Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins
Date and Time: Saturday 11/23/13 at 7:00pm on FOX
Game Line: Arizona State -2.5 (from JustBet)
Saturday’s Arizona State vs UCLA NCAA Football Analysis: If Arizona State is to have any chance at playing in the Rose Bowl on New Year’s Day they will need a win at Pasadena this weekend. The 19th ranked Sun Devils can clinch the PAC-12 South with a win over number 14 UCLA on Saturday. Arizona State has a one game lead over both UCLA and USC, who they’ve already beaten this season. A loss would mean Arizona State would need to beat Arizona and UCLA would have to lose to USC in the last week of the regular season for Arizona State to have a chance at the PAC-12 crown. The Sun Devils have won six straight conference games, their longest win streak since 2007. Their defensive improvements have been the biggest reason why. Opponents are averaging just 19 points per game in their last five and they have recorded 18 sacks with 10 interceptions. Corner Robert Nelson is one of the premiere defensive players in the conference and he will play a big role if Arizona State is going to contain UCLA quarterback Brent Hundley. Offensively, Arizona State’s passing attack has been their biggest weakness. Quarterback Taylor Kelly threw for 180 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions in a win against Oregon State last weekend. He is going to need to be much more effective if they’re going to win on the road this weekend. Kelly has also been sacked eight times in the last two games and if Bruins pass rusher Anthony Barr can make him uncomfortable this will be a tough game for Arizona State to score. The Sun Devils run game has been more efficient thanks in large part to running back Marion Grice who is dynamic both catching the ball out of the back field and carrying it, with 20 touchdowns he is second in FBS in points scored. UCLA has the better quarterback, playing at home in a must win game and they’ve won three of the last four against Arizona State including a game winning field goal as time expired last year. This year we expect a similar result as the Arizona State offense doesn’t have fourth quarter comeback capabilities.
Arizona State at UCLA NCAA Football Picks: UCLA +2.5 and under 61.5
Arizona State at UCLA Game Prediction: 28-24 UCLA
What to expect in this week 13 NCAA Football match up: UCLA’s two losses against Oregon and Stanford are the only two they have, and those two teams are the best in the conference. UCLA is a very well rounded team with one of the best quarterbacks in the conference which will be the difference in this game. Arizona State’s offense is too one dimensional to win this game in the fourth quarter if they’re behind and needing a score which could very well be the case.