MLB Free Picks: Indians @ Tigers MLB Baseball Tips 5/11/13

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We’re always trying to make the most money possible off of the MLB odds each and every night. Join us on Saturday, as we make our Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers free picks and predictions for what should be a great clash on the diamond.

May 11th MLB Picks: Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers
Date: Saturday, March 11th, 7:10 ET
Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Indians vs. Tigers On TV: MLB Network

Bookmaker MLB

MLB Lines & Probable Starting Pitchers
Cleveland Indians (Ubaldo Jimenez) +215
Detroit Tigers (Justin Verlander) -225
Total: 7.5

We know that we aren’t coming up with some awesome revelation at this point that we should be betting on RHP Justin Verlander at home against RHP Ubaldo Jimenez, but do know that when we make our MLB picks on games, we are looking at all of the percentages, and we see this as at least a 70% winning opportunity for Detroit. Just some of the stats that we’ll be bringing up here are out of this world. The Tigers are 11-4 (73.3%) over the course of their last 15 games against Cleveland with Verlander starting. The Tribe are just 16-36 (20.8%) in their last 52 visits to Comerica Park. Detroit is 28-5 (84.8%) in Verlander’s last 33 starts when he has been a -200 favorite or greater, and he is 22-5 (81.5%) in his last 27 starts at home as -200 favorites or greater. Verlander has led the team to a 43-13 record (76.8%) in his last 56 starts at home, and so many of those have come in tremendously difficult situations. Now look at Jimenez… He is just 1-6 (14.3%) in his last seven starts on the road against a team with a winning record, and he is just 3-10 (23.1%) in his last 13 starts on the road overall. It’s just not looking good for Cleveland. The truth of the matter is that the fair price on this game should be at least -320, not -225, and for as square as the Tigers look on this night, they are clearly the right choice to make.

Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers Pick: Detroit Tigers -225
Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers Score Prediction: Tigers 7 – Indians 2

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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