Free NBA Finals Picks: Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Picks

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The Miami Heat have swung home court advantage back in their favor by winning Game 3 of NBA Finals betting action. Now, the Dallas Mavericks pretty much have to make for great NBA picks in Game 4, or they’ll have to win three games in a row against one of the hottest teams in the league.

NBA Playoffs Preview: Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks Game 4
Date: Tuesday, June 7th, 9:00 ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Game Line: Dallas -3
Over/Under 187

Heat Notes: It’s amazing that the Heat are still talking about having turmoil about who the “star” of the show really is in South Beach in spite of the fact that they are just two games away from winning their second championship in team history. LeBron James has largely been accepted as one of the biggest stars in the game to never win a title, and that’s why he brought his trade to Miami. He didn’t have the greatest game in the world on Sunday night, accounting for just six made baskets. LeBron had 17 points, nine assists, and three rebounds, and he was largely MIA down the stretch. The truth of the matter though, is that this is Dwyane Wade’s team, and it really always has been. Even the recently retired Shaquille O’Neal admitted that this team belonged to the “Flash” when the Heat won the title all those years ago against these Mavericks. Wade had the big time game on Sunday night, coming up with 29 points, the highest for all Miami scorers, and he had 11 boards as well. Chris Bosh, who was marred with foul trouble and had a horrible time defensively, hit some big shots down the stretch and had 18 points to boot. Mario Chalmers again came up big from beyond the arc, knocking down four three point baskets to turn up with a dozen points in his third straight big time game in this series. Miami shot just 43.6 percent from the floor, but it did have double the amount of assists (20) as turnovers (10). It overcame accounting for no more than 21 points in any of the final three quarters after jumping out to the 29-22 lead at the end of the first.

Mavericks Notes: If you’re a fan of the Mavericks, you just have to wonder whether Dirk will ever have his day or not. Dirk Nowitzki did everything that anyone ever could have asked of him in Game 3, going off for 34 points and 11 rebounds. However, when push came to shove, he missed the shot at the gun that could have sent the game to overtime instead of Dallas fans suffering a crippling 88-86 defeat. Still, it’s really hard to argue with the man that is top scorer in this series. Jason Terry really needs to step it up. He has put together some decent games, but he hasn’t had that huge game like he did here on this court against the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Semifinals. He scored 15 points in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, but he definitely needs to do better than this and to blow up for the Mavs to come back and win this series. Tyson Chandler had a nice Game 3 on the glass with 11 boards, but he just wasn’t an offense threat at all, accounting for just five points. He is going to need to come up with more than this to be able to make the big time difference in the series. Shawn Marion, who had a huge second game of this series, only scored 10 points and four boards in his third ever NBA Finals duel. Dallas did outrebound Miami 42-36 in this game, but it only shot 40.0 percent from the field. Fourteen turnovers were just too many over the course of this game, especially when the Mavericks only forced 10.

The Final Word: The Mavericks really badly need this game, but this is a chance for the Heat to stick their foot on their foes’ throats. Miami lives for this moment, and after days and days about hearing how this is D-Wade’s team, we tend to believe that this is the moment that LeBron steps up and shines. Don’t be shocked if he puts on an absolutely remarkable outings, and when push comes to shove, he’ll be the one to outshine Dirk once again to give the Heat the crucial fourth game of this series. In series that were tied at one game apiece in the NBA Finals, the road team has gone on to win the third game 11 times before. They’re 11-0 in the Finals.

Free NBA Playoffs Picks: Miami Heat +3
Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction: Miami 91 – Dallas 85

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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