NCAA Football Odds: Week 11 Saturday College Football Picks 11/12/11

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College football betting action is here again! Here at Cappers Info, we’re making our running tally of NCAA football picks this year, continuing with action on Saturday, November 12th!

Year To Date Record: 61-62 ATS
Upset Record: 16-25 +$615

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Clemson Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 12:00 ET
Location: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
College Football Lines: Clemson -16.5
Over/Under 60.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

This game is probably going to be for the ACC Atlantic Division title, and if the Tigers win it, they’ll have their ticket punched to the game regardless of what else goes down in these last few weeks. Clemson is certainly the better team in this game, but we have this sneaking suspicion that the Deacs are going to hang. QB Tanner Price has been a heck of a lot better than people realize this year, and the Tigers have, especially of late, looked beatable. We expect this to stay as no more than a two score game the whole way.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Wake Forest +16.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Marshall Thundering Herd @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 12:00 ET
Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK
College Football Lines: Tulsa -19.5
Over/Under 53
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS College Sports

QB GJ Kinne and the Golden Hurricane are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall, but we have a feeling that all of that comes to an end this week. The Herd have done a nice job staying relatively close in games this year, and we don’t foresee another total romp like we saw a few weeks ago against Houston. Remember, in spite of the fact that the Cougs put up 63 against it, Marshall is still allowing under 30 points per game this year. It’s going to be tough to cover nearly three full touchdowns for the Golden Hurricane, especially knowing that the Thundering Herd badly need to pull an upset like this to have a shot at bowling.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Marshall +19.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Miami Hurricanes @ Florida State Seminoles
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 3:30 ET
Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
College Football Lines: Florida State -9
Over/Under 50.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

While the Noles are hot, we aren’t about to get off of the train. Miami has really played some dud games this year on the road, and heading to Tallahassee surely isn’t going to be fun. In games that Florida State has played with QB EJ Manuel playing the full game, it has won by 31, 34, 25, 25, 52, and 34 points. The other three games were all lost. Somehow, we don’t think that beating a nine point spread is going to be all that difficult against a team that has already been beaten by Maryland, Kansas State, and Virginia this year.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Florida State -9

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Tennessee Volunteers @ Arkansas Razorbacks
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 6:00 ET
Location: Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
College Football Lines: Arkansas -14.5
Over/Under 54.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

Very few things have been easy for Arkansas this year, and we think that this is going to be one of the many games that don’t go as easily as they probably should. The Volunteers have remained stingy all season long in spite of the fact that it has been awhile since QB Tyler Bray has touched a football. If UT wants to go bowling, this would be a game that it would probably want to pull off the upset. We don’t think it’ll happen, especially with Arkansas quite possibly holding its keys to the National Championship Game when push comes to shove, but we do think that it’ll be closer than this spread suggests.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Tennessee +14.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Auburn Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 3:30 ET
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
College Football Lines: Georgia -12.5
Over/Under 53.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: CBS

The Tigers are good enough to win this game. Remember that before QB Stephen Garcia was kicked off the team and before RB Marcus Lattimore tore his ACL, Auburn went into South Carolina and beat it. Georgia isn’t all that much better than South Carolina is in all likelihood. Give the Dawgs their due, as they were able to get back in front of the SEC East race by winning seven in a row. They’ll probably finish off the conference title either this week or next, but this one could be a lot more difficult than it seems. At some point, something is going at least try to bump this train off of the tracks.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Auburn +12.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 8:00 ET
Location: Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA
College Football Lines: Stanford -3
Over/Under 68
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ABC

There are going to be a ton of points scored in this game, and we just don’t see how these two clubs, which are good for over 90 points per game as it is, will be stopping one another. Neither one really had a fantastic answer for the other last year when the two met in Eugene, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see 40 on the board by the half… easily. QB Andrew Luck and RB LaMichael James are going to play like Heisman Trophy candidates, and unlike in last week’s so called “Game of the Century,” this one is going to have all of the pomp, circumstance, and touchdowns that we are expecting.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Oregon/Stanford Over 68

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 7:45 ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
College Football Lines: Alabama -18
Over/Under 42.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPN

Mississippi State isn’t just going to lie down and die in this game like the rest of the world probably thinks. Sure, the Crimson Tide are angry that they were beaten by LSU last week at home, but the season isn’t over with, and it isn’t a given that they are going to finish the year out at 11-1 with a shot to play in the National Championship Game. We tend to think that this one is going to be really close, but the one trend that we keep continuing to follow is how good Alabama’s defense is. How the Bulldogs are going to score more than maybe 14 in this game is beyond us. This should be a battle of field goals and field position, and in the end, we just don’t see the ball crossing the end zone more than maybe four times in total, which should keep this one comfortably below the number.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Alabama/Mississippi State Under 42.5

Week 11 College Football Matchup: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ LSU Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 12th, 7:00 ET
Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
College Football Lines: LSU -42
Over/Under 48.5
Week 11 College Football TV Schedule: ESPNU

Oh c’mon, oddsmakers. Give us a break. We would take any team in the FBS at +42 against the Tigers in this game even though it is at night in Baton Rouge. There is no way that the Bayou Bengals are going to be up for this one the same way that they were last week against Alabama, and unlike in years past, Western Kentucky has a team that has some pride and can at least remotely hang around for awhile. RB Bobby Rainey is going to be the key, and if he can gash even just a few tiny, little holes in this defense, it’ll be really hard to see how LSU can cover this number. Getting to seven should do it for WKU, easily.

Week 11 NCAA Football Pick: Western Kentucky +42

Lou Palumbo is the founder and part owner of the Cappersinfo.com Sports Handicapping Community. He's been writing and posting free picks and sports handicapping strategies on the Cappersinfo forums and website for 15 years now. He enjoys handicapping just as much as he did from the very first day he built the original Cappersinfo website.

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