2014 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Picks – Baylor at Wisconsin

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Baylor Bears at Wisconsin Badgers
Date and Time:
Thursday 3/27/14 at 7:47pm on TBS

Game Line: Wisconsin -3.5 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 136.5
Thursday Sweet 16 Baylor Bears at Wisconsin Badgers Analysis:  Baylor and Wisconsin have never played against one another and the unpredictable Bears seem to have little in common with the disciplined Badgers at a glance.  The Badgers are in the Sweet 16 for the third time in four years, while the Bears have made it three times in the last five. Those are remarkable runs of consistency for any program, let alone two teams without huge national profiles and the resulting recruiting advantages.  Past postseason success is fine, but the coaches know it could fade in the face of Baylor’s baffling zone defense or Wisconsin’s famed intensity.   The Bears should admire the tenacity displayed all winter by Wisconsin, which beat five of its seven Top 25 opponents while playing one of the NCAA’s toughest schedules.  They should also note that the Badgers’ reputation as a walk it up team is woefully inaccurate.  They’re averaging 73.5 points per game this season, much more than they typically do and only two points behind Baylor. Wisconsin is similarly impressed by Baylor’s athleticism and offensive balance. While knocking off Nebraska and third-seeded Creighton last weekend, Baylor also deployed a matchup zone that flummoxed both opponents and limited Creighton star Doug McDermott.  Few teams in recent seasons have been better in March than Baylor, which has won 17 of its 20 postseason games over the last six years.  With two more wins, the Bears essentially would play the Final Four at home in Arlington, Texas, about 100 miles from their Waco campus.  Wisconsin also is trying not to look beyond its Sweet 16 game, but the Badgers clearly would love to book Ryan’s trip to his first Final Four.  Bo Ryan has never been to the final four, despite great success at Wisconsin, but this team has something his previous doesn’t and that’s scoring.  They’ve played great defense for a decade now, but this year they can score with anyone.  They’re the more talented team in this match up and have been all season long.  They will score against whatever defense Baylor brings to the table and force this game to go over while making their free throws in the closing minutes to force it to go over.
Baylor Bears at Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Basketball Picks: Wisconsin -3.5 and over 136.5
Baylor Bears at Wisconsin Badgers Game Prediction: 76-69 Wisconsin
What to expect in this NCAA Tournament match up: While Wisconsin’s defense will do their part as they always do, it will be their offense on display in this match up.  Frank Kaminsky will have a big game and multiple Badgers will be in double digits as the Badgers score early and often against an over hyped Bears defense.  Baylor will score their fair share, as they always do but they won’t have the defense to keep this game close for 40 minutes.  Wisconsin pulls away late in the game and forces this game over in our strongest selection of the day.

Davis Wagner has been a long time contributer at the Cappersinfo.com Handicapping community and is a major assett to our establishment. He is solid handicapper and has a keen understanding value sports betting. Davis has been avidly posting on the Cappersinfo forums for almost a decade and is one of the most tenured members of this community. Davis is a major contributor and it's safe to say this sit wouldn't be where it is today without him.

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