Sunday Sun Belt total...

[NattyBumpo]

(6-9) Sun Belt (3-0) Mt West ((0-2) Ivy League

I know I said no play here earlier but...

... I stayed up late going over some stuff. Oakas actually inspired me to take another look at the Denver/WKentucky game tomorrow...

I think it might be a good thing I did.

854 - W.Kentucky/Denver over 125

Western Kentucky really cant defend or doesn't show any interest in doing so at least. For all the talk of the slow methodical Princeton offense of Denver, they still get into the 70s quite a bit when playing a fast paced team. And for all the hype of their defense, they've given up an average 46% and 37% behind the arc the last 5 games.

As bad as they seem in wins/losses Western Kentucky has never scored less than 62 in regulation conference games this year. They play fast and are looking pretty undisciplined lately. The teams that have any offensive pulse have hit for high percentages against them from the arc. Denver should enjoy a field goal/field day from their end.

I imagine W.Kentucky might also try to take advantage of Denvers size inside. Possibly getting to the free throw line quite a bit. They've been averaging around 78% lately. When Denver gets to the line they are nearly automatic. Both teams are getting to the line about 20 times a game. That would be at least 30 points at minimum. Anyway, something in the neighborhood of 70s for Denver and the low 60s is extremely likely in my opinion. Math is pretty good for me. Guessing is another story. Lets hope my math/guess gets the money and makes the grade.

(3-5 last 3 days. Fair warning ... but I do cash more totals than sides)

[NattyBumpo]

Ill enjoy a win before my NFL bets are decided.
Very satisfying to not only cash the bet, but to be able to say my analysis turned out to be spot on in just about every facet. Mmmmmmm....good.

Still need to win more to crow. But I feel I deserve to enjoy what I can.

Peace.

[oakas]

Nice hit Natty.

I was going to play Valpo over today, but decided not to. I see they covered by a point and a half.

Keep them coming Natty