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Betting strategy Fla/Chi Series
I just checked the series price and see that Chi. is a -200. It,s my feeling that the marlins at +170 are a definite overlay. it,s not about who is going to win this series but that the public as so solidly behind the cubs.
I see a distinct possibility in this series that the marlins will lead the series 3 games to 2 at the end of game #5. I say this because they will only face the cubs 2 best Wood and Prior one time each by the end of game 5. This is not to say that the cubs other pitchers are slouches but they are definitely beatable as reflected in the game 1 price of Zambrano -120 at home. Additionally fla. plays extremely well at home as they showed against SF. Remember 3 of the first 5 games are in Fla. Based on my above noted feelings I intend to place a series bet on Fla. After game 5 If I,m correct I should have a freeroll on game 6 and if the series goes to game 7 I have the option of betting the cubs and I should still realize a small profit. I doubt the cubs will be more than 160 in a 7th and deciding game. the advantage of betting this way is it allows you to make a fairly large bet at a fairly miniml risk. i have used this strategy in the the past ( Marlins and DBacks WS wins) and it has worked well for me. Just thought I,d put this out for anyone that might be interested. GL Stud
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Studplayr |
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