Odds To Win NBA Finals: Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Picks

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Back in 2006, the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks squared off in a terrific NBA Finals that ended up landing the Heat their first championship. Can they do it again, giving LeBron James his first ever title, or will Dirk Nowitzki and the Mavs beat the NBA Finals odds for the first time in team history? Check it out our NBA Finals picks right here at Cappers Info!

How the Heat Can Win This Series
Boy, are the Heat just on fire right now! It seems like every game that comes down to the wire, they find a way to win. Miami closed out the Chicago Bulls in come from behind fashion twice in the Eastern Conference Finals, and they really have taken over games in spite of the fact that they really don’t have the size and bulk on the inside to be able to compete with the likes of the Bulls and the Boston Celtics, both of which they blew through in just five games.

Of course, this is a series that is hopefully fit for a King, if you’re a Heat fan. LeBron James came to South Beach to win a title — multiple titles in fact. This is a fantastic shot for him to put away the demons of the past failures with the Cleveland Cavaliers and to validate his career once and for all even though he still has a number of years still to dazzle us. James averaged 26.7 points per game during the regular season, and he isn’t that far off of that number here in the playoffs at 26.0 points per game. He’s also stuffing the stat sheet with 8.9 boards, 5.5 assists, 1.7 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game to boot. Sure, these numbers aren’t near what he had with the Cavs back in the day, nor has he been as outstanding in terms of dominance (though he certainly has had his moments), but James has still given the Heat 44 outstanding minutes per game.

Of course, no King would be fit to win a title without the rest of his court. Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh are proving to be worthy subjects to help out the King. Wade has been outstanding down the stretch in games, and he is averaging 23.7 points and 7.2 rebounds per game in the playoffs. Bosh hasn’t always been fantastic, but he has had some absolutely remarkable games. The former member of the Toronto Raptors has never felt pressure like this before, and we might be afraid of him cracking when push comes to shove, but he has some great numbers at 18.6 points and 8.9 rebound per game.

How the Mavericks Can Win This Series
The Mavs know that they can beat the Heat on a regular basis, as they did so twice this year. Dallas has struggled at times against teams that it perhaps shouldn’t have, but against some of the best teams this year, the Mavericks have been outstanding; look no further than the sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers in the second round of the playoffs for proof of that.

Of course, the playoffs have always been difficult for Dirk Nowitzki. He might be one of the best players to never win a title in league history, and that’s a distinction that no player wants to have in his career. In years past, the German national star has been able to score boatloads of points, but he hasn’t been able to come up with the big points when it matters down the stretch of the biggest games in the playoffs. He has no such problem anymore. Just ask the Oklahoma City Thunder how well Dirk has played in these playoffs. Nowitzki has averaged 28.4 points per game in the playoffs, over five points per game more than he averaged in the regular season.

Just like James though, Nowitzki would be nowhere without some help from his teammates. Jason Terry has had his moments of brilliance off of the bench, and he has averaged 17.3 points per game in the playoffs. Shawn Marion has been good for 11.2 points per game, while Jason Kidd has done a little bit of everything with 9.9 points, 7.7 assists, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.2 steals per game. Do look out for some great players off of the bench like Jose Juan Barea and Peja Stojakovic, both of which have been lethal from beyond the arc at times.

The Last Word – The Heat just seem like they’re the better team in this series, and that’s really undeniable. Sure, the Mavs have done great in their time in the playoffs, but they just aren’t going to be able to get the job done when push comes to shove. Don’t be afraid to go with the Heat to top Dallas on the NBA betting lines for the second time in the last five years between these two behemoths of the NBA betting world. NBA Playoffs Picks: Heat in 6

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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