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2/6 cbb write-up
UConn beat Louisville 69-66 in Big East tourney finals LY, after losing to Cardinals twice during season; they lost six of last nine games after a win over Seton Hall Saturday ended their 3-game skid. UConn is 1-3 in its last four road games, losing by 12-7-14 points- this is second time they've been Big East dog this season. Big East home favorites of less than 6 points are 9-7 against the spread. Louisville won/covered its last four games, allowing an average of 63.3 ppg.
Very quick turnaround for Missouri team coming off a highly emotional win over Kansas 48 hours ago; Tigers (-12.5) pounded on Oklahoma in conference opener 87-49, shooting 59% from floor, 12-21 from the arc. Sooners lost four of last five games; they're 2-6 as a Big X underdog, 1-2 at home, losing home games by 11-12-7 points, with wins over K-State, Texas Tech. Big X single digit home underdogs are 7-4-1 against spread. Missouri is extremely ripe to get upset in this game.
Texas (-12) beat Texas A&M 61-51 Jan 11, outscoring Aggies 22-8 on foul line; A&M shot 39.6% for game, 5-17 from arc. Young Texas club is 0-4 on Big X road, losing away games by 6-11-4-5 points; they're 0-5 vs spread as a Big X favorite. Big X home teams are 6-2-1 vs spread when number is 3 or less points. Aggies lost three of last four games, but have covered five in row and seven of last nine; they're 3-2 in Big X games at home, and have covered five of six as a conference underdog.
Marquette had its 7-game win streak snapped at Notre Dame Saturday; Eagles are 2-3 on Big East road, winning by 7 at Providence, at Villanova by 4- they're 5-4 as Big East favorite, 2-1 on road. DePaul is improved, but still just 2-7 in conference; Blue Demons are 4-5 against spread as a Big East underdog, 2-2 at home, with home losses by 19-8-16-6 points, with a win over Pitt. Big East single digit home underdogs are 13-12-1 against the spread. Marquette beat DePaul by 30 in LY's meeting.
Wofford (+6.5) lost 72-69 at home to Davidson in conference opener on Dec 1; Terriers shot 52.7% from floor, but were outscored 19-7 on foul line. Wofford had its 6-game win streak snapped by Samford at home in OT Saturday, as a 12-point favorite; they're 4-2 as SoCon underdog, 2-1 on road. Terriers are 3-1 on SoCon road, with only loss by 10. Davidson won/covered all six of its conference home games. Southern Conference double digit home favorites are 10-5 against the spread.
Appalachian State (-5.5) beat Elon 81-66 at home nine days ago, making 53.5% from floor, just 15-28 from line; it was ASU's 7th straight win vs Elon. App State lost five of last seven games; they're 3-2 in league road games, but 1-2 as underdog, losing their last three away games by 2-12-4 points. SoCon home favorites of less than 5 points are 12-5 against the spread. Elon won four of last five games, with three wins by five or less points, or in OT. Phoenix is 1-4 as a SoCon home favorite this year.
Furman (-8) beat Georgia Southern 64-54 at home Jan 19, holding Eagles to 34% from floor; Paladins won/covered last four road games- they are 2-5 vs spread as SoCon underdog, 2-3 on road, losing away games by 7-21-6 points. SoCon home favorites of less than 5 points are 12-5 against the spread. Georgia Southern won four of its last five games; they're 1-2 as SoCon home favorite, as underdogs covered their last four home tilts. Eagles' last five games were all decided by six or less points.
Montana (-6) crushed Idaho State 68-44 in Pocatello Jan 7, forcing 21 Bengal turnovers, shooting 60% from floor. Griz had tough rivalry win at Montana State Saturday night while ISU was off. Montana is 4-0 as a Big Sky home favorite, winning home games by 11-8-18-29 points. Big Sky double digit home favorites are 7-7 against the spread. Bengals won/ covered their last four games, with two OT wins; they're 4-1 as Big Sky road underdog, 3-2 SU, losing by 14 at Weber St., 12 at Portland St. -
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