16 overs and 6 unders since 1999 as a road favorite. Add that up with the funny juice, plus the strong trends for florida revenging a shutout plus losses and it makes it seem like a worthwhile pick.
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The only sure thing is that there is no sure thing.
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06-23-2005, 07:43 PM
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lol I mean logically it makes no sense. The linesmakers are the ones that basically know what exactly is going to happen in a game, and the public is bigtime on the under which is paying out a + amount versus the over that is costing you juice to play, unless the books aren't in the business of making money this line really makes no sense......just based on that alone I think the over is a good pick, then you add that to all the trends favoring an over here and it almost makes me wish I'd put more on it. 1-0 in top of 1st so we'll see how it goes.
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The only sure thing is that there is no sure thing.
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06-23-2005, 07:50 PM
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Very strange the way the odds are but I like Marlins to bust out tonight with some runs. Cabrera hit a bomb in the first, hopefully they will keep it going.
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J
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06-23-2005, 08:03 PM
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lol with my luck it'll probably be a push. Just one of those weeks where I can't buy a break. It's kinda like in poker where you make the "right" move knowing you're ahead in the hand but then the other person catches a card on the river to screw you over. Just waiting for this time to pass so I can start dropping some bombs
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The only sure thing is that there is no sure thing.
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06-24-2005, 07:39 AM
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lol, yet another push, all I want is one W this week!
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The only sure thing is that there is no sure thing.
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06-24-2005, 08:26 AM
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Re: Thursday MLB
Quote:
 I never say anything about the "lines" I see on this site that are from the Twi-light Zone but the OFFICIAL LINE ON THAT GAME IN NY WAS 8 1/2 RUNS....not 8 Go to www.americasline.com "THAT".............is what the lines will be when you call "ANY" bookie in NY "THAT"...is what EVERY MAJOR NY NEWSPAPER USES... WHY????? BECAUSE ITS THE OFFICIAL LINE......THATS WHY... NOT ON "MAKE BELIEVE" BETTING ON THE INTERNET BUT ON "REAL" MONEY BETTING, THAT I DO, IN NEW YORK. I would say that I got better odds (I call many outlets) on 40% of my games posted on this site. I.....NEVER....CHANGED....A......SINGLE.....LINE.. ..THE....NEXT.....DAY.... That has made for around a 5 grand difference in my total for the season. KNOW WHY????????????? This is only a web site....it is not where I am betting REAL MONEY....I don't care about the money figure here....I CARE ABOUT THE MONEY FIGURE IN NY WHERE I AM BETTING FUCKING REAL MONEY. Now, too many times I have Read a game is 6-7 AND THEY ARE BETTING THE FAVORITE BUT IT'S EVEN MONEY.....HEY....MAN..........PUT UP THE REAL FUCKING ODDS.....NOT BULLSHIT!!!! Not you C man.....but everybody else....stop the bullshit odds....
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06-24-2005, 08:33 AM
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A BIG APOLOGY TO YOU C-MAN!
I see where the game did close at 8 runs.....YOU WERE CORRECT! I did get that game at 8 1/2. But that was just at the time I posted my POD...I DID NOT BET IT. That was just my POD for yesterday. Would I have gotten 8 1/2 if I called it in? I don't know..didn't bet it. Last edited by ZORRO; 06-24-2005 at 08:34 AM.
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06-24-2005, 02:15 PM
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Re: Re: Thursday MLB
Quote:
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J
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