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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:00 PM
grandmaster's Avatar
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Akron, OH
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grandmaster has some winning traits, but you won't see him on a
take 5 minutes, check this out

Ive never seen such line movement in totals, or in anything really. I copied and pasted some of the games that show huge changes in the totals between the opening number, and 20 hours past the open. (the games I left out were virtually unchanged.) Everything was set way too low, (except EWA/NMex) now the bookmakers leave themselves open for slaughter, being bombarded heavily on Overs.

At this point in the season, I think its safe to assume...if youre going to bet the Over, do it early. And if you like the Under, wait. Thats not to say things wont change as bettors and books get to know the teams a little better as the season goes on.

The only question I have is, does this only happen during the first few days of cbb, where very little is known by oddsmakers, who have to scramble every time some wiseguy or insider wants to get down? We'll have to wait and see...

7:00 PM EST
709 new mexico state 152.5 157 / 158 / 158.5 159.5 +1240
710 duke -17 -05 -18.5 / -18 / -18.5 -19 -1800

9:00 PM EST
715 hampton 142 147 / 148u14 / 148u13 148u15 +1140
716 maryland -16.5 -05 -16 / -15.5 / -15 -15.5 -1600

6:00 PM EST
717 delaware state 118.5 120.5o14 / 121o15 / 121o06 121.5o21
718 columbia -3.5 -05 -3.5 -05 / -4 / -3.5 -3 -155 12


9:00 PM EST
719 wisc green bay 139.5u08 140 / 140.5 / 141.5 142 +1040
720 ohio state -15.5 -05 -15.5 -01 / -15.5 / -15 -14.5 -1500

7:00 PM EST
721 siena 157.5o08 157.5o08 / 157 158 +940
722 syracuse -16 -05 -15 -05 / -15.5 / -15 -14.5 -1300


10:30 PM EST
727 western michigan 152 153.5 / 155 / 155o14 156.5
728 oregon -16 -16


9:00 PM EST
737 georgia southern 138 141.5 / 142u09 / 142o10 142o15 +1040
738 florida state -16 -05 -16 -05 / -16 / -16.5 -17 -1500


7:30 PM EST
743 the citadel 125.5 134 / 134u14 / 136 135u10 +1900
744 south carolina -21 -05 -23 / -23.5 / -24 -23.5 -3000



9:00 PM EST
747 e. washington 144.5 141 / 139 / 139.5 139.5u14 +1640
748 new mexico -19.5 -05 -20.5 / -20 / -20.5 -21 -2600
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"let me get this straight...you took all the money you made franchising your name, and bet it AGAINST the Harlem Globetrotters?!"
"Ohhhhhhh, I thought the generals were due!...C'mon, hes spinning the ball on his finger! Just take it!" -Krusty the Klown
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:53 PM
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dirtymoney27 is on a distinguished road and is a solid role player
very interesting. oddsmakers have a tough time to set lines for college in the opening weeks because like you mentioned, they dont know teams very well. a quater of their time goes into college lines because they have to use the rest of the time to set nfl, nba, and even nhl lines. the best time to bet college is in the opening weeks i believe.. thats why im rolling with maryland and oregon.. i'll either be way off to right on the money.. well see what happens.
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 11-12-2007, 07:23 PM
grandmaster's Avatar
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Akron, OH
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grandmaster has some winning traits, but you won't see him on a
as far as I know, there are different oddsmakers who specialize in their respective sports, and make lines for only that. Although it wouldnt surprise me if there are consultants whose input is accepted for all sports during the busy season like this.

GL on the ducks and terps.
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"let me get this straight...you took all the money you made franchising your name, and bet it AGAINST the Harlem Globetrotters?!"
"Ohhhhhhh, I thought the generals were due!...C'mon, hes spinning the ball on his finger! Just take it!" -Krusty the Klown
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