2011 Heisman Trophy Odds Update & NCAA Football Picks (11/17)

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There are only three weeks left for the voters to make their Heisman Trophy picks, and here at Cappers Info, we are taking another look at the handful of players that reasonably still have a shot at beating the Heisman Trophy odds.

Heisman Trophy Pick No. 1: Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State Cowboys (+260 at Wager Web Sportsbook): Here’s the thing about Weeden. It’s true that he isn’t going to have 13 games with which to build his case over to win this award, but he is going to have a showcase game on the final day of the regular season, December 5th against the Oklahoma Sooners. With both Luck and Richardson likely not playing for their conference titles, they won’t get a chance to make a lasting impression. The schedule left for both Stanford and Alabama isn’t impressive to say the least, while a win in Bedlam with some impressive numbers against a solid Oklahoma defense would probably put Weeden over the top. Throw out Keenum, and Weeden has the best passing numbers in the nation with 3,635 passing yards and 31 TDs, and unlike Keenum, he is doing it against a schedule that is incredibly tough.

Heisman Trophy Pick No. 2: Case Keenum, Houston Cougars (+1400 at Wager Web Sportsbook): It’s going to take a lot to happen for Keenum to win this award, but just being a finalist should make these Heisman Trophy odds more than worthwhile. It’s really hard to ignore 37 TD passes and 3,951 passing yards, even if Keenum is playing in the defensively challenged Conference USA. Still, Keenum is going to finish up his career with probably right around 19,000 passing yards and around 155 touchdown passes, and he is three wins away from getting his team to the BCS. It’s going to take Weeden falling in Bedlam and Richardson doing nothing particularly memorable over these last three weeks for Keenum to really have a shot at winning the award, but we could see it happening.

Heisman Trophy Pick No. 3: Trent Richardson, Alabama Crimson Tide (+400 at Wager Web Sportsbook): Richardson could rue the day that RB Eddie Lacy poached two TDs from him against the Mississippi State Bulldogs last week. Anyone who watched the LSU/Alabama game knows just how good Richardson really is, though, as he was really the only person that was able to drive the ball against the Bayou Bengals. Richardson has 19 TDs this year in total, and he has 1,523 yards in total offense. Not bad for basically sitting out of 1.5 games because the Tide were so far ahead this year, and it’ll probably be basically two full games this week after halftime against Georgia Southern. If LSU loses to Arkansas next week, the door could swing open for the Tide to roll into the SEC Championship Game, and if that’s the case, Richardson will indeed have his one last shot against either Georgia or South Carolina to prove that he is worthy of the Heisman.

Heisman Trophy Pick No. 4: Andrew Luck (-140 at Wager Web Sportsbook): You’ll notice that we have made Luck our fourth of the reasonable four choices on the Heisman board right now. The only thing that is keeping Luck atop the charts right now is the fact that he had all of the preseason hype as the best player in the nation. Don’t get us wrong, Luck hasn’t done anything to damn him as being the top pick in the NFL Draft. After all the Stanford quarterback has thrown for 2,695 yards and 29 TDs against just seven picks. However, he’s only ranked No. 20 in the nation in passing yards, he’s not in the Top 10 in passing touchdowns, and when push came to shove, his team lost its biggest game of the year at home by 23 points thanks to two of his interceptions. We just don’t buy into the fact that Luck is truly deserving of the Heisman Trophy odds, and we think that it is ridiculous that he is the favorite, let alone the odds on favorite.

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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