Day Time Nationally Televised Free College Football Picks (9/11/10)

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San Jose State Spartans (+38.5) @ Wisconsin Badgers
Saturday, September 11th
12:00 ET, Camp Randall, Madison, WI

Look, we know that the Badgers are clearly the superior team in this game, but San Jose State showed at least a little bit of spunk last week against one of the best teams (and probably THE best team) in the country. Going into Camp Randall certainly is no more fun than going into Tuscaloosa, but there is no reason for this college football betting line to be higher than the one that Spartans had on their side against the defending champs last week. Wisconsin allowed 21 points to lowly UNLV this week, and only conceding half of that will probably result in a number that won't be conducive to covering this spread. Wisconsin's offense is as good as it has been this year, but asking this team to drop near 50 on anyone in the country is a tall, tall task.

Prediction: Wisconsin 41 – San Jose State 10

Georgia Bulldogs @ South Carolina Gamecocks (-3)
Saturday, September 11th
12:00 ET, Williams-Bryce Stadium, Columbia, SC

The Gamecocks were one of the more impressive teams in the land last week, which is why the AP Poll bounced them into the Top 25. Still, the coaches aren't on board yet with the Cocks, which sets up one of those prototypical situations where an unranked team is favored over a ranked team while playing at home. Even though we know we're exaggerating, it feels like this cashes in for the team favored team virtually 100% of the time, and we aren't ones to go against that trend. Congrats to the Bulldogs for beating Louisiana-Lafayette 55-7 last Saturday. You won't be so lucky this week without WR AJ Green once again, as South Carolina is out to prove that it is in the class of the SEC East this year and not a doormat like it has been for the majority of the Steve Spurrier era.

Prediction: South Carolina 34 – Georgia 16

Michigan State Spartans (-28) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
Saturday, September 11th
12:00 ET, Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Some "home game" this is for the Owls, huh? You've always gotta love when the schedule makers try their best to make you feel better by telling you that you're the "host" of a game that is about 100 times further away from your campus than it is from the team that is technically "visiting" you… Anyway, FAU caught lightning in a bottle last week in a narrow win over UAB. Both of those teams are trying to do a huge rebuilding job. Last week, we saw that Michigan State does have an offense competent enough to score 40+ points against the worst teams on its schedule. That's been the problem for Sparty over the years, though. They're good enough to beat the worst teams down, but not good enough to even remotely compete with the big boys. Fortunately for MSU, this is a bad team that it is running up against on Saturday. Take the "visitors" here by a comfortable margin of more than four scores.

Prediction: Michigan State 41 – Georgia 10

Iowa State Cyclones @ Iowa Hawkeyes (-13.5)
Saturday, September 11th
3:30 ET, Kinnick Field, Iowa City, IA

The annual rivalry between Iowa and Iowa State heads to Kinnick this season, a place where the Hawkeyes have won in this series every year since 2002. The home team had won five straight before last year when the Hawkeyes opened a can on ISU 35-3. That also stopped a run of five straight covers for the Cyclones. This year is probably largely going to be the same story as last season. Iowa just has a superior team, and we aren't so sure why the oddsmakers aren't giving the hosts a tad more respect. Do they think this is a look ahead game for the Hawkeyes with Arizona coming up next week? We can't imagine a Kirk Ferentz coached team being caught with its pants down. ISU is okay, and it is clearly that defensively, there have been some changes. But if QB Austen Arnaud can only put 27 points up on Northern Iowa, we tend to think that he is going to struggle to do a lot more than the three he managed last year at home against Iowa. The Hawkeyes should be ready to make their statement after handling Eastern Illinois without incident last week.

Prediction: Iowa 27 – Iowa State 7

Florida State Seminoles (+7) @ Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, September 11th
3:30 ET, Oklahoma Stadium, Norman, OK

It's sad to think that this is legitimately the undercard game for the Canes and Buckeyes going on at the same time. Still, the Noles are going to go in search of their first major victory of the Jimbo Fisher era, and if it comes, it'll be at the expense of an Oklahoma team that will officially be in a tailspin. That tailspin came close to being underway last week against Utah State, a team that had no business only losing 31-24 in Norman. If QB Landry Jones has any hopes of becoming the Heisman Trophy winner this year, he needs to have the game of his life in a beat down of the garnet and gold. Unfortunately for him, FSU's QB Christian Ponder is saying the exact same thing. Though we haven't seen either team take on legitimate competition this year, we know that OU's strengths have yet to shine, while Florida State looks like a team on the rise. Don't be shocked to see the upset here in what should be a very, very fun game that you should be keeping a close eye on while flipping back to UM/OSU.

Prediction: Florida State 31 – Oklahoma 27

Michigan Wolverines (+3.5) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday, September 11th
3:30 ET, Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN

We are never too keen about a game that pits the Irish and Wolverines against each other, because at least as of recent years, we haven't been thrilled about the way either team is playing. We continued to not be overly impressed with the Irish last week, as they needed to slip past a Purdue team that was playing without its best player and is clearly in rebuilding mode. However, Big Blue was a story of big difference. All of a sudden, QB Denard Robinson looked like Pat White Jr. out there for HC Rich Rodriguez, as he was making the throws necessary to take down the Connecticut Huskies and when nothing was available in the pocket, he was running and doing so for huge chunks of yards. Granted, a lot of people got excited when QB Tate Forcier largely did the same thing at the beginning of last season, so we're still tempered. However, it's clear that between these two squads, Michigan is the lesser of the evils at this point.

Prediction: Michigan 38 – Notre Dame 30

Miami Hurricanes @ Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5)
Saturday, September 11th
3:40 ET, Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH

This is the second game going on at the exact same time that is a rematch of a previous National Championship Game. The Buckeyes looked the role of one of the best teams in the country last week in a virtually flawless domination of the Marshall Thundering Herd. The problem is, you could say the same thing about the Canes in their destruction of the Florida A&M Rattlers. Unfortunately, neither team has really proven much yet. Here's what we do know, though. We know that this game is in Columbus, a place where most good teams not named Texas and USC come to die. We know that the Buckeyes have a stifling defense that can stop anyone in the country (see: 2009 Oregon Ducks). We also know that QB Terrelle Pryor for OSU and QB Jacory Harris for Miami are largely on a level playing field. Harris will do a bit more with his arm. Pryor a bit more with his legs. Still, Miami's defense has a bunch of talent and speed, but a lot of question marks. This could be a real slug fest from the get go. Still, in the end, we tend to believe that Harris, while using that cannon of a right arm, is going to make that one mistake that "The U" doesn't recover from, as Ohio State makes its case to be the No. 1 team in the country.

Prediction: Ohio State 21 – Miami 10

BYU Cougars @ Air Force Falcons (-1)
Saturday, September 11th
4:00 ET, Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO

We know that the Cougars have won six straight in this series both SU and ATS. We know that Air Force's defense didn't put up the most stellar effort in the world against a lousy Northwestern State team last week. We know that the Cougars stomped QB Jake Locker and the Washington Huskies in Week 1 as well. However, there's something about taking a true freshman quarterback on the road for his first real test that scares us. It's true that both QBs Jake Heaps and Riley Nelson looked good last week against U-Dub, but this could be a significantly different challenge. Air Force is going to deploy about a million different players on offense, and a ton of them are returners that have a lot of experience. These Falcons have never beaten BYU, and you have to believe that this is a game that has been circled on the calendar for quite some time for them. Air Force is 11-5 ATS in its L/16 games played at home… This is a very, very interesting line that we tend to want to take advantage of.

Prediction: Air Force 37 – BYU 31

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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