TODAY'S FREE PICK

Today we will be playing the Florida Marlins and San Diego Padres to OVER the posted total of 7.5 runs. Quite simply this total is way to low today and I will tell you why. Mr Willis will take the hill for Florida and although he was just been dynamite this year, over his last 6 starts he has not pitched all that well, posting a 6.00 ERA in that span including a beating from the worst offensive team in baseball the Dodgers his last start where he couldn't make it out of the second inning. More so, 5 of those last 6 starts have also gone over the posted total.

Brian Lawrence will start for San Diego today, and his numbers this year are very unimpressive. He enter today's game with a record of 6-14 with an ERA of 4.55. When he pitches on the road it gets worse, as his record is 2-7 and his ERA skyrockets to 6.79 away from Qualcomm park. Lawrence also doesn't boast solid numbers vs. the Marlins in his career as his ERA stands at 7.71 in 2 career starts.

For the season the OVER is 36-25 when San Diego is on the road and the OVER is 10-2 the last 12 games that San Diego and Florida have played. All in all we look for this game to go OVER the posted total of 7.5 runs.

Florida Over 7.5 in MLB

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