Free NBA Finals Picks: Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat Game 6

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NBA Finals betting action could be all said and done on Sunday night in South Beach. If those NBA Finals picks are accurate, the Dallas Mavericks will be celebrating, as they have the 3-2 series lead. The hosts, the Miami Heat, are going to hope to extend this series by beating the NBA Finals odds on Sunday night.

NBA Playoffs Preview: Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat Game 6
Date: Sunday, June 12th, 8:00 ET
Location: American Airlines Arena, Miami , FL
Game Line: Miami -6
Over/Under 187

Mavericks Notes: The Mavericks are right there on the cusp of their first championship for the first time in team history. Dirk Nowitzki, a man who was always was berated by the media for his lack of production in the fourth quarter of big games, has put all of those myths to rest once and for all. Dirk came up with 29 points in spite of the fact that he has been battling both a finger injury and an illness in Game 5. It really has felt like every time the Mavericks have needed a big shot in these playoffs, Nowitzki has been the man knocking it down. He has scored at least 20+ points in eight straight games now, and he is going to be expected to keep that up. The key though, has been all of the other players that are stepping up their game. DeShawn Stevenson has become a great role player off of the bench in his brand new role, while the man that stepped in for him, Jose Barea, came up with 17 points for his second straight double digit scoring game on Friday night. Shawn Marion was pedestrian in Game 5, but he has had a few big time games in these playoffs of 20+ point performances. Jason Kidd had 13 points and has been a calming influence in the offense the entire postseason. Tyson Chandler has been up and down, and it really seems like when he plays well offensively, Dallas wins. Jason Terry just had the best game of his Finals to date in Game 5, coming up big with 21 points on 8-of-12 shooting.

Heat Notes: Miami has officially been hit with the best shot of the Mavericks. We’ve continued saying for this entire season (and the entire postseason for that matter) that the combination of the big time scorers and a few contributions here and there from some role players is the key for victory for the Heat. Over the course of the season, the problem has been the role players. Now, Mario Chalmers is playing like a star off of the bench, knocking down multiple three pointers in four of the five games thus far in this series. The problem is actually LeBron James. The former son of the Cleveland Cavaliers came to South Beach to have a better supporting cast around him. However, when push comes to shove, he is the problem child right now. He didn’t have a 20+ point scoring game in the three games played in Dallas in this series, including an eight point dud in Game 4. Sure, after he said that it was “go time” in Game 5, he put up a triple-double, but 10 boards, 10 assists, and 17 points on 8-of-19 shooting just isn’t going to cut it, especially in a game in which there were over 210 points put on the board. Chris Bosh is definitely the third star of this bunch, and it’s hard to argue with him putting up 19, 24, and 18 points over the course of the three games on the road in this series. He’s only had one double-double, which is a bit questionable for a man who averaged 8.3 rebounds per game in the regular season, but Head Coach Erik Spoelstra can’t count on any more than that. Dwyane Wade has been great in this series and is sure to be the MVP if Miami comes back to win it all. He is battling all sorts of injuries, including a hip which kept him out of the first half of the third quarter on Friday night.

The Final Word: Miami just looks like the walking wounded out there right now. LeBron looks mentally hurt. Wade is definitely physically hurt. And the truth of the matter is that Bosh was never carrying a team to a title, which is why he left the Toronto Raptors. Meanwhile, it seems like Barea, Terry, Nowitzki, Kidd, and so many other stars could step up for the Mavericks, and the way that things are going right now, we are a tad puzzled as to why the Heat are favored by this many points. Miami might win, but we are going to stick with the Mavs to lock up the title for the first time in team history on Sunday.

Free NBA Playoffs Picks: Dallas Mavericks +6
Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction: Dallas 91 – Miami 87

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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