Saturday cbb write-up
Since 1987, #8 or lower seeds are 1-3-1 vs spread in national semis when not facing each other. North Carolina swept Syracuse this season, 84-73 in Carrier Dome Jan 9 (trailed by 6 with 8:28 left, UNC made 64.4% of 2-pointers, 3-16 on arc), 75-70 at home Feb 29 (UNC was up 4 at half, made 6 of 25 on arc). Tar Heels made 11-20 on arc vs Indiana, but in last four games other than that one, were at 33.3% or less. Syracuse allowed 55.8 ppg in four tourney wins; their last three losses were by 5 or less points. Carolina won its last nine games overall. Since '87, when teams from same conference play in national semis, the favorite is 3-1
Last five years, underdogs are 6-4 vs spread in national semifinal games. Villanova's worst game of year was 78-55 loss to Oklahoma Dec 7th on Pearl Harbor- game was 32-26 at half. Sooners made 14-26 on arc while Wildcats were 4-32 in game they never led. Villanova won nine of its last ten games, losing by hoop to Seton Hall in Big East final- they've got the #13 eFG% in country. Oklahoma has four kids who've started together for 100+ games; Sooners won seven of last eight games, losing by hoop to West Virginia in Big X semis. Big East teams are 2-2 vs Big X teams this season- Oklahoma had both Big X wins, also beating Creighton.