C-USA Championship Game Preview: Southern Miss @ Houston 12/3/11

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Conference USA could have its first team ever to make it to the BCS on Saturday if the Houston Cougars can beat the NCAA football betting lines against another team from this conference ranked in the Top 25, the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles.

Year To Date Record: 81-81 ATS
Upset Record: 20-34 +$765

Week 14 College Football Matchup: Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Houston Cougars
Date: Saturday, December 3rd, 12:00 ET
Location: MM Roberts Stadium, Houston, TX
College Football Lines: Houston -13.5
Over/Under 72
Week 14 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

As has been the case with Houston all year long, the key to slowing this team down is by putting QB Case Keenum under wraps. Easier said than done, though. The sixth year senior has thrown for 4,726 yards and 43 TDs this year, both marks of which are the best in the country, and he only has three INTs. He is completing over 72 percent of his passes, and he rarely gets sacked. Deep balls, precision passers, rocket balls, or soft touches… There isn’t a throw in the book that Keenum can’t make. SMS is going to have its work cut out for it for sure.

One might immediately dismiss the Golden Eagles in this game, especially after watching them go on the road and get beaten by the lowly UAB Blazers two weeks ago. It’s true that this team just has not played great ball over the course of the last few weeks, but it does only have one loss this season, and it has already proven that it can go on the road and beat a potentially comparable team in the Virginia Cavaliers.

The defense for SMS hasn’t been tested like this all season long, but it has nothing to lose and everything to gain. This is as good of a defense as Keenum has seen in months, and for the first time in awhile, he might get a bit of a challenge and be forced into some situations in which he has to punt the football. The Cougs are going to have a heck of a lot of pressure to perform this week, and we think that that pressure is going to result in this game being a heck of a lot closer than the so called experts think.

Week 14 NCAA Football Pick: Southern Miss +13.5

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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