NCAA Football Free Picks: TCU @ Baylor Pick 9/2/11

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It’s a Lone Star State shootout that will take place on Friday night down in Waco, and here at Cappers Info, we are making our third pick of the season, a duel between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Baylor Bears.

NCAA Football Matchup: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears
Date: Friday, September 2nd, 8:00 ET
Location: Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco, TX
College Football Betting Line: TCU -4.5
Over/Under 53.5

Horned Frogs Notes: TCU is one of the few teams ranked in the Top 25 that has the testicular fortitude to go on the road in the first week of the year, and this is as tricky of a fixture as it gets. QB Andy Dalton is gone, and that now makes a tremendous chunk of the team that was so highly touted just a few years ago that is currently not playing anymore in Fort Worth. However, Head Coach Gary Patterson always finds ways to bulk up a defense, and this year should be no exception whatsoever. The only question is whether the offense is going to be able to keep up or not.

Bears Notes: Whereas TCU has a lot of questions, Baylor seems to have a lot of answers. QB Robert Griffin III is now officially one of the best quarterbacks in the Big XII after years of waiting to break out of his shell, and he has the offensive pieces around him to really make things work in Waco. However, this unit over the last three meetings against TCU dating back to 2006 only has a total of 17 points scored. The Bears did slump miserably down the stretch last season thanks to their defense, which allowed at least 38 points in its last four games of the campaign. Things don’t look all that much better on this side of the ball.

The Final Word: It seems like an odd play to make, but we are going to back the ‘over’ in this one. These two teams combined for 55 points last year, and we just don’t see how Baylor’s further experienced offense is going to be held down this low, especially playing on its home field. The Horned Frogs should still have a reasonable offense this year as well, and Patterson would love to start off with a few good efforts from his ‘O’ to prove that all of the pressure in the MWC this year doesn’t revolve around his stout defense.

NCAA Football Free Pick: Over 53.5
NCAA Football Prediction: TCU 31 – Baylor 27

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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