2013 Free Saturday NCAA Football Picks: Michigan vs Michigan State

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Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
Date and Time: Saturday, 11/2/13 @ 3:30pm on ABC
Game Line: Michigan State -5 (from JustBet)
Over/Under: 46
Saturday’s Michigan vs Michigan State NCAA Football Analysis: The big Michigan rivalry game has extra meaning this year, as the winner could also play in Indianapolis in the Big Ten championship game next month.  Heading into the last month of the regular season these are the two best teams in the Legend’s division of the Big Ten and the winner of this game puts themselves in great position to play for a conference championship.  Michigan enters this game off a bye and a 63-47 victory against Indiana while Michigan State is coming in off of a 42-3 win against Indiana as well.  Michigan is going to need to limit the turnovers and negative plays if they’re going to stay in this game, it has been their Achilles heal all season and against the Michigan State defense it becomes even more important.  Michigan State’s defense ranks in the top 10 in the country in just about every major stastical category including turnovers forced and defensive touchdowns.  Michigan will have to get away from running between the tackles, into Michigan State’s strength, and rely on the passing arm of Devin Gardner to move the ball and make big plays in the secondary if they’re going to have any hope of success.   The Michigan defense should know what to expect, State runs a very typical offense, running on first down, 50/50 run pass split on second down and throw the ball on third down.  If they can execute and force Michigan State into second and third and long they should be able to stay with in the number here.  This is just too many points for a game where, historically, you can throw out the record books and not know what to expect.  Combine that with Michigan’s extra week of preparation and we will roll the dice with the road team and hope they control the ball enough to keep this game close.
Michigan at Michigan State Free NCAA Football Picks: Michigan +5 and over 46
Michigan at Michigan State Prediction: 28-27 Michigan State
What to expect in this week 9 NCAA Football match up: 
Michigan will jump out to an early lead, scoring points early and showing what they used during their extra week of preparation to get ready for this game.  Michigan State’s defense will make the in game adjustments to slow them down and their gridning, ball control offense will wear Michigan down over the course of the game and allow them to take the lead in the fourth quarter and cement their place as the favorites in the Big Ten Legend’s Division.

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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